EUR MXN LONG Investment Opportunity
The EUR/MXN pair is showing signs of recovery, with an interesting possibility of appreciation of the Euro against the Mexican Peso. In this analysis, we will explore a LONG strategy, with an entry point at 21.80, based on technical and fundamental considerations.
Position parameters:
Take Profit (TP): 22.80
Stop Loss (SL): 21.46
Trend analysis and motivations for LONG:
The Euro is showing a certain degree of stability thanks to the monetary policy of the ECB and the improving economic outlook in the Eurozone. On the other hand, the Mexican Peso could be pressured by the volatility of emerging markets and the decisions of Banxico on interest rates.
Graphically, the 21.80 level has acted as a key support, suggesting a favorable area for the opening of a LONG position. The 22.80 target represents a significant resistance, tested in previous market phases. If the bullish momentum is maintained, this level could be reached with a gradual progression.
Risk management and operational outlook:
The Stop Loss is positioned at 21.46, a point that could indicate a bearish breakout if reached. The risk/reward ratio appears balanced, allowing a prudent management of the position without exposing the capital to excessive risks.
Conclusion:
The LONG strategy on EUR/MXN is supported by technical and macroeconomic factors that indicate a possible revaluation of the Euro in the short-medium term. Monitoring global economic developments and central bank decisions will be essential to confirm the validity of this approach.
Trading-forex
Investment Opportunity CHF/MXN LONG
The CHF/MXN cross is showing interesting signs of recovery after a consolidation phase. With a view to the strengthening of the Swiss Franc against the Mexican Peso, I decided to set a LONG position, with an entry point at 23.31.
Key levels of the strategy:
Take Profit (TP): 24.4060
Stop Loss (SL): 23.0100
Rationale for the LONG position:
Technical analysis suggests a potential rebound, supported by several macroeconomic factors. Switzerland continues to maintain a prudent monetary policy, with stable interest rates and a currency considered a safe haven in times of uncertainty. On the contrary, the Mexican Peso is subject to pressure from inflation and volatility in emerging markets.
Looking at the chart, the 23.31 level has proven to be a significant support, increasing the probability of a bullish move towards the 24.4060 target, a key resistance level that coincides with a previous distribution area.
Risk Management:
The Stop Loss is set at 23.0100, a level that, if reached, would invalidate my bullish idea and signal a possible trend reversal. With this setup, the risk/reward ratio is favorable, ensuring a balance between caution and profit opportunities.
Conclusion:
The current configuration of CHF/MXN presents an interesting opportunity for those looking for medium-term movements. If the momentum remains positive, the price could approach the 24.40 area, confirming the validity of the LONG strategy. Closely monitoring global economic dynamics and monetary policies will be key for active position management.
SHORT NZD/CNH 8H Investment Opportunity
Hello, I am trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about a SHORT investment opportunity on the NZD/CNH exchange rate.
Trade Details
The trade starts at the 4.40 area with a Stop Loss (SL) at 4.44 and a Take Profit (TP) at 4.21.
Market Analysis
Currently, the NZD/CNH exchange rate is around 4.381. The recent performance of the NZD has shown some volatility, influenced by economic factors such as inflation in New Zealand and trade policies. These elements have contributed to creating a context of uncertainty that could favor a decline in the exchange rate.
Trading Strategy
The proposed strategy involves entering a SHORT position at 4.40, anticipating a decline towards the level of 4.21. The Stop Loss at 4.44 is used to limit losses in case the market moves against our prediction. This setup offers a good risk/reward ratio, making the trade interesting for traders looking for short-term profit opportunities.
Final Thoughts
This trading opportunity requires careful risk management and constant monitoring of market conditions. The volatility of the NZD/CNH exchange rate can offer good profit opportunities, but it is essential to be prepared to react quickly to changes. It is advisable to stay updated on economic news and events that could affect the market.
Happy trading!
LONG GBP/CHF Investment Opportunity
Hello, I am Trader Andrea Russo, and today I want to share an investment opportunity that I consider extremely interesting: a LONG position on GBP/CHF.
In recent months, the GBP/CHF currency cross has shown signs of consolidation and a potential resumption of the bullish trend. In this article, I will analyze in detail the reasons that make this investment promising, the key points to monitor and the strategies to manage risk and maximize profits.
