Gold prices closed at high prices creating momentum for 2024This morning, global spot gold prices were at $2,053.2 per ounce and gold futures were at $2,064.5, as markets were still closed after Christmas.
Last week, global gold prices registered a slight increase in the last trading session, but the $2,050 per ounce level remained a key resistance level that would be difficult for the precious metal to overcome. However, prominent commodity investor Dennis Gartman said that while stressing the increased risks following the recent sell-off in gold futures prices to an all-time high of more than $2,150 an ounce, He said prices could rise in the short term.
Dennis Gartman remains bullish on gold, saying the precious metal is supported by security demand amid concerns about increasing geopolitical instability. While the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy will be the biggest driver of the gold market in 2023, demand for safe-haven assets is being driven by concerns about geopolitical instability, Gartman said. It is said that there is. Inflation risks in the near future will likely cast a shadow.
Trading-forex
GBPUSD tends to decrease when it hits resistanceGBPUSD inched up heading into the weekend but hit a roadblock at cluster resistance stretching from 1.2727 to1.2769, where a crucial Fibonacci level converges with a downtrend line extended from the 2023 peak. Reinforcing bullish momentum requires clearing this technical hurdle; with a successful breakout likely paving the way for a move towards 1.2800, followed by 1.3000.
On the other hand, if sellers stage a comeback and initiate a bearish reversal, trendline support is located around the 1.2600 area. This dynamic floor may offer stability during a pullback, but a push below it could usher in a retest of the 200-day simple moving average hovering slightly above the 1.2500 handle. Further weakness could redirect attention to 1.2455.
EURUSD is trending downAs of the most recent data, the EUR/USD currency pair is currently trading at approximately 1.1000. The pair has experienced some volatility in recent sessions due to a combination of factors including economic data releases, central bank announcements, and global geopolitical events. The euro has faced pressure from concerns about the economic impact of the Omicron variant, as well as uncertainty surrounding the European Central Bank's monetary policy outlook. On the other hand, the US dollar has been influenced by the Federal Reserve's tapering of its asset purchase program and speculation about the pace of future interest rate hikes.
In the short term, the EUR/USD pair has been trading within a relatively narrow range, as market participants assess the evolving economic landscape and central bank policies. Traders are closely monitoring key economic indicators such as inflation, employment data, and consumer spending, which can influence the direction of the currency pair. Additionally, any developments related to trade tensions, geopolitical risks, or major policy announcements from the ECB or the Fed could also impact the exchange rate.
From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair is about to test a resistance levels, with market participants closely watching for potential breakout opportunities. Traders are also monitoring the 50-day and 200-day moving averages for potential signals of trend direction. The pair's current position reflects a cautious sentiment among market participants, with a focus on risk management and potential opportunities for short-term trading strategies.
SPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 473.65
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 452.88
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD trading strategy todayThe technical analysis of the Pound to US Dollar (GBP/USD) pairing adds another layer to the narrative. The currency pair is currently approaching a critical support level at $1.265, representing a potential pullback point. This level aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels, including the 50.0% retracement and the 61.8% projection levels. This confluence could act as a substantial support zone, providing a platform for a potential bounce-back.
For traders eyeing potential entry points, the advised buy entry is at $1.265, with this level considered a pullback support bolstered by Fibonacci confluence. Setting a strategic stop loss at $1.26000, just below the pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, aims to mitigate potential downside risks. In terms of potential gains, the take profit level is set at $1.2800 which aligns with a pullback resistance.
GOLD price trend todayGold prices fluctuated in a narrow range during the early Asian session. Guided by the 60-day SMA in the 1H chart, gold fluctuates downward. Early in the US session, the USD recovered from lows following the data and hawkish comments from Fed officials. Gold then lost value and once fell to $2027.50, closing the daily chart lower. Along with yesterday's growth, gold has formed an excessive bearish signal, indicating retracement pressure.
GBP/CAD Long and EUR/USD ShortGBP/CAD Long
• If price impulses up above our most recent high, it does so in a convincing manner and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUDUSD is likely to fall then rise againThe AUDUSD witnessed a remarkable rebound this week, surging to the 0.6791 level on Thursday, marking the highest level since late July.
After a failed attempt at the beginning of the month, the bulls finally broke above the resistance trendline dating back to April 2022, adding to the market's optimistic sentiment that the upward reversal from the year's low point in October may continue. The RSI and the stochastic oscillator align with this view, as they fluctuate around the 70 and 80 levels, respectively, without confirming overbought conditions.
The 0.6791 level, which has restricted both upward and downward trends for over a year, is currently under scrutiny. If it gives way, the upward momentum could accelerate toward the 0.6800 level and then rise to the double-top formation at 0.6894 from June to July 2023. If bulls make further progress, the next resistance may emerge around the 0.6980 area.
