Btcusd strong analysis opportunity 1. Breakout Possibility Above Resistance
The analysis assumes a rejection at the resistance zone, but Bitcoin could break above it instead, leading to a bullish continuation rather than a reversal.
2. Stronger Support Holding
The projected drop might not occur if the support zone proves stronger than expected, leading to a bounce instead of a decline.
3. Market Volatility & Fundamentals
Bitcoin often moves based on macroeconomic factors, news, or liquidity shifts. A sudden surge in demand could invalidate this technical setup.
4. Inverse Head & Shoulders Formation
If price action forms a higher low, it could indicate accumulation rather than a sell-off, meaning a push toward new highs instead of a decline
Trading-forex
SLIVER STRONG DOWN OPPORTUNITY 1. Resistance Breakout Possibility
The analysis assumes a rejection at resistance, leading to a drop. However, if bullish momentum increases and breaks the resistance, it could trigger a strong rally instead of a decline.
2. Support Weakness
The support area identified might not hold if there's strong bearish pressure. If the price falls sharply, it could break support instead of bouncing, leading to further downside.
3. False Breakout Risk
The projected downtrend might be a false move, where price briefly dips but then rebounds, trapping sellers before reversing to the upside.
4. Market News & Fundamentals
XAUUSD strong bullish analysis opportunity 1. Support May Not Hold – The chart assumes price will respect the support zone and reverse upwards. However, given the strong bearish momentum leading into this level, a breakdown is possible. A break below the support could trigger further declines instead of the expected rebound.
2. Resistance Might Not Be Reached – The analysis predicts a move towards the resistance zone around 2,940, but if selling pressure remains strong, price could stall at the intermediate resistance (around 2,910-2,920) before reversing downward again.
3. Trend Continuation Instead of Reversal – The market is currently in a downtrend, making a continuation of lower lows and lower highs more probable than an immediate bullish reversal. Any short-term bounce might be a liquidity grab before further decline
FFM Targeting 1.5??Hi dear trading lovers and FFM buyers...
PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS IS ONLY AN ANALYSIS AND COULD BE WRONG...
Chart and lines are explaining my idea...
SEEMS FFM is in a uptrend targeting 1.5 and finally 1.7...
Also note that:
"Macquarie has initiated coverage of FireFly Metals with an Outperform rating and set a price target of A$1.50"
GBPNZD Is Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPNZD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 2.217.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 2.209 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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XAUUSD strong down opportunity to big falling 1. Resistance Zone Validity – The marked resistance zone appears strong due to multiple rejections. However, if the price breaks above this zone with strong bullish momentum, a further rally may occur instead of the expected drop.
2. Support Strength – The lower support around 2,890 is a key level. However, if buyers aggressively step in before reaching it, the price could consolidate or reverse prematurely, invalidating the expected bearish move.
3. Market Context – Fundamental factors like economic data, interest rates, or geopolitical events could impact gold prices, overriding this technical setup.
4. False Breakdown Risk – Price could briefly dip below intermediate support and then reverse sharply, trapping sellers in a bear trap
Us30 strong bullish opportunity 1. Overly Bullish Bias
The analysis assumes a clean breakout above support and a strong push to resistance.
However, Dow Jones is known for fakeouts—meaning:
A false breakout above resistance could trap buyers before reversing.
A liquidity grab below support might happen before the real move.
2. Weak Confirmation for the Uptrend
There's no clear volume confirmation—breakouts need high volume to be valid.
Price is consolidating near key Fibonacci levels, meaning a reversal is just as likely as a breakout.
A better approach would be waiting for a strong retest and breakout confirmation.
3. Ignoring Key Fibonacci Levels
The chart includes multiple Fibonacci levels but does not integrate them into the projection.
The 2.618 (43,535) and 3.618 (43,446) levels suggest possible retracements before an upward move
Instead of an instant push-up, a dip to test Fibonacci support is likely.
4. Resistance Might Hold Strong
The resistance area is broad, meaning:
A rejection at resistance could lead to a short-term bearish pullback.
