Trading Idea - #NASDAQ @tradingviewMy current view on the NASDAQ Index : SHORT / Sell
Target: 13,200 points
Stop : 14.400 points
The Nikkei Index is already down 1% tonight.
U.S. equity investors are increasingly moving to the options market to hedge against further declines on Wall Street. Demand for puts is increasing. This has become a trend among investors in recent months to provide greater protection against losses. The FED's restrictive position is making markets unsettled after years of double-digit gains.
Stocks trimmed their losses last month, but optimism weakened in April.
Overall, the SP500 is down 7% since the beginning of the year. The Cboe Volatility Index VIX , Wall Street's "fear barometer," was recently at 21 and has spent most of 2022 well above its historical average of 17.6.
Fund managers and banks believe the SP500 needs to fall to 3,600 points before the FED intervenes to support the markets. In addition, cash holdings among fund managers are currently at their highest level since April 2020!
Traderherz
Trading Idea - #BitcoinMy buy idea on the current situation of Bitcoin /BTCUSDT:
I have been following the ascending triangle for several weeks.
I trade the resistance line between 45k and 46k USD as SHORT.
I trade the diagonal support line as LONG.
Here:
Entry: 40 .200 USD
Target: 45.000 USD (+11%)
Stop: 38.500 USD
Trading Idea - #JPMorganMy trading idea for JP Morgan - SHORT / SELL
Entry: 133.20 USD
Target: 108.00 USD (+18% profit)
Stop: 146.10 USD
JPMorgan Chase & Co . is a global financial services company. The company operates in four segments: consumer & community banking ( CCB ), corporate & investment bank ( CIB ), commercial banking ( CB ) and asset & wealth management ( AWM ).
U.S. banks face huge earnings losses. First-quarter profit expectations for major banks have been cut considering the Russia sanctions and a severe slowdown in business activity.
JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) is the 17th most popular stock among hedge funds, according to a study by ClearBridge Investments. JPMorgan was in 107 hedge fund portfolios in the fourth quarter of 2021, compared with 101 in the previous quarter. Even with the increasing interest from institutional investors, the stock has lost about -20% in the last 3 months!
Insiders believe "JPMorgan Chase is too big to fail". JPMorgan is indeed an influencing giant of the financial world, but a share price recovery also depends on the global economy and its recovery.
In terms of the chart, we have been in a strong downtrend since November 2021. Again and again, there have been strong moves to counteract it. This has led to high volatility in the share. The SHORT momentum remains and solid ground by a support level is not really in sight.
Trading Idea - #DaimlerTruckMy trading idea for Daimler Truck Holding - LONG / BUY
Entry: 23.70 EUR
Target: 32.10 EUR (+35%)
Stop: 20.00 EUR
Daimler Truck Holding AG is one of the world's largest commercial vehicle manufacturers, with over 40 production facilities worldwide. The company manufactures trucks, buses and commercial vehicles, which are partly sold under other brands.
Daimler Truck expects earnings to increase for the financial year 2022. Management sees no signs of a slowdown in the business. By comparison, other companies in this industry are less optimistic. For investors, this is a strong buy signal.
Daimler Truck is the market leader in the U.S. and has ambitious goals to secure this position in the self-driving commercial vehicle business as well.
Like the entire industry, Daimler Truck is also affected by the semiconductor shortage. Some plants are going on short-time working.
Optimistic investors see a support level at the EUR 23.00 mark with a beginning price recovery.
Trading Idea - #DeliveryHeroMy trading idea for #DeliveryHero - LONG / BUY
Entry: 45.00 EUR
Target: 91.00 EUR (+100% profit)
Stop: 27.20 EUR
Delivery Hero is currently forming a support line around the 39.00 EUR mark. The consolidation has formed higher highs for the moment. A breakout from the range is still awaited. Significant resistance for this is at 50.40 EUR.
Delivery Hero has a steadily growing number of customers, which means great potential for revenue growth.
The company has grown on the basis of investor funds. The goal of the management is to create the sharp zero in the operating business, on its own.
At Delivery Hero, they are looking to capitalize on unused advertising opportunities.
The demand for Delivery Hero shares has risen strongly in the last 2 months. The trading volume on the XETRA stock exchange has increased noticeably.
Trading Idea - #AboutYOUMy BUY idea for ABOUT YOU:
Buy: 12.50 EUR
Target: 20,50 EUR (+64%)
Stop: 9,75 EUR
ABOUT YOU is a German online shop for clothing, shoes and accessories based in Hamburg.
