EURUSD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1065
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1092
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Trading-signals
EURNZD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURNZD is below:
The market is trading on 1.7521 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.7481
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
THE ESSENCE OF WYCKOFF'S METHODRichard Demille Wyckoff is a trader whose career coincided with the famous traders of the time: Jesse Livermore, Charles Dow and JP Morgan, W. Gann and others. All of these men are widely recognized for their terrific trading books. Wyckoff became famous for his insight, his trading method. Wyckoff has been involved with the financial markets since he was a teenager, and this is what gave him an understanding of how the market works.
To become a successful trader, it is not enough to have good theoretical knowledge. Experience is the key to your success. That is why Wyckoff recommended to follow the tape for weeks to intuitively understand what is happening on the market.
THE ESSENCE OF THE WYCKOFF METHOD
The essence of Richard Wyckoff's idea is that in order to gain a large position in the market and not to move the price with large orders, a professional market maker needs to balance supply and demand. The equilibrium is observed when the price is in a narrow range of consolidation. After a position is gained, the price is pushed out of the trading range.
WYCKOFF'S THREE LAWS
The trading method is based on three laws:
Supply and Demand. Wyckoff believed that the price of each asset goes up or down only by an overabundance of one thing. For example, the price goes up if demand exceeds supply. Simply put, if a whole city decides to buy 10 tons of apple, and the apple is in limited supply from the suppliers, they will start to raise the price because of the high demand.
Cause and Effect. When an asset starts to rise in price - this is the consequence, and the previous news or a small price range this is the cause. When the price is between support and resistance zones for the X amount of time (cause), then a trend will start in the short term (effect).
Effort vs. Result. A large volume traded, for example, during one day is an effort, while a price change is a result. Example: If a large player has spent a lot of money buying up most of the sell orders, and the price is still standing, it means that the effort spent did not bring the expected results.
ACCUMULATION AND DISTRIBUTION
The basic principle of trading is to see the equilibrium of supply and demand in time. Consolidation (also called range, zone, rectangle, sidewall, etc.) is a trading range of prices where accumulation or distribution takes place. Wyckoff's method is the use of accumulation and distribution phases.
Accumulation is the formation of a trading zone where orders for further movement (price reversal) are accumulated within a certain time. Here "smart" money keeps the price at approximately the same level, where they buy up most of the market orders in order to sell (distribute) them at a higher price.
Distribution is the formation of a trading zone where orders are distributed for further movement (price reversal) within a certain time. Similarly, to accumulation, smart money sells out all its previously accumulated assets in order to benefit from it.
Consolidation is the place where the previous movement with the outweighing force of demand or supply stops and relative equilibrium finally occurs. This trading zone is a great time to make money, because it is the place where preparation for an explosive bull rally or bearish fall takes place. Consolidation can be considered as a place of refueling for a car, if not refueled, there will be nothing to drive on - it is the accumulated force, the reason that creates the subsequent movement. The longer the refueling takes place, the farther one can go. Therefore, after a long trading range, we should expect an equally long upward or downward movement.
On the way to move from one zone to the opposite zone, the price does not fall in one go, it always makes pullbacks and stops, which are called accumulation.
After his death, Wyckoff left trading methods for such zones. The principle is quite simple: Before the formation of a sideways trading range, sales peak and the accumulation phase begins. During the whole time the price is in this range, a large player buys up most of the sell orders. The price goes beyond the support and resistance zones, then reverses and the growth phase begins. At the end of the growth phase, the buying peaks. Then it is the same for the distribution phase.
ACCUMULATION
In the accumulation phase, professional traders buy up sell orders from uninformed traders. Usually it happens on the news, from all channels they say that shares of some company will fall, it is waiting for almost bankruptcy, everything is bad, etc. In Forex, various negative news on unemployment and similar. At this moment people start to get rid of long positions, and traders start to short the instrument. Wyckoff supporters realize that it is worth waiting for the price drop to stop and they should get ready to look for an entry point to buy the asset.