Alternatively, a downward correction may initially pause between the nearby support at 0.6655 and the breached resistance trendline. If this bottom holds, the asset might seek shelter near the exponential moving averages, currently situated between 0.6520 and 0.6600. Subsequent further declines could find stability around the 2020 ascending trendline at 0.6470 or lower near 0.6400. Afterward, attention might shift to the crucial 0.6269-0.6300 region.
Overall, the AUDUSD maintains a bullish bias. While the recent strong rebound may slow down, bulls could focus on the 0.6830 area as the potential endpoint of the upward impulse waves in the coming trading days.
In terms of trading strategy, buying the dips is recommended.
GBPUSD tends to decrease when it hits resistanceOn Wednesday, the GBPUSD fell sharply during the European session as UK inflation for November came in below expectations. The fresh weakness is expected to completely reverse Tuesday's gains and challenge key support at 1.2636. With the overall decline of the GBPUSD, bears are expected to test the starting point of the upward impulse waves. Subsequently, the bullish bias will still exist to keep the structure of "upward impulse waves" intact.
But the focus is now on the downside. As the Relative Strength Index in the 4H timeframe fell below 50 and below the lower limit of the long-term rising regression channel, reflecting a shift in the technical outlook to bearish.
On the downside, the 1.2600 level is now the first support level for the bullish market. A 4-hour close below this level could open the door to a further slide towards the 1.2550 level. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
AUDUSD Market analysis strategy todayAUDUSD has seen a notable recovery this week, rising to 0.6791 on Thursday, marking its highest level since late July.
After a failed attempt at the beginning of the month, bulls finally broke above the resistance trend line dating back to April 2022, adding to market optimism that the trend is reversing upwards from the lows of the year in October can continue. The RSI and stochastic oscillator are consistent with this view as they fluctuate around the 70 and 80 levels respectively without confirming overbought conditions.
Overall, AUDUSD maintains an uptrend. Although the recent strong recovery may slow, bulls may focus on the 0.6830 area as this is the potential endpoint of the upward impulse waves in the coming trading days.
XAUUSD is trending downYesterday's gold price in the Asian session mainly fluctuated in a narrow range. At the beginning of the US session, the gold price quickly climbed higher on the weaker dollar index, and it once closed to 2047. However, pressured by the hawkish remarks and strong economic data, the gold price slightly retraced, ultimately closing with a small bull candle. The current gold price is in the upper edge of the fluctuation range of the last 2 weeks and temporarily faces resistance. Back to the technical analysis, the daily uptrend is obvious, but the MACD signal has been at a high level. The 1-hour price stood above the 60-day moving average. It may be aligned to the 60-day MA in the lack of main intraday drivers. The support at $2028 should be focused on, and further support is at the $2015 level. Today's reference trading range is 2015-2048, in which you can still buy low and sell high, and aggressive traders can refer to a smaller range of 2028-2040.
EURUSD trading ideas todayThe EURUSD lost momentum on Wednesday as concerns about the eurozone's economic outlook intensified. However, the intraday bias remains neutral and more consolidation is likely below 1.1008. A further rebound is expected as long as the 1.0722 support level is held. On the upside, a break above 1.1016 would resume the overall uptrend starting from 1.0450 and retest the high of 1.1274.
From a broader perspective, the EURUSD is still hovering within a consolidation zone in 2023 with strong resistance at 1.1275 (a 17-month high) and support at 1.0450 (a 10-month low).
If it breaks above the 200-week EMA, then it could touch the 200-week EMA at 1.1150 ahead of 1.1275. a move higher could shift the bias to bullish. However, any move below the 50-week and 100-week SMAs will cause it to fall to 1.0450, below which the psychological barrier of 1.0200 will be closely watched to prevent further declines.
In the near term, the EURUSD could break below 1.0880 and the 4-hour 100 SMA at 1.0870 to add bearish pressure and turn bears' attention to 1.0825 until the December low at 1.0715. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
GBPUSD trading strategy todayOn Wednesday, the GBPUSD fell sharply during the European session as UK inflation for November came in below expectations. The fresh weakness is expected to completely reverse Tuesday's gains and challenge key support at 1.2636. With the overall decline of the GBPUSD, bears are expected to test the starting point of the upward impulse waves. Subsequently, the bullish bias will still exist to keep the structure of "upward impulse waves" intact.
But the focus is now on the downside. As the Relative Strength Index in the 4H timeframe fell below 50 and below the lower limit of the long-term rising regression channel, reflecting a shift in the technical outlook to bearish.
