XAUUSD BUY again all time high 1. Resistance Zones:
The chart identifies multiple resistance levels, including a double-top resistance.
However, if gold strongly breaks above the resistance, it may invalidate the bearish double-top pattern
2. Trendline Support:
The trendline support is correctly identified, but trendlines are subjective. If broken, it could signal a trend reversal rather than a bounce.
3. Expected Price Movement:
The projected price action assumes a pullback before continuing upwards, which is reasonable.
However, the red arrow suggests a potential drop, which contradicts the bullish expectation.
4. Fundamental Factors:
Gold is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical risks). Ignoring these could make the analysis incomplete
Trading-forex
NZD/JPY SELL 4H
Hi, my name is Andrea Russo and I am a Forex Trader. Today I want to talk to you about an interesting trade on the NZD/JPY cross.
I have currently decided to position myself in sale (short) on NZD/JPY at an entry price of 86,860, with a stop loss set at 87,840 and a target price of 84,190. I will explain my reasoning behind this choice and the technical and fundamental analyses that supported my decision.
Technical Analysis
Looking at the daily chart of NZD/JPY, I noticed a significant resistance in the area around 87,000, which in the past has repeatedly rejected attempts to increase the price. At the time of entry, the price was showing signs of weakness near the resistance, indicating to me an excellent opportunity for a short position. Furthermore, the RSI and MACD indicators were suggesting an overbought condition, reinforcing the possibility of an impending bearish move.
From an Elliott wave perspective, the cross appears to be in a possible corrective wave, with room for further downside towards the target level of 84,190.
Fundamental Analysis
On the fundamental side, the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) looks vulnerable due to the recent economic slowdown in New Zealand, while the Japanese Yen (JPY) has shown signs of strengthening as a safe haven, especially amid global uncertainty. Monetary policies from respective central banks point to a possible tailwind in favor of the Yen, further increasing the bearish outlook for the NZD/JPY pair.
Strategy
My strategy involves:
Short Price: 86,860
Stop Loss: 87,840 (to limit losses in case of contrary movements)
Target Price: 84,190 (key support area, representing a reasonable level of profit).
This trade is based on a balance between technical and fundamental analysis, with a favorable risk/reward ratio.
Conclusion
I remain alert for any news or market events that could affect the trade and adjust the strategy if necessary. Remember that Forex trading carries significant risks and is not suitable for all investors.
I hope this analysis can be useful to you. Happy trading and may the pips be in your favor!
BITCOIN Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 83,533.11.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 79,022.44 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURUSD Will Go Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.089.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.078 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAUUSD TRADING STRATEGY BULLISH False Breakout Possibility:
The breakout above the resistance level could be a fake-out, leading to a sharp reversal instead of a continued upward movement.
A double top at the resistance level may indicate a stronger bearish reversal rather than further bullish momentum.
2. Overextended Trend:
The previous strong bullish move could be overextended, leading to exhaustion. A correction or retracement back to trendline support is highly likely.
The market could enter a consolidation phase instead of continuing the uptrend immediately.
3. Liquidity Grab Before Drop:
Market makers often push prices above key resistance to trigger stop-loss orders before reversing the trend.
The price could break resistance temporarily but then drop significantly back into the support zone.
4. Fundamental Factors:
If economic news or central bank policies favor the USD, gold (XAUUSD) may weaken instead of continuing its bullish run
BTCUSD 15MINTS CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE..This chart shows a potential bullish move for Bitcoin (BTC/USD).
The price is currently in a support zone (blue area) around 81,800-82,000.
A breakout from this level is expected, leading to a rise toward 83,224 (resistance level).
If momentum continues, BTC could reach 84,457.
The blue arrows indicate the expected bullish movement.
EURNZD BUY 4H
Hello, I am Forex Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about a promising strategy for the EURNZD currency cross.
The EURNZD is showing interesting signals for an upward movement. I decided to open a long position at 1.87460, with a stop loss (SL) at 1.861, which represents a potential loss of 0.50%. The profit target (TP) is set at 1.913, aiming for a consistent uptrend.
