EUR/CAD (Trade Recap), USD/JPY (Trade Recap) and GBP/USD Long GBP/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Trading-forex
USD/CHF Sideways Phase Could Break on Trade Sentiment Shift USD/CHF Weekly Setup – Sideways Phase Could Break on Trade Sentiment Shift
USD/CHF is currently consolidating in a tight range near 0.8300, but under the surface, big moves are brewing.
Last week, the pair pulled back as US bond yields dipped lower and the USD weakened. However, this isn’t just about technicals — the bigger story is coming from trade negotiations, central bank signals, and global inflation pressures.
🌍 What’s Driving the Market?
1️⃣ US-China Trade Talks Return to Spotlight
Early signs of progress in global trade relations helped stabilize market sentiment. President Trump confirmed a preliminary trade agreement with the UK and hinted at cautious talks with China this weekend in Switzerland. While no breakthroughs are expected, any surprise deal or tariff easing could lift the USD.
2️⃣ SNB Dovish Tilt Pressures CHF
SNB Chairman Schlegel has opened the door for more rate cuts if the Swiss economy continues to show weakness. April CPI came in flat, and core inflation dropped, adding to the dovish case.
3️⃣ Fed Uncertainty
While the Fed held rates steady, markets are still debating the next move. The bond market suggests rate cuts are now less likely in the short-term, which could offer near-term support to the USD.
📊 Technical Picture – H4 Outlook
Price is forming a sideways accumulation just under the 0.8310 level. A deeper FVG (Fair Value Gap) still exists overhead from the recent drop. If USD strength returns, a clean break toward this imbalance zone is likely.
We're also seeing lower shadows and absorption wicks near support zones, signaling buyers are active at the bottom of this range.
📌 Key Levels
BUY ZONE:
→ 0.8265 – 0.8245
SL: 0.8200
TP targets:
→ 0.8325
→ 0.8365
→ 0.8425
→ 0.8585
🧠 Strategy Notes
This setup is range-to-breakout biased.
If the market responds positively to US-China trade headlines or US bond yields recover, USD/CHF could launch higher into the imbalance zone.
Watch for a confirmed H4 breakout candle above 0.8320 for added confidence.
Keep in mind the SNB meeting on June 19th — markets may start pricing in policy shifts earlier than expected.
📣 Final Thoughts
USD/CHF is at a turning point — and what happens next will depend less on indicators and more on trade diplomacy and central bank tones. As always, let the market show its hand.
✅ Wait for price to come to your zone.
⛔ Don’t chase moves in this volatility.
🔔 Stay alert to any headlines from the US, China, or SNB this week.
Pullback or Recovery? All Eyes on ECB and Inflation CluesEUR/USD – Pullback or Recovery? All Eyes on ECB and Inflation Clues
Hey traders! 👋
After a tough drop earlier this week, EUR/USD is now finding its feet again near the 1.1240 area. We’re seeing some early bullish signs, but the bigger question is: Is this just a pullback or the start of a stronger recovery?
🔎 What’s going on?
Today, ECB’s Šimkus came out with some pretty dovish comments:
He warned that Eurozone inflation depends a lot on how the EU responds to trade policies from the US.
There's pressure to cut interest rates as soon as June, but it’s still unclear whether they’ll follow up again in July or September.
Growth risks remain due to geopolitics and Chinese goods flowing into Europe.
These hints of a possible rate cut added more weight on the Euro. But at the same time, we’re seeing buyers step in around key support zones, so price action could get interesting soon.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
1.1278 – First level to break for bulls
1.1301 – Near-term resistance
1.1325 & 1.1353 – Highs to watch if momentum builds
Support:
1.1240 – Holding well so far
1.1198 – Key BUY zone
1.1160 – Last line of defence for bulls
🧠 Trade Plan for Today (May 9th)
✅ BUY IDEA:
Buy Zone: 1.1198
SL: 1.1138
TP Targets:
→ 1.1235
→ 1.1285
→ 1.1325
❌ SELL IDEA:
Sell Zone: 1.1301
SL: 1.1360
TP Targets:
→ 1.1265
→ 1.1225
→ 1.1185
📌 Final Thoughts
The pair is still inside a downward channel, so we need to be flexible. If EUR/USD breaks and holds above 1.1300, bulls could take control. But if it fails, we might see another dip back toward the lower range.
