Trades Idea for Monday 25 Mar 24DISCLAIMER
This is not financial advice; you are trading at your own risk. Never risk more than you are willing to lose.
Gold/USD (XAUUSD) Signal For 22 Mar 2024
Trade Idea 1
SELL LIMIT Order: $2171.63
Stop Loss: $2186.38
Take Profit 1: $2157.13
Take Profit 2: $2149.24
Trade Idea 2
SELL LIMIT Order: $2175.05
Stop Loss: $2186.38
Take Profit 1: $2157.13
Take Profit 2: $2149.24
Risk per trade: 0.5%.
MT4/5 trade expiration: Today
100% mechanical strategy, zero analysis, zero guesswork. Rise and repeat day in and day out.
Reason
The first-hour candlestick closes above 21 EMA, hence our bias is to BUY. We will place 2x Buy LIMIT orders at 50% and 38.20%, both stop loss at 0%, take profit 1 at 100% and take profit 2 at 127.20%
March Trade Results
P&L for the month: -0.15R
01 Mar: +1.35R
06 Mar: +1.35R
08 Mar: +1.35R
11 Mar: -1R
12 Mar no.1: -1R
12 Mar no.2: -1R
13 Mar no.1: -1R
13 Mar no.2: +0.5R
14 Mar no.1: -1R
14 Mar no.2: -1R
15 Mar no.1: -1R
15 Mar no.2: +1.65R
18 Mar no.1: +0.5
19 Mar no.1: -1R
19 Mar no.2: +0.5R
20 Mar no.1: -1R
20 Mar no.2: +1.65R
21 Mar no.2: Running
The year 2024 Trade Results
January: +2.6R
February: +3.35R
Trading-signals
EURCAD Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
EURCAD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.4699 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.4724
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
FAKE BREAKOUTS IN CRYPTO MARKETSHello traders! 👋
How often has it happened to you that you watch a certain level and wait for its breakout, and when the price breaks this significant level, the price does not tend in the direction of the breakout? After a while, it goes back down, putting your balance at risk of heavy losses. Now let's talk about what a fake breakout is in the crypto market in particular..
Definition And Types 📝
A fake breakout is a breakout of some horizontal or sloping level, after which the price immediately or gradually moves away in the opposite direction of the breakout. The candlestick that broke the level is called a breakout candlestick.
The most common fake breakouts in trading:
A fake breakout of a trendline.
A fake breakout of support or resistance.
A fake breakout of the borders of a technical pattern.
Now that we have a complete layout of possible breakouts, let's take a closer look at them. In the description of the breakout, I will immediately describe the trading principle of this pattern.
Fake Trend Breakout 📊
On the chart of BINANCE:ETHUSD I managed to find a great fake trend breakout during a bull run. The point was that the price started a great growth, then a trend line was formed, from which most traders bought the asset until all the buyers were dropped off the train. But for the others, who understood the principle of fake breakouts, it was, on the contrary, a great opportunity to enter the market.
We see an excellent trend breakout, a well-defined breakout candle. Here any trader has two options:
1. Enter in the direction of the trend. And since we have broken the trend line, the trend has changed to a downtrend.
2. Wait for a possible rebound and return above the trend line.
Let's start with the fact that it is not profitable to enter trades immediately after the trend breakout, as there is a high chance of such confusing cases. Therefore, it is advised to wait for a strong rebound and the continuation of the movement in the direction of the breakout. And what to do if the market has a situation as shown in the picture, i.e., the price breaks through and returns back above the trend line? Everything is even simpler here:
You wait for the return above the trend line.
As soon as it happens, you place a limit order on the upper or lower boundary (depends on the trend direction) of the breakout candle.
You wait for the market to fill up your order.
You place a stop-loss under or over the trend line (depending on the trend direction).
A Fake Breakout of Support or Resistance 📈📉
This type of breakout is the most popular, but it has its own interesting trick. As a rule, in such situations, the price chart hints that it wants to break some significant level and all traders freeze waiting for the breakout. The breakout happens, but there is no profit. This is a classic in the current realities, at least in the cryptocurrency markets.
The principle of trade entry is exactly the same. Only the nature of the breakout differs. By the way, as you can see from the post, and if you look at the charts of coins, the largest and strongest movements are usually accompanied by fake breakouts before them. This is due to the fact that thanks to a fake breakout, most panic traders or those who have extremely short stop loses are dropped off.
Fake Breakout of A Pattern 🔎
This fake breakout is the most rare, but it still occurs. Its essence is that when you see one of the technical analysis figures and, according to its own rules, understand in which direction this figure is most likely to break, it breaks in the opposite direction.
