Trader
SEDG Solaredge - More losses ahead?Solaredge Chart Analysis
The stock is in a clear downtrend since February
with a Significant resistance level at around $32.11
The Minor support seems at around $17.12
Increased volume during price drops indicates strong selling pressure and
Prices below the EMA are clues for bearish momentum
Key Points for a Trade
Entry: Consider waiting for a break below support or a pullback at resistance.
Stop-Loss: Set slightly above recent swing high ($24) to manage risk.
In case of pullback look for Stops at around $32.90
Trend continuation: Be cautious at EMA crossover or strong volume spikes, which could indicate a trend reversal.
Additional Clues:
Todays Put Option Volume increased 1,4 times of what was expected indicating bearish flow
UBER Breakaway or Pullback? Trend Analysis
Bullish Momentum: Strong upward momentum with a recent gap up indicates bullish sentiment.
Breakout: Price has broken through previous resistance levels, suggesting continuation.
Price Action Analysis
Gap Up: Significant gap up on high volume signals strong buying pressure.
Pullback Levels: Potential support near $82 could provide buying opportunities.
Indicator Analysis
Volume Surge: High volume confirms the strength of the breakout.
EMA Support: Exponential Moving Average trending up, supporting the bullish outlook.
Forecast Summary
Expected Movement: Anticipate further upward movement, possibly testing new highs.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Level: Around $80, previously a resistance.
Resistance Level: Near $87, recent high.
Additional Support: Potential at $77, recent consolidation area.
Additional Resistance: Beyond $87 towards $90, historically significant zone.
Triggers/Events: Earnings reports or market news may impact volatility and direction.
Trading should focus on buying opportunities during pullbacks, monitoring key support levels, and staying alert for market events that could influence price dynamics.
EUR/JPY Short, GBP/NZD Short and USD/CHF ShortEUR/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 4H risk entry.
or
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
USD/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NZD/JPY Short, AUD/JPY Short and CAD/CHF ShortNZD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
CAD/CHF Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
CAD/JPY Short and CHF/JPY ShortCAD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of inflection.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
CHF/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of inflection.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
CAD/JPY Short and CHF/JPY ShortCAD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
CHF/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
USD/CAD Short, NATGAS/USD Short and GBP/NZD LongUSD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NATGAS/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/NZD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Gold Shines as Dollar Dips: A New All-Time High in SightHey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD .
In the daily timeframe, gold has formed a symmetrical triangle followed by a breakout above the upper trendline. Recently, the price retested this trendline and continued to move upward. Analyzing the trend, gold remains above the EMA34 line, indicating a bullish trend. Additionally, the MACD has made a bullish crossover, signaling upward momentum. With these technical indicators aligning, we are looking at a potential continuation of this upward movement toward Target Area 1 at 2,625 or even Target Area 2 at 2,739. However, bears might find some hope if the price manages to break below the support level at 2,426.
The bullish trend is also supported by fundamental factors, as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell recently confirmed that interest rate cuts are likely in the near future. This has weakened the dollar compared to other currencies and commodities, further boosting the appeal of gold.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Gold. "
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NQ idea $$$ no need for MapBook "Perseverance is not a long race; it is many short races one after the other." — Walter Elliot
I predict will be heading back to the support level where market makers left sellers looking very sad.
(19415 area)
If you were looking at Bookmap which I am not 9 times out of 10 it would show there are orders waiting in at area.
They have to drop price and come back and get that liquidity they left down in the 19415 area. (W) formed
Thanks and hopefully this information benefits you .... like share and follow chat !!!!
#TradeGod
AUD/JPY Short, AUD/NZD Short and NATGAS/USD ShortAUD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
AUD/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Break above area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NATGAS/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
CAD/CHF Trade, NATGAS Short, A/N Short, G/U Long and E/U LongNATGAS/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If tight 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
AUD/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach forms, 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach forms, 15 min risk entry within it.
