A New Approach to Market Analysis: How IA Simplifies TradingClarity on the Chart. Smart Trading Decisions
Approaches to Market Analysis and the Challenges Traders Face
When we first start trading and investing, we encounter various methods for predicting price movements. Over time—and with enough persistence, patience, and experience—we find the approach that helps us make profitable trades. Among the most popular are oscillators and channel indicators, Dow Theory, Elliott Waves, Fibonacci levels, supply and demand, Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), Market Auction Theory, and concepts like Inner Circle Trader/Smart Money Concept (ICT/SMC).
Many traders combine elements from different methods to build a strategy that works best for them. However, the road to consistent profits is rarely easy—most face similar challenges.
🔹 Lack of Knowledge and Experience
Complexity of Technical Analysis: Too many tools, conflicting signals on different timeframes, and unclear logic can be overwhelming.
No Clear Trading Plan: Many traders rely on intuition or others' advice instead of having a structured strategy.
Poor Risk Management: Ignoring capital and risk controls leads to losses.
Emotional Decision-Making: Fear and greed get in the way of sound decisions.
🔹 Time Constraints
Trading Takes Time: Analyzing charts, scanning assets, and finding entry points all require time and focus.
Slow Learning Curve: Gaining consistent results takes years of practice and study.
Can Trading Be Made Simpler and More Effective?
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A New Perspective: The Concept of Initiative Analysis (IA)
Today I’d like to present Initiative Analysis —a concept that:
✅ Simplifies how you understand technical analysis
✅ Speeds up learning through a structured approach
✅ Reduces time spent on daily analysis
✅ Provides elements of a working trading strategy
What is IA?
Imagine looking at your chart and instead of seeing just candles, you see blocks of directional movement—called initiatives.
An initiative is the action of buyers or sellers that causes price movement. It is limited by both price range and time, which helps clearly identify who dominates the market at any given moment.
• If buyers dominate, price rises. These phases are shown with blue zones.
• If sellers dominate, price falls. These are shown with red zones.
This visual method allows you to not just see price movements, but also the underlying battle between buyers and sellers as it unfolds.
How IA Differs from Traditional Analysis
To understand how IA stands out, think about the classic tools traders use:
• Candle patterns (e.g., hammer, doji, engulfing)
• Chart figures (e.g., head and shoulders, double top, flag)
• Indicators (e.g., oscillators, moving averages, channels)
• Elliott Waves, Market Profile, Order Flow
• Smart Money Concepts (ICT/SMC)
These tools often focus on outcomes and results. Some attempt to capture the "fight" between buyers and sellers within fixed time intervals (like hourly or daily candles). Elliott Wave Theory, for example, offers a cyclical interpretation through structured wave sequences. IA, by contrast, focuses on identifying and visualizing real-time initiative without forcing a pre-defined structure. Another key distinction: IA allows for initiative shifts within a range—a buyer-to-seller transition can occur without breaking range boundaries, as often happens in sideways markets.
This new method offers a fresh lens for viewing market dynamics. Instead of dividing charts by time or volume, candles are grouped by initiative blocks, each with its own duration. Comparing these blocks helps you "read" the market—who is gaining strength and who is losing it.
Even more importantly, this approach can help predict shifts in market control and estimate potential price targets.
Look at these charts
📉 Trend
When one side controls the market strongly, we see a single background color in price ranges. In this case, it makes sense to look for trades in the direction of the move. But it’s important to check the higher timeframe for confirmation (!).
In the chart:
A blue target line means a bullish target (thin line = 1H, thick = 1D).
A red target line means a bearish target (same logic for thickness).
Targets are calculated using a custom method that includes the initiative range, candle structure inside the initiative, and traded volumes.
Once a candle crosses the target line, the target is considered reached.
If a new target appears, it will be shown.
If the price leaves the buyer zone, the blue target disappears until the price returns. Same rule for seller zones.
📉 Sideways Market (Range)
If the chart background changes between red and blue in one price range, it means the market is in consolidation (sideways) — temporary balance between buyers and sellers. In this case, targets also switch: blue = buy target, red= sell target.
🔀 Transitional Phase
Sometimes, two price zones may appear at the same time — one above (buyers), one below (sellers). This is a transition period. It may turn into a sideways range or develop into a trend.
During transitions:
It’s better to avoid trading.
Check who controlled the price before, and who is in control on the higher timeframe (this is always important).
For example, if sellers were in control before, and the higher timeframe confirms it, sellers are likely to stay dominant. However, a short-term bounce or trend reversal is possible.
With IA You Can:
✅ Identify buyer/seller initiative in real time
✅ Anticipate initiative shifts
✅ Visualize control zones and key levels
✅ Compare strength between buyers and sellers
✅ Forecast potential price targets
IA lets you objectively assess market dynamics, identify the dominant side, and estimate the most probable direction.
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How IA Helps Solve Key Trading Challenges
📌 Complex Analysis → Simplified visual zones make market context easy to read—even for beginners.
📌 Lack of Strategy → IA covers 3 of the 5 essential trading questions (direction, entry zone, and target), and can be combined with other tools or techniques to answer the remaining two: entry timing and stop-loss placement:
Trade direction: Buy in a buyer block, sell in a seller block.
Entry zone: Buy below 50% of a buyer block, sell above 50% of a seller block.
Profit-taking: Estimate target using visualized zones.
While IA gives market context, final decisions still depend on patterns, volume, and risk management.
📌 Time Management → Visual structure saves hours of scanning and comparing charts.
“Now I scan for trade setups in 15 minutes, just by checking the visual layout. Before, I’d spend hours deciding if an asset was trending or in a range.” — trader review.
📌 Learning Speed → Think of it like driving: learning on a modern automatic car is much easier than on a 50-year-old manual. You don’t need to know how the transmission works—just how to drive.
Same with IA. It’s not an autopilot, but a powerful navigator that helps you orient in the market. IA simplifies analysis, but the trader is still responsible for decisions, risk, and mindset.
Fewer tools = faster learning. You don’t need to know how indicators are built—just how to use them.
IA focuses your attention on what matters. It reduces noise and highlights structure.
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Final Thoughts
IA introduces a new way of analyzing markets—not just reading the result, but watching the fight unfold in real time.
It helps traders make more confident decisions, simplifies analysis, and adds structure to the chaos of the market.
Clarity on the Chart. Smart Trading Decisions.
If this approach speaks to you—share the article, leave a comment, and stay tuned for more insights in upcoming posts!
Tradesystem
This pair has been lit this week 😍🔥As market close approaches I still find myself in an NZDUSD short trade.
We are using our POW reversal script for this strategy.
Trade details for current trade are shown on the chart.
We are working the 15M time frame on this strategy.
We're looking for the green line which is take profit target.
Little red arrow is entry point and purple line is stop loss.
Previous trades can be seen on chart one of which was covered in an idea this morning seen below
Since that trade we have had three more trades and two of those were once again in profit.
Stats shown in the report box at the foot of this idea show the performance of this pair for the week.
This is based on 1% risk per trade on a 10k trading capital and has seen 9.9% gains this week.
Have a play in that box you can select the tabs as the viewer of this idea and see all 21 trades for the week logged.
Lets see if the current trade left open can start next week of to a good start 👍
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I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily.
Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way.
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Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏
Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌
No one likes missing out, do they?
Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this.
The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
Darren
Development of a Trade SystemIn mathematics and computer science, an algorithm is a finite sequence of well-defined, implementable instructions, typically to solve a class of problems or to perform a computation. Algorithms are always unambiguous and are used as specifications for performing calculations, data processing, automated reasoning, and other tasks
As an effective method, an algorithm can be expressed within a finite amount of space and time, and in a well-defined formal language for calculating a function. Starting from an initial state and initial input (perhaps empty), the instructions describe a computation that, when executed, proceeds through a finite number of well-defined successive states, eventually producing "output" and terminating at a final ending state. The transition from one state to the next is not necessarily deterministic; some algorithms, known as randomized algorithms, incorporate random input
I have tried to show you how to process for a trading system with a flowchart . Let's optimize your trading strategy with the problem-solving algorithm.
If you have experienced this before, share it with me in the comments.
support me by Like and Follow.
Supertrend and 50 SMA Bollinger Band Trade SystemPlot standard deviations (SD) 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 for the 50 SMA along with the 2 ATR and 3 ATR settings for the Supertrend (ST) indicator (found under "public" for indicators).
The idea is to use the 2 ATR ST and MACD as filters to direction of trade and to take trades once price is above or below the 1 SD bollinger bands (the first band around the 50 SMA).
Entries are made off of tests of the 1 SD band or tests of the 2 ATR ST. The stop may be any of the 1 SD band, 2 ATR ST, or 3 ATR ST, that gives the price comfortable room and/or desirable reward to risk.
Stops may be trailed off of either of the ATRs (2 or 3), as long as they remain mostly on the other side of the 1 SD band (as in 3 fourths of the time, or more), relative to price.
In the case of longs, consider selling all, or a portion, of the position whenever price forms a bearish candle setups (with confirmation) near "extreme" levels, relative to either the SD bands or 50 SMA envelopes (the thick black line on the chart indicates a 25% envelope to the 50 SMA). Anything at or above the 2 SD line is extreme, particularly 3 SD and up. Especially be weary if price has tested a band two or three times previous and even more so if RSI or MACD are showing divergence with price tops.
In case of shorts, treat everything said for longs in reverse. Look for bullish candle setups out of the extreme conditions.
Examples of bearish candle formations that I'd be on the lookout for include "tweezer tops" (or bearish engulfing candles), long wick candles that counter the trend (some may prefer to wait for confirmation by a follow through day, but I let the circumstances determine what option is best), and multiple days of bearish fractals near a price range top (in which case the stop could be hugged up against the bottom of the range).
Trade Plan Using Ichmoku and Fibs retraceThis isn't a trade system that I've used, but one that I'm planning to experiment with after getting decent results with limited back-testing on only Bitcoin (thus, I'd probably only use it on Bitcoin, for the moment).
Pretty simple rules, but it seems to be an effective profit-grabber with decent success rate.
What do you think?