Precious Metals Gain as U.S. and China Exchange New TariffsSilver surged past $32.5 per ounce in early March, fueled by a weaker dollar and safe-haven demand amid escalating trade tensions. The U.S. imposed tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and an additional 10% on Chinese goods, raising China's total tariff to 20%. In response, Canada levied a 25% tariff on $155 billion of U.S. imports, while China announced 10%-15% tariffs on U.S. goods starting March 10 and new export restrictions. Traders now await Friday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for Fed policy signals.
If Silver breaks above $32.75, the next resistance levels are $33.15 and $33.80. On the downside, support is at $31.00, with further levels at $30.20 and $29.75 if selling pressure increases.
Trading-forex
GOLD BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GOLD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly falling on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 2,951.561 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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USDJPY analysis week 10Fundamental Analysis
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continued to weaken against the US Dollar (USD), pushing the USD/JPY pair above the psychological 150.00 level in late US trading on Friday. Japanese government bond (JGB) yields fell after Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s government cut its fiscal 2025 budget plan.
However, any meaningful depreciation in the JPY appears to be far off after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) increasingly accepted that it would continue to raise interest rates this year.
Furthermore, USD bulls may refrain from placing aggressive bets and opt to wait for the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for clues on the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting path.
Technical Analysis
USDJPY is heading towards the technical resistance level of 151.200 where sellers are waiting quite a bit. When sellers in this 151,200 price zone cannot push below 150,100, the uptrend will continue to be maintained to the weekly target around 152,200. Note that the weekly support zone of 149,400, if broken, will form a long-term downtrend chain of this currency pair.
ETHUSD WEEKLY CHARTS (ETHUSD)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis
1. Potential Breakout Above 2835 Resistance
The current analysis assumes Ethereum will reject from the 2835 resistance and drop back to 2146.
However, given the strong upward momentum (+13.46%), ETH could break above 2835 instead of reversing.
A daily close above 2835 could trigger a rally toward 3000+.
2. Support Holding at Higher Levels
Instead of expecting a drop to 2146, ETH may form a higher low around 2400 – 2500, which would confirm bullish continuation.
If it retests 2500 and holds, it could bounce back up toward the resistance and push higher.
3. Volume & Momentum Confirmation
The sharp breakout suggests strong buying pressure.
If volume remains high, ETH could invalidate the resistance level and start a new uptrend.
4. Market Sentiment & Macro Factors
If Bitcoin remains bullish, Ethereum will likely follow suit, pushing above resistance levels.
The broader crypto market’s strength could support a continuation rather than a rejection.
Conclusion
Instead of expecting a double-top rejection at 2835, traders should watch for a potential breakout. If ETH stabilizes above 2500, it could lead to a move toward 3000, rather than a drop to 2146
Btcusd weekly chart (btcusd)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis
1. Potential Continuation Above Resistance (95,300)
The current analysis assumes rejection at 95,300 and a drop toward 78,118. However, a strong breakout above 95,300 could trigger a rally toward 100,000 or higher.
If Bitcoin consolidates above 95,300, it may act as a new support, rather than a rejection zone.
2. Volume Confirmation on the Breakout
The price surged significantly (+9.09%), suggesting strong bullish momentum.
Instead of expecting an immediate rejection, watch for high volume confirming a potential continuation upward.
3. Higher Low Formation Instead of a Drop
The chart expects a fall back to 78,118, but the price may form a higher low around 85,000 – 88,000 before resuming the uptrend.
A retracement to this range (not all the way down to 78,118) would still be healthy in a bull market.
4. Market Sentiment Shift
The sharp upward movement suggests buying pressure rather than an exhaustion move.
If 95,300 is tested again and breaks, it could lead to a parabolic move instead of a reversal
GBPJPY weekly analysis (Gbpjpy)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis
1. Breakout Above Resistance at 190.070
The chart suggests rejection from 190.070, but if price breaks and holds above this level, it could signal further upside momentum.
Instead of a bearish move, price could consolidate above 190.165 and push toward 191.003 or higher.
2. Strong Accumulation in the Support Zone (187.800)
The support area at 187.800 has already been tested multiple times, and each time, price has rebounded.
This could indicate a strong demand zone, meaning buyers are stepping in aggressively.
If buyers push price back to resistance and break through, a new bullish trend may emerge.
3. Liquidity Grab Below 188.000
The previous dip below 188.000 may have been a liquidity grab to stop out weak hands before a bullish reversal.
If this assumption holds, price may now aim for higher highs rather than another rejection from resistance.