Keep an eye on macro data next week – especially inflation figures and any fresh ECB signals.
👉 Stay patient, trade your zones, and don’t chase! Let the setup come to you.
Good luck! 🚀
Gold Friday Volatility – Liquidity SweepsGold Friday Volatility – Liquidity Sweeps & Potential Channel Break Ahead
Gold kicked off Friday with intense volatility, triggering sweeping liquidity grabs during the Asian session. Price dropped aggressively into the 327x region, clearing stop zones and vacuuming liquidity — only to quickly rebound and fill the imbalance above.
This classic FVG (Fair Value Gap) behavior was especially visible on the M30 timeframe, as price repeatedly left behind inefficient zones and promptly returned to fill them. Volatility remains elevated — and traders should proceed with caution.
📉 Technical Context – End of the Downtrend?
Since Thursday, gold has been trading in a clean descending parallel channel, respecting lower highs and pushing downward. However, late in the Asian session today, a bullish momentum surge appears to be testing the upper boundary of this channel.
We are now watching the 3324 level very closely.
A confirmed breakout above this zone — with candle closure outside the trendline — would suggest a structure shift and open the door for BUY setups on the retest.
Until then, we observe. Let price confirm. We trade the reaction, not the assumption.
🌍 Macro Risk – Trade Tensions & Weekend Volatility
The market remains extremely reactive to:
Geopolitical risks: Military tensions are still simmering.
US–China tariff discussions: President Trump is expected to make remarks on tariff policy.
Any surprise here could heavily impact USD and gold.
⚠️ Liquidity sweeps are common on Fridays — especially into London and NY sessions — so risk management is critical today.
📌 Key Technical Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance:
3345 → 3364 → 3395
🔻 Support:
3280 → 3270 → 3256 → 3244 → 3225
The 3324 and 3366 zones are particularly critical.
If price closes firmly above these zones, bullish continuation becomes more likely.
If price gets rejected, we stay within range and look for sell opportunities.
🎯 Trade Plan – Friday, May 10
🟢 BUY ZONE
Entry: 3280 – 3278
SL: 3274
TPs: 3285 → 3290 → 3295 → 3300 → 3305 → 3310 → 3320
🔴 SELL ZONE
Entry: 3364 – 3366
SL: 3370
TPs: 3360 → 3356 → 3352 → 3348 → 3344 → 3340 → 3330
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Friday often delivers unexpected liquidity traps.
With news expected from the White House and technical structure on the verge of a break, this session could offer both risk and reward — if approached with discipline.
✅ Use clear levels.
✅ Respect TP/SL.
✅ Stay sharp as NY volume enters.
📣 Let’s end the week strong. Drop your charts and ideas below!
Leo XIV: Impact on the Forex Market
Hello, I am Forex trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about the election of the New Pope.
The election of a new Pope is an event with implications not only religious and social, but also economic. With the rise of Leo XIV, the financial world is closely watching the possible repercussions on global currencies and investment strategies.
Immediate effects on Forex volatility
Historically, major political and institutional events can generate fluctuations in international currencies. Italy, home to the Vatican, could see movements on the EUR/USD pair, especially based on the first statements of the new Pontiff regarding the economic policies of the Vatican.
Some investors may react with initial caution, leading to temporary volatility in the Forex market, similar to what happens during political elections or other leadership transitions. However, this volatility could be limited in the short term, unless Leo XIV announces substantial changes in the management of the Vatican finances.