Investment Strategy: Main Points
Entry: The LONG position is opened at the price of 1.01119, a level that represents an interesting technical area and is located near the recent lows of the market.
Stop Loss (SL): To minimize risks, the SL is set at a distance of 0.95%. This level protects us from sudden movements contrary to our direction.
Take Profit (TP): The final target is set at 2.83%. This target allows us to capitalize on a significant bullish move.
GBP/CHF Technical Analysis
Technical analysis provides us with useful tools to understand the historical and future behavior of the market. In the case of GBP/CHF, there are some interesting signals:
1. Support and Resistance
Support: The level of 1.01119 is configured as a key support. Historically, the market has respected this area, bouncing on several occasions. This makes it the ideal level to position Long.
Resistance: The first significant resistance area is located around 1.03000. If the price breaks this threshold, it is likely to open up room for further bullish movements.
2. Moving Average and Trend
The 50 and 200-period moving averages on the daily chart indicate a possible bullish reversal. GBP/CHF is attempting to break above the short-term moving average, an encouraging sign for traders looking for Long opportunities.
3. Chart Patterns
A potential double bottom is forming on the 4H and daily charts. This pattern is a classic reversal indicator, suggesting growing strength among buyers.
4. Technical Indicators
RSI: The RSI indicator is currently in the neutral zone, around 50. A breakout above 60 would confirm the bullish strength.
MACD: The MACD oscillator is showing a bullish crossover, with the signal line above zero. This is another sign that the bullish momentum could gain strength.
Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis is also crucial to support our strategy.
1. Monetary Policies and Interest Rate Differential
British Pound (GBP): The Bank of England has recently adopted a restrictive monetary policy, raising interest rates. This could favor an appreciation of the pound against the Swiss franc.
Swiss Franc (CHF): Swiss monetary policy, although historically prudent, could be affected by global inflation pressure, but the CHF remains less aggressive in raising rates.
2. Economic Context
Consumer confidence in the UK is recovering, and recent data shows stable GDP growth. These factors support a possible strengthening of the pound. On the other hand, the Swiss franc is influenced by increased demand for safe haven currencies, but could come under pressure in the context of a global economic recovery.
Risk Management
The most important aspect of any trading strategy is risk management:
Risk-Reward Ratio: With a SL of 0.95% and a TP of 2.83%, the risk-reward ratio is very favorable, above 1:3.
Diversification: This trade should be part of a diversified portfolio to minimize global risks.
Conclusions
Investing in GBP/CHF with a LONG position at 1.01119 represents an interesting opportunity based on both technical and fundamental analysis. The combination of key levels, technical signals and economic context suggests a potential bullish movement. However, let's remember that the market is unpredictable, and good risk management is essential.
I hope this analysis is useful for your trading strategy. If you have any questions or want to share your point of view, do not hesitate to do so in the comments!
EUR/GBP LONG Investment Opportunities: Technical Analysis
The currency market offers new investment opportunities, and among the most interesting pairs of the moment we find EUR/GBP, with a favorable configuration for a long trade.
Entry Point and Trading Objectives
Entry: 0.8526
Take Profit (TP): +1.34%
Stop Loss (SL): -0.44%
This trade is based on in-depth technical analysis, considering key support and resistance levels that reinforce the hypothesis of a bullish movement.
Technical Analysis and Market Trends
After a consolidation phase around the 0.8526 threshold, the currency cross shows signs of bullish strength, with technical indicators confirming a potential breakout.
Primary Trend: Bullish with dynamic support.
RSI: In the neutral zone, indicating room for further growth.
Moving Averages: The 50-period crossed the 200-period, a sign of positive momentum.
Optimism on the single currency is also supported by fundamental factors, including monetary policies of the European Central Bank (ECB) and economic dynamics of the United Kingdom.
Risk Management and Final Considerations
To mitigate market volatility, the trade is accompanied by a Stop Loss at -0.44%, to protect the capital from any unexpected reversals.
Investors interested in this opportunity should carefully monitor macroeconomic events, such as inflation data and interest rate decisions, which could influence the direction of the EUR/GBP exchange rate.
LONG EUR/SGD Investment Opportunity
Entry: 1.46708 Take Profit (TP): +1.33% Stop Loss (SL): -0.86%
📊 Market Overview
EUR/SGD is in a strategic zone, with an entry level set at 1.46708, an area that could act as a key support. The idea of this LONG trade is based on a possible resumption of the trend, taking advantage of a bullish movement in case of confirmation of the momentum.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Key Support: The price has tested the entry level several times, suggesting a potential base for a restart.
Resistance: The TP target implies a movement of +1.33%, indicating a possible breakout to new highs.
Stop Loss: The protection set at -0.86% helps manage the risk and minimize any losses.
📈 Risk Management
Capital management is crucial. With a Stop Loss of 0.86%, the risk is well calibrated against the potential gain of 1.33%, maintaining a positive risk/reward ratio.
🔥 Conclusion
If the price confirms the support and shows signs of strength, this LONG strategy on EUR/SGD could generate a favorable opportunity. However, it is always essential to monitor the market conditions and adjust the strategy if necessary.
Is $3000 the Next Stop for Gold? Double Top Formation in Play!Is $3000 the Next Stop for Gold? Double Top Formation in Play!
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal as it forms a Double Top pattern on the daily chart. After hitting an all-time high near $3,500, the metal has entered a sharp correction phase and is now hovering dangerously close to key psychological support at $3,200.
Technical Analysis Breakdown:
A clear Double Top pattern is forming on the Daily (D1) chart, with two peaks near the same resistance level — a classical bearish signal indicating bullish exhaustion.
If today’s daily candle closes below the $3,200 level, we could see a rapid decline toward $3,000 in the short to medium term.
The neckline for this pattern aligns with the critical support zone between 3196–3200, which is the key area to monitor for potential breakdown confirmation.
What’s the Smart Money Doing?
Investors are currently pulling out of gold and rotating into higher-risk assets like equities and cryptocurrencies, looking for higher yields and growth potential.
This shift in investment suggests that the current sell-off might not just be a technical correction, but also a sign of changing macro sentiment — particularly if the Fed continues with a hawkish stance and delays rate cuts.
Suggested Trade Scenarios:
🔻 If Daily Close is Below $3,200:
High probability sell setup based on the Double Top pattern
Potential downside targets: 3120 → 3050 → 3000
🔺 If Price Holds Above $3,200 and Bounces:
Watch for a retracement to 3250–3278 for potential reversal signals
Short-term BUY scalp towards 3300–3320 with a tight SL below 3190
What to Watch This Week:
Keep an eye on key US economic data, including CPI, PPI, and a Fed Chair speech, which could cause significant volatility.
The market is highly reactive right now — avoid emotional trades and wait for clear confirmation from the charts.
Risk management is essential, especially during these uncertain times.
Final Thoughts:
The Double Top pattern on Gold is becoming a significant technical signal for a potential trend reversal. A confirmed break below $3,200 could open the door for a deeper correction toward $3,000.
📣 Stay connected with AD for more real-time updates, technical insights, and trading setups during every market session.
Gold Faces Strong Sell-Off: Is a Reversal on the Horizon? Gold Faces Strong Sell-Off After Initial Bounce – Is a Reversal Looming?
Gold opened the day with a slight uptick, only to be quickly slammed down, reflecting the current weakness in buying power. The market is reacting to news in flashes, quickly reversing direction — slow on the way up, but fast on the way down. This is the perfect reflection of a market losing confidence in any recovery trend.
🧐 Is This a Sign That Gold Is Heading Towards a Strong Reversal Zone?
📌 Support Zones to Monitor:
3222 – 3220: Short-term cushion. If this fails, expect further downward pressure.
3206 (M30): Next level of defense where technical reactions may occur.
⏳ Caution: Early European session tends to show strong volatility. If no clear signs of a bounce, be cautious of sudden sharp drops.
As for the trade negotiations, the developments around tariffs have been much more positive recently. Most news points toward further downside pressure on Gold, and it seems to be staying in the downward price channel. The price zones are not much different from yesterday’s levels, so I’ll slightly adjust my entries for today.
Watch the Resistance Levels: They are key for shorting opportunities. The BUY setup still seems far off; it’s hard to pick a good entry with resistance zones appearing everywhere right now. Don't rush into BUY positions just yet!
