EUR/NZD ShortEUR/NZD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Trading-forex
Today's gold trading strategyGold was subdued around $1,980 an ounce on Wednesday, holding near its lowest levels in three weeks as investors cautiously awaited the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision.
The US central bank is widely expected to hold rates steady, but traders will focus on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s commentary amid bets of rate cuts in the first half of 2024.
Still, a robust US jobs report and upside risks to inflation could prompt policymakers to take a less dovish stance than what market participants anticipate.
Meanwhile, data released on Tuesday showed that US consumer inflation figures for November came largely in line with forecasts.
Investors also look ahead to monetary policy decisions from the European Central Bank and the Bank of England on Thursday.
OANDA:XAUUSD XAUUSD BUY 1977 - 1975
✔️TP1: 1982
✔️TP2: 1987
🚫SL: 1970
EURUSD is likely to rise againThe Indian rupee opened marginally higher on December 12 tracking gains in local equity and Asian currencies.
At 9.10am, the home currency was trading at 83.37 a dollar, up 0.03 percent from its previous close of 83.39.
Traders awaiting CPI and IIP data due later today. India's headline inflation rate likely jumped to 5.8 percent in November from October's 4.87 percent, according to a Moneycontrol survey of 15 economists, with an unfavourable base effect and resurgence in prices of vegetables and pulses propelling inflation to a three-month high.
Follow our market blog to catch all the live updates
Recent US economic data surpassed expectations, showcasing a drop in unemployment claims from 3.9 percent to 3.7 percent. Non-farm payrolls hit 199K and average hourly earnings rose by 0.4 percent, outperforming projections. As a result, expectations for rate cuts in March and May decreased to 43 percent and 76 percent from 63 percent and 85 percent respectively.
Attention now shifts to the Federal Reserve's upcoming monetary policy, with signs pointing towards the Fed taking the lead in rate-cut initiatives, traders said.
Asian currencies were trading higher. Japanese yen was up 0.38 percent, Thai Baht rose 0.23 percent, China Offshore 0.12 percent, Singapore dollar 0.1 percent, South Korean won and Philippines peso 0.08 percent each.
The dollar index, which measures the US currency’s strength against major currencies, was trading at 104.0032, down 0.09 percent from its previous close of 104.095.Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.
EUR/GBP Short, AUD/CAD Long, EUR/NZD Short and USD/CAD ShortEUR/GBP Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/CAD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up above our most recent low followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/NZD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/CAD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USDCHF could be bottoming out on H4Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
The USDCHF if bottom out now, i could likely be testing the next downtrendline as shown on h4. For now it seems good to look for long on pullbacks.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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EURGBP | COULD BE A GOOD SELL Overall market direction is bearish, The monthly pivot seems to have broken on the daily at least, likely its going to touch the wedge or bearish flag tp, if all breaks then tp3, we need a solid break of 4h support to confirm this trade 100%, but I feel like the patterns are already enough to push this through. 😊✅
EURUSD tends to decrease when it meets support and will increaseEUR/USD rallied vigorously last month, but has sold off in recent days, with prices slipping and closing below the 200-day moving average last week – a bearish technical event. If the pair deepens its pullback in the coming days, a retest of the 50-day SMA could come any minute. Continued weakness may shift focus towards trendline support near 1.0620.
Conversely, if EUR/USD stages a turnaround and charges higher, technical resistance is visible near 1.0820, but further gains could be in store on a push above this threshold, with the next area of interest at 1.0960, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the July/October decline. Continued strength may catalyze a retest of November’s highs.
EUR/GBP Short, EUR/NZD Short and USD/CAD ShortEUR/GBP Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/NZD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/CAD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Gold broke the upward price channel and tended to decreaseGold edges higher in the early morning Asian session in a likely position adjustment, with focus on U.S. CPI data and the FOMC meeting this week. The precious metal is still holding above $2,000/oz, a key short-term support level, Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at City Index and forex.com, says in an email. Gold has to hold this level in order to sustain its recent bullish bias, Razaqzada says. Otherwise, there could be a deeper retracement, with subsequent major support in the $1,950/oz area, which includes the 200-day average, Razaqzada adds. Spot gold is up 0.1% at $2,006.58/oz.
OANDA:XAUUSD XAUUSD SELL 2008 - 2010,2018-2020
✔️TP1: 2003
✔️TP2: 1998
🚫SL: 2025
USDCHF A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USDCHF next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.8759
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.8747
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD still bearish it seems ?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
From daily chart we can observe that EUR is sitting on a Support zone, through h4 to h1 the chart is still bearish. So for me unless something changed, I will still go on short on EURUSD.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
*********************************************************************
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
*********************************************************************
AUDNZD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDNZD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0685
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.0730
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/GBP Short, USD/CAD Short and GBP/USD LongEUR/GBP Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/CAD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/USD Long
• If price impulses up above our most recent high, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Today's gold trading ideaYesterday, gold prices edged higher to $2036 in the Asian session and then fell rapidly to around $2017. After gaining support, gold prices rebounded to around $2025 and finally closed with a small bull candle, which also ended the 2 consecutive declines. The market began to stabilize. Investors who want to go short need to be cautious and should not chase the market to sell low. Instead, they should go short with small positions after a rebound. At the daily level, as the MACD formed a death cross at a high level, the retreat is still not over. However, a golden cross is likely to show in the 4-hour chart. If gold can rebound to around $2052 and form a local head and shoulders top pattern, perhaps the daily pullback will be smoother. The upper edge of volatility range should be higher today. The resistance is near $2041, with further resistance at the shoulder position of $2052. Today's reference trading range is $2017-$2041, and aggressive traders can buy low and sell high in the range.
