Weekly Chart Signal Trade idea- Multi-time frame AUDUSD Jan 04th 2024
1. The weekly swing is bearish on the weekly time frame. (See green 1 for strong market structure)
A. I expect price to move through my risk management strategy to move from 1 to the 2 on the weekly timeframe
2. Price is currently in the equilibrium between the weekly high strong (see green 3 & 4 for reference)
Price is more likely to move from strong market structure to weaker structure. This is how I based my phases of the market.
3. Price is currently in C.4 supply zone and is trending bullish for the Change of Trend (CHoCH)
4. Trade Ideas (Investor trade plan)
A. I could short trade with a risk entry at the short trade at Black 5
B. I Could also go to a lower time frame and wait for a confirmation entry for a higher probability trade
Tradeplan
Multi-time Frame Analysis of GBPUSD Jan 4th 2023 - Daily Chart Analysis
1. The Daily swing range is from 1 & 2
(See Blue 1 & 2 for reference)
My prediction will move from 1 than to 2 but that is in a long term horizon
2. Current price action is between the D-Ibos high weak & the 4h-Swing High Weak.
3. Price has mitigated the equilibrium of the daily swing range
4. The trades off the supply and demand zones are lower probability tend to be lower probability
5. Price entered the daily phase B (see blue 3 for reference) and had a reaction causing a push down back to the EQ of the daily low strong (See 4 for reference)
6. Price is currently in the daily C.4 demand zone.
A. Price is bearish on the daily and 4h in between the daily high weak and daily low strong. If price switches to bullish by breaking the daily internal break of structure than I will look for longs off demand zone generated from the break.
B. If price breaks the daily low strong (blue 4 for reference) than I will switch to bearish set-ups (A.1)
US30 Simple 3:1 ScalpRSI on the 15 min timeframe is now back above 30 suggesting we may see a short-term bottom. With that said, I mapped out a 3.62:1 R2R setup.
Important note when taking my trading recommendations is to always move SL to breakeven once in profit by 25 points with the US30 and then apply a trailing SL to the target.
This helps manage to manage risk in the event price-action doesn't reach the desired target.
Feel free to send me a DM if you need assistance.
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AU200 3:1 R2R Sell SetupFirst thing to note is that we have a bearish breakout below the ascending trendline on the 1hour timeframe. Additional RSI is suggesting selling pressure with the bearish divergence.
== Game Plan ==
Wait for a pullback as outlined on the chart to enter a sell targeting a 3:1 risk to reward.
AUDCHF - Trade PlanTaking into account today's strength with the Swiss Franc, I'm expecting further bearish continuation with this pair. But before going short, I would like to see a pullback roughly to the 50% retracement area of today's bearish candle.
Should price action pullback to my area of interest (AOI) I'll go short with stops above yesterday's high with targets down towards the 0.57 handle.
GBPAUD - 3:1 R2R Trade Plan Today's daily candle closed slightly above yesterday's high while maintaining RSI divergence. With that said, I do believe we may see a bounce from these lows.
Trade Idea: Stops below yesterday's low with targets around the 50-61.8% retracement area of this most recent bearish leg.
EURUSD - RSI Divergence with Bullish BreakoutDaily timeframe, PA broke above 2 levels of resistance last week and now looks to stall out with RSI providing information on lack of bullish momentum.
For now, I'm waiting to see my small green line on the chart get tested where I have an alert. Will PA break back below support which was previous resistance and will we test the 50% pullback area (small green line) to then add to the bullish continuation?
Time will tell, for now I just need PA to test the small green line for my next assessment on what to do or how to trade this.
That's it - That's all
Trade Safe
BTCUSD Likely to Trend Higher in 2024All green lines on the chart are equal in length. I'm using the last green line as a projection tool which estimates BTCUSD above 50k around the first week in January.
Should BTC pullback to 42k, that in my view would be an excellent area to enter with stops around 39k.
== Simply in Summary ==
Long at 42k with TP at 50k and SL at 39k would be a simple 3:1 R2R setup.
That's it - That's all
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!
EURGBP - Long AoL (Areas of Interest)Considering the fact that this pair is trading above the 200 SMA on both the daily and 4 hour timeframes, I'm looking for buy entry areas in this ascending channel formation.
On the chart I pointed out several areas which basically are along the ascending trendlines. If at any point I receive an alert of price action tagging one of these trendlines, I'll look for a potential long entry.
Now of course I can't expect to always be right and hopefully this isn't one of those setups where I'm wrong, so for that reason if PA decides to break and hold below the lowest ascending TL, I'll exit and book my loss.
That's it - That's all
Merry Christmas!
EURCAD - Revised Trade PlanEURCAD continues to trade within a wedge formation.
I'm waiting for either wedge support or resistance to break. I have my alerts set for when this will happen. Upon receiving one of the alerts, I'll then look for an entry point.
I'm not one to jump in on trade the moment we get a breakout. I've learnt my lessons the hard way many times in the past with that approach. So rather than entering on the breakout, I'll get my alert notification and then will look for a pullback roughly around a 50% retracement of the bullish and bearish impulse. I tried to illustrate this idea on the chart.
Now obviously I'm not expecting price-action to move exactly as illustrated but what I chalked up is a rough idea of what I'm expecting to happen.
Hope this all makes sense and is easy to understand.
That's it - That's all
Trade Safe
EURAUD - Trade PlanFAIL TO PLAN - PLAN TO FAIL
So this trade plan is fairly simple.
Rules to Follow
1. First and foremost, we need a break and hold above the descending trendline
2. Second, if or once we get the bullish breakout, we need price-action to pull back approx 50% of the bullish breakout impulse. This setup doesn't need a full pullback to support, which is currently triangle descending resistance.
3. Enter a small enough lot size to allow an additional equal or slightly larger lot to be executed again on the long side if price-action happens to go against the trade by 100 pips.
On the chart, I left a comment in yellow showing where I plan to add a second long entry.
If all out fails and price action breaks above the descending trendline and then decides to close back below this trendline that I'm referring to, I'll exit the trade and book a loss.
That's it - That's all
Trade Safe!
EURCAD - Waiting for Wedge BreakoutTaking a look at the 4h chart, price-action remains confined in a wedge formation. RSI is suggesting we might get a bullish breakout as this is now the third signal of a break above 50 in this current wedge.
The 50% Fib Retracement level is also something important to note as the most recent large impulse was an impulse to the upside. See chart below.
I do believe that we might push higher but of course, something significant needs to happen first for price-action to break out of this wedge.
GBPAUD - Good Chance We'll See Support HereTaking a look at the daily timeframe, price-action is currently supported by the Natural Consistency Flow. At the same time we also have divergence with RSI hinting at a potential short-term bottom.
Personally I need to see price-action now make a daily higher high (closing above the last candle). Once we get that third confirmation, I would be inclined to going long with this pair.
That's it - That's all
Trade Safe!
USDCAD - Bullish Divergence Heading into PCETaking a look at the 1 hour timeframe, we have some clear bullish divergence with RSI and price-action. Whenever we get a setup like this, price-action does tend to bottom out and is likely to push higher.
The question now is "Will PCE come in better than expected?" As of right now, the economic calendar forecasts for weaker than previous figures. This may leave room for a surprise to the upside and thus in fact bottom out USDCAD at least on the 1 hour timeframe.