4. Market Structure Shift
Instead of forming a lower high at resistance, a higher low formation could suggest an uptrend.
If price finds support around 189.000 instead of dropping to 187.800, a bullish continuation pattern would be confirmed
Xauusd weekly charts gold big fall soon opportunity (XAUUSD) Alternative (Bullish) Analysis
1. Support Strength at 2820
The chart suggests that price may drop to 2820, but this area has shown strong support historically
Instead of further breakdown, a strong bounce from this level could lead to a bullish reversal.
2. Potential False Breakdown
The resistance at 2864 is marked as a selling zone, but if price breaks above it, it could trigger stop-losses for short positions, fueling a rally.
If price consolidates above 2864, it could invalidate the bearish projection.
3. Trend Line Reversal
The chart shows a downtrend, but if price breaks above the descending trend line, it would signal a trend reversal rather than continuation.
A bullish breakout above 2864 could target 2900+ levels.
4. Economic Events Impact
The economic events marked (likely U.S. data releases) could trigger volatility.
If these reports are weaker than expected, gold could rally as investors seek safe-haven assets.
Conclusion
While the original chart suggests a bearish move, there's a strong case for a bullish reversal if the support at 2820 holds and price breaches the 2864 resistance. Instead of shorting aggressively, traders should watch for confirmation signals before committing to a bearish or bullish bias
How to Find Best Supply and Demand Zones/Areas in Forex & Gold
In this article, I will show you the strongest supply and demand zones.
These zones are called confluence zones.
I will teach you to identify these areas properly and explain how to apply it in Forex and Gold trading.
Let's start with a short but important theory.
In technical analysis, there are 2 types of supports and resistances.
Horizontal structures are supports and resistance that are based on horizontal key levels.
Vertical structures are supports and resistance that are based on trend lines.
A confluence supply or demand zone, will be the area of the intersection between a horizontal and vertical structures.
Look at GBPJPY pair. I underlined a significant horizontal support and a rising trend line - a vertical support.
We see a clear crossing of both structures.
The trend line and a horizontal support will compose a narrow, contracting area. It will be a confluence demand zone.
Within, with a high probability, a high volume of buying orders will concentrate, and a strong bullish movement will initiate after its test.
Above is one more example of a powerful demand zone.
It was spotted on a Gold chart.
Now let's discuss the supply zone.
There are 2 strong structures on GBPNZD: a vertical resistance - a falling trend line and a horizontal resistance.
These 2 resistances will constitute a confluence supply zone.
That is a powerful resistance cluster that will concentrate the selling orders. Chances will be high to see a strong bearish movement from that.
There is a strong supply zone on CHFJPY that is based on the intersection of a wide horizontal resistance and a falling trend line.
Supply and demand zones that we discussed are very significant. Very often, strong bullish and bearish waves will initiate from these clusters.
Your ability to recognize these zones will help you to make accurate predictions and identify a safe point to open a trading position from
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XAUUSD strong down again 1. Potential for Reversal
The analysis assumes a clear bearish move toward the support area. However, price action may react differently to the resistance zone. If buyers step in, we could see a reversal rather than a continuation downward.
A false breakdown could trap sellers and push the price back up to retest resistance instead.
2. Market Structure Weakness
The chart suggests a Break of Structure (BOS) confirming a downtrend, but the momentum could weaken if volume decreases.
The weak low labeled on the chart could act as a temporary liquidity grab rather than a strong bearish continuation.
3. Economic and Fundamental Factors
Gold is sensitive to economic news, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events. If a news event favors gold, this technical setup could be invalidated.
USD strength or weakness could shift demand for gold, affecting this price projection.
4. Liquidity Considerations
Support and resistance zones are often areas where liquidity is hunted. Market makers may manipulate price to take out stops before the actual move occurs
XAUUSD strong down opportunity soon 1. Trendline Validity
The current trendline is drawn as a downward channel. However, are there enough touches to validate it as a strong trendline? Sometimes, trendlines can be subjective and might not hold.
2. Support & Resistance Strength
The chart marks a "strong selling zone" at resistance, but does it have historical significance? If this level hasn’t been tested multiple times, it might not be as strong.
The support area is expected to hold, but gold is volatile. Is there a fundamental reason supporting a bounce from there?
3. Alternative Scenarios
What if gold breaks out of the downtrend instead of continuing lower? A breakout above resistance could invalidate the bearish expectation.
Instead of a clean bounce at support, price could consolidate sideways or even break below.
4. Fundamental Factors
Are there any upcoming economic events (such as FOMC meetings, CPI reports, or geopolitical tensions) that could disrupt this technical setup?