❌❌❌: Close all orders when there is news.
OANDA:XAUUSD XAUUSD SELL 2038 - 2040
✔️TP1: 2033
✔️TP2: 2028
🛑SL: 2045
EURUSD is likely to fall, touching supportThe euro EURUSD inched 0.07% lower to $1.0757, its lowest point since Nov. 14. The single currency is down 1% this week and is on course for the steepest weekly decline since May.
Traders are betting that there is about an 85% chance that the ECB cuts interest rates at the March meeting, with almost 150 basis points' worth of easing priced by the end of next year.
The question of a rate cut could emerge in 2024, ECB member and Bank of France head Francois Villeroy de Galhau told a French paper in an interview published on Wednesday.
Villeroy said that "disinflation is happening more quickly than we thought".
The ECB will set interest rates on Thursday next week and is all but certain to leave them at the current record high of 4%, although the focus will be on comments from officials about rates outlook.
A slim majority of economists in a Reuters poll expect the ECB to cut rates in the second quarter of next year, earlier than previously thought, with a new tug of war on the exact timing of the first cut emerging.
The dollar has found its footing this month after a 3% drop in November as traders ramp up rate cut bets for other central banks.
GBP/CHF Long, USD/CAD Short and EUR/GBP ShortGBP/CHF Long
• If price impulses up, it does so in a convincing manner and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/CAD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/GBP Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/JPY BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello,Friends!
We are going long on the EUR/JPY with the target of 161.238 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band.However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GBPUSD has an upward trendGBP/USD fell on Tuesday, extending its drop for a second consecutive day after failing to clear a key ceiling near 1.2720, which corresponds to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the July/October slump. Should losses deepen this week, it is important to watch how prices behave around the 1.2590-1.2570 support zone, bearing in mind that a breakdown could expose the 200-day simple moving average.
Conversely, if cable manages to rebound from current levels, technical resistance is positioned at 1.2720. Cementing the underlying bullish outlook requires the pair to take out this hurdle on daily closing prices, with a decisive breakout likely to draw fresh buyers into the market and foster conditions conducive to a rally above 1.2800.
Gold trading strategy todayYesterday, gold prices saw an inverted deep V-shape reversal. Gold prices surged sharply higher in morning trading, hitting an all-time high of 2145. Subsequently, they fluctuated downwards, stopped falling around 2020, and finally closed with a full bear candle with a long upper shadow. At this point, the gold price trend has also shown signs of a top, forming a bearish piercing pattern. At the same time, the signs of bearish divergence have not changed. The MACD indicator on the daily chart is in the overbought area and tends to form a death cross. But judging from the hourly chart, after yesterday's plunge, the MACD indicator has entered the oversold area and has formed a golden cross. During the day, gold prices may rebound at the hourly level, and the specific strength of the rebound depends on the momentum. Investors could temporarily expect a slight rebound in the Asian session, and strong resistance is in the 2050 area where we can enter short positions. The first support level is around $2020, and further support is at $2010. The reference trading range today is 2010-2050, and it is recommended to buy low and sell high and pay attention to controlling losses.
TVC:GOLD XAUUSD BUY 2008 - 2006
✔️TP1: 2014
✔️TP2: 2018
🚫SL: 2003
[EDU] Why Risking 5-10% a trade is sucidal?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Here are 5 reasons why it is too RISKY and you should'nt do it!
> Challenges to recover
- Large losses require proportionally larger gains to recover. A 50% drawdown requires you to have a gain of 100% to BREAKEVEN!
> Emotional Stresses
- Trading with such high risk can amplify your stress and anxiety. Fear and panic may set in during losing streaks, impairing sound decision-making and leading to impulsive actions.
> Account Blow-Up Risk
- You just need to have a string of 5-6 losses and that will be devasting to both your mental and capital, which could lead to margin calls.
> Reduced Learning Opportunities
- Excessive risk can limit the number of learning opportunities for a trader. If a significant portion of the trading capital is lost quickly, the trader may not have the resources to apply lessons learned from mistakes. Why not risk 1-3% a trade, if at 1% you have under your belt , 100 times to lose !
> Market Volatility Impact
- In volatile market conditions, high-risk strategies can be particularly vulnerable. Sudden price movements can result in larger-than-expected losses.What if you got caught in a black swan event? Ouch...That sucks!
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
EURUSD is trending downEUR/USD rallied vigorously in November, but has started to retrace some of that advance in recent days, with bearish pressure easing as prices tested the 200-day simple moving average. It is important for bulls to defend this technical indicator, which currently symbolizes support; a failure to do so could result in a decline toward 1.0765, followed by 1.0650.
On the flip side, if the common currency regains the upper hand against the greenback and stages a meaningful comeback, technical resistance looms at 1.0960 – the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the July/October decline. Sustained strength could lead to revisiting November's peak, followed by a move towards horizontal resistance at 1.1080 upon a breakout.
NZD/USD Long and GBP/USD LongNZD/USD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/USD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.