XAUUSD is on structural support on H4As in our recent previous commantary we mentioned our selling order which Tp has been hit with 130 pips.
What possible scenario do we have?
We are still expecting the little correction towards at 2855-2860 if 2880 structural support break 2855-2860 on mark.
On the other hand ,for buyers if H4 Candle closes above 2890 our eyes will be again at 2930 structure.
Today CPI Fundamental is also on alert ⚠️
Trading-forex
GBP/CAD Short, EUR/NZD Long and USD/JPY ShortGBP/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H high tests.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/NZD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 1H continuation follows, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 1H continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 1H risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
GBPJPY Will Move Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 191.143.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 190.342 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USD/JPY ShortUSD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/GBP 30M Order Block Mitigation -Waiting for sweep then EntryDescription:
EUR/GBP is following my 30M bullish bias after mitigating a key order block. Initially, I dropped to the 5M timeframe for entry and spotted a clean CHoCH confirmation, but price moved too fast before I could execute.
Instead of chasing, I followed price action and noticed it mitigated a few inducements (IDM) on the way up. Now, I’m patiently waiting for a fresh liquidity sweep to confirm re-entry for the next 30M continuation to the highs.
Key Observations:
✅ 30M Mitigated Order Block – Confirms bullish bias.
✅ 5M CHoCH Formed – Entry was possible but moved too fast.
✅ Inducements Mitigated – Following price to see a fresh sweep for better entry.
📌 Next Step: Watching for a clean liquidity grab before confirming my entry.
Let me know what you think—are you seeing the same liquidity moves?
Bless Trading!
USD/JPY Short and EUR/NZD LongUSD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Break above area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/NZD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Break below area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USD/JPY - Bullish Bias🔹 4H Timeframe:
• Broke major Higher High (HH) → External structure remains bullish.
• Took out inducement before retracing into an internal structure order block (demand zone).
• Expecting a continuation to the upside.
🔹 30M Timeframe:
• Liquidity sweep at the lows → Preparing for a potential reversal.
• Now waiting for CHoCH + break of major LH for confirmation.
• Plan: If CHoCH confirms, look for an order block retest entry to ride the trend higher.
🎯 Target: Next external high.
🛑 Invalidation: If price fails to reclaim previous structure and starts forming LHs & LLs.
EURNZD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURNZD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.824.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.804 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EURUSD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.041.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.038 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CHF/HUF LONG: Technical Analysis
The technical analysis of the CHFHUF (Swiss Franc/Hungarian Forint) chart highlights an interesting setup that justifies the LONG trade. Let’s look at the key factors that support this decision.
1. Long-term trend and technical support
On the 4-hour chart, we see a pattern that is stabilizing above an important support level, represented by the 200-period moving average (green line). The price action is above the long-term moving average, which suggests an uptrend. Furthermore, the presence of the 50-period moving average (blue line) and the 20-period moving average (red line) indicated on the upper part of the chart confirm that the overall trend is favorable to the LONG, especially considering that the moving averages are aligning in support of the bullish movement.
2. Stochastic Indices and Overbought/Oversold Levels
Another important point concerns the stochastic indicator, which gives us an accurate view of overbought or oversold conditions. Currently, on the 1-hour chart (indicating overbought), we are close to extreme levels, while the 4-hour and daily charts are in oversold conditions. This suggests that, although there is bearish pressure in the immediate future (1-hour chart), the bearish push could run out soon, favoring a resumption of the bullish movement on the higher timeframes.
3. Target and risk/reward ratio
In terms of target, the target identified in this trade is at 445,500, with a relatively low risk compared to the potential gain. The trade has a risk/reward ratio of 1/3, which means that the potential gain exceeds the risk taken by a large margin. This justifies the LONG entry, with a low risk and a favorable profit projection.
4. Combination of indicators
In addition to the combination of moving averages, the WaveTrend SwipeUP indicator suggests that the market momentum is changing towards a possible buy. Even if we are in an overbought phase in the short-term horizon, the accumulation on the higher timeframes is favoring the possibility of a bullish recovery.
Conclusion
In summary, I decided to enter LONG on CHFHUF as the technical setup suggests that despite a short period of overbought on hourly timeframes, the long-term signals on the 4-hour and daily charts are favorable. The trade has a good risk/reward ratio, strong technical support and the WaveTrend indicator supports a bullish movement.
GBP/NOK LONG: My Technical AnalysisDear Readers, Today I want to show you my long investment on GBP/NOK.
