AUDUSD Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
AUDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.6628 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.6548
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6659
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Trading-forex
Eurgbp, more downside to come,*Fire in the Hole*!
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The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared.
Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
EURUSD is likely to fall to the bottom of the rising price channThe euro fell 0.17% versus the dollar to $1.0973 EURUSD, pressured by inflation data from Germany showing price growth slowed to 2.3% year-on-year in November from 3% in October. Inflation in Spain also slowed sharply.
The euro zone-wide inflation figure is due out on Thursday, before the Fed's preferred measure of U.S. inflation, the personal consumption expenditures index, or PCE, is released.
The market's fixation on inflation will likely shift to labor data as the degree of the economic slowdown takes precedence over the pace of decelerating prices, Upadhyaya said.
"Now the labor market is going be the big focus because it's the statistic that could lead to a Fed pivot from a pause to a cut," he said.
Today's gold trading strategyGold edges higher in the early morning Asian session, underpinned by prospects of Fed rate cuts next year, which would increase the appeal of the non-interest-bearing precious metal. Treasury yields have stayed under pressure following Fed governor Waller's comments earlier this week that monetary policy is well-positioned to return inflation to a 2% target, ANZ Research analysts say in a report. A JPMorgan Chase survey shows investors are increasingly positioning for a hard economic landing and aggressive Fed policy easing next year, the analysts note. Spot gold is 0.1% higher at $2,045.45/oz.
XAUUSD SELL 2048 - 2051
🟢TP1: 2042
🟢TP2: 2038
🔴SL: 2053
XAUUSD BUY 2027 - 2025
🟢TP1: 2032
🟢TP2: 2037
🔴SL: 2020
USOIL What Next? BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 75.13
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 76.80
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD has a downward trendGBP/USD has been on a bullish tear in November, rising nearly 4.5% since the beginning of the month. After Tuesday's gains, the pair has reached its best level since late August, but has been unable to reclaim the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the July/October slump (1.2720). If this ceiling holds, the upside momentum could run out of steam, paving the way for a drop towards 1.2590, followed by 1.2460.
In the event of a clear break above 1.2720, sentiment on sterling is likely to improve, unleashing animal spirits that could propel a potential upward move towards 1.2850. On further strength, buying interest could accelerate, opening the door to a climb toward the 1.3000 handle. Although the bullish case for GBP/USD is strong, it is important to exercise caution as the pair is about to enter overbought territory
AUD/CAD LongAUD/CAD Short
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Gold is likely to decrease slightly then increaseGold rose toward $2,050 an ounce on Wednesday, hitting its highest levels in nearly seven months and benefitting mainly from a sharp decline in the dollar amid dovish remarks from US Federal Reserve officials.
Fed Governor Christopher Waller said that current monetary settings are restrictive enough, and flagged a possible rate cut in the coming months.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee also noted significant progress on inflation.
Markets now see a 40% chance the Fed could start easing as early as March 2024.
Elsewhere, Australia’s monthly inflation gauge slowed more than expected in October as goods prices eased.
Meanwhile, New Zealand’s central bank kept the cash rate unchanged, but warned that another hike may be necessary if inflation persists.
Yesterday on the golden day chart, an engulfing candle was created and RSI was in the overbought zone, stochastic was also in the overbought zone, so today we only scalped about 30-40 pips
TVC:GOLD XAUUSD SELL 2048 - 2050
🟢TP1: 2044
🟢TP2: 2040
🔴SL: 2053
NZDCHF Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NZDCHF below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.5368
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.5346
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Xau/Usd Hello traders!
It can be seen that the pair has touched the level (2018.00). In my opinion, the pair will touch the level (2021.00) since it is also a Fibonacci level. Then I expect a decrease to the level (1929.50). Be patient and wait for the breakout to enter the trade. Be careful!
Don`t forget to look at the economic calendar!
MAKE MONEY AND ENJOY LIFE 💰
THANK YOU!
GOOD LUCK!
🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻
[EDU] Trading the Chart pattern SeriesTrading the Chart pattern
Basics and Advanced Concepts
Anatomy of Head and Shoulders
Head and shoulder could possibly be one of the most common chart pattern we see on the chart. So what makes up this pattern?
They are:
1. Left Shoulder:
> The left shoulder forms as the price initially rises and then experiences a pullback. This creates the left peak of the pattern.
> The pullback is typically less severe than the subsequent pullback after the head is formed.
2. Head:
> The head is formed when the price makes a higher peak than the left shoulder, indicating a strong upward movement.
> The head is the highest point in the pattern and is often characterized by increased trading volume.
3. Right Shoulder:
> Following the formation of the head, there is another pullback in price, creating the right shoulder.
> Similar to the left shoulder, the right shoulder is usually lower than the head and is accompanied by a decrease in trading volume.
4. Neckline:
> The neckline is a horizontal line that connects the lows of the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder.
> The neckline serves as a support level, and a significant break below this line is considered a confirmation of the pattern.
This is Shown in Figure 1
Advanced Concept
Of course, the world is not Perfect, and so is the financial market. "textbook" head and shoulder patterns would be a small fraction of the head and shoulders formed in the market. Therefore, we should also be aware of "catching" these other variants!
Complex head and shoulder
Figure 2
> could be one that has more than 1 left shoulder.
> Right shoulder made a new Lower Low, tell tale sign this uptrend is weakening
Extended head and shoulder
Figure 3
> the left and right shoulder showed extended stretch in terms of duration but still it is a head and shoulder in nature
> at the same time, this pattern also brings out to yet another variation, head and shoulder no necessarily is a reversal pattern. In this case it is a trend continuation pattern!(if you didnt realize that)
:)
Head and shoulders pattern as continuation Pattern
Figure 4
> over here we have a trend continuation pattern of head and shoulder
> 2nd, it has a slanted neckline
> other than that it is pretty much a classic head and shoulder.
Hope you all learn something from this article!
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AUDUSD is trending downThe Australian dollar reaction to this mornings retail sales report was interesting as the move back into negative territory (see economic calendar below) may suggest the Australian economy (households) are feeling the impact of the current restrictive monetary policy. Although one data point does not make a trend, if these spending habits continue to decline, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) fight against lower inflation may follow. The RBA’s Governor Bullock portrayed or more uncertain and cautious message in her statements shown below:
“We're in a period where we have to be a bit careful.”
“I want to avoid imposing too much and pushing up the jobless.”
“We need to ensure that inflation expectations stay anchored.”
“Monetary policy is restrictive and is dampening demand.”
The PBoC’s Governor Pan on the other may have aided the pro-growth AUD by stating that monetary policy will remain accommodative.
GBPUSD is trending down but still in the bullish channelThe GBP and Cable in particular has had a mixed start to the week, fluctuating between gains and losses. Markets in general were a bit slow today ahead of what is a relatively busy week on the data front. The UK, however, does not have any high impact data releases with GBP pairs likely to face external threats.
The UK faces a quiet week on the data front following the UK Autumn Statement by Chancellor Hunt last week. The GBP enjoyed a decent week particularly against the Greenback.
The rest of this week only has medium impact data from the UK. Last week brought PMI data which helped keep the GBP supported with a pledge by Chancellor Hunt during the Autumn statement. The Chancellor confirmed the UK Government plans to put GBP20 billion to work in the economy at a time when other countries in the Euro Area face a difficult task. These developments have left market participants a lot more cautious around rate cuts for 2024.
The biggest risk facing the GBP this week will come from a host of BoE policymakers scheduled to speak.
NZD/USD Short, AUD/USD Short and GBP/USD ShortNZD/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/USD Short
• If price impulses down below our area of value, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EURUSD is trending downThe dollar index DXY, a measure of the greenback against a basket of currencies, was last at 103.11, its lowest since Aug. 31. The dollar was track for a loss of more than 3% in November, its worst performance in a year.