Vatican Financial Policies and Their Impact on Currencies
The Vatican holds significant wealth, with real estate investments and stakes in international companies. If the new Pope decides to adopt a more transparent or ethical strategy in his investments, this could influence the financial sector, prompting global funds to review their investment strategies.
EUR/USD and the Role of the ECB: Possible Vatican interventions on economic and social policies in Europe could prompt the ECB to assess the macroeconomic picture more carefully.
Safe Haven Currencies (CHF, JPY, Gold): If the election generates economic uncertainty, we could see an increase in investments in safe haven assets, such as the Swiss Franc (CHF) and the Japanese Yen (JPY).
Economic Sectors Impacted
Ethical Finance and ESG: If Leo XIV emphasizes the importance of sustainable investments, companies linked to the ESG sector could see increased interest and capital inflows.
Real Estate: With the Vatican being one of Europe’s largest property owners, any reforms in asset management could have repercussions on real estate markets, influencing the value of the EUR and other related assets.
GBP/AUD Short, EUR/CAD Short, USD/JPY Short and EUR/USD NeutralGBP/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
AUDCHF Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDCHF.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.530.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.518.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD OUTLOOK: US–UK Trade Deal in Focus as Tariff Tensions Ease GOLD OUTLOOK: US–UK Trade Deal in Focus as Tariff Tensions Ease — Is War Risk Losing Grip?
The spotlight has shifted.
As geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan continue to simmer, gold has surprisingly failed to respond with the expected safe-haven spike. Instead, the market’s attention has turned sharply toward global trade negotiations — particularly the latest developments between the United States and the United Kingdom.
🌐 Global Trade Truce: Why It Matters
Recent headlines confirm the UK is one of the first nations to sign a new trade and tariff agreement with the US — easing pressure from global tariff wars and restoring market confidence.
➡️ Result?
The US Dollar (DXY) has staged a meaningful recovery, limiting gold’s upside and reducing short-term bullish sentiment.
While the war narrative is still present, it's the economic diplomacy that’s dominating headlines and price action this week.
📉 Market Reaction: Mixed Signals & Wild Volatility
Recent gold movements have been erratic — sweeping liquidity zones of nearly $100 per ounce in single sessions. This type of behavior reflects deep uncertainty and makes short-term directional trading highly risky.
For now, the priority should be on key H2–H4 zones, with reduced exposure to scalp trades until structure stabilizes.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch (H4 Anchored)
🔻 SELL SCALP
Entry: 3,364 – 3,366
SL: 3,370
TPs: 3,360 → 3,356 → 3,352 → 3,348 → 3,344 → 3,340 → 3,330
🔻 SELL ZONE (Breakout Rejection Area)
Entry: 3,380 – 3,382
SL: 3,386
TPs: 3,376 → 3,372 → 3,368 → 3,364 → 3,360 → 3,350
🟢 BUY ZONE (Mid-Term Support)
Entry: 3,322 – 3,320
SL: 3,316
TPs: 3,326 → 3,330 → 3,334 → 3,340
📌 Strategy Notes:
The European session open has triggered bearish candles — be cautious on BUY setups during London hours.
If you’re holding long positions from earlier this week, consider scaling out around the 3,355 zone.
Keep an eye on upcoming comments from Donald Trump, especially around the new trade framework. These could trigger short-term volatility spikes or broader trend shifts.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Gold is no longer driven solely by geopolitical unrest — macro narratives are back in control.
With tariff tensions easing and stronger-than-expected USD recovery, traders need to remain flexible, disciplined, and reactive — not predictive.
✅ Focus on clear levels.
✅ Trade with confirmation.
✅ Avoid emotional scalps during uncertainty.
📣 Follow this page for real-time zone updates and structured market reads. Let’s finish this week strong.