AUDUSD STRONG FALL SOON OPPORTUNITY 1. Breakout Above Resistance
The analysis assumes a rejection at the resistance zone, leading to a downtrend. However, if bullish momentum builds, the price could break above resistance, invalidating the sell-off expectation.
2. Support Might Not Hold
The marked support zone might be weak if there is strong bearish sentiment, leading to a potential breakdown rather than a reversal from that level.
3. Range-bound Market
Instead of a clear breakout or breakdown, AUD/USD might stay within a sideways range, consolidating between support and resistance rather than making a decisive move.
4. Fundamental Factors
Economic data releases, central bank policies, or geopolitical events could override this technical setup, causing unexpected price movements in either direction.
Btcusd strong analysis opportunity 1. Breakout Possibility Above Resistance
The analysis assumes a rejection at the resistance zone, but Bitcoin could break above it instead, leading to a bullish continuation rather than a reversal.
2. Stronger Support Holding
The projected drop might not occur if the support zone proves stronger than expected, leading to a bounce instead of a decline.
3. Market Volatility & Fundamentals
Bitcoin often moves based on macroeconomic factors, news, or liquidity shifts. A sudden surge in demand could invalidate this technical setup.
4. Inverse Head & Shoulders Formation
If price action forms a higher low, it could indicate accumulation rather than a sell-off, meaning a push toward new highs instead of a decline
SLIVER STRONG DOWN OPPORTUNITY 1. Resistance Breakout Possibility
The analysis assumes a rejection at resistance, leading to a drop. However, if bullish momentum increases and breaks the resistance, it could trigger a strong rally instead of a decline.
2. Support Weakness
The support area identified might not hold if there's strong bearish pressure. If the price falls sharply, it could break support instead of bouncing, leading to further downside.
3. False Breakout Risk
The projected downtrend might be a false move, where price briefly dips but then rebounds, trapping sellers before reversing to the upside.
4. Market News & Fundamentals
XAUUSD strong bullish analysis opportunity 1. Support May Not Hold – The chart assumes price will respect the support zone and reverse upwards. However, given the strong bearish momentum leading into this level, a breakdown is possible. A break below the support could trigger further declines instead of the expected rebound.
2. Resistance Might Not Be Reached – The analysis predicts a move towards the resistance zone around 2,940, but if selling pressure remains strong, price could stall at the intermediate resistance (around 2,910-2,920) before reversing downward again.
3. Trend Continuation Instead of Reversal – The market is currently in a downtrend, making a continuation of lower lows and lower highs more probable than an immediate bullish reversal. Any short-term bounce might be a liquidity grab before further decline
FFM Targeting 1.5??Hi dear trading lovers and FFM buyers...
PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS IS ONLY AN ANALYSIS AND COULD BE WRONG...
Chart and lines are explaining my idea...
SEEMS FFM is in a uptrend targeting 1.5 and finally 1.7...
Also note that:
"Macquarie has initiated coverage of FireFly Metals with an Outperform rating and set a price target of A$1.50"
GBPNZD Is Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPNZD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 2.217.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 2.209 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAUUSD strong down opportunity to big falling 1. Resistance Zone Validity – The marked resistance zone appears strong due to multiple rejections. However, if the price breaks above this zone with strong bullish momentum, a further rally may occur instead of the expected drop.
2. Support Strength – The lower support around 2,890 is a key level. However, if buyers aggressively step in before reaching it, the price could consolidate or reverse prematurely, invalidating the expected bearish move.
3. Market Context – Fundamental factors like economic data, interest rates, or geopolitical events could impact gold prices, overriding this technical setup.
4. False Breakdown Risk – Price could briefly dip below intermediate support and then reverse sharply, trapping sellers in a bear trap
Us30 strong bullish opportunity 1. Overly Bullish Bias
The analysis assumes a clean breakout above support and a strong push to resistance.
However, Dow Jones is known for fakeouts—meaning:
A false breakout above resistance could trap buyers before reversing.
A liquidity grab below support might happen before the real move.
2. Weak Confirmation for the Uptrend
There's no clear volume confirmation—breakouts need high volume to be valid.
Price is consolidating near key Fibonacci levels, meaning a reversal is just as likely as a breakout.
A better approach would be waiting for a strong retest and breakout confirmation.
3. Ignoring Key Fibonacci Levels
The chart includes multiple Fibonacci levels but does not integrate them into the projection.
