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SPY (Two Scenarios)Scenario 1: ABC Zig Zag that doesn't turn into bearish impulse. The two previous candles seem as if the bulls tried to push up a bit on average volume. RSI is oversold. Could it make a lower high this week after the massive Friday sell off? This could be the start of an impulse wave to the upside with a minor pullback to what would be a 2 wave. My only doubt here is with the FED raising interest rates to lower inflation from the current 8.50% to the year end goal of 4%/3.75%. Other economic indicators doesn't show enough for me to think positively about this market. Scenario 2: ABC Zig Zag turns bearish impulsive. Weekly RSI is overbought and is crossing down and looks like it wants to test the $361 lows. SPY rose a bit today on low to average volume so I don't really trust big moves to the upside. We have a decent amount of FED speakers this week and I'll be following the economic data. I doubt smart money will feel confident enough to push the market up short term. Regardless, this scenario is the scenario I see playing out in the coming days to weeks. What do you think?
AMEX:SPY
by Redimere_91
$GMLast week (previous candle), we have located a potential market anomaly. A shooting star candle with above average buy volume. I feel like bulls that missed out or still attempting to squeeze juice from the July 11th rally may get some tough days ahead. Price could continue to rise a small bit. However, we are waiting on distribution which should take us to the 2nd wave. We don't know how long this will take. The RSI K/D is starting to cross down from an over bought stance. We are looking for price to reach $35 to $37 at some point. We just completed an ABC expanded flat on the weekly and will be patient to see if a new impulsive wave is coming down the line. At this point, we will be looking to trade each wave so I will update as we go. What do you think?
NYSE:GMShort
by Redimere_91
1
You Can't Trade on Indicators Alone - Watch the TriggersYou cannot trade on technicals alone. One has to watch the triggers and wait for them to conclude. This was a case in point on Friday 26th August 2022, after the Jackson Hole speech by Fed Chair Jay Powell. Bulls drove the market up just prior to the speech thinking that released economic data was good for a continuation of the bear market rally. Then Chair Powell came on and in a few minutes the market tanked, BIG!!. The big shorts scored here. The bottom line is don't trade on opinions or technicals alone. Watch for the triggers. Triggers are events, economic data and Fed decisions that sway the direction of the markets.
U
by tonyescorcio
625 pip trade coming AUDUSDAUDUSD is getting ready for a massive move. We want to capitalize on this 625 pip move. This means we have to front run this trade by getting in it early and selling to the individuals who decide to come into the trade after we have. I proved 3 different trade targets for this trade based upon the 625 pip move - the 250 pip move and 100 pip move. we will hit all 3 time frames as we attempt to profit of the total 625 pip move. Lets end the year with one great trade!
Short
by RobinhoodFX
1
Lower than expected Chinese data is pressuring soybeansFundamental Snapshot China Weaker than expected growth in China was reported overnight, with real estate leading the way to the downside. The weaker than expected data prompted their Central Bank to announce a surprise interest rate cut. We are seeing the slower growth data have ripple effects in commodities this morning with oil down over 5% and soybeans down over 3%, just to name a few. U.S. Dollar The US Dollar is firming on the back of poor Chinese data, continuing the relief rally from Friday. The U.S. dollar was able to defend 105, which was previous resistance in May and June and the eventual breakout point in July. If the dollar continues to rally, it could be a headwind to some commodities. Weather Weather throughout the Midwest looks cooler and wetter for the next 1-2 weeks. For some problem areas, it may be too little too late. The conversation around weather will be shifting to South America in the coming weeks as they begin planting. Soybeans November soybean futures had a big reversal on Friday, taking prices into positive territory following a bearish USDA report. The news out of China over the weekend has offset Friday's bullish reversal and has taken prices back near first support, 1394-1400. A failure to defend this pocket could lead to another leg lower. There is still a gap on the chart from July 26th, that comes in from 1349 1/4-1356. Bias: Neutral Previous Session Bias: Neutral Resistance: 1463 ¼**, 1481-1489***, 1500-1507 ¾****, 1529 ¾-1536 ½**** Pivot: 1440-1450 Support: 1394-1400***, 1349-1356****, 1300** Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CBOT:ZS1!
by OliverSloup_BlueLine
Cash Cattle Firms. Is There More Upside Left? Daily Cutout Values Choice: 263.37, UP .27 from the previous day. Select: 239.59 Up 2.13 from the previous day. Choice/Select Spread: 23.78 5 Area Average Cattle Price Live Steer: 144.3 Live Heifer: 143.69 Dressed Steer: 229.95 Dressed Heifer: 229.88 Daily Slaughter Estimated at 118,000. 3,000 more than last week and 2,000 more than the same week last year. Feeder Cattle Index 8/11/2022: 178.28 8/10/2022: 178.06 Commitments of Traders Update Live Cattle Friday’s Commitments of Traders report showed that Managed Money were net buyers of 11,067 futures/options contracts through August 9th. This expands their net long position to 49,072 contracts. Feeder Cattle Friday’s Commitments of Traders report showed that Managed Money were net buyers of 668 futures/options contracts through August 9th. This puts them net long 479 contracts. Technical Snapshot Live Cattle October live cattle gave back some ground on Friday, but all in all it was a constructive week with the market posting higher lows and higher highs. The market managed to work itself back into the gap from April 25th but was unable to fill that gap completely. The topside of the gap comes in at 145.975. Outside markets are under pressure this morning on the back of bearish news from China. This may put a headwind in prices to start the new week of trade. Previous resistance will act as our pivot pocket that comes in from 142.75-143.75. The Bulls have the technical advantage until we see a breakdown back below this pocket. Resistance: 145.10-145.975****, 147.35-147.50** Pivot: 142.75-143.75 Support: 141.425-141.90***, 138.025-138.35****
CME:LE1!