📊 Key Resistance Levels:
3244 – 3262 – 3278 – 3290 – 3308 – 3330
📊 Key Support Levels:
3216 – 3206 – 3194 – 3170 – 3158
🎯 Scalping BUY Zones:
BUY SCALP: 3196 – 3194
SL: 3190
TP: 3200 – 3204 – 3208 – 3212 – 3216 – 3220
BUY ZONE: 3158 – 3156
SL: 3152
TP: 3162 – 3166 – 3170 – 3174 – 3178 – 3182 – 3190
🎯 Scalping SELL Zones:
SELL SCALP: 3257 – 3259
SL: 3263
TP: 3253 – 3250 – 3246 – 3242 – 3238 – 3235 – 3230 – 3220
SELL ZONE: 3278 – 3280
SL: 3284
TP: 3274 – 3270 – 3266 – 3262 – 3258 – 3254 – 3250 – 3240 – 3230
🔎 Key Insights:
The market is moving in a tight range, but gold continues to hold below significant resistance. As the geopolitical situation stabilizes and tariff talks improve, any sudden price reversals will be important to monitor. The FOMC meeting and global developments will play key roles in shaping the future trend for gold.
💡 Conclusion:
Gold is facing a strong sell-off after testing key resistance. Focus on shorting at key resistance zones and be cautious with any buys until a clearer upward trend forms. Stay disciplined, watch the support levels carefully, and manage your trades well!
EURCHF Will Go Down From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for EURCHF.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.936.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.934 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USD/JPY Long, EUR/CAD Short, GBP/USD Neutral and EUR/USD ShortUSD/JPY Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
EUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
GBP/USD Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
GBP/USD Set for a Big Move! Will It Break the Channel or Reboun📈 GBP/USD DAILY PLAN – 12/05/2025
🔍 Technical Overview:
The GBP/USD pair is currently consolidating in a descending channel, with clear resistance and support levels. After forming a short-term high at 1.32507, the price is showing signs of retracing and looks set to continue the downward move.
Key Resistance Levels:
1.32507: The latest high, still unbroken. This is a key resistance level in the short term.
1.31690: The next resistance level, which could provide bearish momentum as the price touches it.
1.31417: A strong resistance level if the price continues to rise.
Key Support Levels:
1.32474: A strong support zone, likely to be tested if the price dips.
1.32169: A short-term support level for potential reversal.
1.31216: A key support level in case of a sharp decline, potentially a strong BUY zone.
🎯 Trade Scenarios:
1. Bearish Breakout Scenario:
SELL Zone: 1.32507 – 1.31690
Stop Loss (SL): 1.3300
Take Profit (TP): 1.31417 → 1.31000 → 1.30500
2. PullbackScenario – Reversal at Support:
BUY Zone: 1.31216 – 1.31417
Stop Loss (SL): 1.31000
Take Profit (TP): 1.31800 → 1.32100 → 1.32400
⚠️ Notes:
Market Sentiment: The market is highly sensitive to ongoing political and economic developments, especially comments from ECB and Fed officials. Watch the key support and resistance levels carefully before making any trades today.
Risk Management: Be sure to manage your SL/TP levels carefully and avoid chasing signals during volatile market moves.
📣 Important:
Today is a key day with important macroeconomic data that could shift market sentiment, particularly from Fed officials and trade talks. Be cautious and wait for confirmation signals before entering any trades.
GOLD Weekly Open Analysis:Gap Down Sparks Fresh Bearish Momentum🟠 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Weekly Open Analysis: Gap Down Sparks Fresh Bearish Momentum
Gold opens the week with a sharp gap-down, reflecting a cooling of global tensions and softer tones in tariff negotiations over the weekend. With both geopolitical risks and trade conflicts showing signs of de-escalation, investors quickly shifted away from safe-haven demand, leading to immediate downside pressure in early Asia hours.
🔍 Market Context:
The price action remains within a bearish parallel channel on the M30 timeframe.
A visible GAP ZONE has formed between $3326 – $3328, which now acts as a key resistance area to watch for a potential retest.
This week brings critical US economic data including CPI, PPI, and a Fed speech, all of which could drive large volatility.
The market is likely to remain extremely sensitive to any shifts in:
US inflation expectations
FED forward guidance
Further headlines on tariffs or geopolitical escalations (Russia–Ukraine, India–Pakistan)
🔧 Trading Strategy for Today (13/05/2025):
Bias: Short-term bearish unless clear reversal signs appear.