On the BINANCE:SOLUSDT chart, I managed to find a good example of this algorithm. A descending triangle with a flat bottom was clearly drawn on the chart, which, according to the classic technical analysis, should break towards the flat side, but they decided to give us a "haircut".
The algorithm of entering the trade is exactly the same as in the other two cases. But here you can resort to one more variant of entry, in addition to overcoming the top or bottom of the breakout candle. Also, if it is pattern from the classic technical analysis, you can simply enter the trade on the crossing of the pattern.
In cryptocurrency markets, the following picture often occurs:
• An important level is formed.
• The price breaks it and fixes itself above or below it.
• There is a pullback to the previous zone with a small continuation of the reverse movement (fake breakout).
• The price returns to this zone again and starts to consolidate.
• A true breakout occurs.
As a result, the stops of both those who did not earn on shorting and those who did not earn on the long position were accumulated. There is only one recommendation to avoid this case, just tighten the stops and do not be greedy. Remember the main rule, the more tests of the level, the more likely it is to break through. And here is another simple truth: levels are created in order to break them.
In conclusion , fake breakouts are a common phenomenon in trading, particularly in the cryptocurrency markets. They can occur in various forms, such as fake trend breakouts, fake breakouts of support or resistance, and fake breakouts of technical patterns. Understanding these scenarios and adapting appropriate trading strategies can help potentially capitalize on market opportunities. Recognizing and managing fake breakouts can contribute to more successful trading experiences.
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment
WHAT IS SMART MONEY TECHNIQUE DIVERGENCE?✴️ WHAT DOES SMART MONEY DOING: ACCUMULATING OR DISTRIBUTING?
SMT (Smart Money Technique) Divergence is the divergence of prices of correlated assets or the relationship to inversely correlated assets.
Analyzing the SMT Divergence allows you to determine the institutional structure of the market to determine what the smart money is doing accumulating or distributing.
Currency pairs are easy to analyze using the DXY US Dollar Index. Every price fluctuation must be confirmed by market symmetry. The occurrence of price asymmetry signals the formation of an SMT Divergence and a likely trend reversal.
SMT DIVERGENCE IN ACCUMULATION
SMT DIVERGENCE IN DISTRIBUTION
✴️ WHICH PAIR TO CHOOSE FOR TRADING?
As traders, we need activity in the markets, volatility is what makes trading easier.
The news background is the driver that drives this, which is why the trading day starts with a look at the economic calendar.
If GBP news is scheduled to be released, it does not mean that, for example, GBPUSD will be preferred over EURUSD.
The logic is that closely correlated pairs are likely to move symmetrically. But when SMT divergences are formed, one of the pairs will show strength or weakness, which signals the approaching high volatility on such a pair. GBPUSD updated the high, while EURUSD failed (showed weakness) which results in opening short positions on EURUSD.
As a result, despite the important news on the GBP, EURUSD showed a higher amplitude of movement (volatility).
In the following example, EURUSD updated the high, while GBPUSD failed (showed weakness) that as a result we open short positions on GBPUSD.
GBPNZD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPNZD is below:
The market is trading on 2.1015 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2.0926
Recommended Stop Loss - 2.1061
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
QQQ The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
QQQ looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 446.21 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 452.09
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 435.52
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SPY Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the SPY next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 521.23
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 514.32
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0887
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.0914
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY Massive Short! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 151.40
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 152.12
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 150.09
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0859
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.0890
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCAD Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USDCAD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.3573
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.3537
My Stop Loss - 1.3594
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDUSD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on AUDUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.6528 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.6568
Safe Stop Loss - 0.6504
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SILVER Will Explode! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the SILVER next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 24.916
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 25.205
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPAUD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GBPAUD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.9466
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 1.9498
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.9405
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCAD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
USDCAD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.3585 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 1.3608
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.3541
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURAUD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURAUD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.6552
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.6600
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPCAD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GBPCAD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.7132
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.7197
My Stop Loss - 1.7097
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.0879 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.0910
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDCHF Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for NZDCHF is below:
The market is trading on 0.5371 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.5388
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.5360
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CHFJPY Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for CHFJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 170.37
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 169.45
Safe Stop Loss - 170.92
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPCHF What Next? SELL!
My dear subscribers,
GBPCHF looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1300 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.1272
About Used Indicators:
The average true range ATR plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2156.0 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 2163.1
About Used Indicators:
The average true range ATR plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TESLA The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
TESLA looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 163.56 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 180.44
Recommended Stop Loss - 154.73
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK