Good week for btc
Due to the failure of the downtrend and the news of the Russia-Ukraine war, expectations for the growth of Bitcoin and other currencies have risen.
Russia is using digital currencies for its financial transfers due to heavy banking sanctions.
If the weekly stabilizes above 44,000$, we can see 45,700$ weekly targets and then 47159$ for Bitcoin .
If the ceiling breaks, the next resistance range will be 50531$
If the red and blue lines collide in the Ichimoku indicator, we will receive another positive signal.
White: daily
yellow: month and week
Keep in mind that this is just an analysis and not a buy or sell offer. News these days can overcome technical analysis .
have a nice day
Trade Management
How To Succeed In Your TradingFocus on one single trading strategy
One thing that many people try and do is switch between strategies constantly. This is setting you up for failure, and if the concept of probabilities is truly understood, you will comprehend the reasons why a single strategy will work.
Any strategy is not going to have a 100% win rate, so first you should attempt at getting 50% of your trades right. After that mastering a 2:1 Reward to risk ratio is what will make you profitable. Trying to juggle many strategies will have you working tirelessly, but not moving forward in any particular one.
Less trading, more education
Many people have the conception that spending countless hours in front of the screen looking for potential set ups is how it should be, however that is completely wrong in my eyes. I spend minimal time now looking at charts and set ups, I highlight key levels I want to look at, along with alerts, and simply wait for the market to head there. Time spent looking at charts should be simply for education and mastering your strategy through back testing or simply understanding previous data.
Approach the market from a neutral position
Anyone that knows me knows how big I am on trading psychology and how I believe it is the most important aspect of trading.
Emotions in trading can be one of your greatest enemies as it can lead you to failure even after your success. There are scenarios where you can take trades and be in positive which will lead you to feel over confident, happy, and those will ultimately will lead to irrational decisions if you let them. Those emotions will make you believe you are better than the markets, or that you can outsmart them, ultimately leading your successful trade to turn into a failure. The same can happen when you feel the opposite and lack confidence to enter another trade due to a loss, or think have feelings of doubt.
This is why the market needs to be approached by a completely neutral position. Once you understand that for every person on one side of a trade, there is someone on the opposite side, you will begin to understand that the market itself is just a whole bunch of neutral information moving in nobody’s favour.
Write your goals
Affirmations are great and something that has helped me in every aspect of my life and not just trading. It is very important to write down your goals in order to manifest them into reality. All ideas first begin in the mind, and then come into the physical. Your goals need to be solidified, definite, and written down in order for your mind and yourself to know exactly what you are going after.
Every single day, you need to read your goals aloud, envision them in your mind with every bit of detail possible in order to bring them into the physical. In order to achieve a goal you need to arrive at the destination first in your mind.
Relax
There is no need to rush a single thing in your trading journey, and believe me take it from my experience, every time I tried to, I failed. People attend university for years before going out into a career which then takes many years before mastering it, yet people want to master trading in a year.
Patience is required in all aspects of trading, whether it’s on the charts themselves, or with your strategy, or with your learning curve. It all requires patience. If you are going after trading as a serious life career which you aim to remain in, then relaxing and taking your time is the first step. Nothing great comes from rushing it, especially the markets.
Know how to handle your trades
Based on your strategy and the concept of probability there are a number of things needed in order to appropriately handle your trades.
Firstly, don’t touch your stop loss. I cant say this enough, but stop losses are determined as the final barrier before the trade is invalid, and they are determine before entering the trade. If you find yourself moving your stop, ask yourself why. You will find out mostly its out of fear of losing your money, which is one of the 4 fears of trading. Accept your loss and let the trade stop out, you had it there for a reason.
Also, don’t leave trades behind out of fear. If you have a strategy that you have confidently developed, you should understand that the overall should be a greater number of winners than losers, and you should not leave trades behind out of fear, because they can be the ones that perform the best and make up for the losers.
Another thing to have in place is an appropriate strategy for exiting your trades. Many people have trades that are in profit, however due to the lack of knowledge on how to exit their trades, they still end up not profitable. You need to have a system on how to exit your trades appropriately and at what levels. Always remember, the profit running on a trade is not yours until its closed.
Risk management
Yes, I know you have heard it and read it a thousand times already, but you have no idea how important risk management is until the day you master it and recognise it was the single greatest thing holding you back from success.
People can have amazing strategies, the best reward to risk ratios, but with the inappropriate risk management trust me it means absolutely nothing. I have seen people overleverage on a trade simply because it “looked too good” compared to other trades, only for it to be the worst of the bunch.
I have seen people lose tremendous amounts of money and one thing I can promise you is not a single one of these people lost 100 trades in a row at 1% a trade. Every single one of them lost their entire accounts due to ONE trade that they married.
Risk management should be one of your main areas of focus, because believe me if you have mastered it, even with an average strategy you are doing much better than someone with an exceptional strategy with no adequate risk management.
Keep track of your performance
The only way to improve in any aspect of life is to first recognise what needs change and then work on it. It is very important to actually understand your positives and negatives and have them all tracked. A journal is one of the first steps in order to look in the mirror. Being completely honest is the only way a journal will work, and lying is only lying to yourself. If you are after serious improvement you need to appropriately identify all your flaws in order to better them.
