Today's gold trading ideaYesterday, gold prices edged higher to $2036 in the Asian session and then fell rapidly to around $2017. After gaining support, gold prices rebounded to around $2025 and finally closed with a small bull candle, which also ended the 2 consecutive declines. The market began to stabilize. Investors who want to go short need to be cautious and should not chase the market to sell low. Instead, they should go short with small positions after a rebound. At the daily level, as the MACD formed a death cross at a high level, the retreat is still not over. However, a golden cross is likely to show in the 4-hour chart. If gold can rebound to around $2052 and form a local head and shoulders top pattern, perhaps the daily pullback will be smoother. The upper edge of volatility range should be higher today. The resistance is near $2041, with further resistance at the shoulder position of $2052. Today's reference trading range is $2017-$2041, and aggressive traders can buy low and sell high in the range.
❌❌❌: Close all orders when there is news.
OANDA:XAUUSD XAUUSD SELL 2038 - 2040
✔️TP1: 2033
✔️TP2: 2028
🛑SL: 2045
Trading-forex
EURUSD is likely to fall, touching supportThe euro EURUSD inched 0.07% lower to $1.0757, its lowest point since Nov. 14. The single currency is down 1% this week and is on course for the steepest weekly decline since May.
Traders are betting that there is about an 85% chance that the ECB cuts interest rates at the March meeting, with almost 150 basis points' worth of easing priced by the end of next year.
The question of a rate cut could emerge in 2024, ECB member and Bank of France head Francois Villeroy de Galhau told a French paper in an interview published on Wednesday.
Villeroy said that "disinflation is happening more quickly than we thought".
The ECB will set interest rates on Thursday next week and is all but certain to leave them at the current record high of 4%, although the focus will be on comments from officials about rates outlook.
A slim majority of economists in a Reuters poll expect the ECB to cut rates in the second quarter of next year, earlier than previously thought, with a new tug of war on the exact timing of the first cut emerging.
The dollar has found its footing this month after a 3% drop in November as traders ramp up rate cut bets for other central banks.
GBP/CHF Long, USD/CAD Short and EUR/GBP ShortGBP/CHF Long
• If price impulses up, it does so in a convincing manner and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/CAD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/GBP Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/JPY BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello,Friends!
We are going long on the EUR/JPY with the target of 161.238 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band.However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GBPUSD has an upward trendGBP/USD fell on Tuesday, extending its drop for a second consecutive day after failing to clear a key ceiling near 1.2720, which corresponds to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the July/October slump. Should losses deepen this week, it is important to watch how prices behave around the 1.2590-1.2570 support zone, bearing in mind that a breakdown could expose the 200-day simple moving average.
Conversely, if cable manages to rebound from current levels, technical resistance is positioned at 1.2720. Cementing the underlying bullish outlook requires the pair to take out this hurdle on daily closing prices, with a decisive breakout likely to draw fresh buyers into the market and foster conditions conducive to a rally above 1.2800.
Gold trading strategy todayYesterday, gold prices saw an inverted deep V-shape reversal. Gold prices surged sharply higher in morning trading, hitting an all-time high of 2145. Subsequently, they fluctuated downwards, stopped falling around 2020, and finally closed with a full bear candle with a long upper shadow. At this point, the gold price trend has also shown signs of a top, forming a bearish piercing pattern. At the same time, the signs of bearish divergence have not changed. The MACD indicator on the daily chart is in the overbought area and tends to form a death cross. But judging from the hourly chart, after yesterday's plunge, the MACD indicator has entered the oversold area and has formed a golden cross. During the day, gold prices may rebound at the hourly level, and the specific strength of the rebound depends on the momentum. Investors could temporarily expect a slight rebound in the Asian session, and strong resistance is in the 2050 area where we can enter short positions. The first support level is around $2020, and further support is at $2010. The reference trading range today is 2010-2050, and it is recommended to buy low and sell high and pay attention to controlling losses.
TVC:GOLD XAUUSD BUY 2008 - 2006
✔️TP1: 2014
✔️TP2: 2018
🚫SL: 2003
[EDU] Why Risking 5-10% a trade is sucidal?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Here are 5 reasons why it is too RISKY and you should'nt do it!
> Challenges to recover
- Large losses require proportionally larger gains to recover. A 50% drawdown requires you to have a gain of 100% to BREAKEVEN!
> Emotional Stresses
- Trading with such high risk can amplify your stress and anxiety. Fear and panic may set in during losing streaks, impairing sound decision-making and leading to impulsive actions.
> Account Blow-Up Risk
- You just need to have a string of 5-6 losses and that will be devasting to both your mental and capital, which could lead to margin calls.
> Reduced Learning Opportunities
- Excessive risk can limit the number of learning opportunities for a trader. If a significant portion of the trading capital is lost quickly, the trader may not have the resources to apply lessons learned from mistakes. Why not risk 1-3% a trade, if at 1% you have under your belt , 100 times to lose !
> Market Volatility Impact
- In volatile market conditions, high-risk strategies can be particularly vulnerable. Sudden price movements can result in larger-than-expected losses.What if you got caught in a black swan event? Ouch...That sucks!
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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EURUSD is trending downEUR/USD rallied vigorously in November, but has started to retrace some of that advance in recent days, with bearish pressure easing as prices tested the 200-day simple moving average. It is important for bulls to defend this technical indicator, which currently symbolizes support; a failure to do so could result in a decline toward 1.0765, followed by 1.0650.