Primary focus: Sell the rally, especially near key resistance zones.
🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
$3288
$3308
$3326–$3328 (Gap Fill Zone)
🔻 Key Support Levels:
$3262
$3246
$3236
$3200
🎯 Trade Ideas:
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: $3246 – $3244
SL: $3240
TPs: $3250 → $3254 → $3258 → $3262 → $3266 → $3270 → $3280
Valid only if buyers show strong defense at key support zones.
🔴 SELL ZONE (Main):
Entry: $3326 – $3328
SL: $3332
TPs: $3322 → $3318 → $3314 → $3310 → $3305 → $3300
🔴 SELL SCALP (Early Intraday):
Entry: $3306 – $3308
SL: $3312
TPs: $3300 → $3296 → $3290 → $3286 → $3282 → $3278 → $3270
⚠️ Key Reminders:
Volatility is expected to remain high throughout the week due to macro events and shifting risk sentiment.
Trade with discipline — stick to your TP/SL and avoid emotional entries.
Wait for confirmation at your planned levels. Let the market come to you.
📣 Final Note:
This week is packed with catalysts. Patience and precision will define successful trades. Follow this account for real-time updates as the market reacts to US CPI and Fed commentary.
EUR/CAD (Trade Recap), USD/JPY (Trade Recap) and GBP/USD Long GBP/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USD/CHF Sideways Phase Could Break on Trade Sentiment Shift USD/CHF Weekly Setup – Sideways Phase Could Break on Trade Sentiment Shift
USD/CHF is currently consolidating in a tight range near 0.8300, but under the surface, big moves are brewing.
Last week, the pair pulled back as US bond yields dipped lower and the USD weakened. However, this isn’t just about technicals — the bigger story is coming from trade negotiations, central bank signals, and global inflation pressures.
🌍 What’s Driving the Market?
1️⃣ US-China Trade Talks Return to Spotlight
Early signs of progress in global trade relations helped stabilize market sentiment. President Trump confirmed a preliminary trade agreement with the UK and hinted at cautious talks with China this weekend in Switzerland. While no breakthroughs are expected, any surprise deal or tariff easing could lift the USD.
2️⃣ SNB Dovish Tilt Pressures CHF
SNB Chairman Schlegel has opened the door for more rate cuts if the Swiss economy continues to show weakness. April CPI came in flat, and core inflation dropped, adding to the dovish case.
3️⃣ Fed Uncertainty
While the Fed held rates steady, markets are still debating the next move. The bond market suggests rate cuts are now less likely in the short-term, which could offer near-term support to the USD.
📊 Technical Picture – H4 Outlook
Price is forming a sideways accumulation just under the 0.8310 level. A deeper FVG (Fair Value Gap) still exists overhead from the recent drop. If USD strength returns, a clean break toward this imbalance zone is likely.
We're also seeing lower shadows and absorption wicks near support zones, signaling buyers are active at the bottom of this range.
📌 Key Levels
BUY ZONE:
→ 0.8265 – 0.8245
SL: 0.8200
TP targets:
→ 0.8325
→ 0.8365
→ 0.8425
→ 0.8585
🧠 Strategy Notes
This setup is range-to-breakout biased.
If the market responds positively to US-China trade headlines or US bond yields recover, USD/CHF could launch higher into the imbalance zone.
Watch for a confirmed H4 breakout candle above 0.8320 for added confidence.
Keep in mind the SNB meeting on June 19th — markets may start pricing in policy shifts earlier than expected.
📣 Final Thoughts
USD/CHF is at a turning point — and what happens next will depend less on indicators and more on trade diplomacy and central bank tones. As always, let the market show its hand.
✅ Wait for price to come to your zone.
⛔ Don’t chase moves in this volatility.
🔔 Stay alert to any headlines from the US, China, or SNB this week.
Pullback or Recovery? All Eyes on ECB and Inflation CluesEUR/USD – Pullback or Recovery? All Eyes on ECB and Inflation Clues
Hey traders! 👋
After a tough drop earlier this week, EUR/USD is now finding its feet again near the 1.1240 area. We’re seeing some early bullish signs, but the bigger question is: Is this just a pullback or the start of a stronger recovery?
🔎 What’s going on?
