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XAUUSD is trending downYesterday's gold price in the Asian session mainly fluctuated in a narrow range. At the beginning of the US session, the gold price quickly climbed higher on the weaker dollar index, and it once closed to 2047. However, pressured by the hawkish remarks and strong economic data, the gold price slightly retraced, ultimately closing with a small bull candle. The current gold price is in the upper edge of the fluctuation range of the last 2 weeks and temporarily faces resistance. Back to the technical analysis, the daily uptrend is obvious, but the MACD signal has been at a high level. The 1-hour price stood above the 60-day moving average. It may be aligned to the 60-day MA in the lack of main intraday drivers. The support at $2028 should be focused on, and further support is at the $2015 level. Today's reference trading range is 2015-2048, in which you can still buy low and sell high, and aggressive traders can refer to a smaller range of 2028-2040.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by carefulLion07pab
EURUSD trading ideas todayThe EURUSD lost momentum on Wednesday as concerns about the eurozone's economic outlook intensified. However, the intraday bias remains neutral and more consolidation is likely below 1.1008. A further rebound is expected as long as the 1.0722 support level is held. On the upside, a break above 1.1016 would resume the overall uptrend starting from 1.0450 and retest the high of 1.1274. From a broader perspective, the EURUSD is still hovering within a consolidation zone in 2023 with strong resistance at 1.1275 (a 17-month high) and support at 1.0450 (a 10-month low). If it breaks above the 200-week EMA, then it could touch the 200-week EMA at 1.1150 ahead of 1.1275. a move higher could shift the bias to bullish. However, any move below the 50-week and 100-week SMAs will cause it to fall to 1.0450, below which the psychological barrier of 1.0200 will be closely watched to prevent further declines. In the near term, the EURUSD could break below 1.0880 and the 4-hour 100 SMA at 1.0870 to add bearish pressure and turn bears' attention to 1.0825 until the December low at 1.0715. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
Short
by carefulLion07pab
GBPUSD trading strategy todayOn Wednesday, the GBPUSD fell sharply during the European session as UK inflation for November came in below expectations. The fresh weakness is expected to completely reverse Tuesday's gains and challenge key support at 1.2636. With the overall decline of the GBPUSD, bears are expected to test the starting point of the upward impulse waves. Subsequently, the bullish bias will still exist to keep the structure of "upward impulse waves" intact. But the focus is now on the downside. As the Relative Strength Index in the 4H timeframe fell below 50 and below the lower limit of the long-term rising regression channel, reflecting a shift in the technical outlook to bearish. On the downside, the 1.2600 level is now the first support level for the bullish market. A 4-hour close below this level could open the door to a further slide towards the 1.2550 level. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
Long
by carefulLion07pab
GBP/CAD Long and GBP/USD LongGBP/CAD Long • If price impulses up above our most recent high, it does so in a convincing manner and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. GBP/USD Long • If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up above our most recent low followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Long
by StewySongs
1
EURUSD strategy todayThe EURUSD lost momentum on Wednesday as concerns about the eurozone's economic outlook intensified. However, the intraday bias remains neutral and more consolidation is likely below 1.1008. A further rebound is expected as long as the 1.0722 support level is held. On the upside, a break above 1.1016 would resume the overall uptrend starting from 1.0450 and retest the high of 1.1274. If it breaks above the 200-week EMA then it could touch the 200-week EMA at 1.1150 before 1.1275. a move higher could turn the trend to bullish. However, any move below the 50-week and 100-week SMA would see it fall towards 1.0450, below which the psychological barrier of 1.0200 will be closely watched to prevent further decline. In the near term, EURUSD could break below 1.0880 and 4-hour SMA 100 at 1.0870 to add to bearish pressure and shift bears' attention to level 1, 0825 to the December low of 1.0715. Should sell at a high level.
Short
by NicoTradingMaster
EURUSD tends to decrease when it encounters resistanceThe EURUSD appeared to be on firm footing on Monday after falling below the psychological barrier of 1.10 on Friday. However, the recovery is unlikely to last long as much weaker-than-expected German Ifo data and rising bearish momentum in the 1D timeframe are keeping the near-term trend under pressure. Additionally, last week's (1W timeframe) long upper shadow and the repeated failure of the weekly close to break above the 1.1000 threshold exacerbated the negative signals of the momentum. Currently, the price is holding above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.0900 of the 1.0723 - 1.1009 uptrend line, which is expected to show a slight bullish bias, but more work on the upside (e.g., a close above 1.0950) would be needed to remove the downside threat; otherwise, a continuation of the bearish structure would be expected. It fell below the threshold of 1.0900 and the 20-day SMA (1.0875), which will likely lead to further declines after the completion of the reversal pattern and the double top. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
Short
by NicoTradingMaster
GBPUSD: GBPUSD trend today December 19The dollar index fell 0.1% as markets weighed potential timing of 2024 Fed, ECB and BoE rate cuts and whether the BoJ on Tuesday will offer more clarity regarding when they might hike. That came after last week's dovish Fed and hawkish ECB and BoE meetings and Fed speakers' pushback against big 2024 rate cut pricing. EUR/USD rose 0.3% in line with the Bunds-Treasury yields spreads rebound fostered by more ECB policymakers arguing against early 2024 rate cuts with disinflation metrics not yet met. But German Ifo business sentiment worsened, creating risk of a second quarterly GDP drop and thus recession reading.