Technical Analysis
The EURNZD is going through a consolidation phase, offering a breakout opportunity to the upside. Technical indicators such as the MACD and the RSI indicate a growing bullish momentum. Furthermore, the price is positioning itself above the key moving averages, a sign of strength that supports my buy strategy.
Fundamental Analysis
On a fundamental level, the euro is benefiting from an improved economic environment in the Eurozone, along with a relatively stable monetary policy from the ECB. Conversely, the New Zealand dollar could be negatively affected by the recent volatility in the commodity markets, given the New Zealand economy's link to this sector.
Trading Strategy
Entry: 1.87460
Stop Loss: 1.861 (-0.50%)
Take Profit: 1.913
This setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio and aligns with the current technical and fundamental environment. I recommend closely monitoring any changes in fundamentals or key technical levels that could impact the trade.
Weekly Analysis for Week 12 2025!Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
How was your trading this week? Managed to catch the Eurjpy or GbpCad and EurCad movements as mentioned last week?
Which pairs or instruments should we keep a look out for?
This coming week is packed with interest rate decision, how?What to do?
Do check out my recorded video for more insights!
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
*********************************************************************
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
*********************************************************************
Silver Climbs on Weak Inflation DataSilver surged toward $33.90 an ounce, its highest since late October with ongoing trade tensions and rising Fed rate cut expectations after weak U.S. inflation data.
Trump threatened 200% tariffs on European wines in response to the EU’s 50% tariff on U.S. whiskey, further heightening market uncertainty. U.S. producer prices remained flat in February in the meantime, consumer inflation rose just 0.2%, and jobless claims declined, signaling a resilient labor market.
If silver breaks above $34.00, the next resistance levels are $34.85 and $35.00. On the downside, support is at $33.80, with further levels at $33.15 and $32.75 if selling pressure increases.
GOLD hit 3000$ The first notable event is the Bank of Japan (BOJ) monetary policy meeting on Tuesday, followed by the US Federal Reserve (FED) interest rate decision on Wednesday. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) and the Bank of England (BOE) will announce their interest rate policies on Thursday.
These moves can directly affect the strength of the USD and capital flows into gold. This expert believes that if the FED maintains a "hawkish" stance and takes a cautious view on cutting interest rates, the USD may continue to strengthen, putting pressure on gold prices. On the contrary, if the signals from the FED are more easing, the precious metal may maintain its upward momentum.
Commodity experts at Macquarie have raised their gold price forecast to $3,500 an ounce by the third quarter of 2025. They had previously targeted $3,000 for mid-year, but gold prices have hit that mark earlier than expected.
Gold buy Target 3050 on this analysis Contrarian Perspective (Bearish Case)
Instead of a breakout, the price could fail to sustain above the resistance and reverse downward.
The double top formation suggests a potential bearish reversal rather than a continuation.
If price breaks below the support level, it could invalidate the bullish setup and lead to a decline towards 2,900 or lower
2. Fundamental Disruptions
Macroeconomic factors like interest rate hikes, inflation data, or geopolitical instability could change the trend unexpectedly.
Unexpected news (such as central bank decisions on gold reserves) could cause volatility, disrupting the predicted movement.
3. Market Manipulation Risks
Whale activity or institutional traders might push the price in the opposite direction to trap retail traders.
False breakouts could occur before the actual move, stopping out early traders.
4. Alternative Technical Patterns
Instead of following the expected support bounce, price might consolidate in a range.
The resistance zone might turn into a supply zone, leading to a prolonged sideways movement
AAPL BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
AAPL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 213.28
Target Level: 232.17
Stop Loss: 200.88
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD SURGES TO RECORD HIGH – IS $3,000 JUST THE BEGINNING?📌 Market Overview
Gold has surged to a new all-time high (ATH), approaching the critical $3,000 per ounce level. The rally has been fueled by recent inflation data (CPI & PPI), which has heightened market volatility. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has dropped to its lowest levels in recent months, further strengthening gold’s bullish momentum. As a result, investors are aggressively buying gold as a safe-haven asset amidst global economic and geopolitical uncertainty. 🚀
👉 Why is gold continuing to rise?
