SMOT BEARISH SETUPWe have witnessed a major resistance zone under the monthly timeframe with multiple price rejections formed close to this area. We are expecting a retracement next, if the price remains unbreakable above the highlighted zone.
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GOLD BEARISH SETUPIdentified a breakout on the support / neckline on the head and shoulder pattern under the hourly timeframe. We witness a possibility of a filling the imbalance created inside the 1hour candles close to 3273-3250 region with the continuation of bearish trend expected.
BTC BULLISH SETUPBTCUSDT is looking for a reversal and to take the bullish trend extended towards the FVG formed on top. Under the lower timeframes we have a valid reversal indication identified.
TAO BULLISH SETUPTAOUSDT on a major hourly support, where we are looking for a possible short term reversal for a high accuracy opportunity.
GOLD POSSIBLE REVERSAL ON TREND LINE SUPPORTGOLD holding on a major daily trend line support after a massive decline since last friday! Expecting a recovery with a bullish reversal from the lows of $2970's
Bearish Projection - XAUUSD📉Bearish Projection - XAUUSD
📌On the 4-hour timeframe, the recent bullish trend appears to have completed its fifth wave, reaching the upper boundary of the structure. Additionally, Fibonacci extensions have surpassed the 2.618% level, indicating a potential retracement or corrective phase. Given the strong rally from $2832 to $3146, we anticipate a pullback toward the $2990 - $2945 zone, aligning with the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels.
The recent surge in gold prices, driven by escalating trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty, has led to significant resistance breakouts across multiple timeframes. With the US Jobs data release** scheduled this week, we could see increased momentum supporting a bearish correction for XAUUSD.
➡️Daily Support - 3010-3000
➡️Key Level - 3056-3044
➡️Expected Price Region - 2990-2945
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MASSIVE IMPACT ON GOLD OVER KEY FUNDAMENTALS**Gold (XAUUSD) Market Analysis – Key Fundamentals Driving Volatility**
Gold (XAUUSD) has experienced significant volatility due to major fundamental events impacting the financial markets. The recent large-scale liquidations in stocks and cryptocurrencies, along with the Bybit exchange hack, have contributed to heightened risk sentiment. Additionally, the ongoing US tariff disputes with Canada, Europe, and China have created further uncertainty, weighing on global economic stability.
Following a sharp decline, gold saw a strong recovery after the release of weaker-than-expected Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, which raised concerns about the strength of the US economy. On the daily timeframe, a noticeable **market structure shift** has taken place. Price action has filled Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and tapped into an Order Block (OB), leading to a correction and potential imbalance in the market.
At present, we anticipate a move to the downside, provided key fundamentals align with expectations. The primary factors to monitor include Ukraine’s agreement to a ceasefire, the upcoming **US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data**, and the impact of **US-Canada trade tariffs**. If these events unfold as expected, we may see gold decline toward the established support zones at **$2830 and $2780**.
However, a bullish breakout above the highlighted **4-hour Order Block (OB) in the $2925-$2945 region** would invalidate this bearish outlook. In such a case, gold could push higher, breaking the current market structure.
### **Fundamental Impact on Gold and the Economy:**
1. **Stock & Crypto Liquidations** – Risk-off sentiment has supported gold’s recovery but added volatility.
2. **Bybit Hack** – Raises concerns about crypto security, leading investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold.
3. **US Tariffs (Canada, Europe, China)** – Trade tensions create uncertainty, impacting the US dollar and global demand.
4. **Ukraine Ceasefire** – A reduction in geopolitical risks may weaken gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
5. **US CPI Data** – Inflation data will shape Federal Reserve policy, directly influencing gold prices.
### **Conclusion:**
Gold remains highly sensitive to macroeconomic and geopolitical events. A **sustained rejection** below the $2925-$2945 region supports further downside, targeting $2830-$2780. However, any breach above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum, leading to higher price levels. Traders should closely monitor fundamental developments before confirming a directional bias.
XAUUSD Update – Key Levels in Play!🚀 XAUUSD Update – Key Levels in Play!