Short
by NicoTradingMaster
2
GBP/CAD Long, CAD/CHF Long, NZD/USD Long and AUD/USD LongGBP/CAD Long • If price impulses up above our most recent high, it does so in a convincing manner and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. CAD/CHF Long • If price corrects and a three touch tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. NZD/USD Long • If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up above our most recent low followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. AUD/USD Long • If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up above our most recent low followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Long
by StewySongs
9
GBPCAD Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the GBPCAD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.7059 Bias - Bullish Safe Stop Loss - 1.7015 Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 1.7134 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
2
TESLA Set To Fall! SELL! My dear subscribers, TESLA looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 253.23 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 245.32 About Used Indicators: The average true range ATR plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by AnabelSignals
3
USDJPY did what it should do as Per my analysis,what next?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. Here's my evaluation of the pair and moving forward what is there to expect. But let's revisit what has happened over this week. If you have not yet seen my previous post of USDJPY , you maybe refer to link below or here >> Let's roll back on time on USDJPY to Monday, the start of the week. We see that it has been super bullish on Monday clearing the 145 and even 146.5 level that I have mentioned. First of all we don’t see any sign on turning even on the one hourly chart for UJ. Therefore, nothing for us to short on that day. The interesting part comes on Tues, where it seems like all the technicals aligned. You can refer back to the analysis post I mentioned last week. I mentoned about the downtrend line on the daily and H4. 146.5 area also coincide by the last support turned resistance I hightlighted. So, naturally here's the place for us to look for short, which we saw a breakout of the consolidation and it came lower. If you missed that, we do have opportunities to short 2 more times before the last strong move downwards on Thursday 3am Singapore time. And then, for the rest of Thurs to Fri, it has been consolidating. So, what to expect next? Like I have mentioned, if the BOJ has no sign of increasing its rate, tighten their monetary policy, very likely we would see the USDJPY to resume back its longer term uptrend moves. BUT if the BOJ indeed has some "actions" or hint to increase it rate and tighten, the likely the market will move further downwards. And that's probably why the USDJPY has consolidated right on its up trendline of the year since Jan 2023. Let's see how PA unfolds from here on! Happy Trading! Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. ********************************************************************
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
[EDU]Doing this will Massively improve your Trading!Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. DRC stands for Daily Report Card To be all transparent I adopted this from smb capital. Credits and Kudos to them. I used it and did some modifications to suit my purpose. So you can do the same to what I have over here and modify according to your requirements. The purpose of the daily report card is to help you keep track of your whole trading day. If you do have a day job or what not, you can adjust the DRC to be cater for a week or few days. It's up to the individuals. So, this Daily report card of mine basically looks something like this as shown above in the charting space. And let me give some details on each of this sections. Daily Analysis In this section, you should start off with how you have felt in the morning. Do you feel refreshed and pumped up, or grouchy as you have had not enough sleep? Or are you feeling miserable or unhappy over the big lost you had yesterday? You can put it down over here. Then continue on for how you would prepare your trading day by first analysing the market that you are trading on. Goal This will be link with the goals that you have set fore for yourself. Try to put a goal that you wanted to achieve by end of the week, month or quarter. This doesn’t necessarily be the big goal you have. It can be subset of the big goal you have. Some examples can be, to increase my position size from 1% to 2%. Or to be able to hold my trades longer, sticking to pre-defined exit strategies and improving my risk to reward ratio etc. This goals does not necessarily needs to be monetary. Reminders / general truth or principle You can put some reminders and principles for yourself here. You can start off with things like focus on your goals and not the PNL, focus on your trading as required and remove any distractions (e.g. social media). These are just some examples of the many and I will leave that for you to fill them up. What I learned/improved upon today? To this, you can write something that you find interesting or learn about the market. For example, if you are day trading, GBP could have a particular time that you have observed where it reverses it trend. OR it could just be that you come to realize some interesting trading setups using a particular indicator etc. Important trade, if any Over here, you should document down trades you find it important for your to remember or refer back to later on in the week or future. This can be trade that you have did well or a trade that you performed badly. Jot it down so that in the future you can revisit and learn from it again. Change need to be made from today? Here are some things that you felt that