You should never feel down or behind, remember trading the markets is one of the biggest psychological challenges one can face, and that is exactly why not everyone is suited for them. Instead see it as a challenge to better yourself and achieve the perfection and discipline you have always desired on and off the charts. Trading the markets will teach you lessons that you will carry with you throughout your entire life and not just on the trading floor.
Trading Roadmap for 2022Happy New Year to everybody.
Here is my roadmap for financial year 2022. It is simplified version but generally it says everything about what to do.
Plan:
Everything starts from the plan. It is very hard to navigate financial markets without it. As markets move constantly it's very easy to get lost
or become controlled by emotions (fear and greed for example). The trade plan is a tool that helps us. It takes some market knowledge and experience
to develop a good plan and then discipline is needed to follow it. Also sometimes there is a need to modify the plan when conditions change drastically.
Wait:
Patience is essential part of good trading/investing. If you miss some opportunities then calmly wait for another ones - they are always coming.
Execute:
Do what you have previously planned. It is a trade management - also important part of trading. You can be right with timing but without
trade management you could easily see all your 'paper profits' disappear. On the other hand you can be dead wrong with timing but with proper management
it is possible to squeeze more out of that trade than from previously mentioned example.
Accept Results :
Probably hardest part to deal with when things are not going well. People just don't like to lose money but this is part of the game. I always try to think
about it as cost of doing business or the amount of money I need to spend to make myself available for the winning trades.
More info about how to deal with the losses can be found from my earlier posts:
Trading in the Zone
Trading in the Zone 2
Accepting results happily takes some practicing :)
Learn:
Making screenshots from your past trades is best option how to learn. It is also essential part of 'Journaling'. I like to save all my trades with real-time
notes and comments - and then later analyse them.
Repeat:
Becoming good at something in this life requires work and practice. Trading is no different. So process starts all over again - enjoy.
I wish you all the best for upcoming year.
Cheers :)
GBPUSD Trend line trading. If you’re steadily following my daily publish you’ll discover that, the market is steadily obeying some key levels. Studying the chart on a 1H time frame, I can see a feasible 30pips bull run from this current state. Tho, no strategy is 100% current but with my view, the market changed structure from the bearish movement to an invisible bull run. I used the word invisible mainly because the high of the previous week as not been broken and today’s daily candle closed at indecision. I hope today’s market will share much light on the exact direction of the market. But for now, trade safely or wait till tomorrow’s London or New York session.
BTC retracing the bearish moveGood Morning traders!
Price has again lined up with the forecast I outlined yesterday. I do not claim to be right all the time however recent PA has been reasonably predictable which has been a great thing, I hope you are learning!
Looking towards today we have a VERY obvious area for potential mitigation, these bearish orders have never been protected, as always price will be attracted to the orders either for protection OR for liquidity.
We can also say at this stage the Bearish head and shoulders pattern is at the very least looking to form a second shoulder but more likely failed.
I hope you managed to pick up some bargains, but be aware we can still sell off in the coming days.
As always trade safe.
EnvisionEJ
BTC and ETH resting at the turning pointGood Morning traders!
Overnight markets have had a substantial recovery on the back of news the Evergrande will begin repaying the interest on at least one part of its loans.
We are not out of the woods by any means. Price is resting right on the neckline retrace EXACTLY where I predicted we would find resistance.
While I did say I would be looking for buying opportunities in the areas yesterday I still believe we can head lower from here.
All orders would be at break even this point if they are short term, OR I would be prepared to hold through a deeper pullback.
All eyes will be on China for the coming week, if the news is good, expect a huge pump!
As always trade safe,
EnvisionEJ
BTC-Building orders before the next moveGood Morning traders!
Today we will have a quick look at the BTC chart. Everything is based off of the BTC PA. Alts may move for a short while breaking the coloration to BTC, but they always revert to the mean-following BTC.
BTC continues to build orders much like ETH, I can see a deep pullback on the cards into the green area before the bullish run continues.
Retail traders will stack stops in obvious places and whales and institutions will see this, this provides an area for this market movers to target.
As always trade safe.
EnvisionEJ
Will the bullish run will continue on ETH?Good Morning traders!
Sorry I have been absent for a couple of days I have been unwell (not Corona)
Right after my last forecast the entire crypto market had a decent pullback.
While I was calling a move higher its not unexpected and price returned to spot that makes sense.
Make no mistake this bearish selloff was market manipulation, the big players in the world DO NOT want El Salvador's idea to succeed or spread, it poses a danger to their ethos.
Looking at the technical picture the market does what it always does-it returned to test prior orders and protect them.
The 3 current scenarios are a continued move higher to test the yellow mark before falling away again.
An even deeper pullback to sweep the yellow circle before continuing higher.
Or straight push through the highs.
Look for where retail traders would stack stops THIS IS WHERE PRICE TARGETS!!
As always trade safe,
EnvisionEJ
ETH targeting ATH this weekGood morning traders!
Welcome to a new week!
As I spoke about last week, ETH will target its ATH this week, is has roughly 11% to go before reaching this level.
You can see on the chart all the stacked short orders I was speaking about, and just as spoken about in the earlier forecasts the whales ate these orders up causing a strong rally.
I'm very interested in how price reacts once we reach the ATH, My best guess it a BIG push through/blow off before a decent pullback.
As always trade safe
EnvisionEJ