Today, ECB’s Šimkus came out with some pretty dovish comments:
He warned that Eurozone inflation depends a lot on how the EU responds to trade policies from the US.
There's pressure to cut interest rates as soon as June, but it’s still unclear whether they’ll follow up again in July or September.
Growth risks remain due to geopolitics and Chinese goods flowing into Europe.
These hints of a possible rate cut added more weight on the Euro. But at the same time, we’re seeing buyers step in around key support zones, so price action could get interesting soon.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
1.1278 – First level to break for bulls
1.1301 – Near-term resistance
1.1325 & 1.1353 – Highs to watch if momentum builds
Support:
1.1240 – Holding well so far
1.1198 – Key BUY zone
1.1160 – Last line of defence for bulls
🧠 Trade Plan for Today (May 9th)
✅ BUY IDEA:
Buy Zone: 1.1198
SL: 1.1138
TP Targets:
→ 1.1235
→ 1.1285
→ 1.1325
❌ SELL IDEA:
Sell Zone: 1.1301
SL: 1.1360
TP Targets:
→ 1.1265
→ 1.1225
→ 1.1185
📌 Final Thoughts
The pair is still inside a downward channel, so we need to be flexible. If EUR/USD breaks and holds above 1.1300, bulls could take control. But if it fails, we might see another dip back toward the lower range.
Keep an eye on macro data next week – especially inflation figures and any fresh ECB signals.
👉 Stay patient, trade your zones, and don’t chase! Let the setup come to you.
Good luck! 🚀
Gold Friday Volatility – Liquidity SweepsGold Friday Volatility – Liquidity Sweeps & Potential Channel Break Ahead
Gold kicked off Friday with intense volatility, triggering sweeping liquidity grabs during the Asian session. Price dropped aggressively into the 327x region, clearing stop zones and vacuuming liquidity — only to quickly rebound and fill the imbalance above.
This classic FVG (Fair Value Gap) behavior was especially visible on the M30 timeframe, as price repeatedly left behind inefficient zones and promptly returned to fill them. Volatility remains elevated — and traders should proceed with caution.
📉 Technical Context – End of the Downtrend?
Since Thursday, gold has been trading in a clean descending parallel channel, respecting lower highs and pushing downward. However, late in the Asian session today, a bullish momentum surge appears to be testing the upper boundary of this channel.
We are now watching the 3324 level very closely.
A confirmed breakout above this zone — with candle closure outside the trendline — would suggest a structure shift and open the door for BUY setups on the retest.
Until then, we observe. Let price confirm. We trade the reaction, not the assumption.
🌍 Macro Risk – Trade Tensions & Weekend Volatility
The market remains extremely reactive to:
Geopolitical risks: Military tensions are still simmering.
US–China tariff discussions: President Trump is expected to make remarks on tariff policy.
Any surprise here could heavily impact USD and gold.
⚠️ Liquidity sweeps are common on Fridays — especially into London and NY sessions — so risk management is critical today.
📌 Key Technical Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance:
3345 → 3364 → 3395
🔻 Support:
3280 → 3270 → 3256 → 3244 → 3225
The 3324 and 3366 zones are particularly critical.
If price closes firmly above these zones, bullish continuation becomes more likely.
If price gets rejected, we stay within range and look for sell opportunities.
🎯 Trade Plan – Friday, May 10
🟢 BUY ZONE
Entry: 3280 – 3278
SL: 3274
TPs: 3285 → 3290 → 3295 → 3300 → 3305 → 3310 → 3320
🔴 SELL ZONE
Entry: 3364 – 3366
SL: 3370
TPs: 3360 → 3356 → 3352 → 3348 → 3344 → 3340 → 3330
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Friday often delivers unexpected liquidity traps.
With news expected from the White House and technical structure on the verge of a break, this session could offer both risk and reward — if approached with discipline.
✅ Use clear levels.
✅ Respect TP/SL.
✅ Stay sharp as NY volume enters.
📣 Let’s end the week strong. Drop your charts and ideas below!
Leo XIV: Impact on the Forex Market
Hello, I am Forex trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about the election of the New Pope.
The election of a new Pope is an event with implications not only religious and social, but also economic. With the rise of Leo XIV, the financial world is closely watching the possible repercussions on global currencies and investment strategies.