📉 Major Support & Rebound
As predicted in our recent analysis, gold found strong support at $2880, triggering a bullish reversal. This move has sent XAUUSD soaring back above $2950, securing a +2.58% gain in the process.
🔥 Technical Setup & Key Observations
✅ Head & Shoulders Formation on Hourly – A clear bearish structure is forming, but confirmation is still required.
✅ Failed Breakout at $2940 – Gold attempted to push higher but failed to hold above resistance, moving back into the range.
✅ Critical Support at $2925 – This is the key level to watch. A confirmed break below could trigger a further drop toward $2900.
📊 What’s Next?
🔹 Bearish Scenario – If price breaks $2925, expect a decline toward $2900, with further downside possible.
🔹 Bullish Invalidations – If XAUUSD reclaims $2940, the head & shoulders pattern fails, and we could see a renewed rally toward $2960+.
🔹 Watch Volume & Momentum – Increased selling pressure will validate the bearish move, while strong buying at key levels may shift the trend.
🎯 Trading Plan & Strategy
📌 Short positions on a confirmed $2925 break, targeting $2900.
📌 Long positions only above $2940, with targets at $2960 and beyond.
📌 Stay cautious—this is a key inflection zone, and price action will dictate the next move.
💡 Gold’s next major move is in the making—are you positioned correctly? 🚀📊
XAUUSD Trade Recap & Next Big Opportunity!⭐️ Premium Club Short Trade @ 2929 - Target Achieved! 💰
Our recent short position from 2929 played out perfectly, hitting all targets with an impressive +290 pips in profit! 🎯
📉 Scalping the Golden Zone
As expected, we capitalized on the key support zone, securing an additional 100-120 pips on a quick long scalp. These fast-moving plays continue to deliver solid returns!
➡️ What’s Next for Gold?
Strong Support Zone Identified – Price has reached a critical demand area, signaling a potential short-term pullback.
1H Order Block Retest – We anticipate a retracement or a possible tag-in before further movement.
Risk-Reward Setup – A well-structured long entry from this zone could yield another profitable trade when markets open Monday.
Major Resistance in Place – Despite a bounce, selling pressure remains strong, and Friday’s momentum suggests further downside in the near term.
📈 Trading Plan:
🕹 Look for long setups at the identified support with a tight SL & proper R:R.
🕹 Keep an eye on the 1H bearish price action for confirmation of a continued move down.
🕹 If resistance holds firm, we could see another strong sell-off later in the week.
💡Stay ready for the next high-probability setup! 🚀
GOLD BEARISH PROJECTIONGold remains in a strong bullish trend, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions. We've seen multiple all-time highs forming as bullish momentum continues. Despite this, the stock market remains resilient at its highs, indicating that investors are not yet aggressively seeking safe-haven assets.
Currently, I’m focusing on the symmetrical triangle and the bullish channel that has formed. Given the price action, a pullback or retracement is likely, especially as the price tests the upper boundary of the channel. A strong rally followed the bullish breakout from the triangle, suggesting that this short-term surge may be reaching its conclusion. I anticipate a pullback to the 38%-50% Fibonacci retracement levels, as indicated on my chart. These levels align with the lower boundary of the channel, which has served as a key support line throughout the recent bullish trend.
BITCOIN BEARISH PROJECTION#Bitcoin is showing potential for downside momentum if the price confirms a breakout below key support. A confirmed breakdown could lead to a retracement toward the 200 EMA, aligning with a possible 38% Fibonacci correction. The double top formation has intensified bearish sentiment, pushing the price below $95K.
Additionally, fair value gaps on the left indicate that if selling pressure increases, the price could dip below $80K. The trendline drawn on the daily timeframe is also acting as a crucial support level to watch.
The market has been struggling, with panic setting in due to recent developments. This aligns with escalating trade tensions, driven by Donald Trump’s decisive actions regarding Canada and BRICS. Key events contributing to market uncertainty include the latest tariffs imposed on Canadian goods, potential restrictions on trade with BRICS nations, and heightened geopolitical friction. These factors have intensified volatility, prompting investors to reassess risks in the global economy.
