Tradesetups
TRADE ALERT - LONG LITECOIN (LTC)Another entry here for me in Litecoin. It actually missed my trigger buy at $77.50. But I didn't want to wait anymore. Bought at 77.12. SL is 71.69 for now. Will take profits along the way with an overall target of $106.
A little more on why I took this trade. Of course, fundamentally, you all probably know that halving occurred. The market sold the news and now from a technical standpoint, little Litecoin looks to be oversold. You can see on the RSI chart below that every time we hit that ascending red TL, we popped for a gain of at least 50%. Every. Time. Thus, probability here remains largely in our favor just from this one indicator.
Now follow that black vertical line up the chart. You will notice that it intersects with our candle today which lies directly on strong support (red TL) from December of last year.
Could we break below these major trendlines I have drawn on all my charts and get stopped out? Well yeah. Of course! But I like my chances here.
This is not financial advice. Just showing you all what I am doing here.
Best,
Stew
SAND is about to go ballistic!Sorry for the clickbait title but I am feeling the vibe on this one. I know, I know. Targeted by the SEC as a security. But, on the other hand, one of the tokens legalized by the Hong Kong market. Outside of debates regarding fundamentals, let's dive into what the technicals seem to be showing us!
First, take a look at the beautiful triangle! Dang son, it don't get much better than that yo!
Now, look down there at that RSI. See that red TL? Pop, pop, ...and POP. At every touch you can bank on cash.
Incidentally, this third touch will coincide with a touch of the bottom of our triangle. And, just below that, a very important support.
This is an easy bet. I have entered at 37 cents ish and will hold till at least 53 cents with the remaining balance to 58 if I don't get stopped out first.
I will be moving my stops up as we go as always.
Best,
Stew
Is Oatly Dead? Is it going to 0?Hi Guys! This is a Technical Analysis for Oatly (OTLY), on the 3 Day Timeframe.
New candle starts today
So the question here is whether or not OTLY is dead and if its going to 0?
It may seem like that but when "Checking underneath the hood" with TA, things become clearer and you can understand whats going on objectively with a level head.
So we've come down signficantly from around the highs of $29, about a 95% drop to current prices.
And its been alooooong time we've been on this downtrend, about 781 days.
In my case though, the question i've been asking with Stocks such as OTLY or SPCE or BYND or CVNA (before the massive run) is whether or not there are signs of bottoming?
And with such a new stock, it can be a little difficult to assess since theres not as much data points to go with.
But you can still make do with what you got!
We are Currently 4 RED candles in, watch the size of our current candle. IF at the CLOSE of this current candle, the body of it is small, that can be an indication of BEARISH momentum decline.
Notice how we got our most recent DOWNTREND, it is due to the RED circle that indicates price hitting a convergence of Resistance:
1. the 50 Simple moving average
2. a RESISTANCE trend line from 08/2022.
We are now nearing our previous low of around $1.35. Which is MAJOR SUPPORT.
Notice the 2 GREEN CIRCLES -> Provided we don't breakdown below $1.35, this can be a DOUBLE BOTTOM pattern.
We have to watch the next couple weeks of how we interact with SUPPORT.
NOTE: This MAJOR SUPPORT hasnt had 3 touches, which in TREND theory, it states that usually a minimum of 3 touches are needed on trend lines for it to be significant.
So, this can be an area we BOUNCE from in the SHORT-Term -> back to the BLACK resistance line or RED Resistance line
There is also a RISK of a Descending triangle playing out, where we break below the "MAJOR SUPPORT". Measured Target would be $0.58-0.60 cent level.
But again TA is about taking it 1 step at a time. To even think about this i would need:
1. Candle close BELOW MAJOR SUPPORT
2. CONFIRMATION
-> In the form of candle patterns
-> Re-test of the SUPPORT turned as RESISTANCE and a Rejection back down.
It absolutely does not have to play out this way BUT a scenario could be that we bounce from here, test the 08/22 RESISTANCE and come back down to test MAJOR SUPPORT level.
It is also possible that we MOVE SIDEWAYS (Within ORANGE Rectangle zone). With the Volume currently in a DECLINE, marked by the BLUE moving average. This means volatility will come down, leading to the probability of sideways action.
