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[EDU] Trading the Chart pattern SeriesTrading the Chart pattern Basics and Advanced Concepts Anatomy of Head and Shoulders Head and shoulder could possibly be one of the most common chart pattern we see on the chart. So what makes up this pattern? They are: 1. Left Shoulder: > The left shoulder forms as the price initially rises and then experiences a pullback. This creates the left peak of the pattern. > The pullback is typically less severe than the subsequent pullback after the head is formed. 2. Head: > The head is formed when the price makes a higher peak than the left shoulder, indicating a strong upward movement. > The head is the highest point in the pattern and is often characterized by increased trading volume. 3. Right Shoulder: > Following the formation of the head, there is another pullback in price, creating the right shoulder. > Similar to the left shoulder, the right shoulder is usually lower than the head and is accompanied by a decrease in trading volume. 4. Neckline: > The neckline is a horizontal line that connects the lows of the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder. > The neckline serves as a support level, and a significant break below this line is considered a confirmation of the pattern. This is Shown in Figure 1 Advanced Concept Of course, the world is not Perfect, and so is the financial market. "textbook" head and shoulder patterns would be a small fraction of the head and shoulders formed in the market. Therefore, we should also be aware of "catching" these other variants! Complex head and shoulder Figure 2 > could be one that has more than 1 left shoulder. > Right shoulder made a new Lower Low, tell tale sign this uptrend is weakening Extended head and shoulder Figure 3 > the left and right shoulder showed extended stretch in terms of duration but still it is a head and shoulder in nature > at the same time, this pattern also brings out to yet another variation, head and shoulder no necessarily is a reversal pattern. In this case it is a trend continuation pattern!(if you didnt realize that) :) Head and shoulders pattern as continuation Pattern Figure 4 > over here we have a trend continuation pattern of head and shoulder > 2nd, it has a slanted neckline > other than that it is pretty much a classic head and shoulder. Hope you all learn something from this article! Cheers. Follow and like my post if you find it useful! Thank you!
Education
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
1
AUDUSD is trending downThe Australian dollar reaction to this mornings retail sales report was interesting as the move back into negative territory (see economic calendar below) may suggest the Australian economy (households) are feeling the impact of the current restrictive monetary policy. Although one data point does not make a trend, if these spending habits continue to decline, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) fight against lower inflation may follow. The RBA’s Governor Bullock portrayed or more uncertain and cautious message in her statements shown below: “We're in a period where we have to be a bit careful.” “I want to avoid imposing too much and pushing up the jobless.” “We need to ensure that inflation expectations stay anchored.” “Monetary policy is restrictive and is dampening demand.” The PBoC’s Governor Pan on the other may have aided the pro-growth AUD by stating that monetary policy will remain accommodative.
Short
by TinaTradingGold
GBPUSD is trending down but still in the bullish channelThe GBP and Cable in particular has had a mixed start to the week, fluctuating between gains and losses. Markets in general were a bit slow today ahead of what is a relatively busy week on the data front. The UK, however, does not have any high impact data releases with GBP pairs likely to face external threats. The UK faces a quiet week on the data front following the UK Autumn Statement by Chancellor Hunt last week. The GBP enjoyed a decent week particularly against the Greenback. The rest of this week only has medium impact data from the UK. Last week brought PMI data which helped keep the GBP supported with a pledge by Chancellor Hunt during the Autumn statement. The Chancellor confirmed the UK Government plans to put GBP20 billion to work in the economy at a time when other countries in the Euro Area face a difficult task. These developments have left market participants a lot more cautious around rate cuts for 2024. The biggest risk facing the GBP this week will come from a host of BoE policymakers scheduled to speak.
Short
by TinaTradingGold
NZD/USD Short, AUD/USD Short and GBP/USD ShortNZD/USD Short • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. AUD/USD Short • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. GBP/USD Short • If price impulses down below our area of value, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Short
by StewySongs
EURUSD is trending downThe dollar index DXY, a measure of the greenback against a basket of currencies, was last at 103.11, its lowest since Aug. 31. The dollar was track for a loss of more than 3% in November, its worst performance in a year. Market expectation that the Fed's rate increase cycle has finally come to an end has also put downward pressure on the greenback. U.S. rate futures showed about a 25% chance that the Fed could begin cutting rates as early as March and increasing to nearly 45% by May, according to the CME FedWatch tool. "Slowing growth momentum, peak rates, rate cuts next year, and unwinding of long positioning: it's the dynamic feeding a weaker U.S. dollar and driving the entire currency complex," said Kyle Rodda, senior financial market analyst at Capital.com. "Anything that brings that trend into question will change the outlook; however, the bar for that to happen is high," he added, saying the dollar likely has more room to fall. Traders are now eyeing U.S. core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index - the Fed's preferred measure of inflation - this week for more confirmation that inflation in the world's largest economy is slowing. PCE tops off a slew of other key economic events this week, including Chinese purchasing managers' index (PMI) data and OPEC+ decision. After delaying its policy meeting to this Thursday, OPEC+ is looking at deepening oil production cuts, according to an OPEC+ source.