Phase A and phase E are trend price movements, the phases between them are the trading range, which is analyzed by the Wyckoff trading method. Horizontal lines are support (at the bottom) and resistance (at the top) of the trading range. Do not consider them as exact lines, they are approximate ranges, in which the big one turns the price back to sideways.
DISTRIBUTION
Everything is similar to buying in the accumulation phase, only now those assets bought earlier should be sold off. This is just the basis, the main rules of trading according to the Wyckoff method in trading. Richard Wyckoff himself applied it on stocks and on daily charts (although he did not use charts, only tape). But nowadays, the time of algorithms, you can trade on any timeframe and any instruments. The method works well on the minute. It should be understood that there can be many phase patterns, the trading range can be different, the culmination with large candles and small, the volume is high and not very high, tests after the exit from the zone may or may not be. It all depends on who the big player is, when the accumulation or distribution occurs, what instrument you are watching and what timeframe is on the chart.
Trading will be quite successful if you strictly follow your trading strategy according to the Wyckoff method, written on paper, competently determine the level of risk and position size. Observe the chart, find consolidations, see what happened inside and where the price went. You need to analyze every step, every movement. Big money thinks everything through, every price action on the chart is not accidental. And remember that whatever the big money does, it always leaves its traces.
Good luck in trading!
EURCAD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
EURCAD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.4600 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.4656
About Used Indicators:
The average true range ATR plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDJPY My Opinion! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on AUDJPY and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 97.508 pivot level.
Bias -Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 96.574
Safe Stop Loss - 97.982
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
ARB NEW INCREASE VOLUMEThank you for reading this update.
Depending on our study we see that ARB has a good chance of volume increase.
This updates depending on day trade, And the market should confirm with time the right market way.
#Nottradingadvice
#For Day traders take always profits when the market increase
#Expect nothing from the markets, but follow what it shows.
EURUSD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.1051
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.0999
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0774
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.0846
My Stop Loss - 1.0740
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SILVER Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the SILVER next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 23.362
Bias - Bullish
Safe Stop Loss - 23.019
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 24.064
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD What Next? BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0758
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.0782
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2063.3
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 2026.2
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPCHF The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
GBPCHF looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.0851 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.0979
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GBPUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.2563 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.2583
About Used Indicators:
The average true range ATR plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDUSD What Next? SELL!
My dear subscribers,
AUDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.6800 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.6754
About Used Indicators:
The average true range ATR plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADING PSYCHOLOGY: HOW TO OVERCOME YOURSELF?Hello forex traders! How much money have you lost because of emotions? How many losing trades have you closed because they went negative and it annoyed you? And how many times did the currency immediately reversed after you recorded a loss? As we all know up to 80% of success in forex trading depends on psychology. Money management is of great importance and only then strategy. Not everyone realizes it, but this is the harsh reality. How to defeat yourself? How to remain calm in any situation? How to protect yourself from negative emotions that cloud your mind?
The Impact Of Emotions On Analysis
When you are sitting in losses, you do not pay attention to what is happening on the chart. That is, your brain rejects the signals that indicate that the price will continue to go against you. On the contrary, your brain tries to convince you that the price is about to turn around, which, of course, does not happen. If you close the position and look at the market with a clear eye, you will realize that the situation in the market is not the same as it was in your head a moment ago. This distraction in the form of a minus on the position affects your attentiveness, and you do not notice the obvious.
There is such a thing as analysis paralysis. That is, when some event literally knocks you out of the rut, after which you cannot adequately perceive the situation. This can be avoided with the help of reasonable sufficiency. That is, you stop looking for the perfect solution. Instead, you make the most correct and simple decision to close a losing position.
Also, traders are often afraid of losing profit. But then again, how many times have you held a losing trade, hoping for a reversal, and it still went against you? It is the same with profitable trades. There is a constant feeling that the price is about to turn around and all the profit will be lost. As an option, in this case you can use a trailing stop. Then you will in any case know that in case of price reversal, the profit will not be lost.
In principle, the cure for the influence of any emotions on the analysis is correct money management. That is, you just need to simply reduce your trading lot. The goal is to place such a lot, which would not cause you strong emotions.