you should act on it immediately for example, if you lost yourself and be emotional on losses. Put it over here and evaluate what has happened and act upon it. Or you have entered a trade haphazardly ,in fear of FOMO etc. Overview Just a 1-2 sentence to sum up your day.Nothing in particular but jotting down your thoughts of the day. Finally take a look at the top left hand corner of the table I had for you. There is a X /5 which denotes the score you gave yourself on that day (if you are doing it on a daily basis). Over here, have your own scoring system to give yourself score and hold yourself accountable for it. You can do something like, giving a score of 1 for daily analysis section, 2 for goal and 1 or important trade etc. Just to evaluate how you have done for each of these section is a quick way. It's the year end and if you have yet to evaluate your trading performance and not sure how to go about starting, do check out the link i provided below for the post i have put up recently. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
NYSE:BRK.AEducation
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
1
GBP/USD Long, GBP/CHF Long, EUR/CAD Short and EUR/NZD LongGBP/USD Long • If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. GBP/CHF Long • If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. EUR/CAD Short • If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. EUR/NZD Long • If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
by StewySongs
EURUSD is trending downThe euro gained 1.08% to $1.0991, the highest since Nov. 29. It is on track for its biggest daily percentage gain since Nov. 14. The ECB kept rates steady and pushed back against bets on imminent cuts to interest rates on Thursday by reaffirming that borrowing costs would remain at record highs despite lower inflation expectations. “The ECB was unable to “out-dove” yesterday's pivot by the Fed. The ECB continues to signal that rate hikes are done but their updated economic projections show no reason to hurry towards less restrictive policy,” said Samuel Zief, head of global FX strategy at JPMorgan Private Bank in London.
Short
by TinaTradingGold
1
Gold trading trends and strategies todayFocusing on technical analysis, XAU/USD retains a bullish outlook, although its upward journey may encounter temporary setbacks. This means there could be transient pullbacks in the uptrend, especially if overbought conditions are reached. We are not there yet, but the 14-day RSI indicator is heading in that direction, In terms of major levels to watch, resistance looms at $2,050. On further strength, the focus shifts to May’s peak near $2,075. Previous attempts to breach this barrier on a sustained basis have been unsuccessful, so history could repeat itself on a retest. However, if a decisive breakout materializes, a rally toward the 2023 swing high becomes a realistic prospect. On the other hand, if upside momentum wanes and sellers spark a reversal, the first line of defense against a bearish attack appears at $2,010. Maintaining this floor is crucial; a failure to do so could reinforce downward pressure, exposing trendline support near $1,990. Below this threshold, all eyes will be on the 50-day simple moving average. TVC:GOLD SELL 2038 - 2040 ✔️TP1: 2033 ✔️TP2: 2028 🚫SL: 2048
TVC:GOLDShort
by TinaTradingGold
💡 XAUUSD: Strong increase after FOMCGold prices rebounded extremely strongly from the 1975 support level in the last session, creating a huge Marubozu candlestick on the daily frame and along with it, bullish engulfing patterns. The psychological barrier of 2000 has been regained and the price is now retesting the previously broken down channel. You should not consider this as a normal retest to watch for selling because the buying force is very strong and needs more time to observe. -> You can watch and sell at the resistance zone
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stone_Haven
[EDU]How to Evaluate your 2023 Trade Journal and performance?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. To be a profitable, consistent and successful trader, I have yet seen anyone of them without a trading journal. This shows how important a trading journal is to a trader and the values it can bring to them. So, without further ado, let's see what we should look at and take note of when we do our year end trading journal review (although this review,in a shorter format, be done on a weekly and monthly or quarterly basis) Before you start we should look at what goals have you setup yourself for. It can be 1 -3 big goals you have for the year 2023. E.g. Hit specific $ for your PNL or improve on your win rate % etc. Are there also minor goals that you have that you added along the way? Then we can move on to our journal. 1. 1st we can have a bird's eye view of things : Overall performance, some metrics that you should focus and look at,they are: P&L Win rate % Expectancy Profit factor Average R multiple Drawdown and max. drawdown Sharpe ratio Worst and Best trades 2. Looking deeper into things : a. Look through all the trades you have done, do you come by noticeable pattern such on the wins and the losses. E.g. it can be you took more number of losses on Monday Morning, or you tend to close off positions without a valid reason to exit etc. b. Filter through your trades to see what time or day you trade best, if any. c. Look at your top 5 to 10 most profitable and most losses trades. Evaluate them in terms of: > Why they end up as a loser/winner > Are they align with your assumptions such as best winners come from your A+ setups etc. > What are the things you did right for your best trades and what you did wrong for those losing trades. What you can improve on them or what you can continue doing things that went well. 3. Psychological resilience : This is important part of the journal as well where you reflect on your psychology throughout