Investors are piling into gold, despite record-high prices, as uncertainty continues to drive demand for safe assets.
Donald Trump’s economic policies have added market instability, increasing gold's appeal.
As long as the USD remains weak, gold will continue to be a top investment choice.
📊 Will Gold Break Above $3,000?
🔹 Short-Term Outlook:
The Asian and European sessions are expected to remain bullish as investors continue accumulating gold.
The US session could bring some profit-taking, leading to temporary price swings.
Friday is historically volatile, meaning sharp pullbacks are possible before the week closes.
📉 Key Technical Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance Levels: $3,000 - $3,019 - $3,039 - $3,052
🔻 Support Levels: $2,978 - $2,967 - $2,942 - $2,918
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
🔴 SELL ZONE: $3,039 - $3,041
📍 SL: $3,045
🎯 TP: $3,035 - $3,030 - $3,025 - $3,020 - $3,015 - $3,010 - ???
🟢 SCALP BUY: $2,968 - $2,966
📍 SL: $2,962
🎯 TP: $2,972 - $2,976 - $2,980 - $2,985 - $2,990 - $3,000
🟢 BUY ZONE: $2,948 - $2,946
📍 SL: $2,942
🎯 TP: $2,952 - $2,956 - $2,960 - $2,965 - $2,970 - $2,980 - $3,000 - ???
⚡ Final Thoughts – A Correction Before the Next Move?
📌 Gold continues its strong rally, but Friday could bring volatility as traders lock in profits.
📌 Stick to TP/SL strategies to manage risks and avoid sudden market swings.
📌 Watch the US session closely – major moves could happen!
💬 Will gold break $3,000 or face a sharp correction? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀🔥
GBPCAD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPCAD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.865.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.822.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Europe - America War, Impact on Forex
Hello, my name is Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about an important issue that is shaking up the international market: the trade war between the European Union and the United States. Recently, the European Union responded to the duties imposed by the United States on steel and aluminum with countermeasures worth 26 billion euros. In response, US President Donald Trump threatened to impose 200% duties on all wines, champagnes and spirits from France and other countries represented by the EU2.
This escalation of trade tensions will certainly have a significant impact on the FOREX market. Let's see together what the consequences could be:
Market Volatility: Trade tensions between two of the world's largest economies will increase the volatility of the FOREX market. Investors will seek safe havens, such as the Swiss Franc (CHF) and the Japanese Yen (JPY), increasing the demand for these currencies.
Euro (EUR) depreciation: The euro could come under downward pressure due to concerns about the economic impact of tariffs on key EU sectors, such as wine. The reduction in exports of wine and other alcoholic products could negatively impact the EU's trade balance.
US dollar (USD) appreciation: The dollar could strengthen further, as investors view the US as a safe haven in times of economic uncertainty. However, the increase in tariffs could also lead to higher inflation in the US, complicating the Federal Reserve's decisions regarding interest rates.
Impact on the currencies of wine exporting countries: The currencies of major European wine exporters, such as the euro (EUR) and the Swedish krona (SEK), could come under downward pressure due to the decrease in exports to the US.
In conclusion, the tariff war between the European Union and the US will have a significant impact on the FOREX market. Investors will need to monitor developments closely and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. Stay tuned for more updates and market analysis!
Happy trading to all!
EURUSD: Trump’s trade war crosses the Atlantic You may be sick of hearing about tariffs, but they are currently the catalyst for a huge amount of volatility in the market and a huge amount of trading opportunities.
And now Trump’s trade war has crossed the Atlantic
Today, the European Union announced retaliatory tariffs on approximately €26 billion worth of U.S. goods in response to President Donald Trump's recent increase in tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. Targeted products include Harley-Davidsons, bourbon, and jeans—key American exports that have been caught in previous trade disputes.
The EU has said it remains open to negotiation but has not ruled out further action.
In response, Trump vowed to retaliate, stating, “Of course I’m going to respond.” The daily chart for the EUR/USD shows the pair could fall into a larger corrective decline, given overbought RSI conditions.
STBB FX Weekly Analysis - Week 11 2025Tradingview Ideas:
Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my Video!