The company currently employs around 400 people from 25 countries.
1. the operating result (EBITDA) of the past year is slightly above market expectations. Below the line is an increase in sales.
2. AboutYou has good growth to show in a difficult year 2021. This increases optimism for times of market recovery.
3. The business is strongly focused on Eastern and Central Europe. A calming of the Ukraine-Russia conflict could lead to a further boost in sales.
4. The current risks seem to be already priced in. Accordingly, a bottoming can also be seen on the chart.
5. On 1H time units, an inverse head-and-shoulders formation can be seen. In the classical context, this means the end of a downward movement.
Trading Idea - #SANDMy BUY Mindset for #SANDUSDT
Entry: 3.45 USD
Target 1: 5.00 USD (+46%)
Target 2: 5.48 USD (+60%)
Stop: 2.28 USD
#SAND is the native token for a very unique platform that combines blockchain technology and #NFTs with the gaming world and aims to revolutionize the #gaming industry. Therefore, it is possible that the SAND token will increase in value if the Sandbox platform grows.
Currently, there are a little less than 1 billion tokens, while the maximum offer is 3 billion tokens.
There is definitely a possibility for a LONG trade. The main reason is that the price has bounced off the support line ($2.60) several times. Furthermore, the token has a real application on the Sandbox platform. The past #NFT hype should have already attracted both long-term investors and gamblers to buy SAND coin. #HODLers determine support levels. It is quite possible that this has set in at USD 2.60.
The stoploss is a bit generous in this case, as we have already moved a decent distance away from the support line.
Trading Idea - #BaiduSHORT
ENTRY: 190.50 USD
TARGET: 133.00 USD (+30% profit)
STOP: 222.00 USD
1.) Baidu started a correction after an impressive bull run! None of the Fibonacci Retracement levels could hold as a support! Reversal coming!
2.) According to the fundamental analysis, Baidu is a clear buy recommendation.
3.) Baidu generates significant margins and is therefore very profitable. The financial situation looks excellent, which means a considerable investment capacity.
4.) Baidu is definitely a BUY at 133.00 USD!
Trading Idea - Daldrup+SoehneSHORT
ENTRY: 4.92 EUR
TARGET: 2.76 EUR (+40% profit)
STOP: 6.30 EUR
1.) The company is rated very poorly when considering various fundamental criteria.
2.) Only a slow growth rate can be expected in the next few years.
3.) The company is showing poor profitability.
4.) The group pays little or no dividend.
5.) Share price my oscillate within the fair-price area: 2.00 EUR -> 4.70 EUR
Trading Idea - #HelloFresh#HelloFresh - my BUY
ENTRY: 41.00 EUR
TARGET: 52.00 EUR (+27% profit)
STOP: 32.90 EUR
HelloFresh has forecast revenue growth of 20 to 26 percent in 2022.
Last week, there was a reversal at the important support line, triggered by recent insider buying.
Nevertheless, the stock remains under pressure, so only a short-term recovery can be targeted.
The support at EUR 34.00 should remain a good basis for a trend reversal for the next few weeks.
Trading Idea - #Inditex#Inditex - Conviction BUY (long-term)
ENTRY: 21.00 EUR
TARGET: 29.50 EUR (+40%)
STOP: 17.60 EUR
Inditex is one of the largest textile companies in the world, based in Arteixo / Galicia (Spain). Inditex specializes in the design, manufacture and distribution of clothing and accessories for men, women and children. Zara is the best-known brand of the group, which also includes Pull&Bear and Bershka.
Inditex saw slower sales growth in the final quarter due to new Covid restrictions, but sees rising earnings and a strong business recovery at the start of the new fiscal year. Last year, the Spanish fashion chain with brands such as Zara, Massimo Dutti and Bershka significantly increased sales, net profit almost tripled and margins improved significantly.
From a technical analysis perspective, we are at a support level. All signs indicate a bounce and thus a recovery of the chart.
According to the current valuation, the fair price (if there is such a thing :-) ) of the share is between EUR 29 and 30.
Estimated financial data (EUR)
YEAR 2022
Sales 2022 = 27,931 million
Net income 2022 = 3 646 million
Net liquidity 2022 = 8 446 million
P/E ratio 2022 = 18.0x
Dividend yield 2022 = 4.82
YEAR 2023
Sales 2023 = 28 855 mn
Net income 2023 = 3,626 million
Net liquidity 2023 = 10 468 million
P/E ratio 2023 = 18.1x
Dividend yield 2023 = 5.23
Trading Idea - #Paypal - waiting for the support level! #PAYPAL BUY, but needs some time to ripe! Patience necessary!