Until you are used to being disciplined in every situation, it is better to trade at a lot that you could forget about. For example, you could open a trade on the daily chart and forget about it (accidentally or naturally). At the very initial stages this approach is justified, as no open positions will not prevent you from analyzing the situation competently. At the same time, the very fact of a negative trade will not knock you out of your game.
You Are Not Perfect
Remember, you are not perfect. There is no person who, like a robot, does not get nervous about trades, who performs absolutely perfect trading and never makes mistakes anywhere and ever. All of us make mistakes, it is normal, and it should be understood. Let's say you read that you need to reduce the lot, not to be emotional, and you still make mistakes. The thought that "I am smarter" does not leave your head. But, in general, if you read the biographies of successful people in other areas, you will learn that they also made mistakes. Often, a person needs to make all possible mistakes only in order not to make them later. So, to speak, we learn from our mistakes.
The average person believes that he is smarter than 80% of people. At the same time, there are always excuses for the question "why are you so smart, but so poor?" - something prevents you, you are too old, too young, your wife/husband prevents you, you were born in the wrong country and so on. Almost everyone thinks they are, so you don't have to worry, you are not the smartest.
The Vicious Circle Of A Beginner Trader
Searching for a system: you find a strategy that appeals to you.
Trading: as a rule, this period lasts 1-2 days, at best a week if.
First Losses: taking your first losses. It's usually down to the first few trades.
Anger: naturally, there is a feeling of being cheated as the system did not deliver the promised profits;
Blame: the system does not work; forex is a scam and the author of the system is a scammer. Someone is necessarily to blame, for example, the broker that closed the position a point later, but not the trader himself. And everything starts all over again.
Exit From The Circle:
Finding a system.
Backtesting from the beginning to the end: the strategy should be either tested manually on the history or in a tester if the strategy is automatic.
Absolute confidence in the strategy: when you have fully tested the strategy, know all the statistics, know all the pros and cons, you gain confidence in the chosen strategy.
Good money management: further, you add a good money management.
Now it is "your" trading strategy: the strategy should be completely yours. If you are not comfortable holding positions for 3-4 days, move to a smaller timeframe. Or, on the contrary, if you are too lazy to open trades often, choose a larger TF. That is, the strategy should suit your temperament and be customized for you.
In general, all these pieces of the mosaic lead to the exit from the enchanted circle. You find a system, then trade, adequately perceiving losses. Accordingly, you further work with this system, solve problems with emotions, inputs and outputs, improve, tune-up and so on.
A Little Bit About Our Brain
The fact is that our brain compared to a computer has a very large hard disk, but a very small amount of RAM. Do you know the feeling when the brain is so overloaded that absolutely no information, even seemingly simple ones, can be stored in it? Of course, we cannot expand this memory, but we can control the number of simultaneously opened applications/programs. That is, we need to fight the so-called white noise. Remove social networks Facebook, messengers, YouTube, checking mail, and so on. This is all white noise that clogs your brain and prevents you from working adequately.
There are many opponents and many supporters of meditation. Meditation is, in fact, nothing more than to lie/sit under calm music and go into a certain semi-trance state. Humans periodically need three states: being awake, sleep and a trance state. Usually after a certain mental effort, you start to get very dumb without doing any useful work. This is the brain signaling that you are lacking the trance state. 30 minutes of trance a day is quite enough.
Do Not Set Goals In Trading
When you set yourself a specific goal, for example, to make 1% every day it doesn't work. You start looking for non-existent trades again, clouding your brain. Therefore, you should not set profit targets. On the other hand, it is possible and even necessary to set loss limits!
Sometimes, there is a sudden unreasonable desire to open a trade. Although the system did not give a signal. As a way out of this situation, you can try to open two accounts, one for adequate trading, where you will open trades clearly according to the rules of the system. Another smaller one for aggressive trading, when you have an irresistible desire to open a trade. If it really "works", you will still get profit, though not so big.
Bottom Line
As you can see, strategy is often not the deciding factor in trading. Psychology is what ultimately makes you act in one way or another. It takes the right approach and practice to be unstoppable in trading. The rest comes with experience over time.