Immediate effects on Forex volatility
Historically, major political and institutional events can generate fluctuations in international currencies. Italy, home to the Vatican, could see movements on the EUR/USD pair, especially based on the first statements of the new Pontiff regarding the economic policies of the Vatican.
Some investors may react with initial caution, leading to temporary volatility in the Forex market, similar to what happens during political elections or other leadership transitions. However, this volatility could be limited in the short term, unless Leo XIV announces substantial changes in the management of the Vatican finances.
Vatican Financial Policies and Their Impact on Currencies
The Vatican holds significant wealth, with real estate investments and stakes in international companies. If the new Pope decides to adopt a more transparent or ethical strategy in his investments, this could influence the financial sector, prompting global funds to review their investment strategies.
EUR/USD and the Role of the ECB: Possible Vatican interventions on economic and social policies in Europe could prompt the ECB to assess the macroeconomic picture more carefully.
Safe Haven Currencies (CHF, JPY, Gold): If the election generates economic uncertainty, we could see an increase in investments in safe haven assets, such as the Swiss Franc (CHF) and the Japanese Yen (JPY).
Economic Sectors Impacted
Ethical Finance and ESG: If Leo XIV emphasizes the importance of sustainable investments, companies linked to the ESG sector could see increased interest and capital inflows.
Real Estate: With the Vatican being one of Europe’s largest property owners, any reforms in asset management could have repercussions on real estate markets, influencing the value of the EUR and other related assets.
GBP/AUD Short, EUR/CAD Short, USD/JPY Short and EUR/USD NeutralGBP/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
AUDCHF Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDCHF.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.530.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.518.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD OUTLOOK: US–UK Trade Deal in Focus as Tariff Tensions Ease GOLD OUTLOOK: US–UK Trade Deal in Focus as Tariff Tensions Ease — Is War Risk Losing Grip?
The spotlight has shifted.
As geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan continue to simmer, gold has surprisingly failed to respond with the expected safe-haven spike. Instead, the market’s attention has turned sharply toward global trade negotiations — particularly the latest developments between the United States and the United Kingdom.
🌐 Global Trade Truce: Why It Matters
Recent headlines confirm the UK is one of the first nations to sign a new trade and tariff agreement with the US — easing pressure from global tariff wars and restoring market confidence.
➡️ Result?
The US Dollar (DXY) has staged a meaningful recovery, limiting gold’s upside and reducing short-term bullish sentiment.
While the war narrative is still present, it's the economic diplomacy that’s dominating headlines and price action this week.
📉 Market Reaction: Mixed Signals & Wild Volatility
Recent gold movements have been erratic — sweeping liquidity zones of nearly $100 per ounce in single sessions. This type of behavior reflects deep uncertainty and makes short-term directional trading highly risky.
For now, the priority should be on key H2–H4 zones, with reduced exposure to scalp trades until structure stabilizes.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch (H4 Anchored)
🔻 SELL SCALP
Entry: 3,364 – 3,366
SL: 3,370
TPs: 3,360 → 3,356 → 3,352 → 3,348 → 3,344 → 3,340 → 3,330
🔻 SELL ZONE (Breakout Rejection Area)
Entry: 3,380 – 3,382
SL: 3,386
TPs: 3,376 → 3,372 → 3,368 → 3,364 → 3,360 → 3,350
🟢 BUY ZONE (Mid-Term Support)
Entry: 3,322 – 3,320
SL: 3,316
TPs: 3,326 → 3,330 → 3,334 → 3,340
📌 Strategy Notes:
The European session open has triggered bearish candles — be cautious on BUY setups during London hours.
If you’re holding long positions from earlier this week, consider scaling out around the 3,355 zone.
Keep an eye on upcoming comments from Donald Trump, especially around the new trade framework. These could trigger short-term volatility spikes or broader trend shifts.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Gold is no longer driven solely by geopolitical unrest — macro narratives are back in control.
With tariff tensions easing and stronger-than-expected USD recovery, traders need to remain flexible, disciplined, and reactive — not predictive.
✅ Focus on clear levels.
✅ Trade with confirmation.
✅ Avoid emotional scalps during uncertainty.
📣 Follow this page for real-time zone updates and structured market reads. Let’s finish this week strong.
