EURJPY The yen may continue to declineInternational Monetary Fund (IMF) officials said that the yen's depreciation could further worsen as a result of the negative interest rate policy.
“As for the yen, we believe exchange rates are influenced by fundamental factors. As long as interest rate differentials persist, the yen will be under downward pressure,” said Sanjaya Panth, IMF deputy director for Asia and the Pacific. He spoke on the 14th of the month.
Japanese officials are under fresh pressure to prevent further depreciation of the yen. Investors now expect US interest rates to remain high for an extended period of time, while Japan will continue its negative interest rate policy. However, the IMF believes that intervention only makes sense when there are severe market abnormalities, an increased risk of financial instability, or sudden changes in inflation expectations. Asked whether the recent depreciation of the yen had prompted authorities to intervene, he said: "I don't think there are any of these three cases."
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EURJPY The increasing trend is quite strong. Resistance can be rThe next phase of the Digital Euro project, the preparatory phase, will begin on November 1, 2023 and initially last for two years. This includes defining the rules for a digital euro and selecting providers that can develop the infrastructure and platform for a digital euro. This also includes testing and experimentation to develop a digital euro that meets both Eurosystem requirements and user needs, for example in terms of user experience, data protection, inclusive finance, and environmental footprint. . The ECB will continue to work with the public and all stakeholders during this period. After two years, the Council will decide whether to proceed with the next preparatory steps that will pave the way for the issuance and launch of a future digital euro.
EURUSD Many disadvantages for the USDIt’s been an abnormal week for the US Dollar so far. While the bullish trend took over for much of the past three months, the current weekly bar is showing as an inside bar with the entirety of this week’s range contained inside of the prior week. This isn’t necessarily abnormal, but it does speak to the overbought nature of the move as we came into the month of October and for the past two weeks, bulls have been unable to push up to a fresh high to continue that move, even with some strong data in the form of a Non-farm Payrolls report and a very strong outing for retail sales earlier this week. But there is great potential next week
GBPCAD The UK economy is recovering stronglyAfter increasing 1.9% month-on-month in August, the IPPI rose 0.4% month-on-month in September.
Energy and petroleum product prices rose 3.7% month-on-month in September, leading to an increase in the IPPI. Price movements for refined products were mixed. Diesel prices rose by 7.0% and gasoline prices fell by 2.3%. Crude oil, the raw material for these products, rose 9.9%. The rise in diesel fuel prices was also due to low distillate stocks in the United States and Europe. On September 21, Russia announced temporary restrictions on diesel and gasoline exports, which also contributed to the rise in global diesel prices.
GBPJPY Inflation in Japan is getting worse and won't stopToday, October 20, the Japanese government will begin a meeting expected to last almost two months to decide on a number of new policies, including those related to economic stimulus.
In particular, opposition parties are proposing economic stimulus measures such as providing 30,000 yen in cash to low- and middle-income households.
The meeting is considered extremely important for Kishida's administration, as his approval rating is at its lowest level since he took office. The policies he advocates are likely to determine his re-election.
GBPCAD The UK economy is gradually stabilizingA recent survey by market research firm Ipsos found that two-thirds of Canadian respondents have given up on plans to own a home. Additionally, three-quarters believe that buying a home is a privilege for the wealthy. And 71% said the real estate crisis is still ongoing.
"The dream of homeownership is becoming a nightmare for an entire generation of Canadians," said Sean Simpson, vice president at Ipsos. The Ipsos survey surveyed Canadians of all ages, including those who already own a home. Sean Simpson said the results reflect Canada's attitude that homeownership is becoming increasingly unaffordable, especially for young people.
Federal government data also suggests younger Canadians may be leaving the housing market. According to a Statistics Canada report last week, outstanding mortgage debt is
Daily Update Analysis on Nasdaq Futures Hello everyone. i have done my daily analysis of the Nasdaq futures and my take on the price action. i have discussed a lot of things regarding the daily and weekly time frame. i have also shared my personal game plan and shared my strategies and recommendation for the intraday levels. Hope this helps.
CADCHF CANADA's inflation is decreasing slightlyThe Canadian Dollar fell against the majority of G10 currencies following the release of data that showed inflation in Canada was slowing faster than economists expected.
Canadian CPI inflation rose 3.8% year-on-year in September, said Statistics Canada, which makes for a sharp decrease from 4.0% in August and was below expectations for a reading of 4.0%. The month-on-month change stood at -0.1%, which was below expectations for 0.1% and 0.4% recorded in August.
Meanwhile, Core CPI was down 0.1% m/m in August (2.8% y/y), while the trimmed CPI measure was at 3.7% y/y, below the 3.8% expected by markets and 3.9% previously.
CADJPY Recovery of currency exchange after inflationBanks and financial institutions buy and sell currencies with each other - these large institutions are the 'market' and the rate they trade at is the 'market rate'. The difference between the amount being bought and sold is the spread, which is essentially the difference between the buy and sell price.
However, when currency is sold by banks to retail customers, the spread increases significantly and the profit from the transaction is therefore significantly larger.
Therefore, when we focus on money transfer fees when sending money abroad, we often ignore the biggest cost: exchange rate differences.
UFP Industries (UFPI) Surpasses Market ReturnsUFP Industries (UFPI) closed at $101.32, marking a +0.67% move from the previous day. This change outpaced the S&P 500's 0.63% gain on the day. Meanwhile, the Dow experienced a rise of 0.59%, and the technology-dominated Nasdaq saw an increase of 0.39%.
Coming into today, shares of the wood and materials provider for the construction industry had lost 0.76% in the past month. In that same time, the Construction sector lost 6.52%, while the S&P 500 lost 3.39%.
