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EURAUD - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower, this indicates on probable distribution Wyckoff range. But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we can notice sign of weakness (reaching the middle of the range), so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower. Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Short
by Maks_Klimenko
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.14.2024🔮 📅 Tue Jan 14 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core PPI m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.2%) 📊 PPI m/m: 0.4% (prev: 0.4%) 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: On a gap up, we will hold and run higher. Weekly will pin it down. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Pullbacks here and there but will get bought up. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Everyone will eat up this drop; definitely look to position bullish here...again. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SP:SPXLong
by PogChan
Is Bitcoin Heading to $78K? Key Patterns Explained! ''BTC/USD: Key Supply Zone in Focus'' This chart highlights a significant supply zone between $94,858.98 and $95,979.83, marked by previous price rejections (indicated by the arrows). This zone represents a key area of resistance where selling pressure has historically dominated. If the price revisits this zone, there’s a high probability of another rejection, potentially leading to a downward movement. Traders should monitor this area closely for potential short opportunities or signs of a breakout. 👉 What’s your take on this supply zone? Will it hold, or are we breaking through? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! "BTC/USD: Bearish Head and Shoulders Pattern" This chart showcases a classic Head and Shoulders pattern, often regarded as a bearish signal. The price has already broken the neckline, indicating a potential continuation to the downside. The target for this pattern lies near $78,490.59, calculated based on the height of the structure. Combined with the current price action, this setup suggests further bearish momentum could be on the horizon. 👉 Do you agree with this bearish outlook? Or do you see a reversal coming? Share your analysis in the comments below!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by ProcessAndIntercept
Bouncing Back: Steps To Overcoming A Trading Losing StreakThe probability theory suggests that under perfectly equal conditions, your trades should be successful 50% of the time. However, market conditions rarely offer such perfect equality. During an upward trend, for instance, you might open ten short positions only to find them all unprofitable. This illustrates why probability theory alone doesn't translate well to trading. What does work, however, is mathematical statistics, including concepts like expected value and other analytical parameters. So when you encounter a series of losing trades, resist the urge to blame the market or bad luck. Instead, recognize that you might have overlooked certain factors or made calculation errors. The good news? These mistakes can be identified and corrected. 📍 How to Recover After a Series of Losing Trades 1. Step Away from Trading Temporarily The first and most crucial step is to step away from trading temporarily. This might seem obvious, yet it's often the hardest advice to follow. If you're experiencing losses regardless of whether you take long or short positions, it's time to pause. The market's volatility isn't always to blame – this break gives you valuable time to analyze what's really happening. However, executing this pause requires genuine willpower. Simply shutting down your computer isn't enough – the temptation to restart it after ten minutes can be overwhelming. Instead, make a clean break: go for a walk outside or immerse yourself in completely different activities. This physical and mental separation is essential for gaining a fresh perspective. 🔹 Define Your Consecutive Loss Limit. Your trading style and personality should determine how many consecutive losses you can tolerate before stepping back. For fast-paced scalping and intraday trading, consider pausing after 3-5 consecutive losses. If you're trading bigger timeframes, you might want to stop after just 2-3 losing trades. 🔹 Establish Clear Daily Loss Thresholds. Restrictions can be based on both trading frequency and capital loss. For example, set a firm rule to stop trading for a day as soon as your account drops by 3%. This will prevent you from making emotional decisions and protect your trading capital, especially if you trade prop firms. 🔹 Leverage Your Backtesting Data. Some trading strategies naturally experience small consecutive losses before capturing a larger winning trade that offsets previous setbacks. Use platforms like TradingView to backtest your strategy and understand its historical performance patterns. Pay attention to: The longest historical losing streaks Average loss sequences Expected drawdown periods If your current trading results deviate significantly from these historical patterns, that's your signal to pause and reassess. Remember: Success in trading isn't about gut feelings – it's about mathematical precision and disciplined execution. 2. Analyze Your Trades Over the Period It's important to remember that you haven’t always incurred losses, so take the time to evaluate the current losing streak and compare it with previous trading periods. Look for any discrepancies or patterns that may emerge. 