The 2.618 (43,535) and 3.618 (43,446) levels suggest possible retracements before an upward move
Instead of an instant push-up, a dip to test Fibonacci support is likely.
4. Resistance Might Hold Strong
The resistance area is broad, meaning:
A rejection at resistance could lead to a short-term bearish pullback.
The market might range between the two levels instead of moving in a straight line.
Alternative Scenario:
Instead of assuming an instant bullish move:
1. Bearish Trap First: A false breakout above resistance to trap buyers, followed by a drop.
2. Deeper Retest: Price could revisit support or a Fibonacci level before a true breakout.
3. Wait for Volume Confirmation: If resistance breaks with strong momentum, then an entry makes sense
Bearish on GBP/USD |15M TF analysis This is my analysis on GU. We took buy side liquidity and then broke structure to the downside. Waiting for price retrace back up into a 30 minute order block with a 15M imbalance inside of it and liquidity resting right below it. Will scale down to lower timeframe 1-5M and see what price action does from this zone.
EURGBP Will Fall! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURGBP.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.831.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.826.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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USD/JPY (Trade Recap -0.5%) and GBP/CAD ShortGBP/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejections.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Forex: Why and How to Use TradingView
Dear readers, I am Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about the reason why I use TradingView.
The Forex (Foreign Exchange) market is one of the largest and most dynamic in the world, with over 6 trillion dollars traded every day.
TradingView is one of the most popular platforms for technical analysis and chart viewing, particularly appreciated by Forex traders. In this guide, we will explore how to use TradingView to trade Forex, taking advantage of the tools and features offered by the platform.
What is TradingView?
TradingView is a technical analysis platform that offers advanced charts, drawing tools, customizable indicators, and an active community of traders. Among its main features:
Real-time charts on any timeframe, from 1 minute to daily or weekly.
Technical indicators such as RSI, MACD, moving averages, and much more.
Social trading to share ideas with other traders and learn from their analysis.
Drawing tools to plot trends, channels, and Fibonacci.
With its user-friendly interface, TradingView is ideal for beginner traders and those looking for advanced analysis.
How to Trade Forex with TradingView
1. Choose a Currency Pair
The first step to start trading Forex is to choose a currency pair to analyze, such as EUR/USD or GBP/JPY. Each pair represents the value relationship between two currencies. For example, in the case of EUR/USD, the base currency is the Euro and the counter currency is the US Dollar.
2. Use Charts
TradingView offers several views:
Candlestick Chart: Shows price movements in specific time frames. It is the most used chart in Forex.
Line Chart: Shows only closing prices, useful for observing general trends.
Bar Chart: Shows the open, close, high and low for each period.
These visualizations help you better understand the market trend.
3. Set Indicators
Indicators are essential tools in technical trading. On TradingView, you can use:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Shows whether a currency pair is overbought or oversold (levels above 70 indicate overbought, below 30 oversold).
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Provides trend reversal signals and can be used to confirm the market direction.
Moving Averages (MA): Helps identify the market direction and filter trading signals.
4. Customize Drawing Tools
TradingView offers powerful drawing tools such as:
Trend Lines: To plot support and resistance levels.
Fibonacci Retracement: To identify key price reversal levels.
Channels: To analyze price movements within a defined range.
These tools allow you to precisely track market entry and exit points.
5. Create Alerts
TradingView allows you to set custom alerts. You can receive notifications via email or directly on the platform when the price reaches certain levels. This is particularly useful for not missing important trading opportunities.
Forex Trading Strategies
1. Trend Trading
One of the most common strategies is trend following. When the market is in an uptrend (bullish trend), buy; when it is in a downtrend (bearish trend), sell. Use moving averages or the MACD indicator to identify the direction of the trend.
2. Retracement Trading
Retracements are corrective movements within a trend. You can use Fibonacci Retracement to identify support and resistance levels, and wait for the price to retrace before entering the market in the direction of the main trend.
3. Scalping
Scalping is a short-term strategy that aims to make small profits from rapid price movements. Use short timeframes (for example 1 minute or 5 minutes) and take advantage of spikes in volatility.
4. Breakout Trading
Breakout trading is based on breaking key support or resistance levels. When the price breaks these levels, a strong move in one direction is expected. Indicators such as ATR (Average True Range) help you monitor volatility and choose the right times to enter the market.
Forex Trading Tips
Risk Management: Forex is a highly leveraged market, so protecting your capital is key. Use stop losses and take profits to limit losses and protect gains.
Conclusions
TradingView is an excellent tool for Forex trading, thanks to its wide range of advanced features, ease of use and the ability to analyze charts accurately.