Now Check out the RSI, we have printed a Lower Low. This could lead to further DECLINE of RSI. WE are also BELOW the BLACK RSI Moving average, which can be indicative of further price declines.
STOCH RSI, is making its way below the 20 level. We will have to see how long we stay once we get below it and how low we actually get. Longer we stay below, higher the probability of further declines.
MACD -> a momentum indicator, is currently printing RED histograms. This is a BEARISH Signal. We dont want the bars to get massively big in size.
CONCLUSION:
Price declines of massive proportions can be extremely scarey and a place for capitulation, where people give up. This often times leads to further decline of price. However through all that, if you stay level headed with TA, you consider or pose the question..... Yeah, but is it showing any BOTTOMING signs? OTLY is 95% from its lows, we are currently back to MAJOR SUPPORT. This can be indication of a DOUBLE BOTTOM but in my opinion, its still too EARLY to tell. Especially with indicators still showing signs of a chance for more downside. I would need to see confirmation.
Stay tuned for more updates on OTLY in the near future.
Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. When trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
A Trade Example in The Nasdaq Futures Using a Simple TA ConceptThis was a really clean example of a really basic price action based set-up. On the short-lived Holy Grail trade(See my most recent live stream for a walkthrough of the holy grail trade set-up) that resulted in a false breakout, price begins to reverse and want to cross back through the established range on the 5 minute chart, as we begin tending back towards the middle of the range, we want to enter a trade, playing short term, attempting to take out the range high. I am currently working on getting my profits off the table much earlier and not being a "dick for a tick" so any time I get a trade between 2-4 R in my favor, I am taking my profits and running. I narrate all of this in this video
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
CVAC - Trade Opportunity Looking through charts, CVAC caught my eye for some potential trade opportunities.
Firstly lets look at the candle close of Today 08/01/23
-> We are currently testing this RED Resistance Arrow Line pointing down
-> The candle has a lower wick, indicating some buying pressure
->However, the candle body is small, which may indicate waning momentum
**If price action CONFIRMS above RED ARROW -> This can be a TRADE SETUP
-> If this plays out - TARGET = $10.65 or a potential 17% move
-> STOP LOSS should be placed below RED ARROW
Notice the GREEN circle indicating a bounce UP from 2 converging support lines
-> The 200 DMA -> this is important as if we maintain support on 200 DMA, it indicates Bullish activity, price has a possibility of traveling back to UPPER BLACK RESISTANCE LINE
BUT NOTE: This is the first time for CVAC to be doing this, so we have to be cautious, as FAKEOUTS are possible.
-> The orange sloping support line
~~ Having 2 support lines converge makes SUPPORT two-folds stronger, which may create ncessary momentum for price to break above RED ARROW
Now Notice how the ORANGE SUPPORT LINE coincides with the ORANGE line found on the RSI and MACD
-> This is known as a BEARISH DIVEGENCE -> Where price shows a higher low but Indicators show lower lowers.
-> This leads to PRICE DECLINES if it plays out, may lead Price Action to go towards the BLACK Support line or where the RED ARROW is pointing at.
-> Its also not necessary that it plays out right away, we can technically hit my TARGET of $10.65 and then have the DIVERGENCE play out.
*** Regardless of what happens, BLACK SLOPING SUPPORT LINE can be a BUY ZONE with STOP LOSS BELOW this line. This would be to catch a bounce off this line.
RSI orange line MUST stay above or act as SUPPORT on the BLACK moving average, this normally leads to PRICE increasing
MACD (Momentum indicator)
-> must continue this histogram pattern of waning bearish momentum, we must print GREEN histogram.
-> There needs to be a BULLISH CROSS where BLUE line crosses above the ORANGE line.
-> This would help us breakout of the RED ARROW RESISTANCE
STOCH RSI
-> BLUE line has CROSSED over ORANGE, and we are ABOVE the 20 level. This indicates BULLISH MOMENTUM.
-> We must continue UPWARD above the 80 level, this indicates continuation of MOMENTUM, if we keep this direction -> It may HELP us BREAKOUT of RED ARROW RESISTANCE LINE.