by OliverSloup_BlueLine
GBPAUD (Corrective Wave Setup)Looks like we are in a corrective wave. The wave before this was an ABC zig zag. We are on the bottom side of the MAC D at a strong support level. I know this looks like a bearish rectangle. However, usually there is a breakout to either the upside or downside towards the end of a corrective wave. In this area price has bounced in a range about 5 times since the initial pullback where letter "C" is. Bearish volume seems to be slowly declining within the last two to three candles. If this isn't an bullish impulsive or zig zag to the upside, I at least want to take profit towards the top of this corrective zone. We have our stop loss at the bottom of the corrective wave range price is creating and if hit, we will take another look for a better entry or just wait until the next sign of a clear trade. The daily, 4 hour, 1 hour, 30 min, and 15 min are matching the same Mac D level and wave pattern. If this wave is impulsive, we will take profit between 123% to 161% of the Fib zone! Let's see how things pan out over time. Not advice!
Long
by Redimere_91
2
Nike (pullback to make double bottom?)Looks like we may be entering into a corrective state of market structure. We have recently finished our second 5 wave impulse being that we are on a downtrend currently. We have been dealing with a bearish rally filled with good news from the media while there are still battles ongoing with rumors of war, inflation , supply chain issues etc. I could keep going but you get the point. Smart money is still being strategic about the manipulation so I wouldn't get too bullish . If this corrective wave is true, we would like to see a pullback into the B wave which should start a range for the new "ABC" correction before judging the next breakout. We have our stop loss set at the high of wave a to be safe and our target are at the 61%, 78%, and 100%, to account for either a "regular flat", "irregular flat", or a "running flat". Not advice of course! Let's see how this plays out going forward. Thanks for the support! Remember, the better you is tomorrow but the current days needs enough attention to get you there!
NYSE:NKEShort
by Redimere_91
ETHUSD (Daily w/ detailed outlook)Looks like price broke out the downtrend after the consolidation range between around Jun 19th - mid July. This started an impulse to the upside. However, we may be at the end of it with a 5 motive wave count ending with an "abc" wave at this current price where there is clear signs on a new range being made. We also have located a sign of weakness at this current level (where the arrows are at) with two straight bearish candles matched with two bullish volume candles below (where the arrows are at). I would love to see a breakout to the bottom side. Since this is a corrective state, I would expect the next move to be impulse. We have our stop loss set at the top of the wave 5 in case price breaks above this consolidation zone in case price wants to create another impulsive wave to the upside which I doubt will happen at this stage of the economy. I have target set at different level as we plan on dog walking this trade down and keeping our eyes on each consolidation stage. We will exit trade once price breaks out of a correction to the upside just to be safe. Let's see what happens! Not advice! Let's keep grinding! Honestly, I quit my job a few months ago to take this serious. I know this is meant for me. Started this journey 2018 (check my first chart and see the difference) countless hours and sacrifice just like you! It's not about the money more than it is an art style and a way to create your own time schedule. I plan on getting better and helping out communities once I really grow this account. I appreciate the love and support. Are you dying to live too? Been getting a lot of love lately and just want to show appreciation to the TV community. Let's keep getting better and continue to support other chart artists!
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Redimere_91
EURUSDLooks like we located a potential market anomaly on the daily timeframe (white arrows) . Also looks like we be at the start of the C Elliott wave. We have been on a downtrend for a while and we also just wrapped up an impulsive wave so it I would like to see price test the previous low anywhere between 50% and 70%. We also have an important economic day tomorrow for the USD so it'll be interesting to see how things go. I also believe that the dollar needs to gain some more strength through economic recover relative to lowering inflation etc. Happy trading!
Short
by Redimere_91
2
VXX Looks like we located a potential market anomaly on the daily timeframe. As we approach a potential end to the A/C wave, there looks to have been a sign of weakness as we have a few candles during the most recent a/c wave that are giving us some information (Bullish candle/bearish volume). Since then we have seen price start a small bullish move. Looks like an expanded flat where are at now. The MacD is starting to shift momentum towards the upside and would love to see a crossover while price attempts to reach up to 50%-70% of the previous wave (wave B) high. An impulsive wave would be an early Christmas. Happy trading!
CBOE:VXXLong
by Redimere_91