NZD/USD - will it see exhaustion?The USD is one of the strongest currencies due to the stimulus package, therefore we have seen a significant move to the downside on NZD/USD. price is now playing in its weekly zone, we are looking for price to either brake this zone or see buy pressure and push price up back to our 4 hour zone where we will wait for entry confirmation to place a trade to the downside back to our weekly. we will be monitoring this one closely to see if our conditions are met.
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$AER can rise in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea.
AerCap Holdings N.V., an aircraft leasing company, engages in the lease, financing, sale, and management of commercial aircraft and engines in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, the United States, Ireland, and internationally.
The demand for shares of the company looks higher than the supply.
This and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price in the next days.
So I opened a long position from $57,82;
stop-loss — $52,52.
Information about take-profits will be later.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
Thanks for being with me!
$TAL can fall in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea.
TAL Education Group provides K-12 after-school tutoring services in the People's Republic of China.
The demand for shares of the company looks lower than the supply.
This and other conditions can cause a fall in the share price in the next days.
So I opened a short position from $66,93;
stop-loss — $78,07.
Information about take-profits will be later.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
Thanks for being with me!
The Market Cycle of EmotionsWhen things are great, we feel that nothing can stop us. And when things go bad, we look to take drastic action. Because emotions can be such a threat to an investor's financial health, it is important to be aware of them. This awareness can then protect you from the negative consequences of impulsive and irrational reactions to these emotions.
1: Optimism, thrill and euphoria
Investors all start with optimism. We commonly expect things to go our way, or we tend to expect a return for the risk of investing.
As expectations are met, it is common to get excited about the possibility of even greater returns and the excitement becomes thrilling as the returns exceed expectations.
At the top of the cycle is when investors experience euphoria. But it is here where investors are at the point of maximum financial risk. When we believe everything we touch turns to gold , we fool ourselves into believing we can beat the market, we cannot make mistakes, that excessive returns are commonplace and that we can tolerate higher levels of risk.
2: Complacency, denial, hope
The second phase of the cycle occurs when the market stops meeting our new lofty expectations and begins to turn. At first, we anxiously watch the market for any signs of direction. Anxiety turns to denial and then quickly to fear, as the value of the investments decline. Many people will then start to act defensively and may think about switching out of riskier assets to more defensive shares or other asset classes such as bonds.
3: Panic, capitulation, despondency
In the third phase of the cycle, the realities of a bear market come to the fore and an investor may become desperate. Many panic and withdraw from the market altogether – afraid of further losses. Those who persevere become despondent and wonder whether the markets are ever going to recover and whether they should be there at all.
Ironically, at these times, an investor will commonly fail to recognize they are actually at the point of maximum financial opportunity.
4: Skepticism, caution, worry
In the fourth stage of the cycle, investors may experience some skepticism when markets start to rise. They often have a sense of caution or worry, wondering if market growth will last.—and may be reluctant to invest money in the market at a point when prices are still relatively low and opportunities are attractive.
What are the consequences of this emotional roller-coaster?
Emotions turn rational investors into irrational investors. So it is important to remember that markets move and investments will always go in and out of favour.
Developed, diversified long-term financial plans are placed in jeopardy when investors are confronted by extraordinary events because we are guided by our emotions. This is where the role of the financial advisor is of utmost importance – your advisor can help you separate your emotions from reality and endeavour to steer you on the path of rational investing.
You can also help to avoid the emotional roller coaster by being aware of the emotions you are likely to experience. The five most common behavioural pitfalls are:
Overconfidence – when investors over-rate their ability to select winning shares or investment managers.
Loss aversion – research indicates a loss causes about twice as much pain as a gain causes pleasure. During periods of market volatility investors experience the sense of loss more acutely.
Chasing past performance – we see this time and time again, but unfortunately, individual investors who abandon a well-diversified portfolio for bonds, or even cash, may be jeopardizing their future financial security.
Timing the market – It is difficult to correctly predict the market's movements.
Failure to rebalance – the risk/return characteristics of an investor's portfolio should be independent of what's happening in the market and this means selling high and buying low.*
The temptation to fall into one of these traps can be resisted by developing and committing to a well defined, long-term investment plan. This may be the best way to protect yourself from your emotions.