CONCLUSION:
All in all, we are in a interesting area for CVAC the stock. New things are happening in the price action, that has not been seen in the history of CVAC. 200 DMA acting as support for the 1st time, STOCH RSI Bullish cross and waning of bearish momentum in MACD can be the necessary catalyst to push PRICE above the RED ARROW RESISTANCE. If so TARGET = $10.65 or a 17% Trade. However, it is important to note the BEARISH DIVERGENCE forming, though a sign of DOWNWARD PRICE ACTION, can also lead to opportunity of a trade setup. Never fight the trend, its always better to ride along.
Thanks you! Hope this helps, please support my ideas by boosting, following and commenting! Do check out my page of other trade ideas. I have linked a couple of recent ideas ive had, check em out if you'd like.
DISCLAIMER: This is not Financial advice, i am NOT a Financial advisor. Thoughts expressed here are my only my opinion and for educational purposes. Do practice due diligence and focus on risk mamangement. Deploy stop losses to protect yourself. Thanks.
JOE looks like a great setup here!Traders,
I'm a bit over-weighted in my public portfolio rn, but I really do like this setup in the DeFi coin JOE.
Bullish Indicators:
*Hidden Bullish Divergence on RSI
*Close to Bullish Triangle Exit
*Above the 200 Day MA
Bearish Indicators:
*Under the June 4th Crash Level
*Possible re-trace to bottom of triangle
If I were to enter here, I'd have a Risk/Reward ration of 3/1 - pretty decent!
My target would be that Pivot Low from Jan '22
And I'd put a stop limit just under that .27 cents level at .25 ish.
The profit potential here of over 90% with no leverage on this setup is amazing!
None of this should be construed as financial advice. This was an exercise in conjecture if I were to throw my remaining public portfolio cash at this trade.
Best,
Stew
GBPUSD TRADE IDEAThese are the types of setups I really like to see. several blocks of confirmation stacking up on each other. Buyside was taken as we can see on the 4H chart, we then see a break of structure to the downside after that with an imbalance formed. This imbalance, FVG, as highlighted on the chart falls in the OTE zone of the Fib. I didn't add that because I don't like cluttered charts, so bear with me.
On the daily timeframe you can see a clean break of structure with price returning to the orderblock and rejecting off it,
Going into this week, I would like to see price head lower to the fair value gap below and possibly the lows. Just my opinion though, Don't take my word for it.
#GBPUSD #dollar #tradeidea
Review and Trading plan for 12th June 2023Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
BTC/USD - SHORT SZENARIOS - ANALYSE – DThe "BTC/USD" is in a downtrend since Nov – 2021, and it is obvious that we can expect a further - final sell-off if necessary.
-> The coupling of the traditional markets to the BTC is very high because of the institutional investors (example: S&P500 falls = BTC falls).
-> In which key areas we can expect a local bottom, I will analyze in more detail in today's post.
-> For this, we will look at the "BTC/USD" from the daily view and integrate elements of the daily, weekly and monthly chart.
table of contents
- 1st part = EXPLANATION - indicators used + levels.
- 2nd part = SCENARIOS - pro + con breakdown
- 3rd part = CONCLUSION
FIRST PART
1. FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT .
For this Fibonacci retracement, we take the movement,
which started in - March/2020 - and ended in - Nov/2021 -.
-> 0.786 FIB = 17,738.75 USD | Completed
-> 0.88 FIB = 11,608.27 USD | Pending processing
> As "BLUE + dotted" lines - drawn in the chart.
2. | FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT |
For this Fibonacci retracement, we take the movement,
which started in - Dec/2018 - and ended in - Nov/2021 -.
-> 0.786 FIB = 17,246.82 USD | Pending processing
-> 0.88 FIB = 11,057.51 USD | Pending processing
> As "BLUE" lines - drawn in the chart.
3. | FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT |
For this Fibonacci retracement we take the movement,
which started in - May/2022 - and ended in - Aug/2022 -.
-> 1.618 FIB = 12,931.80 USD | Pending processing
> As "orange" lines - drawn in the chart.
4. DEMAND ZONES |
The demand zones formed at the beginning of the upward movement,
thus they were created and in - June-Oct/2020.