🔹 Fundamental Factors. Identify the fundamental elements that influenced both your profitable and losing periods. 🔹 Indicators Used. Assess the indicators that were applied in both scenarios. If you used the same indicators during profitable and losing trades, analyze where the error occurred. 🔹 Stop Losses. Review the stop-loss levels you set. What led to the losses in these trades? When using your trading simulator, pay attention to specific metrics: ⚫️ Recovery Factor. This is the ratio of absolute profit to maximum drawdown. ⚫️ Profit Factor. This metric represents the ratio of total profit to total loss. ⚫️ Average Profit to Average Loss Ratio. Evaluate this ratio to understand your trade outcomes better. For the most effective analysis, focus on H1 or bigger timeframes. Analyzing trades over these extended periods allows you to discern the logic of trends, identify key levels, and gain insight into market psychology. 3. Identify Problem Areas It's essential to pinpoint the areas causing difficulties in your trading. Reflect on the psychological aspects at play: What’s bothering you? What feels off or frustrating? Sometimes, intuition can provide valuable insights as well. 🔹 Unprofitable Trading System. Market volatility may have changed, rendering your current indicator settings ineffective and leading to a non-profitable trading system. 🔹 Emotional Decision-Making. Emotions can sometimes drive you to deviate from the predetermined rules of your trading plan. 🔹 Absence of a Trading System. This is a critical mistake. It’s not just about having a strategy; a comprehensive trading system outlines your actions in unexpected situations. Be aware of potential issues such as wide stop losses, leverage that increases losses, or "strange" trades that deviate from your established setups. There are numerous variations of these problems, and your task is to identify and address them. 4. Develop a Corrective Plan Now that the analysis is complete and the main issues are identified, it’s time to address them. Avoid resuming trading at previous volumes immediately. Your goal is to test the revised trading strategy while minimizing risk. At this stage, profitability is secondary; the focus should be on ensuring that the strategy works. 🔹 Open Trades with Minimum Lot Sizes. Use leverage strategically, only to manage your exposure to Level and Margin effectively. 🔹 Implement Minimal Stops. This approach helps in risk reduction. However, ensure that stops are set within reasonable limits to avoid constant triggering from market fluctuations. Focus on average volatility to determine appropriate stop-loss levels. 🔹 Avoid Rushing into Maximum Trades. Prioritize the quality of trades over quantity. It’s more important to make well-considered decisions than to engage in numerous trades. 🔹 Stick to Your Action Plan. Consistently ask yourself key questions: Why am I opening this trade? Am I sticking to all the rules? What outcome am I aiming for? What constitutes an acceptable loss for me? For testing integrity, it is recommended to implement these changes on a real account as it develops a greater sense of accountability. 5. Focus on the Psychological Aspect Maintaining a focus on positive outcomes is crucial for success in trading. Just as a person afraid of falling off a bike will likely do so, a negative mindset can breed inevitable failures. Instead, you must cultivate confidence in positive results and adopt a constructive attitude. And if you do face setbacks, dust yourself off and continue your journey toward success. Believing in your ability to succeed is often the greatest challenge. Embrace self-belief and trust in your strength. 🔹 Avoid External Influences. Steer clear of forums and social media platforms like Instagram. Remember, you are the one making trading decisions. Listening to others can lead to FOMO and self-doubt, which can hinder your performance. 🔹 Utilize Affirmations. Regularly affirming your potential for success can significantly increase your chances of achieving it. Positive self-talk is a powerful tool in building confidence. 🔹 Take Time to Rest. Rest is essential for maintaining a healthy mindset. While meditation is beneficial, it's often overlooked; try to incorporate it into your routine, even if just for a few minutes each day. 🔹 Be Mindful of Your Nervous System . A lively nervous system can be advantageous, but excessive stimulants like caffeine can backfire. If you experience high blood pressure, caffeine may exacerbate nervousness and further overstimulate your system. 📍 Conclusion A loss is not a verdict; it is an opportunity for growth. The fact that brokers often indicate a loss rate of 60-85% among traders highlights that many are unwilling to invest the time and effort necessary to learn from their mistakes. Often, these traders give up at the first sign of failure. In contrast, the remaining 15-40% consist of those who, through hard work, patience, and persistence, transition from beginners to professionals. Don't be deterred by losses—they can be temporary if you take the time to analyze and understand their causes. Additionally, don’t succumb to pessimism; a successful trader maintains a positive mindset and embraces challenges. Remember, perseverance in the face of adversity is often the key to long-term success in trading. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
8