USDJPY BEARISH PROJECTIONUSD/JPY experienced a strong decline, breaking below key hourly support and a significant trend line. The pair has since recovered from its lows, holding near the 50% retracement level and a support zone identified on the left after filling a crucial fair value gap. However, downside momentum still appears likely once the market settles from the current pullback, as the price has fallen below a critical resistance zone. We anticipate further downside movement, with potential retests of the lows at 151.6 and 149.3.
GOLD ON SUPPORT, POSSIBLE PULLBACKGold has retraced over 61%, reaching a key support zone that indicates a potential reversal to the upside. On the 4-hour timeframe, a broad Fair Value Gap (FVG) has formed between $2678 and $2701, which we anticipate may fill as the price rebounds. However, there remains a possibility of further downside momentum, which could lead to a deeper test of the support zone before a reversal fully takes hold.
GOLD BREAKS ON SUPPORT, $2710 NEXT?We've identified a breakout below the support level on the hourly timeframe. Currently, we are observing a pullback, and we anticipate a continuation of the downtrend toward the support region around $2710. Additionally, the bearish gap opening on the DXY suggests that any effort to fill this gap will likely strengthen the USD, driving XXXUSD pairs further downward.
BITCOIN ON RESISTANCE, WATCH FOR THESE IMPULSES NEXT!Bitcoin recently tested a major resistance at $73,600, where selling pressure emerged on lower timeframes. A breakout followed by a pullback may occur after the third impulse completes, potentially driving downside momentum to gather liquidity around the key support zone near $66,670. At this level, we could see supported price action aligning with the recently established bullish channel and trendline. With a clear bullish reversal from this low, the rally is expected to continue, aiming for a fifth impulse that could push the price above $80,000.
EURUSD FORMED DOUBLE BOTTOM, WILL THIS BREAKOUT? EUR/USD has formed a double bottom pattern and is currently positioned at a major support level on the hourly timeframe. This setup suggests a potential bullish rally, with a breakout above the consolidation resistance likely to signal upward momentum. If the breakout occurs as anticipated, a bullish trend could emerge, aiming to surpass resistance levels around 1.086 and 1.095.
GOLD OPENING GAP AND NEXT MOVE!On Monday's Asian opening session, we observed a significant opening gap in the XAU/USD market, with the opening price at $2732 and the closing price on Friday near $2747. I anticipate that the gold price may dip to the highlighted support level before resuming its upward trend. This movement could potentially fill the gap and retest the highs around or above $2750. A well-managed long position in this scenario could yield a profit of 100-200 pips.
Bitcoin Breaks Trend Line Bitcoin has just broken the trend line resistance on the daily timeframe. With the recent bullish sentiment, we anticipate a continuation of the rally once the breakout is confirmed. Our first target is the FWB:73K region, a previous key resistance zone. If the price breaks through this level, we could see a move towards $80k and beyond.
EURUSD 4H PerspectiveEURUSD has visited back on a major support zone after the sell off identified with the double tops formation. Here we are about to see a short term buying sentiment followed by the support identified. Watch closely on the trend line and the highlighted zone.
SHIBUSDT Breakout on SupportHere we have identified a breakout on support which can be expected to drop down further with the ongoing bearish sentiment. Look over the price action below the highlighted support for a possible short entry.
EURUSD | Trend Breakout and Double Tops FormedThe EUR/USD pair has reversed from a key daily resistance level, confirming this zone as a significant sell area. A trend breakout has further intensified the bearish sentiment. Additionally, the price has formed a double top pattern, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Based on this analysis, a short position could potentially yield a profit of 50-100 pips.
Bitcoin on Hourly ResistanceBitcoin is showing bullish momentum, trading within an upward channel. After retracing to the channel’s upper boundary, it’s possible that the price could test the major hourly resistance level again before a potential bearish reversal.
BITCOIN | FOMC TRADE WENT WELLI have picked a BTC long with the FVG and OB formed before the FOMC for a quick trade targeting $61150 which got ended up well by clearing the targets.