-> WEEK ZONE | 1 | = 9,825.00 – 11,720.01 USD | Pending processing
-> WEEK ZONE | 2 | = 8,833.00 – 9,345.00 USD | Pending processing
-> DAY ZONE | 1 | = 9,825.00 – 10,681.87 USD | Pending processing
-> DAY ZONE | 2 | = 9,047.25 – 9,221.52 USD | Pending processing
> As "GREY" areas - drawn in the chart.
5. | POINT OF INTEREST |
The points of psychological interest,
were created the first time Nov - 2017 - and showed some reactions since then.
-> POI | 1 | = 16.000 USD | Pending processing
-> POI | 2 | = 14.000 USD | Pending processing
-> POI | 3 | = 12.000 USD | Pending processing
-> POI | 4 | = 10.000 USD | Pending processing
| POI should be used as support in the upcoming situation.
| POI is used as ZONE -> no point exact support.
> As "Orange" line - drawn in the chart.
SECOND PART .
As soon as the price reaches the broken down levels, we can expect a reaction from the market, which depends on the "weighting" of each level.
1st | SCENARIO | BOTTOM - at around 16,000-17,250 USD (Unlikely).
What speaks in favor of:
- "BREAK OF THE SIDEWAYS TREND CHANNEL"
- "FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT (1) + (2) | 0.786 + 0.786 FIB"
- "LIQUIDITY HUNT
+ this idea must be supported by the DXY + S&P500!
= DXY rises + S&P500 falls
What is the argument against:
- "POINT OF INTEREST (1-4)
- "FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT (1) + (2) | 0.88 +0.88 FIB"
- "USD (DXY)" = further depreciation
- "S&P500" = recovery and no market crash
2. | SCENARIO | BOTTOM - at approx. 11,000-13,000 USD (Very likely)
What speaks for this:
- "FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT (1) + (2) | 0.88 +0.88 FIB"
- "POINT OF INTEREST (2-3)
- "SUPPLY ZONES | D1 (1) + W1 (1)"
- downtrend lines serve as support
+ this idea must be supported by the DXY + S&P500!
= DXY rises + S&P500 falls
What is the argument against:
- "POINT OF INTEREST = Existing liquidity cascade (4).
- "SUPPLY ZONE" = D1 (2) + W1 (2)"
- "USD (DXY)" = further appreciation.
CONCLUSION .
At the moment, it is impossible to say what the exact scenario for "BTC/USD" will be.
The correlation relevant for us to make decisions is as follows:
- DXY (USD) is currently like a kind of indicator of fear in the market, with which it controls the S&P500.
- The S&P500 is currently at a very relevant level (3,600 points), if this breaks sustainably (with confirmation), we will see a strong sell-off in all markets - market crash!
- Should this market crash occur, then this will also have a significant impact on BTC. (Liquidation cascades of stop loss orders and fear from retail market participants.)
= The marked levels should have large order blocks ready, which will consume this sharp sell-off within a short period of time .
-> As soon as the BOTTOM formation crystallizes, I will upload a detailed LONG execution.
-> Feel free to discuss it in the comments and share our perspectives, I'd be "burning" to hear your take on the whole thing.
If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would be very happy to see a review of it .
Thank you and a successful trading!
The following image should show you where the support line comes from:
What Gold is exactly want to tell us ? Gold is making lower high in short term therefore we are looking 2038-40 range to sell. Meanwhile long term trend is bullish.
The expected trading range for current week is between 2007.00 support and 2045.00 resistance.
Open:
2024.000
Close:
2016.810
High:
2029.150
Low:
2019.370
Bitcoin Scalping Signal for Day Trading🖥️ We have determined there is a 60% chance Bitcoin will Rise from our current entry point.
📉 LONG - BTC : 29,150 📉
💵 Length of trade: we are expecting BTC to hit a HKEX:650 scalp, with a high end of HKEX:900 , with a possible rejection signified by the red boxes, and will look to short.
🕰️ Duration of trade: we are expecting the minimum target to occur within 10 hours. Then we see the rest of this trade playing out by Thursday.
Bitcoin Scalping Signal for Day Trading🖥️ We have determined there is a 65% chance Bitcoin will Rise from our current entry point.
📉 LONG - BTC : $27,850 📉
💵 Length of trade: we are expecting BTC to hit a $400 scalp, with a high end of $650 and a minimum expectation of $250.