Gold Ahead of FOMC – China Rate Cut Shocks Market as USD Surges⚠️ Gold Ahead of FOMC – China Rate Cut Shocks Market as USD Surges
Gold (XAU/USD) is facing a pivotal moment after a dramatic correction from $3,435 down to the 3,360s, triggered by a combination of surprising policy moves and rising macro uncertainty.
🧭 Macro Recap: Why Did Gold Drop?
🇨🇳 China unexpectedly cut interest rates by 10 basis points ahead of a key trade dialogue with the US.
➤ This supports global liquidity sentiment but simultaneously strengthens the USD in the short term.
💵 DXY surged, taking advantage of China's rate cut — adding pressure to gold.
⚠️ Geopolitical tensions in South Asia (India–Pakistan) resurfaced but failed to lift gold.
➤ This hints that the current correction is more dollar-driven than risk-off in nature.
🏛️ All eyes now shift to FOMC later today, where Fed policy will dictate gold’s next major move.
Will Powell surprise markets with dovish signals, or does this China cut hint at coordinated central bank play before a wider easing cycle?
📊 Technical Outlook – Gold in Volatile Expansion
Despite the macro volatility, gold continues to respect key liquidity zones and high-volume clusters on the chart. However, momentum is broad and inconsistent — requiring traders to react to confirmed breaks, not early assumptions.
🔺 Resistance Levels:
3390 → 3402 → 3416 → 3425 → 3432 → 3444 → 3468
🔻 Support Levels:
3365 → 3356 → 3332 → 3314
🎯 Trade Strategy – 7 May 2025 (FOMC Day)
🟢 BUY SCALP
Entry: 3355
SL: 3350
TPs: 3360 → 3364 → 3368 → 3372 → 3376 → 3380
🟢 BUY ZONE (Mid-Term Opportunity)
Entry: 3332 – 3330
SL: 3326
TPs: 3336 → 3340 → 3344 → 3348 → 3352 → 3358 → 3365
⚠️ Key BUY Level: 3314 – 3312
This is a critical level for bulls — aligned with 0.5 FIBO retracement and previous demand flip zone. However, a move here could invalidate structure and signal deeper bearish pressure. Use caution.
🔴 SELL SCALP
Entry: 3430 – 3432
SL: 3436
TPs: 3425 → 3420 → 3415 → 3410 → 3400
🔴 SELL ZONE (High-Risk Short)
Entry: 3468 – 3470
SL: 3474
TPs: 3464 → 3460 → 3455 → 3450 → 3445 → 3440 → 3430
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Gold remains range-bound but extremely reactive to macro news.
Today’s FOMC meeting could be a game changer. Whether the Fed maintains its current stance or signals dovish pivot will determine the direction for the rest of the week.
🎯 In times like this, it’s not about picking tops or bottoms — it’s about trading the reaction and protecting your capital.
✅ Stick to SL.
✅ Let price confirm.
✅ Be prepared for high volatility spikes.
Good luck, traders — and stay sharp.
Investment Opportunity LONG GBP/AUD
The current market setup offers an interesting LONG opportunity on the GBP/AUD pair, with an entry point at 2.0586. The optimized strategy includes a Take Profit (TP) of 3% and a Stop Loss (SL) of 1%, ensuring an adequate risk/reward ratio for the management of the trade.
Technical Analysis
The GBP/AUD pair presents several bullish signals: ✅ Well-established key support in the 2.0586 area. ✅ 50-period moving average supporting the positive trend. ✅ RSI in the bullish zone, suggesting favorable momentum for a continuation of the uptrend.
Fundamental Rationale
The strategy is supported by macroeconomic and fundamental factors: 📊 The Bank of England maintains a favorable approach to the British pound. 📉 The Australian dollar shows signs of weakness related to global economic uncertainty. 🌍 UK macro data stronger than Australian, confirming the relative strength of the pound.
Trading Strategy
🔹 LONG Entry: 2.0586 🔹 Take Profit (TP): +3% from entry level, exploiting the growth potential. 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): -1%, protecting the position from excessive volatility. 🔹 Dynamic Management: Continuous monitoring for possible adjustments based on market conditions.
Conclusion
The updated strategy optimizes risk and potential reward, offering a solid setup to capitalize on the growth of GBP/AUD. As always, it is advisable to accompany the trade with effective risk management and careful monitoring of market conditions.
GBPCHF Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPCHF.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.103.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.092 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!