Short
by TinaTradingGold
It is likely that gold will fall again after encountering resistGold prices climbed on Monday, buoyed by the drop in U.S. yields and the U.S. dollar’s softness. With recent performance in mind, XAU/USD has risen more than 8% since October, firmly eclipsing its 200-day simple moving average and ascending beyond the psychological $2,000 level – two technical signals that have strengthened the metal’s constructive bias. For stronger conviction in the bullish thesis and to validate the potential for further upward momentum, a clear and decisive move above $2,010/$2,015 is required – a major resistance zone that has consistently thwarted advances since the beginning of the year. While clearing this hurdle might pose a challenge for bulls, a breakout could catalyze a rally towards $2,060, followed by $2,085, May’s high. In the event that gold gets rejected to the downside from its current position, the asset might trend towards support spanning from $1,980 to $1,975. Prices could potentially stabilize in this area on a bearish reversal, but a push below this floor could lead to a retreat towards the 200-day simple moving average situated around the $1,950 mark. Beneath this threshold, attention might refocus on $1,937. XAUUSD XAUUSD SELL 2016 - 2018 ✔️TP1: 2012 ✔️TP2: 2008 🚫SL: 2021
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TinaTradingGold
EUR/USD to advance higher.FX:EURUSD Euro has broken above a 4h time frame resistance level at 1.0880 and is expected to go towards at least to 1.09650, and possibly higher in bullish scenario. In bearish scenario, it gets rejected, and goes below our 4h structure at 1.0880. Which is also very possible, since we still have a strong imbalance below from the previous news impact. If you are interested to learn how to trade - you can find all the links in my bio. Stay safe and good luck trading.
Long
by berg_trades
1
NZD/USD Short, AUD/USD Short and GBP/USD ShortNZD/USD Short • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. AUD/USD Short • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. GBP/USD Short • If price impulses down below our area of value, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Short
by StewySongs
3
Downtrend when meeting resistance of GBPUSDSterling was last 0.06% lower at $1.2598, but hovered near Friday's over two-month peak of $1.2615, on data last week showing that British companies unexpectedly reported a marginal return to growth in November after three months of contraction. "That indicates the resilience of the UK economy despite the very aggressive monetary policy tightening from the Bank of England," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA). "But we still expect the UK economy to weaken and experience a short-lived recession." The pound was on track for a roughly 3.7% gain for the month, its largest monthly gain in a year, aided by a falling U.S. dollar.
Short
by TinaTradingGold
1
NZDUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the NZDUSD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.6077 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 0.6026 My Stop Loss - 0.6105 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
Eurcad potentially to flip if eur weakens**Find out more from my Tradingview Stream this week** Hello there! If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏 And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁 Interested in following me and getting daily updated analysis? Like and follow me on Tradingview for fast updates! Thank you! ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared. Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
Short
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
Gbpusd should be among the stronger ones..If usd still weakens, likely more bias to go on long on GU if it has pullbacks! **Find out more from my Tradingview Stream this week** Hello there! If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏 And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁 Interested in following me and getting daily updated analysis? Like and follow me on Tradingview for fast updates! Thank you! ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared. Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
Long
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
2
EURUSD A Fall Expected! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0932 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.0918 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
CADCHF The Target Is UP! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for CADCHF is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.6440 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 0.6566 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
USDCAD Expected Growth! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for USDCAD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.3600 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.3699 Safe Stop Loss - 1.3559 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
GBPUSD will decrease when it hits resistanceGBPUSD is a bit clearer as we can see a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows this week. The question will be whether bulls have one more push to the upside and push Cable toward the 1.2600 handle. If we do break below the 50-day MA we have support at the 1.2400 mark and lower at the 1.2360 mark. A selloff ahead of the weekend may also be on the cards as this would be down to profit taking as buyers who got in during the early part of the week may want to close out before the weekend. A lot will depend on the return of liquidity tomorrow and how much risk market participants are willing to take before the weekend.
Short
by TinaTradingGold
EURUSD has an uptrendThe dollar index DXY, which measures the U.S. currency with six peers, eased 0.029% to 103.73, staying close to the two-and-a-half month low of 103.17 it touched earlier this week. The index is down 2.8% for the month, on course for its weakest monthly performance in a year on rising expectations that the Federal Reserve is done raising interest rates and could start cutting rates next year. Markets have dialled back expectations of Fed rate cuts in 2024, with futures now showing a 26% chance that the Fed cuts its target rate at the March 2024 policy meeting, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. That compares with a 33% chance last week. The euro stood at $1.0904, having risen 0.16% overnight after a series of preliminary surveys showed recession in Germany may be shallower than expected, which offset a downbeat reading of French business activity.
Long
by TinaTradingGold
Gold trading ideas todayWorld gold spot price is around 1,991.9 USD/ounce, down 0.92 USD/ounce compared to overnight. Gold futures price for February 2024 on the Comex New York floor is at 2,013.3 USD/ounce. However, experts commented that the decline in gold prices was stopped by expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) had ended the cycle of raising interest rates. Lower interest rates typically boost gold prices because they reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said that falling prices are a good buying opportunity because at some point the Fed will cut interest rates. This expert predicts that the gold price will increase to 2,150 USD/ounce by the end of 2024. OANDA:XAUUSD BUY 1990 - 1988 TP1: 1995 TP2: 2000 SL : 1983
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TinaTradingGold