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Will Cattle Futures Rally to Meet the Cash Market? Thursday’s Slaughter is estimated at 124,000. 2,000 more than last week, and 7,000 more than the same week last year. Thursday’s Cutout Values Choice: 264.00, Down .88 from the previous day. Select: 240.57 Down .24 from the previous day. Choice/Select Spread: 23.43 5 Area Average Cattle Price Live Steer: 145.85 Live Heifer: 143.55 Dressed Steer: 234.01 Dressed Heifer: 233.98 Live Cattle Technicals (August): August live cattle made new lows for the move in yesterday’s session but were able to recover and finish the last trading day of the month/quarter/half in positive territory. With the cash market remaining firm, some of the pressure may be attributed to technical selling and end of the month/quarter positioning. We remain optimistic that live cattle will be able to work back towards some of those key moving averages, north of 135.00. Resistance: 134.85-135.25 ***, 135.975-136.60**, 138.75**, 140.275** Pivot: 132.45-132.775 Support: 129.975-130.725**** Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CME:LEQ2022
by OliverSloup_BlueLine
NKELooks like we may be retracing from the previous C wave. Sell volume decreasing on the last two candles with some bull volume coming in on the current candle. RSI is in oversold territory on the weekly, daily, and 8 hour. Current candle is a flat bottom so far. MacD may also be losing momentum. The current candle has formed bullish right after an indecision candle at a support area. Strong wickage at this level looking back towards May 12th. Looking to see if we can retrace 1 to 80% of previous high a month or more out. Let's see what happens! Might be a good idea to wait until next week. The market been green the last two days. What do you think? Let's have a great day!
NYSE:NKELong
by Redimere_91
1
Lean Hogs Catch Their Breath Lean Hogs Technicals (July): July lean hogs were able to breakout above trendline resistance and the 50-day moving average which led way to an extension to our next resistance level mentioned in yesterday’s report, we’ve defined that wide ranging pocket as 112.825-114.00. Previous resistance will now act as support, that comes in near 110.50-111.475. Resistance: 112.85-114.00****, 117.025-117.85** Pivot: 110.50-111.475 Support: 103.35-103.70****, 101.30-101.60**, 97.375-98.00**** Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CME:HEN2022
by OliverSloup_BlueLine
Live Cattle Retreat. Will Support Hold?Live Cattle Technicals (August): August live cattle were under pressure all day yesterday, trading down to the low end of our first support pocket, 134.85-135.35. Yesterday’s low was 134.85. If the Bulls cannot defend this pocket through today’s session, it may open the door for another leg lower, with the next support pocket coming in near 132.45-132.775. On the support side of things, the Bulls want to get back out above yesterday’s high and the 100-day moving average, 135.975 and 136.60. Resistance: 137.90-137.95**, 138.75**, 140.275** Pivot: 135.975-136.60 Support: 134.85-135.35***, 132.45-132.775**, 129.975-130.725**** Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CME:LEQ2022
by OliverSloup_BlueLine
Can Feeder Cattle Rebound with Lower Corn Prices? Feeder Cattle Technicals (August): Feeder cattle futures failed against our resistance pocket from 175.50-176.125 which put them in reverse. August feeders filled the illusive gap, which was a gap lower on June 13th but a gap higher on June 21st. Yesterday’s failure to get out above technical resistance was somewhat of a caution flag as it did mark lower highs, but no significant damage was done to the chart. Trendline support and the 50-day moving average remain intact, that comes in from 171.45 (50 dma)- 172.40 (trendline support from the May 23rd lows. Resistance: 175.50-176.125**, 176.80-177.075*** Pivot: 173.75-174.02 Support: 171.45 -172.40****, 169.40**, 167.325** Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CME:GFQ2022
by OliverSloup_BlueLine
BTCUSDLooks like we are close to the end of the C wave on the daily timeframe. Sell volume is decreasing on the 2 hour timeframe with the current candle painting bullish (doji) at the moment with that in mind. We are in a session high volume area on the 2 hour timeframe. On the daily, we are potentially recovering and entering a retracement to the current wave and I want to see if we can retrace anywhere between 38% to 61% of wave C. The macd is also showing signs of momentum loss on the bear sentiment. The current daily candle opened higher than the previous candle's close. Let's see what happens. What do you think?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Redimere_91
1
AAPLI wanted to publish this earlier. I did enter this trade at open so be careful of any pullbacs. Looks like we may be done with the C wave of the elliott wave.I want to see if price can retrace wave B between 50 to 61%. The current daily candle has some buyer volume in and the previous candle is bullish with high sell volume. Keep in mind that RSI is oversold and may be crossing the 20 threshold. The Mac D is also on the bottom side and may start to lose bearish momentum. Let's see what happens. What do you think?