The market might range between the two levels instead of moving in a straight line.
Alternative Scenario:
Instead of assuming an instant bullish move:
1. Bearish Trap First: A false breakout above resistance to trap buyers, followed by a drop.
2. Deeper Retest: Price could revisit support or a Fibonacci level before a true breakout.
3. Wait for Volume Confirmation: If resistance breaks with strong momentum, then an entry makes sense
LONG CHF/HUF: OversoldHello readers, my name is Andrea Russo and I am a Forex Trader. Today I want to share with you an opportunity that I am monitoring in the currency market, specifically the CHF/HUF pair. As many of you may know, when a currency pair enters an oversold phase, it opens up reversal possibilities that are worth exploring. In this case, technical analysis and fundamentals suggest that the CHF/HUF is about to start an upward correction, and my trading idea is to open a long position on this pair.
Why is CHF/HUF oversold?
In the last few days, the Swiss Franc (CHF) has lost ground against the Hungarian Forint (HUF), and prices have fallen below key technical levels. This has pushed the pair into an oversold zone, as evidenced by the RSI (Relative Strength Index) and Stochastic oscillators that are below the 30 level, signaling a possible trend reversal.
Furthermore, fundamental data analysis shows that Switzerland’s monetary policy remains relatively stable, while Hungary is facing economic challenges that could slow down the appreciation of the forint in the coming months. These factors, combined with the technical setup, make the idea of a long CHF/HUF very attractive.
Trading Strategy
My strategy is to enter the market when the pair reaches the support at 375.00 HUF. At this point, I will carefully monitor the technical indicators for reversal signals. A bounce in this area could lead to prices moving up towards the next resistance level at 380.00 HUF, which could offer interesting profit potential for traders willing to manage the risk.
Risk Management
As always, it is essential to maintain strict risk management. I suggest placing a stop loss below the support level at 374.00 HUF, to protect against any adverse movements. The initial profit target can be set at 380.00 HUF, but I will monitor the market for any adjustments based on the price action.
Conclusion
In summary, the CHF/HUF pair is in an oversold zone, and the technical and fundamental conditions suggest a possible reversal to the upside. A long trade could offer an interesting opportunity, provided that the risk is managed properly.
As always, remember that markets are unpredictable, so I encourage you to do your own analysis before entering any trade.
Happy trading!
USD/SEK LONG: Bounce Zone
Investors are currently focused on USD/SEK, which is oversold across multiple timeframes: 1H, 4H, 6H, 10H and 1D. This suggests a possible reversal in the trend, offering interesting buying opportunities for traders looking to capitalize on a potential bounce.
Technical Analysis: Bounce Signals
Oversold across multiple timeframes highlights excessive bearish pressure, which could lead to a technical bounce. When an asset is oversold simultaneously across such large timeframes, a short-term price recovery is likely as sellers begin to run out of steam.
Key Support on 1D Alligator
Additional support for the bounce hypothesis is the USD/SEK position against the 1D Alligator. Currently, the price is at a critical support formed by the Alligator moving averages. This indicator, developed by Bill Williams, is known to identify trends and reversals with good reliability.
When the price approaches the Alligator support, a buyer reaction can be expected, leading to a rebound or even a reversal of the downtrend.
Trading Strategy: LONG on USD/SEK
Considering the oversold and support on the Alligator, a LONG strategy on USD/SEK seems justified. Here is how to set it up:
The USD/SEK is in a technical configuration that favors LONG positions, supported by an oversold condition on multiple timeframes and solid support on the 1D Alligator. However, as always in trading, it is essential to monitor the price action and adapt the strategy according to the evolution of the market.
A disciplined approach and adequate risk management remain key to capitalizing on this potential USD/SEK bounce opportunity.
Bearish on GBP/USD |15M TF analysis This is my analysis on GU. We took buy side liquidity and then broke structure to the downside. Waiting for price retrace back up into a 30 minute order block with a 15M imbalance inside of it and liquidity resting right below it. Will scale down to lower timeframe 1-5M and see what price action does from this zone.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Rebound Opportunities
Hello readers, my name is Andrea Russo and I am a Professional Trader. Today I want to show you my technical analysis on USD/JPY, a currency cross that has caught my attention for its current oversold position. I will analyze the various timeframes (1 day, 4 hours and 1 hour) to give you a clearer overview of the trading opportunities that could open up in the coming days.