Diversification does not assure a profit and does not protect against loss in declining markets.
People do not change over time. Information and actions of the consonant received information people do the same actions.
Best regards EXCAVO
Is Tesla about to see its next bull move?technically Tesla is looking good for a trade to previous high, after the sell off in all stocks a few weeks ago the market has seemed to have calmed down and seen buy pressure creating a push past previous resistance that has now become support, now we are seeing consolidation at this zone (green zone) and our upper zone (red zone). so this could be a good opportunity if we see a bullish engulfing candle on the 4 hour timeframe to place a buy with our stop loss below our lower zone of buy support and our final target at previous high, or we might just trail or stop loss giving us more profit and allowing us to ride this next bullish move on Tesla.
NZD/USD Trade idea NZD is the weakest currency and has been for the past few days which explains the recent move to the downside on NZD/USD, the USD is also one of the strongest currencies. what we will be waiting for on this is an impulse off our weekly zone to create exhaustion to previous area of support which will now be resistance where we will look for entry confirmation for a continued move back to our weekly zone.
CAD/JPY crash or exhaustion? The CAD/JPY saw an amazing run for the previous 2 weeks or so but now the JPY has gained significant strength as we can see with the strong move to the downside on the chart. is this the end of the bull run for the CAD/JPY? well we don't think so, we think that the JPY will see weakness once again and we will see a move to the upside once again. The only way we will be interested in placing a trade though is when fundamentals are better, we see weakness in the JPY and we see price move to the upside, breaking our weekly zone with price action, wait for exhaustion and then entry confirmation. until then we are going to stay patient and let the market tell us when its ready. if not we will adjust.
EUR/USD Trade idea The USD is currently one of the strongest currencies and the EUR is one of the weakest, this is due to vaccine concerns. so we are expecting a break to the downside on EUR/USD from our weekly zone (yellow zone) when it does we will look for good separation and exhaustion to our lower timeframe area of support and resistance before looking for entry confirmation for a trade down to our daily zone (red zone)
USD/JPY - full analysis The USD has been strong for a few days now and the JPY has been consistently weak, so we are looking for a buy on USD/JPY, we will only be interested when it breaks its area of resistance and its higher timeframe downtrend. when it does break this area with price action which will be a bullish engulfing candle on the 4h timeframe we will wait for exhaustion and then entry confirmation on the 1h timeframe.
$FNCH is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
Finch Therapeutics is a clinical-stage microbiome therapeutics company leveraging our Human-First Discovery platform to develop a novel class of orally administered biological drugs.
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $21,70;
stop-loss — $19,40;
take-profit — 28,60/MOC price.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
Has OIL crashed or is it a correction? Oil has seen a drop that most people are calling a crash due to demand concerns on Thursday, but if you take it to the higher timeframe all the drop is, is a minor correction after a significant bull move. i believe that the demand in oil will increase as the world opens up and I believe that the CAD will benefit from this also. if we are going off technicals and areas of sensitivity Oil has made contact with a major area of sell pressure (monthly zone) so its expected that we will se an impulse off this zone. in summary the drop is just a minor correction and we are expecting more bullish movement in the near future.
$VEI is giving a GREAT IPO SHORT opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
Vine Energy is an energy company focused on the development of natural gas properties in the stacked Haynesville and Mid-Bossier shale plays in the Haynesville Basin of Northwest Louisiana.
The share price is falling and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks lower than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a fall in the share price today.
So I opened a short position from $13,50;
stop-loss — $14,25
take-profit — $11,25/MOC price
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
CAD/CHF Trade explained CAD has been the strongest currency for a while and the same can be said for the weakness of the CHF, we are already in this trade from a few weeks ago which is a 15-1 trade which we have posted about previously. so we are riding this currency pair and have added to our position, what we saw was an impulse move off our daily zone (red zone) and then minor consolidation on the 1h timeframe. we then saw a minor break and exhaustion of this consolidation allowing us to place a trade to the upside, our take profit 1 has been hit so we are now in a risk free trade, we will ride this all the way to our final target.
$SNCY is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
Sun Country Airlines is a new breed of hybrid low-cost air carrier that dynamically deploys shared resources across our synergistic scheduled service, charter and cargo businesses.
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $34,95;
stop-loss — $32,7;
take-profit — 41,70/MOC price.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
EUR/USD Trade idea we have EUR and USD news today which could provide us with a setup in the near future on EUR/USD. in the past few days the EUR has seen continued weakness and the USD continued strength, but as we can see price is playing within our weekly zone (yellow zone) so we need price to break to the downside. the news today might help us achieve that so we will be watching this one closely for a move to the downside, good separation from our weekly zone, exhaustion and then look for a move to the downside to our next weekly zone.
LONG POSITIONUSD/JPY is turning higher as Tokyo gets going while the focus remains on the risk of the Federal Open Committee meeting later in the New York session.
At the time of writing, USD/JPY is trading at 109.08 having travelled from a low of 108.96 and reaching a high of 109.09 so far.
Meanwhile, US markets were little changed overnight, shrugging off disappointing US Retail Sales data.
Instead, the US dollar remained firm in anticipation of the Fed's easy money stance along with the recently approved fiscal stimulus package.
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$UNFI can rise in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea.
United Natural Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes natural, organic, specialty, produce, and conventional grocery and non-food products in the United States and Canada.
The demand for shares of the company looks higher than the supply.
This and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price in the next days.
So I opened a long position from $36,06;
stop-loss — $33,40.
Information about take-profits will be later.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
Thanks for being with me!
$SQM can fall in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea.
Sociedad QuA-mica y Minera de Chile S.A. produces and distributes specialty plant nutrients, iodine and its derivatives, lithium and its derivatives, potassium chloride and sulfate, industrial chemicals, and other products and services.
The demand for shares of the company looks lower than the supply.
This and other conditions can cause a fall in the share price in the next days.
So I opened a short position from $50,42;
stop-loss — $54,04.
Information about take-profits will be later.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
Thanks for being with me!
Could USD/JPY see a major move?With Biden due to sign a 1.9T stimulus package could we see major strength in the USD? and if we do which currency will see the biggest move? well the JPY has been consistently one of the weakest if not the weakest currency for a few weeks now so if we are going to see major strength in the USD id be placing my bests on USD/JPY being the biggest mover and having the most buy pressure enter the market, this could be a great opportunity to have an aggressive entry to the upside and trail our stop loss to make the most of this move, taking small profits at area of sensitivity.
$RBLX is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
Roblox is an online gaming platform created in 2004, allows users to design and create multiplayer games and share them with friends and other users.
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $74,00;
stop-loss — $60,00;
take-profit — 116,00/MOC price.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas.
What Are Zones zones are major and minor areas of sensitivity where buyers and sellers have battle, they are one of the most important aspects of trading as zones help you set targets, help you identify direction and also let you know when and when not to enter a trade. here at forex gentleman we identify our zones based on their significance, so we have our monthly, weekly, daily, 4h and 1h zones, these are all different colours on our chart and have difference in significance. we know that when price makes its way to a monthly zone that it has more buy and sell pressure than the weekly and the weekly has more sell and buy pressure than the daily etc. so we only look for trades when price has "free range" from these zones to place entries because then we don't have a major battle to our take profit
CAD/JPY Trade Explained - 1/8 Risk Reward The CAD has been continuously strong the past few weeks and the JPY has been continuously weak, so we was looking for an opportunity to capitalise on this. because of the fundamental difference we was looking for a long trade with a tight stop loss as we haven't been seeing much exhaustion on this currency and yesterday morning at the London open we saw our opportunity, we saw a full and complete exhaustion to previous area of resistance which is now support, double confirmation on the 15 m timeframe and a bullish engulfing candle on the 1h timeframe. after only a few hours of being in the trade we was able to move our stop loss to entry to give us now a risk free trade that we will manage all the wat to our monthly zone, giving us a risk to reward of 1-8
GBPUSD potencional LONGAs We can see from the long perspective the chart is going in UPTREND. Now it is on the trend line for us it is support. The RSI now is very low 36.59 which indicates potencional change of a trend.
I will wait for another bullish candle then go long and my TP 2 will be on the 1.39069 which is the fibo level.