Market expectation that the Fed's rate increase cycle has finally come to an end has also put downward pressure on the greenback. U.S. rate futures showed about a 25% chance that the Fed could begin cutting rates as early as March and increasing to nearly 45% by May, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
"Slowing growth momentum, peak rates, rate cuts next year, and unwinding of long positioning: it's the dynamic feeding a weaker U.S. dollar and driving the entire currency complex," said Kyle Rodda, senior financial market analyst at Capital.com.
"Anything that brings that trend into question will change the outlook; however, the bar for that to happen is high," he added, saying the dollar likely has more room to fall.
Traders are now eyeing U.S. core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index - the Fed's preferred measure of inflation - this week for more confirmation that inflation in the world's largest economy is slowing.
PCE tops off a slew of other key economic events this week, including Chinese purchasing managers' index (PMI) data and OPEC+ decision.
After delaying its policy meeting to this Thursday, OPEC+ is looking at deepening oil production cuts, according to an OPEC+ source.
It is likely that gold will fall again after encountering resistGold prices climbed on Monday, buoyed by the drop in U.S. yields and the U.S. dollar’s softness. With recent performance in mind, XAU/USD has risen more than 8% since October, firmly eclipsing its 200-day simple moving average and ascending beyond the psychological $2,000 level – two technical signals that have strengthened the metal’s constructive bias.
For stronger conviction in the bullish thesis and to validate the potential for further upward momentum, a clear and decisive move above $2,010/$2,015 is required – a major resistance zone that has consistently thwarted advances since the beginning of the year. While clearing this hurdle might pose a challenge for bulls, a breakout could catalyze a rally towards $2,060, followed by $2,085, May’s high.
In the event that gold gets rejected to the downside from its current position, the asset might trend towards support spanning from $1,980 to $1,975. Prices could potentially stabilize in this area on a bearish reversal, but a push below this floor could lead to a retreat towards the 200-day simple moving average situated around the $1,950 mark. Beneath this threshold, attention might refocus on $1,937.
XAUUSD XAUUSD SELL 2016 - 2018
✔️TP1: 2012
✔️TP2: 2008
🚫SL: 2021
EUR/USD to advance higher.FX:EURUSD Euro has broken above a 4h time frame resistance level at 1.0880 and is expected to go towards at least to 1.09650, and possibly higher in bullish scenario.
In bearish scenario, it gets rejected, and goes below our 4h structure at 1.0880. Which is also very possible, since we still have a strong imbalance below from the previous news impact.
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NZD/USD Short, AUD/USD Short and GBP/USD ShortNZD/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/USD Short
• If price impulses down below our area of value, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Downtrend when meeting resistance of GBPUSDSterling was last 0.06% lower at $1.2598, but hovered near Friday's over two-month peak of $1.2615, on data last week showing that British companies unexpectedly reported a marginal return to growth in November after three months of contraction.
"That indicates the resilience of the UK economy despite the very aggressive monetary policy tightening from the Bank of England," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA). "But we still expect the UK economy to weaken and experience a short-lived recession."
The pound was on track for a roughly 3.7% gain for the month, its largest monthly gain in a year, aided by a falling U.S. dollar.
EURUSD tends to decrease when it encounters resistanceElsewhere, the euro slipped 0.03% to $1.0930, but did not stray far from an over three-month peak of $1.09655 hit last week.
A survey out last week showed the downturn in euro zone business activity eased in November but remained broadbased, suggesting the bloc's economy will contract again this quarter as consumers continue to rein in spending.
NZDUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the NZDUSD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.6077
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.6026
My Stop Loss - 0.6105
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/GBP BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello,Friends!
Bullish trend on EUR/GBP, defined by the green colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is oversold based on the BB lower band proximity, makes me expect a bullish rebound from the support line below and a retest of the local target above at 0.871.
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Eurcad potentially to flip if eur weakens**Find out more from my Tradingview Stream this week**
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If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏
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*********************************************************************
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared.
Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!