CHF/SEK: Long Opportunity on Multiple Timeframes I decided to open a long position on CHF/SEK based on two key technical signals that occurred on multiple timeframes. 1. Breakout of Resistance on Hourly Timeframe On the 1-hour chart, the price broke a significant resistance, signaling a possible continuation of the uptrend. This breakout was confirmed by an increase in volume and the formation of a clear bullish candlestick above the previous resistance. The breakout of these key price levels suggests strong buying pressure. 2. Upside from Oversold Level on 4-Hourly Timeframe On the 4-hour timeframe, the stochastic oscillator shows that the price has recently broken out of the oversold zone, confirming a possible reversal to the upside. Furthermore, the price is breaking above the long-term moving averages, such as the 50 and 200 periods, further reinforcing the idea that we are in a moment of strength for the CHF versus the SEK. Trading Strategy Entry: After the breakout on the 1-hour chart, I set my entry above the confirmed resistance. Stop Loss: I placed a stop loss below the most recent low to limit the risks in case of retracements. Target: The target was calculated considering a risk/reward ratio of 3:1, in line with the favorable technical backdrop. Fundamental Motivation In addition to the technical signals, there is a possible fundamental support given by the relative strength of the Swiss franc in the context of economic uncertainty. This makes the CHF a safe haven and potentially appreciable in the coming days. Conclusion This setup represents a great long trading opportunity on CHF/SEK, supported by consistent technical signals on multiple timeframes. I continue to monitor the price behavior for any adjustments to the position.
Long
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Trade Setup: NEAR Long OpportunityMarket Context: NEAR is retracing alongside the broader market, presenting a favorable opportunity for a long spot trade at a key support level. With AI being a strong narrative, NEAR is positioned for potential growth in this sector. Trade Details: Entry Zone: Around $4.2 Take Profit Targets: $5.00 $5.50 Stop Loss: Below $4.00 This trade takes advantage of NEAR's retracement to enter at a critical support level with favorable upside potential. 📈
Long
by Richtv_official
Xometry (XMTR) AnalysisCompany Overview: Xometry NASDAQ:XMTR is a leading marketplace for custom manufacturing, connecting buyers and suppliers through an AI-powered platform. The company's platform spans a broad range of industries, offering services such as CNC machining, 3D printing, injection molding, and sheet metal fabrication. Key Growth Drivers International Expansion: Global Scaling Efforts: Xometry is expanding its reach beyond the U.S., targeting international markets where demand for custom manufacturing is rising due to increasing industrialization and digital transformation. The company’s global presence positions it to tap into diverse manufacturing needs across Europe, Asia, and beyond, creating new revenue streams. AI-Enabled Platform: Smart Manufacturing: Xometry’s AI-powered platform connects customers to suppliers, optimizing processes such as quoting, production management, and quality control. This provides a competitive edge in providing fast, reliable, and cost-efficient services. The platform’s automation capabilities drive operational efficiency, creating a seamless manufacturing experience for users. Focus on High-Growth Sectors: CNC Machining and 3D Printing: These high-demand services, which are critical in industries like aerospace, automotive, and consumer electronics, provide Xometry with a solid foundation for long-term growth. With growing demand for additive manufacturing (3D printing) and precision machining, Xometry is well-positioned to benefit from these trends. Market Positioning and Tailwinds Industry Leadership: As a key player in the custom manufacturing space, Xometry benefits from being a one-stop-shop for a wide range of industries, differentiating itself from competitors with a diverse service offering. Customization Trend: The growing trend towards personalized products and on-demand manufacturing is fueling the need for Xometry's solutions, positioning the company to scale rapidly in an evolving marketplace. Strategic Partnerships and Acquisition Potential: Xometry's ability to acquire new companies and form strategic alliances enhances its market leadership and expands its technological capabilities, especially in automation and AI integration. Financial and Stock Outlook Bullish Momentum Above $34.00-$35.00: Given the company’s strong growth drivers, international expansion, and technological advancements, Xometry is poised for continued success in the custom manufacturing space. Upside Target: $68.00-$70.00, reflecting confidence in its scalability, innovative platform, and growing market presence. Investor Confidence: Xometry's unique market position, technological capabilities, and focus on high-growth sectors make it an attractive investment, appealing to those seeking exposure to the future of manufacturing. Conclusion Xometry’s AI-enabled platform and focus on high-growth manufacturing sectors provide a strong foundation for future growth. As the company expands globally and continues to innovate, it remains well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for custom, on-demand manufacturing services. 📈 Recommendation: Bullish on XMTR above $34.00-$35.00, targeting $68.00-$70.00.