I am giving updates on my Weekly Analysis, mainly in the forex market!
Do check them out!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
GOLD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GOLD is making a bearish pullback on the 1H TF and is nearing the support line below while we are generally bullish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following long a good option for us with the target being the 2,920.193 level.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
XAUUSD BUY NOW this week big movement gold strongly bullish soonThanks for the clarification. Based on the chart you provided and the bullish bias toward the resistance target of 2950, here’s a "disruption" or alternative analysis—a contrarian scenario that challenges the bullish view:
Bearish Disruption Analysis:
1. False Breakout & Rejection Scenario:
Current price hovering around 2910.795 shows a struggle to break higher.
Price previously failed to sustain above the minor resistance zone near 2918–2920, showing rejection wicks.
This may indicate buying exhaustion, and if no fresh momentum comes in, price could reverse.
2. Support Weakening:
The 2906 support zone has already been tested multiple times.
Each retest of this support weakens the buyers' defense.
A break and close below 2906 would open doors to deeper pullbacks — potential targets:
First target: 2895 (psychological and historical intraday support).
Extended target: 2880–2885 zone.
3. Volume Divergence:
Noticeable reduction in buying volume on recent attempts to move higher.
Without increasing volume, it's hard for price to break out toward 2950.
4. Potential Bearish Formation:
Formation of a lower high pattern, suggesting a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish in this short-term timeframe (H1)
SPY SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
SPY pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is evidently falling on the 9H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 593.41 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USDJPY STRONG FALLING OPPORTUNITY 1. 144.00 Support May Hold Strong
The analysis assumes 144.00 will break, but this is a key psychological and historical support level.
If buyers step in, USD/JPY could reverse back up instead of continuing downward.
2. Rebound Towards 150.00 Possible
Instead of a lower low, USD/JPY could bounce off intermediate demand zones and attempt a retest of resistance at 150.00.
US economic strength (inflation, interest rates) could support the dollar and invalidate the downtrend.
3. Lower Highs are Not Confirmed Yet
If the price stays above 146.50, the trend could shift back bullish, disrupting the bearish projection.
Lack of strong selling pressure near 147.00-146.00 could mean the market is undecided rather than fully bearish
4. Macroeconomic Factors Favor USD Strength
If Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains dovish and the Fed keeps rates high, USD/JPY might resume its uptrend instead of falling
ETHUSD SURELY BULLISH 1. Support at 2130 May Fail
The chart assumes a bounce from 2130 support, but if ETH breaks below this level, it could trigger further liquidations and push price toward 2000 or lower.
Bearish divergence or weakening buy volume could signal a lack of strength.
2. Resistance at 2800 May Hold Strong
The projection suggests ETH will reach 2800, but this could be a strong supply zone where sellers step in.
If ETH struggles around 2400-2500, we might see a reversal instead of a breakout.
3. Lower High Formation
If ETH fails to break above previous highs (~2265+), it could signal a lower high, leading to a downtrend continuation rather than a rally.
Rejection near 2300-2400 might confirm a bearish structure.
4. Macroeconomic & Market Risks
If Bitcoin corrects or macro factors (rate hikes, regulatory news, or stock market weakness) pressure crypto markets, ETH might struggle to sustain upside momentum
XAUUSD strong bullish 1. (Xauusd)Support at 2900 May Not Hold
The chart suggests a bounce from the 2900 support area, but if market sentiment weakens, we could see a breakdown below 2900 instead of a recovery.
If this happens, gold might dip further toward 2850 or even 2800 before regaining strength.
2. Trendline Breakdown is Possible
There's an upward trendline acting as dynamic support, but multiple touches increase the chance of a breakdown rather than a continuation.
A confirmed break below this trendline could lead to bearish momentum rather than a push higher.
3. Resistance May Be Stronger Than Expected
The analysis suggests a move toward 2960-3000, but these levels could act as a strong resistance instead of a breakout zone.
Failure to break 2960 might trigger another sell-off back toward 2900 or lower.
4. Macroeconomic Factors Could Shift Bias
If the US Dollar strengthens or bond yields rise, gold could struggle to gain momentum, invalidating the bullish outlook