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Redimere_91
2
EURGBPLooks like we have a strong wick rejection right at the 200 ema on this timeframe. We could potentially be at the start of the C wave retracement toward previous low. We are oversold on the RSI and the Mac D is just about to cross so we might be a tad bit early on this trade and could possibly gain more bullish before the retracement is true just being honest. That is a possibility. If you look at the volume profile to the right, you will see that the current price is in a high sell volume zone. The selling pressure is starting to shift down a bit with a red candle open on the weekly. The bulls are still fighting so let's see how this looks by the end of the week. I only want to see if we can retrace 38% of the previous low. However, due to price action and wave analysis, I left the 61% and 100% targets there just in case. What do you think?
Short
by Redimere_91
VTI (Total Stock Market)On an analysis earlier that I published, the DXY may be ready for a retracement to the previous wave low. Now reeling back in on the VTI Looks like we may be close to being done with the C phase on this timeframe. Wave C has so far retraced Wave B up to 161%. I don't want to get too greedy until we see economic indicators start to peak out. However, I would like to see if we could reach the 38% retracement of Wave C in the near future. We still ended the week with large sell volume. However, on the 12 hour time frame, some of that sell volume has started to weaken down a bit. We may be early on this assumption. The K and D of the RSI has reached an oversold point. They haven't crossed up past the 20 level just yet. The MacD has crossed the zero line but hasn't shown any indication of momentum shift just yet. I want to be careful with price targets here so I will only keep it at the 38% level for responsible trading. Let's see what happens! What do you think?
AMEX:VTILong
by Redimere_91
1
DXYLooks like we are in the middle of wave 5 of the Elliott wave. It may take a while for this wave to "potentially" retrace to the previous low of wave 4 up to 38%, 61%, or 100%. I would love to see that. I personally believe that we are getting closer to peak inflation although there are other factors contributing to the dollar's strentgh. From last week's reading, we might have open lower than the close. I see strong wick rejection from last weeks candle and would like to see if the bears start to take control. Our K and D of the RSI have started a cross down from overbought position on the daily timeframe and has already started the momentum downwards on the weekly. The MacD is losing momentum on the 12 hour timeframe so even though it hasn't shown true weakness yet on the weekly or daily in regards to a true momentum shift, we may be a bit early on this. Let's see what happens! What do you think?
TVC:DXYShort
by Redimere_91
1
NZDUSDLooks like we are in the middle of a C wave of the Elliott wave. I want to see if this current wave (if valid) can reach the 61% or the 100% of wave B's high. Price jumped bullish at the double bottom located where the circle are. We may be a tad bit late to this trade. However, there is low sell volume on the current candle as we are also oversold on the RSI while making an attempt to cross up past the 20 level. Our Mac D zero line has crossed and may lose some momentum down the road. Let's see what happens! What do you think?
Long
by Redimere_91
GBPCADMight be looking at an expanding running flat correction wave here. Phase "1" may be a bit over extended but the pattern may still be valid. We also have strong support at this level and is in accumulation stage potentially. Maybe we can get between 38 to 61% of the most recent high at some point down the road. I might've got n a tad bit early as the RSI hasn't reached an oversold point just yet. However, should be interesting how this plays out. Stop loss is set regardless for risk management.
Long
by Redimere_91