NASDAQ:XMTRLong
by Richtv_official
EURGBP Massive Short! SELL! My dear subscribers, EURGBP looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 0.8399 pivot level. Bias - Bearish My Stop Loss - 0.8424 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 0.8350 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
3
JP Morgan (JPM): Correction on the HorizonJP Morgan ( NYSE:JPM ) is back on our radar as the upcoming earnings season begins, with the banking sector leading the reports. We’ve analyzed JP Morgan before, and the current setup offers intriguing opportunities. Since 2023, the stock has maintained a steady upward trend that continues into 2024. Currently, NYSE:JPM appears to be in sub-wave ((iii)) within the larger wave (3) or possibly wave 5. However, we anticipate that sub-wave ((iv)) correction is yet to occur, aligning with the broader structural narrative of the chart. Presently, the stock is trading near a critical trendline originating from the top of sub-wave ((i)). This trendline, which has shifted from resistance to support after multiple touchpoints, now risks being broken. Should it fail, the price could fall from its current level of $243 into a range between $204 and $173. A drop to $173 would represent the maximum correction in our view, while a more realistic pullback would fall within the $204 to $188 range. On the bullish side, the wave 5 could push up to approximately $260, a modest increase from the current price. This scenario fits within the Elliott Wave framework, anticipating a wave ((iv)) correction before the final upward moves to complete wave 5 and the larger wave (3).
NYSE:JPM
by freeguy_by_wmc
Los Angeles Fires: The Impact on Financial MarketsHello readers, I'm Andrea Russo and today I'm talking to you about the effects that a natural disaster, such as the devastating fires that are hitting Los Angeles, can have on financial markets. The news is dramatic: 16 dead, 153,000 people evacuated and a city under siege by flames. In addition to the human and environmental impact, events like these can also profoundly affect the economy and, consequently, the financial markets. In this article I will explain how a trader like me analyzes these situations and which sectors are most affected. The impact on local markets Fires of this magnitude can put pressure on various economic sectors. Insurance companies, for example, are among the first to suffer: with the increase in claims for compensation for damage to properties, their profit margins are eroded, often causing a decline in stock prices. On the other hand, there are sectors that could see an increase. Companies related to construction, building materials and reconstruction could see an increase in demand, especially in the medium term, when the restoration work begins. Monitoring stocks of companies that produce cement, steel or lumber can offer interesting insights for those who operate in the market. Commodities under pressure Natural disasters like these can also have an impact on the commodities market. In the case of fires, one of the most exposed sectors is the lumber sector. The destruction of forest resources in California could lead to an increase in lumber prices, creating speculative opportunities for those who operate in this market. Another important aspect concerns agriculture: California is one of the most productive agricultural states in the United States. If the fires affect agricultural land or interrupt supply chains, we could see a rise in the prices of certain crops, such as fruits, vegetables or almonds, typical products of the region. Impact on Market Indices and Investor Sentiment Natural disasters such as fires generally tend to have little impact on major indices, such as the S&P 500, unless they affect strategic sectors or regions of global economic importance. However, it is important to keep an eye on volatility: the market could react with temporary downward movements, especially if investors perceive a broader risk to the local economy. Furthermore, market psychology should never be underestimated. In situations of great uncertainty, investors tend to move towards assets considered "safe havens", such as gold or the US dollar. This could represent an opportunity for those who trade in these asset classes. Conclusion The Los Angeles fires are a tragedy that will leave both human and economic impacts. For a trader, monitoring the aftermath of events such as these is essential to identify potential opportunities or manage risks. Personally, I always try to carefully analyze the affected sectors and adapt my strategies based on market conditions. I hope this analysis has been useful to you in understanding how a natural event can have an impact on financial markets and what dynamics to consider to make informed decisions. Thanks for reading, I'll see you in the next article! Andrea Russo
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
XAGUSD - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower, this indicates on probable distribution Wyckoff range. But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we can notice sign of weakness (reaching the middle of the range), so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower. Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
FX:XAGUSDShort
by Maks_Klimenko
2
NAS100USD Will Go Down! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for NAS100USD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 20,618.0. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 20,285.3 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SignalProvider
1