Gold Ahead of FOMC – China Rate Cut Shocks Market as USD Surges⚠️ Gold Ahead of FOMC – China Rate Cut Shocks Market as USD Surges
Gold (XAU/USD) is facing a pivotal moment after a dramatic correction from $3,435 down to the 3,360s, triggered by a combination of surprising policy moves and rising macro uncertainty.
🧭 Macro Recap: Why Did Gold Drop?
🇨🇳 China unexpectedly cut interest rates by 10 basis points ahead of a key trade dialogue with the US.
➤ This supports global liquidity sentiment but simultaneously strengthens the USD in the short term.
💵 DXY surged, taking advantage of China's rate cut — adding pressure to gold.
⚠️ Geopolitical tensions in South Asia (India–Pakistan) resurfaced but failed to lift gold.
➤ This hints that the current correction is more dollar-driven than risk-off in nature.
🏛️ All eyes now shift to FOMC later today, where Fed policy will dictate gold’s next major move.
Will Powell surprise markets with dovish signals, or does this China cut hint at coordinated central bank play before a wider easing cycle?
📊 Technical Outlook – Gold in Volatile Expansion
Despite the macro volatility, gold continues to respect key liquidity zones and high-volume clusters on the chart. However, momentum is broad and inconsistent — requiring traders to react to confirmed breaks, not early assumptions.
🔺 Resistance Levels:
3390 → 3402 → 3416 → 3425 → 3432 → 3444 → 3468
🔻 Support Levels:
3365 → 3356 → 3332 → 3314
🎯 Trade Strategy – 7 May 2025 (FOMC Day)
🟢 BUY SCALP
Entry: 3355
SL: 3350
TPs: 3360 → 3364 → 3368 → 3372 → 3376 → 3380
🟢 BUY ZONE (Mid-Term Opportunity)
Entry: 3332 – 3330
SL: 3326
TPs: 3336 → 3340 → 3344 → 3348 → 3352 → 3358 → 3365
⚠️ Key BUY Level: 3314 – 3312
This is a critical level for bulls — aligned with 0.5 FIBO retracement and previous demand flip zone. However, a move here could invalidate structure and signal deeper bearish pressure. Use caution.
🔴 SELL SCALP
Entry: 3430 – 3432
SL: 3436
TPs: 3425 → 3420 → 3415 → 3410 → 3400
🔴 SELL ZONE (High-Risk Short)
Entry: 3468 – 3470
SL: 3474
TPs: 3464 → 3460 → 3455 → 3450 → 3445 → 3440 → 3430
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Gold remains range-bound but extremely reactive to macro news.
Today’s FOMC meeting could be a game changer. Whether the Fed maintains its current stance or signals dovish pivot will determine the direction for the rest of the week.
🎯 In times like this, it’s not about picking tops or bottoms — it’s about trading the reaction and protecting your capital.
✅ Stick to SL.
✅ Let price confirm.
✅ Be prepared for high volatility spikes.
Good luck, traders — and stay sharp.
Investment Opportunity LONG GBP/AUD
The current market setup offers an interesting LONG opportunity on the GBP/AUD pair, with an entry point at 2.0586. The optimized strategy includes a Take Profit (TP) of 3% and a Stop Loss (SL) of 1%, ensuring an adequate risk/reward ratio for the management of the trade.
Technical Analysis
The GBP/AUD pair presents several bullish signals: ✅ Well-established key support in the 2.0586 area. ✅ 50-period moving average supporting the positive trend. ✅ RSI in the bullish zone, suggesting favorable momentum for a continuation of the uptrend.
Fundamental Rationale
The strategy is supported by macroeconomic and fundamental factors: 📊 The Bank of England maintains a favorable approach to the British pound. 📉 The Australian dollar shows signs of weakness related to global economic uncertainty. 🌍 UK macro data stronger than Australian, confirming the relative strength of the pound.
Trading Strategy
🔹 LONG Entry: 2.0586 🔹 Take Profit (TP): +3% from entry level, exploiting the growth potential. 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): -1%, protecting the position from excessive volatility. 🔹 Dynamic Management: Continuous monitoring for possible adjustments based on market conditions.