🕰️ Duration of trade: we are expecting the minimum target to occur within 7 hours. Then we see the rest of this trade playing out by mid day after market open for NYSE.
Bitcoin Scalping Signal for Day Trading🖥️ We have determined there is a 70% chance Bitcoin will Fall from our current entry point.
📉 SHORT - BTC : $28.550 📉
💵 Length of trade: we are expecting BTC to hit a $1,000 scalp, with a high end of $1,500, and a minimum expectation of $550.
🕰️ Duration of trade: we are expecting the minimum profit target to possible get hit by market open in NYC. Then we see the rest of this trade playing out until Friday.
Bitcoin Scalping Signal for Day Trading🖥️ We have determined there is a 65% chance Bitcoin will Fall from our current entry point.
📉 SHORT - BTC : $25,865 📉
💵 Length of trade: we are expecting BTC to hit a $700 scalp, with a high end of $1,150, and a minimum expectation of $250.
🕰️ Duration of trade: we are expecting the minimum profit target to be hit within 2 hours. Then we see the rest of this trade playing out until NYC market open.
Bitcoin Day Trade Setups, Scalping Entries🖥️ We have determined there is a 65% chance Bitcoin will Rise from our current entry point.
📉 LONG - BTC : $21,725 📉
💵 Length of trade: we are expecting BTC to hit a $400 scalp, with a high end of $550, and a minimum expectation of $250.
🕰️ Duration of trade: we are expecting the minimum target to occur within 10 hours. Then we see the rest of this trade playing out after market open for NYSE.
Bitcoin Scalp Signal for Day Trading🖥️ We have determined there is a 65% chance Bitcoin will Fall from our current entry point.
📉 SHORT - BTC : $23,755 📉
💵 Length of trade: we are expecting BTC to hit a $550 scalp, with a high end of $1,000, and a minimum expectation of $350.
🕰️ Duration of trade: we are expecting the minimum profit target to possible get hit by midnight. Then we see the rest of this trade playing out Monday morning.
📊🖥️ INDICATOR SHOWN ON CHART : Scot Signal Indicator
Bitcoin Scalp Signals for Weekend Trades🖥️ We have determined there is a 65% chance Bitcoin will Fall from our current entry point.
📉 SHORT - BTC : $22,635 📉
💵 Length of trade: we are expecting BTC to hit a $750 scalp, with a high end of $1,400, and a minimum expectation of $350.
🕰️ Duration of trade: we are expecting the minimum target to occur over the weekend with the minimum profit target to possible get hit within next 8 hours. Then we see the rest of this trade playing out Monday morning.
📊🖥️ INDICATOR SHOWN ON CHART : Scot Signal Indicator
Bitcoin Scalp Signal for Day Trading🖥️ We have determined there is a 65% chance Bitcoin will Rise from our current entry point.
📉 LONG - BTC : $20,710 📉
💵 Length of trade: we are expecting BTC to hit a $500 scalp, with a high end of $700, and a minimum expectation of $350.
🕰️ Duration of trade: we are expecting the minimum target to occur within 10 hours. Then we see the rest of this trade playing out around market open for NYSE. Tomorrow there is key economic data released before market open, which could cause big moves. Today the economic data caused a positive spike of 500pts, we will try to sell during this spike, if it occurs similar on Thursday.
📊🖥️ INDICATOR SHOWN ON CHART : Scot Signal Indicator
Resistance respected on GBPUSDafter falling back into the resistance zone price continued generating sell candles signals like the 3 black crows in support with trendline and a resistance as well (all on the 15 minutes timeframes) you can also check for crossover of the EMA 50 and 200 on the 15 minutes timeframe.for this trade i have 4 confluences and an open mind that if may also go wrong thereby using a stoploss and applying calculated risk
Bitcoin Scalping Signal for Day Trading🖥️ We have determined there is a 60% chance Bitcoin will Fall from our current entry point.
📉 SHORT - BTC : $17,180 📉
💵 Length of trade: we are expecting BTC to hit a $150 scalp, with a high end of $300, and a minimum expectation of $150.
🕰️ Duration of trade: we are expecting this to occur within 1.5 hours - 4 hours. Then we see a maximum duration of 14 hours.
📊🖥️ INDICATOR SHOWN ON CHART : Scot Signal Indicator