Gold opportunity On NFPGold is waiting for NFP to come as its consolidating under 1931 to 1820 level and we can see a potential to either side but possibly gold will fall to 1800 level that all buy orders will be settled under 1820 level and to run the market , market makers need the money and they will try hit SL of maximum traders under these levels so we will be seeing a potential downwards move that gold is not in any clear direction
We will consider gold on bullish side when it will break above 1931 level and put our order other wise our confluance is all set for sell
That the price is hovering under these levels the 2nd confluence is price is trading under 200EMA and no sign of revesal
KSE 100 index sell side tradeAs KSE 100 index is moving towards it H4 supply and will return immediately from there if we get any rejection on level we will be shorting
The confluance for sell baised is on H4 break of structure as higher low was broke and move back upward and we will return from supply level
Market Update - September 29 2023
Bipartisan Group in Congress urges spot Bitcoin ETF approval as SEC punts: Bitcoin saw a mid-week bump as a bipartisan group of Congressmembers urged SEC chair Gensler to immediately approve a Bitcoin ETF. The SEC delayed a number of spot ETF application decisions as a US government shutdown looms. By the end of the week, bitcoin was trending higher, sitting above FWB:27K USD.
MicroStrategy adds to its bitcoin coffers with purchases totalling ~$150 million: MicroStrategy, one of the largest bitcoin holders, bought 5,445 bitcoins for ~$147.3 million USD, at an average price around $27,053 USD. The purchases were made between August 1 and September 24. The company said it was considering buying even more.
Leading NFT brand Pudgy Penguins to sell toys at Walmart: Pudgy Toys collection will be available in 2,000 Walmart stores across America. Each toy comes with a QR code, which once scanned gives the user access to the online virtual Pudgy World.
Curve had a solid week as its founder closed out debt positions on Aave: Curve (CRV) rallied this week, trading up 17%, after Curve founder Michael Egorov paid off his entire debt position on the DeFi lending protocol Aave.
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How to trade TRover of 80% market is TR so we have to know how to trade it.
sign of TR
shadows, tails, overlap, confusing
weak legs
Multiple Returns
when TR start? after BO a trend line
now how we can trade this monster?
you have to put your orders after a top or bottom.
because hunting is normal in this area.
now let's go on chart!!!
How to trade Liquidity Sweeps 🌊 Trading liquidity sweeps 🌊 and identifying fake liquidity grabs 🕵️♂️ can be valuable skills for traders. These strategies involve capitalizing on market inefficiencies and understanding how institutional traders and algorithms influence price movements. In this guide, we'll explore what liquidity sweeps and fake liquidity grabs are and how to trade them effectively.
Understanding Liquidity Sweeps:
A liquidity sweep occurs when a trader executes a large market order that "sweeps" through the order book, clearing out available liquidity at various price levels. These sweeps often signal strong buying or selling interest, potentially leading to significant price moves.
Identifying Fake Liquidity Grabs:
Fake liquidity grabs 🎭 are market manipulation techniques used to deceive traders. Market makers or large players might place large orders on the order book to give the illusion of significant interest at a specific price level. However, they often cancel these orders before they get executed, leading to sudden reversals in price.
Trading Liquidity Sweeps:
Monitor Order Flow: Keep an eye on order flow and trade volume to identify sudden surges in trading activity. Liquidity sweeps are often accompanied by spikes in volume.
Identify Key Levels: Look for important support or resistance levels where liquidity sweeps are likely to occur. These levels can be based on technical analysis, such as previous highs or lows.
Entry and Stop-loss: Enter a trade when you spot a liquidity sweep that confirms your bias. Set stop-loss orders to manage risk in case the market moves against you.
Take Profits: Take profits when the market reacts as expected, but be prepared for quick price reversals. Liquidity sweeps can be followed by retracements.
Trading Fake Liquidity Grabs:
Be Cautious: Approach price moves driven by apparent liquidity grabs with caution. These moves can be short-lived.
Confirm Price Action: Wait for confirmation of the direction after the fake liquidity grab. Look for signs that real market sentiment is driving the price.
Risk Management: Place stop-loss orders to protect your capital in case the market reverses quickly. Avoid chasing the initial price move.
Use Additional Indicators: Combine your analysis with other technical indicators or market sentiment tools to increase your confidence in your trading decisions.
Conclusion:
Trading liquidity sweeps and fake liquidity grabs can offer opportunities for profit, but they also come with risks. It's essential to have a clear strategy, strict risk management rules, and the ability to adapt to rapidly changing market conditions. As with any trading strategy, practice and experience will help refine your skills in identifying and capitalizing on these market dynamics. 🚀📈🌊
EURUSD 1D
Hello, everyone! I suggest analyzing three potential scenarios for the development of events on the #EURUSD pair using the higher timeframe.
1 (marked in black on the chart) - Currently, we are in the imbalance zone of the 1D timeframe. Potentially, the price may clear the imbalance and continue moving downwards, possibly making new lows.
2 (marked in red on the chart) - Based on confirmed order flow, we might see the price in the 1.08 zone for liquidity removal, with the potential for a downward move, similar to previous instances marked in red.
3 (marked in green on the chart) - This scenario could become valid if the price reaches and consolidates above the 1.08 level. In this case, the previous order flow would act as continuous liquidity.
Have a great day, everyone!
EURUSD IDEASo the next trade i will took if it goes as planned is short on eurusd,as we see price is touching 0.5 fib retracment,i always put fib on a daily tf.Overall trend is bearish.
Wait for some kind of a confirmation to enter a short position like a bearish eng,or a pinbar to see that bears are serious about pushing the price down.Happy trading everyone!
entry around 1.06820
sl-1.07040
tp-1.05300