Conclusion
The updated strategy optimizes risk and potential reward, offering a solid setup to capitalize on the growth of GBP/AUD. As always, it is advisable to accompany the trade with effective risk management and careful monitoring of market conditions.
GBPCHF Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPCHF.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.103.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.092 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EUR/CAD Short, AUD/CAD Short, USD/CHF Long and USD/JPY ShortEUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
AUD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USD/CHF Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
GOLD JUMPS ON ASIAN OPEN Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Early SurgeGOLD JUMPS ON ASIAN OPEN – Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Early Surge
Gold opened the week with a strong upside move during the Asian session, gaining nearly $30/oz in early trading. The bounce comes amid a weekend full of heightened geopolitical tensions and expectations of increased central bank activity later this week.
🌍 Geopolitical Backdrop:
Rising concerns over Russia–Ukraine and India–Pakistan flare-ups.
No official confirmation from governments yet, but the market is clearly on edge.
Former US President Donald Trump is reportedly pushing for an earlier Fed rate cut.
All eyes now turn to the FOMC meeting this week, with potential policy shifts that could stir further volatility.
These developments have re-ignited safe-haven demand for gold, making this week's opening surge a logical reaction to global uncertainty.
🔍 Key Technical Zones
Resistance levels:
3278 – 3288 – 3301 – 3314
Support levels:
3250 – 3246 – 3238 – 3224 – 3204
🎯 Trade Setups – 06 May 2025
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3246 – 3244
SL: 3240
TPs: 3250 → 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280
Gold may continue its bullish run into the European session. A clean bounce from this support range could offer a solid risk/reward entry.
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3300 – 3302
SL: 3306
TPs: 3296 → 3292 → 3288 → 3284 → 3280 → 3270
If price rallies into this resistance cluster, look for signs of exhaustion for a potential intraday reversal trade.
⚠️ Weekly Outlook:
The FOMC meeting later this week will be key. A dovish tone may extend gold’s rally, while hawkish surprises could trigger sharp reversals.
Any new geopolitical flashpoints may also accelerate volatility — stay alert to global headlines.
Avoid FOMO — trade the reaction, not the prediction.
📌 Pro Tip: Let price come to your zone. Be patient, wait for confirmation, and manage SL/TP with discipline.
GBP/JPY Short, GBP/USD Short, AUD/CAD Short and AUD/USD ShortGBP/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
GBP/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
AUD/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/CAD Short, USD/JPY Neutral, AUD/JPY Neutral and EUR/USD LongEUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
AUD/JPY Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
TARGET SUCCESSFULLYThis chart highlights a textbook liquidity sweep and reversal pattern in Gold (XAU/USD).
Key Levels:
- Resistance Zone: Clearly defined above 3,360, with multiple rejection points.
- Support Level: Around 3,250, acting as a strong demand area.
- Liquidity Zone: Price dipped below the support to trigger stop-losses and trap sellers before reversing upward.
Price Action Insights:
- After grabbing liquidity below the support zone, the price rallied back, confirming a reversal setup.
- The move reached the target zone at 3251.225, fulfilling the projected bullish objective.
Outcome:
The trade idea played out successfully with the target marked as complete. Now, price is hovering at the former support-turned-resistance zone.
Next Steps:
Traders should monitor for:
- A potential breakout above this zone for continuation.
- Or rejection signals for a short-term pullback.
USDCHF Will Move Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.826.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.815 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CHFCZK LONG Investment Opportunity (8 Hours)
The CHFCZK (Swiss Franc vs. Czech Koruna) currency pair offers an interesting investment opportunity for traders focused on higher time frames, such as the 8-hour timeframe. With a strategic entry point and defined objectives, this LONG trade can represent a significant profit opportunity.