On the downside, the 1.2600 level is now the first support level for the bullish market. A 4-hour close below this level could open the door to a further slide towards the 1.2550 level. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
GBP/CAD Long and GBP/USD LongGBP/CAD Long
• If price impulses up above our most recent high, it does so in a convincing manner and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/USD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up above our most recent low followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EURUSD strategy todayThe EURUSD lost momentum on Wednesday as concerns about the eurozone's economic outlook intensified. However, the intraday bias remains neutral and more consolidation is likely below 1.1008. A further rebound is expected as long as the 1.0722 support level is held. On the upside, a break above 1.1016 would resume the overall uptrend starting from 1.0450 and retest the high of 1.1274. If it breaks above the 200-week EMA then it could touch the 200-week EMA at 1.1150 before 1.1275. a move higher could turn the trend to bullish. However, any move below the 50-week and 100-week SMA would see it fall towards 1.0450, below which the psychological barrier of 1.0200 will be closely watched to prevent further decline.
In the near term, EURUSD could break below 1.0880 and 4-hour SMA 100 at 1.0870 to add to bearish pressure and shift bears' attention to level 1, 0825 to the December low of 1.0715. Should sell at a high level.
EURUSD tends to decrease when it encounters resistanceThe EURUSD appeared to be on firm footing on Monday after falling below the psychological barrier of 1.10 on Friday. However, the recovery is unlikely to last long as much weaker-than-expected German Ifo data and rising bearish momentum in the 1D timeframe are keeping the near-term trend under pressure.
Additionally, last week's (1W timeframe) long upper shadow and the repeated failure of the weekly close to break above the 1.1000 threshold exacerbated the negative signals of the momentum.
Currently, the price is holding above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.0900 of the 1.0723 - 1.1009 uptrend line, which is expected to show a slight bullish bias, but more work on the upside (e.g., a close above 1.0950) would be needed to remove the downside threat; otherwise, a continuation of the bearish structure would be expected.
It fell below the threshold of 1.0900 and the 20-day SMA (1.0875), which will likely lead to further declines after the completion of the reversal pattern and the double top. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
GBPUSD: GBPUSD trend today December 19The dollar index fell 0.1% as markets weighed potential timing of 2024 Fed, ECB and BoE rate cuts and whether the BoJ on Tuesday will offer more clarity regarding when they might hike.
That came after last week's dovish Fed and hawkish ECB and BoE meetings and Fed speakers' pushback against big 2024 rate cut pricing.
EUR/USD rose 0.3% in line with the Bunds-Treasury yields spreads rebound fostered by more ECB policymakers arguing against early 2024 rate cuts with disinflation metrics not yet met. But German Ifo business sentiment worsened, creating risk of a second quarterly GDP drop and thus recession reading.
GBP/CAD LongGBP/CAD Long
• If price impulses up above our rayline, it does so in a convincing manner and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/CAD BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello,Friends!
We are now examining the USD/CAD pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 1.356 level.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GBP/CAD Long, CAD/CHF Long, NZD/USD Long and AUD/USD LongGBP/CAD Long
• If price impulses up above our most recent high, it does so in a convincing manner and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
CAD/CHF Long
• If price corrects and a three touch tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NZD/USD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up above our most recent low followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/USD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up above our most recent low followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBPCAD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GBPCAD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.7059
Bias - Bullish
Safe Stop Loss - 1.7015
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.7134
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TESLA Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
TESLA looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 253.23 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 245.32
About Used Indicators:
The average true range ATR plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY did what it should do as Per my analysis,what next?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Here's my evaluation of the pair and moving forward what is there to expect.
But let's revisit what has happened over this week. If you have not yet seen my previous post of USDJPY , you maybe refer to link below or here >>
Let's roll back on time on USDJPY to Monday, the start of the week. We see that it has been super bullish on Monday clearing the 145 and even 146.5 level that I have mentioned.
First of all we don’t see any sign on turning even on the one hourly chart for UJ. Therefore, nothing for us to short on that day.
The interesting part comes on Tues, where it seems like all the technicals aligned.
You can refer back to the analysis post I mentioned last week. I mentoned about the downtrend line on the daily and H4. 146.5 area also coincide by the last support turned resistance I hightlighted. So, naturally here's the place for us to look for short, which we saw a breakout of the consolidation and it came lower.
If you missed that, we do have opportunities to short 2 more times before the last strong move downwards on Thursday 3am Singapore time.
And then, for the rest of Thurs to Fri, it has been consolidating.
So, what to expect next?
Like I have mentioned, if the BOJ has no sign of increasing its rate, tighten their monetary policy, very likely we would see the USDJPY to resume back its longer term uptrend moves.
BUT if the BOJ indeed has some "actions" or hint to increase it rate and tighten, the likely the market will move further downwards. And that's probably why the USDJPY has consolidated right on its up trendline of the year since Jan 2023.
Let's see how PA unfolds from here on!
Happy Trading!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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