See the most credible scenarios for a LONG entry.
I am waiting for a support level test, since the current downtrend ist fully intact and also gained momentum.
Major support levels are:
Scenario A: 174.00 USD
Scenario B: 140.00 USD
Due to recent huge insider sell offs, I find it not realistically, that we get above 220.00 USD in the near future!
Trading Idea - #TencentSELL/SHORT!
ENTRY: 61.80 USD
TARGET: 48.70 USD (profit 21%)
STOP: 68.12 USD
The trend is your friend!
Fair price for Tencent is 47.00 USD to 50.00 USD. This range is the aim of the next SHORT trade.
Stop loss above the last touch of the downtrend line (Septermber 2021). Target is the POI of the last year.
Trading Idea - #SWATCHSELL Limit Order!
ENTRY: 275 CHF
TARGET: 208 CHF (profit 23%)
STOP: 294 CHF
I assume that the price of the SWATCH share can recover in the short term. This would go up to the POI level of CHF 274.
As SWATCH has become heavily dependent on the Chinese market and the Corona fear continues to dominate the markets, further pressure on the share is to be expected.
Trading Idea - Rolls-Royce HoldingsBUY
ENTRY: 106.50 GBX*
TARGET: 150 GBX
STOP: 80.30 GBX
*GBX = Pence Sterling
Rolls-Royce specializes in the development, manufacture and marketing of engines for the aviation, marine and energy sectors.
1.) I see a strong support at 90.00 GBX which will resist against further corrections. Probability to go up is higher than to drop below the 90.00 GBX level!
2.) Rolls-Royce is not allowed to sell Bergen Engines to Russia
3.) As expected, the results in 2020 were poor. The company hit by the aviation crisis should have the worst behind it. The cash flow should start to recover from next year.
4.) 2021 will be a year of recovery. The process may last until the end of 2022.
Trading Idea - #Airbus Seasonality Trading#Airbus Seasonality Trading! BUY
ENTRY: 104.25 EUR
TARGET: 109.38 EUR
STOP: 101.04 EUR
I checked the Seasonality for the 20.Dec to the 13. Jan timeframe over the last 15 years!
According to historical data, we have a bullish phase ahead with a probability of 90%.
The average gain over the last 15 years in this time frame was 4.5%.
My target for the current period is 5%.
Besides this, we see a short-term ascending support line!
Trading Idea - II-VI IncorporatedII-VI Incorporated : BUY
Entry: 68.57 USD
Target: 94.60 USD (profit 38%)
Stop: 52.80 USD
Another heavily shorted share with signs of an uptrend is the technical and scientific components specialist II-VI.
II-VI's shares have a short interest of about 17.5 % .
With a solid balance sheet, competitive product and strong vertical markets, and a major bear market bottoming out, it is time to consider buying this stock.
Currently, IIVI's 2021 shares are down 45% from the all-time high in February.
The secondary signal is the confirmed doji hammer from October. The trend reversal is thus gaining validity.
Trading Idea - #BionanoGenomicsSELL, SELL, SELL!
Entry: 3.34 USD
Target: 1.57 USD (profit +50%)
Stop: 4.16 USD
Bionano Genomics, is a genome analysis company. It offers instruments based on their Saphyr technology to scientists and clinics doing genetic research.
1.) Even at its current price, Bionano is an expensive stock.
Sales for the first three quarters of 2021 were up 250% from a year ago. But they totaled less than $11.7 million. Operating losses were also up 76%, to over $48 million. The company was still putting $6.5 million into research expenses during the third quarter. Sales and general administrative expenses have nearly doubled from a year ago.
2.) BNGO's momentum indicator fell below the 0 mark on 15 November 2021. This is an indication that the share could enter a new downward movement. The probability of a decline is 90 %.
3.) The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BNGO turned negative on 10 November 2021. This could be a sign that the share will continue to move downwards in the coming weeks.
4.) BNGO has moved below its 50-day moving average on 09 November 2021, which may provide further downward pressure.
Trading Idea - #SPLUNKSplunk Inc. engages in the development and marketing of software solutions. The company's offerings enable users to collect, index, search, explore, monitor, and analyze data. Splunk is a Big Data manager with application specifically for machine data.
SELL!
Entry: 155.18 USD
Target: 117.19 USD
Stop: 179.17 USD