Technical Analysis
The CHFCZK pair is currently showing an uptrend supported by fundamental and technical factors. On the 8-hour chart, there are signs of consolidation above the key support level. The market structure suggests a potential breakout to the upside, with a clear bullish direction supported by the price action.
Trading Parameters
Entry: 26.55
Stop Loss (SL): -0.41% from the entry point, to protect capital.
Take Profit (TP): +1.23% from the entry point, optimizing the risk/reward ratio.
Gold Regains Momentum Key Trading Setups Ahead of Volatile Week📌 Gold Regains Momentum – Key Trading Setups Ahead of Volatile Week 🔥📊
📈 Technical Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) started the week with a strong recovery after last week’s sharp drop. Price is currently stabilizing near the major support zone around 3,274 – 3,292, forming a fresh consolidation range that could lead to a bullish continuation — if key support holds.
Last week’s weaker-than-expected US employment data weakened the Dollar Index (DXY), supporting a rebound in gold. However, the market remains cautious ahead of today’s ADP Non-Farm Employment release, which could serve as a directional catalyst.
So far, gold is trading sideways, with mild corrective pullbacks, waiting for clear confirmation from upcoming data.
🔍 Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance: 3,336 – 3,352 – 3,357 – 3,366
Support: 3,305 – 3,292 – 3,274
🎯 Trade Setups for Today
🔵 BUY ZONE
Entry: 3,274 – 3,276
SL: 3,270
TP: 3,284 → 3,291 → 3,301 → 3,336
📝 A deeper dip into the 3,274 area could offer another long opportunity, but confirmation is key before entering.
🔴 SELL ZONE 1
Entry: 3,350 – 3,352
SL: 3,356
TP: 3,346 → 3,342 → 3,338 → 3,334 → 3,330 → 3,320
📝 Watch for rejection near 3,350. If price fails to break above, this zone could offer a solid intraday short.
🔴 SELL ZONE 2
Entry: 3,366 – 3,368
SL: 3,372
TP: 3,362 → 3,358 → 3,354 → 3,350 → 3,345 → 3,340
📝 If price is unable to hold above 3,366 resistance, look for sell opportunities targeting a drop back to 3,350 and below.
⚠️ Important Notes
Today’s session may be volatile due to ADP Non-Farm Employment expectations.
Geopolitical tension in Asia may also impact gold, so remain alert to surprise headlines.
Apply strict SL/TP risk management as markets prepare for Friday’s NFP release.
✅ Conclusion
We’re entering a pivotal session where gold is testing key zones just ahead of critical employment data. Use tight stops and clear confirmations for all trades.
🚨 Trade with discipline — stay patient, and be prepared for volatility.
💬 What’s your setup for today’s gold session? Watching for a breakout or fading the highs? Drop your view below! 👇👇👇
NZD/CAD Long, EUR/USD Short, CAD/JPY Short and GBP/AUD ShortNZD/CAD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
CAD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles.
GBP/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart.
• If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
Gold in Focus: Tight Range Before Major US Data 🌐 Gold in Focus: Tight Range Before Major US Data – Time to Prepare for the Storm?
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trapped within a narrow consolidation zone, with traders across global markets awaiting critical economic events in the second half of this week. The bounce from the 3290–3270 support zones confirms strong buying interest, yet bulls seem cautious ahead of the ADP employment report today and the all-important Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) on Friday.
Despite dovish signs from recent labor data and declining US bond yields, gold has not been able to regain strong upward momentum. This hesitance is attributed to mixed market sentiment fueled by ongoing US-China trade negotiations, potential interest rate outlook shifts from the Fed, and end-of-month positioning across major asset classes.
💼 What’s happening behind the scenes?
US 10Y yields dropped, signaling weaker inflation outlooks — usually bullish for gold.
DXY remains fragile but still attracts safe-haven inflows amid global political tensions.
Investors are cautious ahead of back-to-back economic events and might delay large trades until Friday.