On the flip side, if the common currency regains the upper hand against the greenback and stages a meaningful comeback, technical resistance looms at 1.0960 – the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the July/October decline. Sustained strength could lead to revisiting November's peak, followed by a move towards horizontal resistance at 1.1080 upon a breakout.
NZD/USD Long and GBP/USD LongNZD/USD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/USD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBPUSD tends to increase againGBPUSD failed to find acceptance above the 1.2700 mark on a daily timeframe, spending the best part of 5 days attempting to break higher. Having printed a fresh high however, the pair was in line for a retracement which has been facilitated by a return in US Dollar Strength. The question now will be whether we can push on toward the 1.2500 handle and beyond?
There are some mixed signals being thrown up at present, we have just had a golden cross pattern play out as we have the 20-day MA crossing above the 100 and 200-day MAs hinting at bullish momentum. This is in contrast to the candlesticks with GBPUSD on course for a bearish engulfing close which could hint at further downside ahead tomorrow. This sets us up for an interesting day of price action ahead and one which may require a nimble approach to find worthwhile opportunities.
Today's gold trading strategyGold pulled up quickly in the European and U.S. sessions after falling from $2049 to $2033 in the Asian session, once reached $2075 and approached the historical high. Many significant positions are accumulated to prepare the new high for this morning. Moreover, stop-loss orders were removed in the morning session and gold once ascended to $2145 by over $70. Although it is unreasonable, the market should be respected, and gold retraced by $60 immediately. Regarding the trend, gold should keep the bullish trend, and the previous high of $2081 will be turned from resistance to support. Despite a serious bearish divergence in the daily chart and the weekly chart, the top and bottom are still to be decided until the unilateral trend is broken. At present, after falling from highs, the wash trading is enough, and investors should not chase the upward trend even if they keep a bullish view. Additionally, gold may oscillate at highs or even consolidate with a retracement at the beginning of this week, and the essential factor to be considered is the Nonfarm Payrolls. According to the 1H chart, MACD forms a death cross at the overbought area, and there will be retracements today. Meanwhile, the initial support below will be in the range from $2070 to $2080, when further strong support will be at $2050. For trading recommendations, the effective range will start from $2050 to $2100, in which investors could buy low and sell high, and control the stop loss.
TVC:GOLD BUY XAUUSD 2012-2010
✔️TP1 2020
✔️TP2 2025
❌SL 2005
Pre USA Setups I'm Looking at for Intraday Momentum ScalpsHey traders, a preview for how to apply my simple momentum scalping strategy to the USA session today.
As always, these are the main steps:
Identify an intraday directional bias
Identify the key levels
Identify trade entry triggers
Manage the trade with attention to "Actual Risk"
NJ,trend still pushing for more upside?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
NJ on the higher timeframe of D1 and H4 still bullish to me. Decent pullback should be buying and good for swing long up.
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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NZDJPY Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NZDJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 90.744
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 91.045
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUD/CAD Long, EUR/USD Long, NZD/USD Long and GBP/USD LongAUD/CAD Long
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD Long
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NZD/USD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/USD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBPUSD is trending downGBP/USD has risen sharply over the past three weeks, logging solid gains that have coincided with a shift in favor of riskier currencies at the expense of the broader U.S. dollar. After recent price developments, cable is flirting with overhead resistance at 1.2720, defined by the 61.8% Fib retracement of the July/October selloff. If the bulls manage to clear this ceiling, a rally potentially exceeding 1.2800 might unfold.
Conversely, if bullish impetus fades and sellers start to regain the upper hand, we may see a retrenchment towards 1.2590. GBP/USD could stabilize around this technical floor on a pullback before resuming its advance, but a break below the region could intensify bearish pressure, opening the door for a decline towards trendline support and the 200-day moving average slightly above 1.2460.
According to technical analysis, gold will increaseGold jumped more than 3% to above $2,100 early on Monday before paring those gains, hitting fresh all-time highs amid growing expectations that the US Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady at this month’s meeting and could start cutting rates next year.
Traders also doubled down on those bets despite Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s pushback against rate-cut expectations, saying it’s “premature” to anticipate policy easing.
Markets now see a 60% chance that the US central bank could reduce its policy rate in March next year and are fully pricing in a cut in May.
On the data front, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI came in below estimates in November, pointing to the 13th consecutive contraction in the factory activity and supporting the softer rate outlook.
Additionally, the latest US PCE inflation reading indicated a slowdown in prices, while continuing jobless claims reached a two-year high.
OANDA:XAUUSD BUY XAUUSD 2080-2078-2075
✔️TP1 2085
✔️TP2 2090
❌SL 2070
NATGAS Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NATGAS below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2.777
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2.866
Recommended Stop Loss - 2.727
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Usdsgd still bearish bias Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Last week, i mentioned about USDSGD having to make more downwards movement (in my tradingview stream), this coming week i believe it would be the same considering the break of the support and currently just tested and seems rejecting it.
Let's see how it unfolds next week.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
*********************************************************************
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
*********************************************************************
GbpCad hold or not to hold?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
GbpCad at a key turning point ,to see more downside or continue its uptrend if it hold 1.71 band..let's watch and act accordingly.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
*********************************************************************
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
*********************************************************************
EURUSD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0948
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.0915
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDCAD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on NZDCAD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.8347 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.8282
Safe Stop Loss - 0.8384
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/USD LongEUR/USD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.