Analysis on the Daily Chart (1D)
Let's start with the 1-day chart, where we can clearly see that the USD/JPY pair is in an oversold zone. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) and the price have reached levels that indicate a potential reversal. The bearish trend has been consolidated for several days now, but the market seems to be starting to exhaust its strength, approaching a possible support area. The moving averages (200 EMA, 50 EMA and 20 EMA) suggest a possible price recovery when the market finds stable support. The area where we are is crucial for a possible rebound.
Analysis on the 4-Hour (4H) Chart
Moving to the 4-hour chart, the situation is similar: the RSI is clearly in the oversold zone, and we can observe that the price has made a significant correction. This tells us that the market could be ready to reverse direction, with a recovery towards the next resistance level, located near 152,500. The structure of the market in this time frame suggests that it could be a good time to enter a long trade with short-term targets.
Analysis on the 1-Hour (1H) Chart
Finally, the 1-hour chart further confirms our hypothesis of an oversold zone. The RSI has reached extreme levels, indicating that the market could remain in this condition for a while, but a correction is also likely to occur soon. The price action on this timeframe indicates a potential entry opportunity for those looking to take advantage of a technical bounce. The short-term moving averages are starting to move away from the price, which could indicate a change in the direction of the trend.
Conclusion
In summary, USD/JPY seems to be in an oversold phase on all major timeframes (1D, 4H, 1H). This could be a signal that the market is ready to retrace, with a possible rally in the coming days. Traders could consider entering a long position, looking to take advantage of a technical bounce towards resistances. However, it is crucial to monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as the RSI, to try to avoid trading in a further downside environment.
As always, I recommend using rigorous risk management to protect your capital in the event of unexpected market movements.
Happy trading and see you soon with more analysis!
Andrea Russo
EURGBP Will Fall! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURGBP.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.831.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.826.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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USD/JPY (Trade Recap -0.5%) and GBP/CAD ShortGBP/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejections.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Forex: Why and How to Use TradingView
Dear readers, I am Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about the reason why I use TradingView.
The Forex (Foreign Exchange) market is one of the largest and most dynamic in the world, with over 6 trillion dollars traded every day.
TradingView is one of the most popular platforms for technical analysis and chart viewing, particularly appreciated by Forex traders. In this guide, we will explore how to use TradingView to trade Forex, taking advantage of the tools and features offered by the platform.
What is TradingView?
TradingView is a technical analysis platform that offers advanced charts, drawing tools, customizable indicators, and an active community of traders. Among its main features:
Real-time charts on any timeframe, from 1 minute to daily or weekly.
Technical indicators such as RSI, MACD, moving averages, and much more.
Social trading to share ideas with other traders and learn from their analysis.
Drawing tools to plot trends, channels, and Fibonacci.
With its user-friendly interface, TradingView is ideal for beginner traders and those looking for advanced analysis.
How to Trade Forex with TradingView
1. Choose a Currency Pair
The first step to start trading Forex is to choose a currency pair to analyze, such as EUR/USD or GBP/JPY. Each pair represents the value relationship between two currencies. For example, in the case of EUR/USD, the base currency is the Euro and the counter currency is the US Dollar.
2. Use Charts
TradingView offers several views:
Candlestick Chart: Shows price movements in specific time frames. It is the most used chart in Forex.
Line Chart: Shows only closing prices, useful for observing general trends.
Bar Chart: Shows the open, close, high and low for each period.
These visualizations help you better understand the market trend.
3. Set Indicators
Indicators are essential tools in technical trading. On TradingView, you can use:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Shows whether a currency pair is overbought or oversold (levels above 70 indicate overbought, below 30 oversold).
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Provides trend reversal signals and can be used to confirm the market direction.