USOIL Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
USOIL looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 71.20 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 73.75
Recommended Stop Loss - 69.96
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TILT IN TRADINGAs it is known, a trader on the market is under constant pressure, the market is a constant process, in fact it is a river, and a trader should dive in and out of it to earn money. It is difficult to stay on the shore, when there is an endless river of money flowing nearby, hence the constant desire, well and of course stress, because the market gives unlimited opportunities at the same risk. Everyone knows that the two worst emotions for a trader are fear and greed, although it is only fear, greed is one of the types of fear (fear of losing profit). Fear breeds many related behaviors that only bring financial pain and frustration in trading. Let's look at some of the groups of emotions that fear gives rise to.
TILT IN TRADING
What is tilt? Tilt comes to us from poker; it means the inability to perform reasonable actions while being at the mercy of emotions. Tilt is not a one-time process. First, there must be preconditions for its occurrence. Most often, it is a series of unsuccessful trades in a short period of time (scalping), after which the trader starts to lose control and, trying to recoup losses, goes all the way, forgetting both the rules of trading strategy and money management rules. The most interesting thing is that the same thing can happen during a series of profitable trades, i.e., tilt can be earned at any time; it is only necessary to let go of some emotion for some time. The worst thing (except for the loss of money, of course) is the acquisition of bad emotional habits, from which it is very difficult to get rid.
Tilt can occur even on expectations, for example, the price is about to approach the level of trade open, and suddenly it turns around. Your finger froze over the buy/sell button and then it's over! And waiting for the next approach turns into a tilt. Market factors also provoke tilt in a trader, for example, increase of volatility during news, the price flies back and forth like crazy and pushes the trader to open a trade.
SO HOW DO YOU AVOID TILT?
The answer to this question is always right under our noses. It is discipline, and only discipline. The rules of the trading system and the rules of money management, and as few emotions as possible. Do not trade in an agitated, tired, and painful state; wait it out; the market will not run away from you.
With the emergence of the crypto market, new concepts have appeared, but they already relate to the psychological manipulation of traders, and although they are based on the same fear, we will try to describe them separately. Besides, these concepts have always been there and apply to all kinds of markets, not just the cryptocurrency market.
FOMO & FUD cycle
FOMO (Fear of missing out) information throwing in the bright prospects of some crypto coin or crypto market as a whole, in order to provoke the purchase, often and densely along with Pump of a particular crypto coin.
FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt) is a negative information dump to provoke sales. All the same, only sales and DUMP (sharp sale of crypto-asset), the purpose is to reset the price of the crypto asset, again, to make it attractive to the investor. No, what a concern for potential investors! Both pump and dump are reverse actions, and the goal is the same attractiveness for investing! The only difference is the timing.
The topic of psychology in trading is big; we covered only a couple of psychological aspects: one is the trader's problem, and the other is the trader's provocation by the market and information space. In general, psychology accounts for 80% of all trading. You can memorize techniques, but it is very difficult to understand and change yourself in terms of psychology. To understand how the "crowd" acts, what will be the reaction of "big money"? All this is what you should strive for in your search for profit. Therefore, the trader's "holy grail" is patience, self-discipline, and as few emotions as possible. If you feel that you are about to lose it, just leave the terminal and go to your family, to the gym, or to nature. Do not sit at the terminal on an emotional tilt. Work on your emotions and you will be profitable.
EURUSD 1WWeekly timeframe, probably the most interesting of all, as we changed the context from short to long after consolidating above the fractal marked in red. Depending on the closing of the next week, we can make assumptions about the subsequent movement. The first target is the fractal maximum formed in the FVG.
NZDUSD My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NZDUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.6300
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.6244
Safe Stop Loss - 0.6329
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDNZD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the AUDNZD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0804
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.0758
My Stop Loss - 1.0830
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
APPLE My Opinion! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the APPLE next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 197.11
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 190.66
My Stop Loss - 201.03
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPAUD Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GBPAUD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.845 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 1.8675
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.8874
About Used Indicators:
The average true range ATR plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2041.3 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 2032.7
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK