XAUUSD BUY NOW this week big movement gold strongly bullish soonThanks for the clarification. Based on the chart you provided and the bullish bias toward the resistance target of 2950, here’s a "disruption" or alternative analysis—a contrarian scenario that challenges the bullish view:
Bearish Disruption Analysis:
1. False Breakout & Rejection Scenario:
Current price hovering around 2910.795 shows a struggle to break higher.
Price previously failed to sustain above the minor resistance zone near 2918–2920, showing rejection wicks.
This may indicate buying exhaustion, and if no fresh momentum comes in, price could reverse.
2. Support Weakening:
The 2906 support zone has already been tested multiple times.
Each retest of this support weakens the buyers' defense.
A break and close below 2906 would open doors to deeper pullbacks — potential targets:
First target: 2895 (psychological and historical intraday support).
Extended target: 2880–2885 zone.
3. Volume Divergence:
Noticeable reduction in buying volume on recent attempts to move higher.
Without increasing volume, it's hard for price to break out toward 2950.
4. Potential Bearish Formation:
Formation of a lower high pattern, suggesting a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish in this short-term timeframe (H1)
Trading-forex
GOLD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GOLD is making a bearish pullback on the 1H TF and is nearing the support line below while we are generally bullish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following long a good option for us with the target being the 2,920.193 level.
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SPY SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
SPY pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is evidently falling on the 9H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 593.41 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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STBB FX Weekly Analysis - Week 11 2025Tradingview Ideas:
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GBP ZAR LONG 1H
Hello, I am Professional Trader Andrea Russo
Today I am going to talk to you about an interesting trading opportunity that I have identified in the currency market. I have decided to go long on the GBP/ZAR pair starting from a level of 23.3388. In this article, I will explain the reasoning behind this choice and the key stop loss and take profit levels that I have set.
The GBP/ZAR pair represents the relationship between the British pound (GBP) and the South African rand (ZAR). Currently, the pair is in a consolidation phase after having recorded a strong upward movement in the last few weeks. In my opinion, this consolidation could be a signal of a possible continuation of the bullish trend.
Technical and Fundamental Analysis:
From a technical point of view, the level of 23.3388 represents an important support area, which has been tested several times without being breached. This indicates that there are plenty of buyers ready to step into this area, increasing the chances of an upside bounce.
Furthermore, the analysis of major technical indicators, such as the RSI (Relative Strength Index) and Bollinger Bands, suggests that the GBP/ZAR pair is in an oversold phase, further increasing the chances of an upside move.
On the fundamental side, the British economy is showing signs of recovery, with positive macroeconomic data and supportive monetary policy from the Bank of England. On the other hand, the South African economy continues to be plagued by structural problems and political instability, which could further weaken the rand.
Trading Strategy:
Enter a long position at 23.3388, with a stop loss placed at -0.27% (23.2758) to limit losses in case of adverse moves. This stop loss level was chosen based on technical analysis and the volatility of the exchange rate, to ensure adequate protection without being overly tight.
The take profit level was set at 1.20% (23.6184) above the entry price. This level was chosen to take advantage of a potential bullish move, based on technical analysis and favorable fundamentals for the British pound.
Conclusions:
In summary, I believe that this GBP/ZAR trade offers a favorable risk/reward ratio, supported by both technical and fundamental analysis. Of course, it is important to constantly monitor the markets and adapt the strategy based on new information and developments.
Stay tuned for more updates and analysis on trading opportunities. Happy trading everyone!
USDJPY STRONG FALLING OPPORTUNITY 1. 144.00 Support May Hold Strong
The analysis assumes 144.00 will break, but this is a key psychological and historical support level.
If buyers step in, USD/JPY could reverse back up instead of continuing downward.
2. Rebound Towards 150.00 Possible
Instead of a lower low, USD/JPY could bounce off intermediate demand zones and attempt a retest of resistance at 150.00.
US economic strength (inflation, interest rates) could support the dollar and invalidate the downtrend.
3. Lower Highs are Not Confirmed Yet
If the price stays above 146.50, the trend could shift back bullish, disrupting the bearish projection.
Lack of strong selling pressure near 147.00-146.00 could mean the market is undecided rather than fully bearish
4. Macroeconomic Factors Favor USD Strength
If Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains dovish and the Fed keeps rates high, USD/JPY might resume its uptrend instead of falling
ETHUSD SURELY BULLISH 1. Support at 2130 May Fail
The chart assumes a bounce from 2130 support, but if ETH breaks below this level, it could trigger further liquidations and push price toward 2000 or lower.
Bearish divergence or weakening buy volume could signal a lack of strength.
2. Resistance at 2800 May Hold Strong
The projection suggests ETH will reach 2800, but this could be a strong supply zone where sellers step in.
If ETH struggles around 2400-2500, we might see a reversal instead of a breakout.
3. Lower High Formation
If ETH fails to break above previous highs (~2265+), it could signal a lower high, leading to a downtrend continuation rather than a rally.
Rejection near 2300-2400 might confirm a bearish structure.
4. Macroeconomic & Market Risks
If Bitcoin corrects or macro factors (rate hikes, regulatory news, or stock market weakness) pressure crypto markets, ETH might struggle to sustain upside momentum
XAUUSD strong bullish 1. (Xauusd)Support at 2900 May Not Hold
The chart suggests a bounce from the 2900 support area, but if market sentiment weakens, we could see a breakdown below 2900 instead of a recovery.
If this happens, gold might dip further toward 2850 or even 2800 before regaining strength.
2. Trendline Breakdown is Possible
There's an upward trendline acting as dynamic support, but multiple touches increase the chance of a breakdown rather than a continuation.
A confirmed break below this trendline could lead to bearish momentum rather than a push higher.
3. Resistance May Be Stronger Than Expected
The analysis suggests a move toward 2960-3000, but these levels could act as a strong resistance instead of a breakout zone.
Failure to break 2960 might trigger another sell-off back toward 2900 or lower.
4. Macroeconomic Factors Could Shift Bias
If the US Dollar strengthens or bond yields rise, gold could struggle to gain momentum, invalidating the bullish outlook
Btcusd analysis 1. Support May Hold – The chart suggests a drop to the support area (around $75K-$77K), but strong demand in that region could lead to a rebound instead of a further decline.
2. Higher Low Formation – If BTC stays above $80K and forms a higher low, the bearish breakdown may be invalidated, leading to another push toward resistance ($95K).
3. Liquidity Grab Above Resistance – The market might break above the resistance zone instead of rejecting it. A breakout beyond $95K could trigger a bullish rally toward $100K+.
4. Market Sentiment & Fundamentals – If BTC fundamentals remain strong (ETF inflows, institutional buying, positive macro factors), short-term technical patterns might be overridden by larger buying pressure
AUD CHF SHORT 1H
Hello, I am Professional Trader Andrea Russo.
Today I opened a short position on AUD/CHF based on a series of technical signals that suggest a possible bearish reversal.
Technical Analysis
Trend and Moving AverageThe price has bounced significantly, but is now close to a strong dynamic resistance represented by multiple downward sloping moving averages. This suggests that the recent bullish push may be running out of steam.
Fibonacci RetracementThe bullish move has reached the key 61.8% Fibonacci level, an area that often acts as resistance in a downtrend. From this level, the price has started to show signs of weakness.
Technical Indicators
WaveTrend SwipeUP shows a strong bearish divergence and the overbought signal has already started to reverse.
RSI is falling after touching the 67 level, signaling a possible loss of buyer momentum.
Trend Forecast SwipeUP has crossed down, suggesting an imminent reversal.
Trade Management
Entry: 0.56314 (current price level)
Stop Loss: 0.5684 (just above the main resistance)
Take Profit: 0.5515 (nearest support zone)
Final Thoughts
My strategy is based on multiple confirmations: price structure, technical indicators and reversal patterns. If the price invalidates this analysis by breaking above the resistance with significant volumes, I will close the trade to limit the risk.
Stay tuned for more analysis and updates on the trade!
Andrea Russo | SwipeUP
Precious Metals Gain as U.S. and China Exchange New TariffsSilver surged past $32.5 per ounce in early March, fueled by a weaker dollar and safe-haven demand amid escalating trade tensions. The U.S. imposed tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and an additional 10% on Chinese goods, raising China's total tariff to 20%. In response, Canada levied a 25% tariff on $155 billion of U.S. imports, while China announced 10%-15% tariffs on U.S. goods starting March 10 and new export restrictions. Traders now await Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for Fed policy signals.
If Silver breaks above $32.75, the next resistance levels are $33.15 and $33.80. On the downside, support is at $31.00, with further levels at $30.20 and $29.75 if selling pressure increases.
SHORT - SELL EUR/GBP 1HSHORT - SELL EUR/GBP 1H
Hi, my name is Andrea Russo and I am a Professional Trader specializing in Forex. The EUR/GBP pair has been in a recent downtrend. The decision to sell on an hourly chart (1H) is supported by technical indicators that suggest a continuation of the selling pressure.
Entry Point
Entry Level: 0.83367 This level represents a previous resistance zone that could now act as a starting point for a new bearish wave.
Stop Loss (SL)
SL Level: -0.26 Placing the Stop Loss at this level protects the position in case of unexpected market movements. It is always important to manage risk to avoid excessive losses.
Take Profit (TP)
TP Level: +0.78 The Take Profit was set based on technical analysis and price movement expectations. This level represents a significant profit potential if the price follows the expected direction.
Indicators Used
Alligator: This indicator, composed of three moving averages (lips, teeth and jaw), helps identify trends and consolidation phases. In this case, the moving averages indicate a probable bearish movement.
Wavetrend: Used to detect changes in momentum. A sell signal has been triggered, reinforcing the idea of an impending downtrend.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): This relative strength indicator is useful for identifying overbought or oversold conditions. A high RSI value suggests that the price is in the overbought area, thus favoring a short position.
Trading Strategy
Confirm the trend with the above-mentioned indicators.
Wait for a reversal pattern to form or confirmation of continuation.
Constantly monitor the market for any reversal signals or fundamental news that could affect the EUR/GBP pair.
Adjust the SL and TP levels based on the market movement and volatility.
Conclusions Selling EUR/GBP at 0.83367 with a Stop Loss at -0.26 and a Take Profit at +0.78 is a thoughtful strategy based on current technical analysis. It is essential to follow a rigorous discipline and adapt quickly to market changes to maximize the chances of success.
Andrea Russo
Long Opportunity on GBP/CHF 1H
Hello, I am professional trader Andrea Russo
Today, I want to share with you an interesting opportunity I've identified in the forex market. Specifically, I'm looking at the 1-hour (1H) candlestick chart for the GBP/CHF pair, and I believe there is a great chance to go long.
Technical Analysis
In recent days, GBP/CHF has shown signs of consolidation with strong support around the 1.2100 level. After repeatedly testing this level, I see signals of a potential trend reversal. Here are the key points of my analysis:
Support: As mentioned, the 1.2100 level has provided solid support, repeatedly rejecting attempts to break through.
Resistance: The short-term resistance level is around 1.2200. Breaking through this level could provide further upward momentum.
Technical Indicators: The RSI indicator is moving away from the oversold zone, indicating a potential upward reversal. The MACD indicator is also showing signs of bullish convergence.
Trading Strategy
My strategy for going long on GBP/CHF is based on the following points:
Entry: I will enter at the price level of 1.1332.
Take Profit (TP): My take profit is set at 0.66% above the entry level.
Stop Loss (SL): My stop loss is set at -0.22% below the entry level.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the 1-hour candlestick chart on GBP/CHF is showing promising signals for a long trading opportunity. I will closely monitor the market and execute my strategy at the opportune moment. Always remember to manage risk and conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
GOLD BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GOLD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly falling on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 2,951.561 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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USDJPY analysis week 10Fundamental Analysis
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continued to weaken against the US Dollar (USD), pushing the USD/JPY pair above the psychological 150.00 level in late US trading on Friday. Japanese government bond (JGB) yields fell after Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s government cut its fiscal 2025 budget plan.
However, any meaningful depreciation in the JPY appears to be far off after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) increasingly accepted that it would continue to raise interest rates this year.
Furthermore, USD bulls may refrain from placing aggressive bets and opt to wait for the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for clues on the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting path.
Technical Analysis
USDJPY is heading towards the technical resistance level of 151.200 where sellers are waiting quite a bit. When sellers in this 151,200 price zone cannot push below 150,100, the uptrend will continue to be maintained to the weekly target around 152,200. Note that the weekly support zone of 149,400, if broken, will form a long-term downtrend chain of this currency pair.
ETHUSD WEEKLY CHARTS (ETHUSD)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis
1. Potential Breakout Above 2835 Resistance
The current analysis assumes Ethereum will reject from the 2835 resistance and drop back to 2146.
However, given the strong upward momentum (+13.46%), ETH could break above 2835 instead of reversing.
A daily close above 2835 could trigger a rally toward 3000+.
2. Support Holding at Higher Levels
Instead of expecting a drop to 2146, ETH may form a higher low around 2400 – 2500, which would confirm bullish continuation.
If it retests 2500 and holds, it could bounce back up toward the resistance and push higher.
3. Volume & Momentum Confirmation
The sharp breakout suggests strong buying pressure.
If volume remains high, ETH could invalidate the resistance level and start a new uptrend.
4. Market Sentiment & Macro Factors
If Bitcoin remains bullish, Ethereum will likely follow suit, pushing above resistance levels.
The broader crypto market’s strength could support a continuation rather than a rejection.
Conclusion
Instead of expecting a double-top rejection at 2835, traders should watch for a potential breakout. If ETH stabilizes above 2500, it could lead to a move toward 3000, rather than a drop to 2146
Btcusd weekly chart (btcusd)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis
1. Potential Continuation Above Resistance (95,300)
The current analysis assumes rejection at 95,300 and a drop toward 78,118. However, a strong breakout above 95,300 could trigger a rally toward 100,000 or higher.
If Bitcoin consolidates above 95,300, it may act as a new support, rather than a rejection zone.
2. Volume Confirmation on the Breakout
The price surged significantly (+9.09%), suggesting strong bullish momentum.
Instead of expecting an immediate rejection, watch for high volume confirming a potential continuation upward.
3. Higher Low Formation Instead of a Drop
The chart expects a fall back to 78,118, but the price may form a higher low around 85,000 – 88,000 before resuming the uptrend.
A retracement to this range (not all the way down to 78,118) would still be healthy in a bull market.
4. Market Sentiment Shift
The sharp upward movement suggests buying pressure rather than an exhaustion move.
If 95,300 is tested again and breaks, it could lead to a parabolic move instead of a reversal
GBPJPY weekly analysis (Gbpjpy)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis
1. Breakout Above Resistance at 190.070
The chart suggests rejection from 190.070, but if price breaks and holds above this level, it could signal further upside momentum.
Instead of a bearish move, price could consolidate above 190.165 and push toward 191.003 or higher.
2. Strong Accumulation in the Support Zone (187.800)
The support area at 187.800 has already been tested multiple times, and each time, price has rebounded.
This could indicate a strong demand zone, meaning buyers are stepping in aggressively.
If buyers push price back to resistance and break through, a new bullish trend may emerge.
3. Liquidity Grab Below 188.000
The previous dip below 188.000 may have been a liquidity grab to stop out weak hands before a bullish reversal.
If this assumption holds, price may now aim for higher highs rather than another rejection from resistance.
4. Market Structure Shift
Instead of forming a lower high at resistance, a higher low formation could suggest an uptrend.
If price finds support around 189.000 instead of dropping to 187.800, a bullish continuation pattern would be confirmed
Xauusd weekly charts gold big fall soon opportunity (XAUUSD) Alternative (Bullish) Analysis
1. Support Strength at 2820
The chart suggests that price may drop to 2820, but this area has shown strong support historically
Instead of further breakdown, a strong bounce from this level could lead to a bullish reversal.