With a bank holiday looming in Asia and Europe tomorrow, liquidity could tighten and amplify volatility. Gold might continue trading in a compressed range between 3274–3357 until NFP injects a fresh directional impulse.
🔍 Technical Roadmap:
🔺 Resistance Levels to Monitor:
3328
3336
3352
3357
3366
🔻 Support Levels to Watch:
3305
3292
3274
📌 Trade Strategy (30m–1H timeframe bias)
🔵 BUY ZONE A
📍 Entry: 3292 – 3290
🎯 SL: 3287
🎯 TP: 3295 → 3300 → 3304 → 3308 → 3315 → 3320
🔵 BUY ZONE B
📍 Entry: 3275 – 3273
🎯 SL: 3268
🎯 TP: 3280 → 3284 → 3286 → 3290 → 3300
🔴 SELL ZONE A
📍 Entry: 3350 – 3352
🎯 SL: 3356
🎯 TP: 3345 → 3340 → 3336 → 3332 → 3320
🔴 SELL ZONE B
📍 Entry: 3365 – 3367
🎯 SL: 3371
🎯 TP: 3361 → 3357 → 3352 → 3347 → 3340
📣 Final Thoughts:
We are in the "calm before the storm" phase. Price is coiling in tight ranges with declining volume and momentum. Today's ADP report could trigger intraday volatility, but major players may still remain on the sidelines until Friday's NFP.
As it’s also the last day of the month, be alert for liquidity grabs and potential stop hunts. Stick to your risk management plan and avoid revenge trades in volatile setups.
🛡️ Stay patient. Trade smart. Let the market reveal the direction.
Euro Under Mild Pressure Amid Policy Uncertainty and Weaker USD📌 EUR/USD Outlook: Euro Under Mild Pressure Amid Policy Uncertainty and Weaker US Dollar 📉
🌍 Fundamental Overview
EUR/USD is trading cautiously around 1.1400, as market sentiment remains sensitive to developments in the US-China trade situation and broader monetary policy expectations.
Despite recent USD weakness — where the greenback lost ground against all G10 currencies this April — the Euro is facing renewed selling pressure amid rising speculation about further ECB rate cuts.
ECB policymakers, including Olli Rehn and François Villeroy de Galhau, highlighted the increasing risks of missing the 2% inflation target, reinforcing the need for more monetary easing if necessary.
Meanwhile, mixed signals between Trump and Beijing over trade negotiations have kept uncertainty high, putting both USD and risk sentiment in flux.
📈 Key Economic Events to Watch
US Data:
JOLTS Job Openings
Q1 GDP Preliminary
ISM Manufacturing PMI
ADP Employment Change
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP)
Core PCE Price Index (March)
Eurozone Data:
Q1 GDP Preliminary
April HICP Inflation
Recent weaker-than-expected Spanish GDP (0.6% vs. forecast 0.7%) also adds pressure on the broader Eurozone outlook.
📊 Technical Outlook – EUR/USD
Immediate Resistance: 1.1450 – 1.1475
Immediate Support: 1.1375 – 1.1340
The pair is now hovering near the 1.1400 psychological level, with slight bearish momentum:
A break below 1.1375 could open the path towards 1.1340.
On the upside, holding above 1.1400 and reclaiming 1.1450 would be needed to revive bullish momentum.
The Dollar Index (DXY) remains trapped around 99.20, hinting at limited immediate USD strength but vulnerable to macro catalysts.
🧠 Trading Strategy
Prefer short-term sell setups if EUR/USD fails to hold 1.1400 and breaks below 1.1375.
Bullish setups are only valid if Price closes firmly above 1.1450, aiming towards 1.1475 resistance.
⚡ Traders should stay cautious ahead of major data this week, especially US NFP and Core PCE, which could redefine short-term Dollar strength.
💬 Are you watching for a deeper pullback or waiting for a bounce above 1.1450? Let’s discuss! 👇👇👇
AUDUSD Will Move Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.641.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.629 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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