As a passionate analyst of the Forex market, today I want to share with you a strategy that I am following on the British Pound/Norwegian Krone (GBP/NOK).
The current setup is particularly interesting, as it presents consistent bullish signals on multiple timeframes, supported by technical indicators that I have developed and customized for in-depth analysis.
My Technical Analysis
To build this long strategy, I used the custom Wave Trend (developed by me) and the Alligator indicator. Both tools gave me clear signals of a bullish reversal.
Here is a summary of the signals identified:
1-Hour Chart (1H): On the hourly timeframe, we have just seen a break of the previous resistance, a strong signal that indicates a possible continuation to the upside.
4-Hour Chart (4H): On the 4-hour timeframe, the price is in an oversold condition and is bouncing off the long-term average of the Alligator. This suggests a recovery from a phase of excessive market weakness.
Daily Chart (1D): The long-term context remains bullish. This prolonged phase of positive trend offers additional safety for a long position.
Key Levels of the Strategy
To make this trade safe and effective, I have set key stop loss and take profit values, as shown in the chart.
Stop Loss: Placed at 13.85689, below the recent lows. This level provides protection in the event of a sharp reversal.
Take Profit: Set at 14.47413, an ambitious but realistic target, which aims to capitalize on the bullish trend.
Indicators Confirmation
The Wave Trend, positioned at the bottom of the chart, has signaled a bullish divergence and the passage from the oversold zone. The Alligator, on the other hand, shows a possible opening of the moving averages (indicative of a nascent trend), with the price that has detached from the long-term average, suggesting a potential bounce upwards.
Conclusions
This setup is a great example of how to combine technical signals and market context to build a winning trading strategy. The consistency between the signals on the 1H, 4H and 1D timeframes gives me further confidence in my long investment on GBP/NOK.
I will keep you updated on the progress of this operation and on the next trading opportunities. As always, remember that good risk management is essential to achieve success in the financial markets.
See you soon,
Andrea Russo.
NZDJPY Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDJPY.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 86.948.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 86.145 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUDCAD Will Go Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDCAD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.901.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.913 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBPAUD Will Go Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.994.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.958 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBP/USD Long, EUR/USD Long and GBP/AUD LongGBP/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H low tests.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Break below area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
GBP/AUD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Break below area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Analysis by zForex Research TeamEuro Weakens as ECB Signals Further Rate Reductions
The EUR/USD pair faces selling pressure near 1.0385 in Friday’s Asian session, weighed down by expectations of further ECB rate cuts. Investors await clarity on Trump’s potential tariff threats, which could impact market sentiment.
As expected, the ECB cut its deposit rate to 2.75% on Thursday, signaling the possibility of further reductions amid economic uncertainty and inflation concerns. Eurostat data showed the Eurozone economy stagnated in Q4, missing the 0.1% growth forecast after 0.4% in Q3. Germany’s Retail Sales and Unemployment data, due Friday, could provide direction.
In the US, the Fed kept rates at 4.25%-4.50% on Wednesday, with Powell ruling out immediate cuts without supporting inflation and employment data. Weaker US GDP growth of 2.3% in Q4, below forecasts, limited the dollar’s gains.
From a technical perspective, the first resistance level is at 1.0450, with further resistance levels at 1.0515 and 1.0550 if the price breaks above. On the downside, the initial support is at 1.0355, followed by additional support levels at 1.0270 and 1.0225.
BTC Dominance Breakdown = Altseason Incoming?BTC dominance (BTC.D) has broken down from key support, signaling a potential altseason ahead.
The breakdown below the 54.11% – 54.85% support zone suggests capital rotation from Bitcoin into altcoins, which could trigger major moves across the altcoin market.
If you find our work helpful, please like, comment, and follow us for more market insights—all in one place! Stay updated on Forex, Commodities, Crypto, and Global Indices with expert analysis.
GBP/USD LongGBP/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD LongEUR/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Silver Declines as Trump’s Tariff Threats Shake MarketsSilver fell to $30 per ounce on Wednesday, extending losses as the dollar rebounded amid Trump’s escalating tariff threats. Trump announced tariffs on chips, pharmaceuticals, steel, aluminum, and copper to boost domestic production. Traders remained cautious ahead of the February 1 tariff deadline for China, Mexico, and Canada.
Meanwhile, the Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged this week. In China, overcapacity in the solar panel industry led firms to adopt a government-led self-discipline program, potentially limiting silver demand.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 31.00 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 31.80 and 32.50 consequently. On the downside 29.85 will be the first support level. 28.80 and 28.50 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.