2. Potential False Breakdown
The resistance at 2864 is marked as a selling zone, but if price breaks above it, it could trigger stop-losses for short positions, fueling a rally.
If price consolidates above 2864, it could invalidate the bearish projection.
3. Trend Line Reversal
The chart shows a downtrend, but if price breaks above the descending trend line, it would signal a trend reversal rather than continuation.
A bullish breakout above 2864 could target 2900+ levels.
4. Economic Events Impact
The economic events marked (likely U.S. data releases) could trigger volatility.
If these reports are weaker than expected, gold could rally as investors seek safe-haven assets.
Conclusion
While the original chart suggests a bearish move, there's a strong case for a bullish reversal if the support at 2820 holds and price breaches the 2864 resistance. Instead of shorting aggressively, traders should watch for confirmation signals before committing to a bearish or bullish bias
How to Find Best Supply and Demand Zones/Areas in Forex & Gold
In this article, I will show you the strongest supply and demand zones.
These zones are called confluence zones.
I will teach you to identify these areas properly and explain how to apply it in Forex and Gold trading.
Let's start with a short but important theory.
In technical analysis, there are 2 types of supports and resistances.
Horizontal structures are supports and resistance that are based on horizontal key levels.
Vertical structures are supports and resistance that are based on trend lines.
A confluence supply or demand zone, will be the area of the intersection between a horizontal and vertical structures.
Look at GBPJPY pair. I underlined a significant horizontal support and a rising trend line - a vertical support.
We see a clear crossing of both structures.
The trend line and a horizontal support will compose a narrow, contracting area. It will be a confluence demand zone.
Within, with a high probability, a high volume of buying orders will concentrate, and a strong bullish movement will initiate after its test.
Above is one more example of a powerful demand zone.
It was spotted on a Gold chart.
Now let's discuss the supply zone.
There are 2 strong structures on GBPNZD: a vertical resistance - a falling trend line and a horizontal resistance.
These 2 resistances will constitute a confluence supply zone.
That is a powerful resistance cluster that will concentrate the selling orders. Chances will be high to see a strong bearish movement from that.
There is a strong supply zone on CHFJPY that is based on the intersection of a wide horizontal resistance and a falling trend line.
Supply and demand zones that we discussed are very significant. Very often, strong bullish and bearish waves will initiate from these clusters.
Your ability to recognize these zones will help you to make accurate predictions and identify a safe point to open a trading position from
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XAUUSD strong down again 1. Potential for Reversal
The analysis assumes a clear bearish move toward the support area. However, price action may react differently to the resistance zone. If buyers step in, we could see a reversal rather than a continuation downward.
A false breakdown could trap sellers and push the price back up to retest resistance instead.
2. Market Structure Weakness
The chart suggests a Break of Structure (BOS) confirming a downtrend, but the momentum could weaken if volume decreases.
The weak low labeled on the chart could act as a temporary liquidity grab rather than a strong bearish continuation.
3. Economic and Fundamental Factors
Gold is sensitive to economic news, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events. If a news event favors gold, this technical setup could be invalidated.
USD strength or weakness could shift demand for gold, affecting this price projection.
4. Liquidity Considerations
Support and resistance zones are often areas where liquidity is hunted. Market makers may manipulate price to take out stops before the actual move occurs
XAUUSD strong down opportunity soon 1. Trendline Validity
The current trendline is drawn as a downward channel. However, are there enough touches to validate it as a strong trendline? Sometimes, trendlines can be subjective and might not hold.
2. Support & Resistance Strength
The chart marks a "strong selling zone" at resistance, but does it have historical significance? If this level hasn’t been tested multiple times, it might not be as strong.
The support area is expected to hold, but gold is volatile. Is there a fundamental reason supporting a bounce from there?
3. Alternative Scenarios
What if gold breaks out of the downtrend instead of continuing lower? A breakout above resistance could invalidate the bearish expectation.
Instead of a clean bounce at support, price could consolidate sideways or even break below.
4. Fundamental Factors
Are there any upcoming economic events (such as FOMC meetings, CPI reports, or geopolitical tensions) that could disrupt this technical setup?