NZD/CHF Long and EUR/NZD ShortNZD/CHF Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NZD/CHF Long Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
AUD/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
USD/JPY: 50% Retracement in Play Arif Husain, the head of fixed income at T. Rowe, is cautioning that volatility threatens the Japanese yen. Husain suggests that the yen carry trade has been unfairly blamed for what may actually be the onset of a larger, more complex trend. The Bank of Japan’s monetary tightening and its broader impact on global capital flows are intricate issues. A significant amount of Japanese capital invested overseas could potentially be repatriated as domestic interest rates rise.
Adding to the yen’s momentum, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed on Tuesday that the central bank would continue raising interest rates if economic and inflationary conditions align with its expectations. This statement further bolstered the yen's strength.
As the U.S. trading session begins, USD/JPY is testing the 50% retracement level of the August range. The pair may continue to face downward pressure due to the BoJ’s hawkish stance, even amid the general strength of the U.S. dollar in the broader market.
AUD/CAD Long, EUR/USD Short and EUR/NZD ShortAUD/CAD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Books on trading and Profitunity strategy by Bill WilliamsIn this article, I will share books that were useful for me in the process of studying trading and the Profitunity trading strategy by Bill Williams.
Bill Williams "Trading Chaos 1 and 2" ♡
The first and third books by Bill Williams contain complete and up-to-date information on the Profitunity strategy. The second book "New Trading Dimensions" is intermediate and less relevant.
The book Trading Chaos 1 includes trading psychology (an integral part of trading), the basics of understanding the markets, candlestick patterns (divergent bars and determining the trend based on a pair of bars, the market facilitation index, volume and squat bar), Elliott waves (characteristics, determining waves using the MACD 5/34/5 indicator, an analogue of the modern Awesome Oscillator, and the Fibonacci ratio), fractals, trading in waves (impulses 1-3-5 and ABC correction). And also very important topics — how to work with your internal structure and how our brain functions (Chapter 11).
The book Trading Chaos 2 (co-authored by Bill Williams' daughter Justine Gregory) includes a description of the Alligator indicator in combination with the Awesome Oscillator, divergent bars and fractals. And also tools for working on yourself - morning pages (Chapter 13, from the book by Julia Cameron "The Artist's Way") and autogenic training for traders by Johannes Schultz (Appendix 3).
Tom Hougaard "Best Loser Wins" ♡
The book greatly expands the perception of markets, the approach to trading and deeply describes the psychology of trading.
The book was first published in 2022 and perfectly complements the books by Bill Williams.
John J. Murphy "Technical Analysis of the Futures Markets"
A basic book on classical (linear) technical analysis, which also contains up-to-date information on Elliott Wave Theory in addition to the corresponding section in the book by Bill Williams "Trading Chaos 1".
Alexander Elder "Trading for a living" (How to Play and Win on the Stock Exchange)
A book on the psychology of trading and classical chart analysis, includes a detailed description of popular indicators and a description of the basic strategy "Three Screens" (analysis of the chart on the senior and junior timeframes), as well as an important topic "Risk management".
Steve Nison "Japanese Candlesticks"
A basic book on classical candlestick (bar) analysis.
Thomas DeMark "Technical Analysis - a new science"
Constructing trend lines based on the support price minimums and maximums described in the book led me to search for an indicator that displays such bars, as a result, I first became acquainted with the Bill Williams Fractals indicator, even before I became acquainted with his strategy.
Theodore Dreiser "The Financier" ☽
A novel published in 1912 based on the life story of the American millionaire Charles Yerkes (1837-1905). The book shows how the financial and economic environment surrounding the main character (Frank Cowperwood) already from childhood forms in him the psychology of a businessman and stock dealer...
Robin Sharma "The 5 AM Club" ☆
This book is not about trading, but about healthy habits. But for me the book became useful, including in trading, because I made the following conclusion for myself - it is important to rest (take breaks) every day, and not only on weekends and vacations. And it is worth starting with the fact that after waking up there is free time (about 1 hour) before business activity begins, i.e. either wake up earlier, or move all things forward, so that you can start your day easily. And taking breaks in trading is very important, so I recommend paying attention, for example, to the algorithm for removing limitations using neurographics.
(◉ ‿ ◉) There are many good books, as well as good strategies, but I am sure that only independent deep study, practice, good concentration and self-control will allow you to find your own understanding of the markets and your own approach to successful trading.