the year. You should have it documented somewhere and you can evaluate how well you have managed emotions such as stress, and maintained discipline during periods of drawdown or winning steaks. What you have and have not done and what can be done better. But of course, you should have done it over the course of the year and summarize out some findings along the way. 4. Learning and development : - Look back at the strategies you have on hands, which are your bread and butter setups and what new strategies or setups you have incorporated. - Are there any market insights you acquired over the year, this should come handy to improve your edge in trading. - Also do identify where are your further learning and development area that you can focus to improve your trading proficiency. Finally, here's what I would like to share in the next sharing. I will be sharing how you can proper set goals for yourself and track them then improve consistently as a trader!So, yup, stay tuned! Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
Education
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
US Dollar: How to Trade the Fed’s Decision All the attention will be on the FOMC's final policy decision of the year today, with no expectations of further tightening. The market's pricing of 125 basis point rate cuts in 2024 will be tested, and given the Fed's cautious approach, there's a likelihood that Powell and the team will resist these expectations during today's meeting. Whether the market will trust the Fed's stance remains uncertain. I'm monitoring two contrasting trades based on the Fed's hawkishness: considering short positions on GBP/USD or USD/JPY. Key factors to watch in today's FOMC rate decision The rate decision itself is a foregone conclusion, but more important will be the FOMC staff projections, the dot plots, and Powell's press conference. The Fed believes current monetary policy is sufficiently restrictive to bring inflation sustainably down to its 2% target in the coming months, reducing the likelihood of strong hints about further tightening. Inflation data on Tuesday leaned slightly on the stronger side but in the right direction, while the job market is cooling, albeit resilient given the tight monetary policy. Against this backdrop, it's expected that FOMC officials will signal a few rate cuts in 2024 in the dot plots. But it could very well counter market expectations of a 125-basis point rate reduction. The historical tendency of Fed officials to be cautious and lag behind market pricing suggests a more measured approach should be expected. The FOMC's Q3 projections estimated interest rates reaching 5.1% in 2024, requiring two 25bp cuts next year. If the Fed adheres to this projection, it could trigger a hawkish surprise, potentially resulting in a sharp dollar rally. However, if their stance aligns more closely with market expectations, then the dollar's reaction is likely to be muted and it could even end up lower on the session. Additionally, changes in the Fed's inflation projections for 2024 will be of interest after signalilng a core PCE price index decline to 2.6% in September. More central bank rate decisions to follow on Thursday After the Fed's decision, attention will shift to major central bank meetings of Europe: the Bank of England, European Central Bank, and Swiss National Bank. While these banks are expected to maintain their policies, the BoE may adjust its tone due to soft economic indicators. The ECB, facing consistently weak economic data, might be expected to signal a rate cut next year, impacting the euro and DAX. So how to trade the FOMC rate decision? In trading the FOMC decision, it is essential to wait until at least the dot plots are releases. If the Fed turns out to be more hawkish than expected, then this could prompt a dollar rally. In this case, pairing the dollar against currencies with softer economic data or anticipating quicker dovish turns by their central banks, could be the way to go. The BoE and GBP come to mind. The GBP/USD has already shown signs of a possible bearish reversal around the 1.2600 resistance area, but so far key support around 1.2500 has held firm, where we also have the 200-day average. However, a stronger pushback on rate cuts could see the cable break below 1.25 handle. Conversely, if the Fed aligns with market expectations, a negative-dollar and positive-bond reaction will increase the appeal of long setups on gold, silver, and JPY trades (i.e. shorting USD/JPY or GBP/JPY). It's worth noting that the market's reduced expectation of a dovish Fed since Friday's jobs report could limit the upside potential for the dollar, even if the Fed is more hawkish than expected. The USD/JPY broke down sharply before bouncing back from around its 200-day average near 142.00-142.50 support area. However, the lower lows suggests the path of least resistance remains to the downside unless it manages to reclaim broken support at 147.30ish. Short-term resistance at 1.46.20ish has held firm so far. A break back below 145.00 could potentially trigger a sharp follow-up technical selling. Written by Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
EURUSD is trending downThe Federal Reserve is expected to leave interest rates on hold in a decision at 1900 GMT, and how the dollar moves afterward will depend on whether policymakers counter recent growing expectations for rate cuts next year, UniCredit Research analysts say in a note. UniCredit doesn't expect the Fed to "push back firmly against recent market expectations of aggressive rate cuts," which means EUR/USD could stabilize above 1.08. However, if the Fed suggests rate-cut expectations are overdone, the DXY dollar index should rally further above 104 and EUR/USD would retreat, albeit likely staying above 1.07, UniCredit says. EUR/USD trades flat at 1.0790 while the DXY rises 0.1% to 103.924.
Short
by TinaTradingGold