Moving Averages (MA): Helps identify the market direction and filter trading signals.
4. Customize Drawing Tools
TradingView offers powerful drawing tools such as:
Trend Lines: To plot support and resistance levels.
Fibonacci Retracement: To identify key price reversal levels.
Channels: To analyze price movements within a defined range.
These tools allow you to precisely track market entry and exit points.
5. Create Alerts
TradingView allows you to set custom alerts. You can receive notifications via email or directly on the platform when the price reaches certain levels. This is particularly useful for not missing important trading opportunities.
Forex Trading Strategies
1. Trend Trading
One of the most common strategies is trend following. When the market is in an uptrend (bullish trend), buy; when it is in a downtrend (bearish trend), sell. Use moving averages or the MACD indicator to identify the direction of the trend.
2. Retracement Trading
Retracements are corrective movements within a trend. You can use Fibonacci Retracement to identify support and resistance levels, and wait for the price to retrace before entering the market in the direction of the main trend.
3. Scalping
Scalping is a short-term strategy that aims to make small profits from rapid price movements. Use short timeframes (for example 1 minute or 5 minutes) and take advantage of spikes in volatility.
4. Breakout Trading
Breakout trading is based on breaking key support or resistance levels. When the price breaks these levels, a strong move in one direction is expected. Indicators such as ATR (Average True Range) help you monitor volatility and choose the right times to enter the market.
Forex Trading Tips
Risk Management: Forex is a highly leveraged market, so protecting your capital is key. Use stop losses and take profits to limit losses and protect gains.
Conclusions
TradingView is an excellent tool for Forex trading, thanks to its wide range of advanced features, ease of use and the ability to analyze charts accurately.
EURNZD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURNZD.
Time Frame: 30m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.845.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.841 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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XAUUSD is on structural support on H4As in our recent previous commantary we mentioned our selling order which Tp has been hit with 130 pips.
What possible scenario do we have?
We are still expecting the little correction towards at 2855-2860 if 2880 structural support break 2855-2860 on mark.
On the other hand ,for buyers if H4 Candle closes above 2890 our eyes will be again at 2930 structure.
Today CPI Fundamental is also on alert ⚠️
GBP/CAD Short, EUR/NZD Long and USD/JPY ShortGBP/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H high tests.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/NZD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 1H continuation follows, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 1H continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 1H risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
GBPJPY Will Move Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 191.143.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 190.342 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USD/JPY ShortUSD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/GBP 30M Order Block Mitigation -Waiting for sweep then EntryDescription:
EUR/GBP is following my 30M bullish bias after mitigating a key order block. Initially, I dropped to the 5M timeframe for entry and spotted a clean CHoCH confirmation, but price moved too fast before I could execute.
Instead of chasing, I followed price action and noticed it mitigated a few inducements (IDM) on the way up. Now, I’m patiently waiting for a fresh liquidity sweep to confirm re-entry for the next 30M continuation to the highs.
Key Observations:
✅ 30M Mitigated Order Block – Confirms bullish bias.
✅ 5M CHoCH Formed – Entry was possible but moved too fast.
✅ Inducements Mitigated – Following price to see a fresh sweep for better entry.
📌 Next Step: Watching for a clean liquidity grab before confirming my entry.
Let me know what you think—are you seeing the same liquidity moves?
Bless Trading!
USD/JPY Short and EUR/NZD LongUSD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Break above area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/NZD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Break below area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USD/JPY - Bullish Bias🔹 4H Timeframe:
• Broke major Higher High (HH) → External structure remains bullish.
• Took out inducement before retracing into an internal structure order block (demand zone).
• Expecting a continuation to the upside.
🔹 30M Timeframe:
• Liquidity sweep at the lows → Preparing for a potential reversal.
• Now waiting for CHoCH + break of major LH for confirmation.
• Plan: If CHoCH confirms, look for an order block retest entry to ride the trend higher.
🎯 Target: Next external high.
🛑 Invalidation: If price fails to reclaim previous structure and starts forming LHs & LLs.
EURNZD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURNZD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.824.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.804 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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