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USDCAD Will Go Up From Support! Long! Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.438. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.444 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
Swiss Franc Futures Decline Amid Weaker US Dollar:Market InsightThe CHF Swiss Franc futures pair experienced a decline to approximately 1.308 during the early European trading session on Monday. This weakening can be primarily attributed to the broad softness of the US Dollar (USD), which has been under pressure lately. After an initial reversal at the pivotal level of 108.000, the US Dollar Index (DXY) managed to recover some ground, indicating a volatile session ahead for currency traders. Today's market attention is squarely focused on a series of significant economic events that could influence currency valuations. Notably, European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde is scheduled to deliver a speech that many analysts anticipate will provide insights into the central bank's future policy direction. Given the current economic climate in Europe, her comments are likely to be closely scrutinized by market participants looking for hints on interest rate adjustments and other monetary policy considerations. Additionally, the release of the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) later today is another critical data point that traders are monitoring. The PMI serves as a vital barometer for the health of the manufacturing sector, and its results can significantly sway market sentiment. A stronger-than-expected PMI reading could lend support to the USD, particularly in light of the Federal Reserve's cautious stance in recent months. A resilient manufacturing sector may fuel speculation about potential interest rate hikes, thus supporting the US dollar. As the market digests these developments, a bearish sentiment appears to be forming for the CHF futures pair. The combination of a weaker Swiss Franc and the possibility of a stable or strengthening US Dollar suggests that traders may be looking to position themselves for a further decline in the CHF/USD relationship. In the current environment of uncertainty and varied economic signals, currency traders must remain vigilant, ready to adapt to rapid changes that could arise from today's pivotal events. In summary, the interplay between the Swiss Franc and the US Dollar is accentuated by current macroeconomic factors, including central bank communications and key economic releases. With a bearish setup on the horizon and investors keenly anticipating these market-moving events, today's trading session promises to be both challenging and potentially rewarding for those engaged in forex trading. ✅ Please share your thoughts about CHF Futures in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
CME:6S1!Short
by FOREXN1
1
GBP/USD: Potential Bearish Continuation Amid Economic IndicatorsFollowing the successful attainment of our profit target in the demand area, the GBP/USD currency pair has shown a modest recovery, reclaiming some ground from the 1.2400 level. As this article is being written, the price has retraced into a prior supply zone situated around 1.2541. This development indicates a potential resistance area where the pound may struggle to maintain its upward momentum. As we move into the latter part of the day, market participants will be intently focused on significant economic reports from the United States, specifically the ISM Services PMI for December and the JOLTS Job Openings data for November. These reports are crucial in gauging the health of the US economy, particularly in the services sector, which has a substantial impact on overall economic performance. The ISM Services PMI is anticipated to provide valuable insights into business conditions, and a reading that falls below 50 could suggest contraction in the sector. Such a scenario may trigger renewed selling pressure on the USD, potentially offering some support to the GBP/USD pair. On the other hand, if the report shows a strong uptick, it could further solidify the USD's position. In tandem with the PMI, the JOLTS Job Openings report will also be closely examined. A decline in job openings might indicate a softening labor market, adding further downward pressure on the dollar. However, a notable rise in job openings could bolster confidence in the labor market and affirm the Federal Reserve's commitment to maintaining its current monetary policy stance, providing added strength to the USD. Given the current price action and the anticipated economic data, our outlook leans toward a potential bearish continuation for the British Pound. As the market digests this key information, we are likely to see an increase in dollar strength, which would further challenge the GBP/USD pair. Traders and investors should remain vigilant in monitoring these developments, as the interplay between the pound and the dollar will be critical in shaping the currency pair's next movements. Previous Forecast: ✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
Gold Race to 3,000: Rates, Politics, and BeyondAs visible on daily TF ,Key resistance levels 2720 were challenged two times already. A clean breakout above 2720 could lead to further bullish momentum also we have seen that the price recently retraced to 2,538 and 2,583 levels, forming bullish pullbacks before continuing upward, The corrective pullbacks appear to be shallow, indicating strong bullish momentum. Based on Fibonacci extensions and historical price action, a bullish move toward the psychological level of 3,000 seems possible. so with all this talk about the Fed cutting rates, FOMC's moves, there's a real buzz around gold hitting 3,000. Lower interest rates mean less reason to hold onto cash or bonds, making gold look pretty attractive. If Trump's policies stir up inflation or global uncertainty, even better for gold. gold's been on a nice climb last week, bouncing back from where it should dip, which suggests there's strong buying interest. If it keeps this up, breaking past the current highs near 2790, we might just see it hit that 3,000 mark. But remember, this is all speculative; gold can be as unpredictable as a cat in a room full of rocking chairs. Keep an eye on those FOMC meetings and any geopolitical drama; that's where the real action could come from.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
EUR/USD Analysis: A Deep Dive into Key Triggers🧵 EUR/USD has been in a prolonged downtrend, recently gaining even more bearish momentum due to the strength of the DXY. I’m Skeptic , and in today’s analysis, we’ll break down potential long and short triggers for this pair. Let’s explore opportunities across multiple timeframes. 📉 Daily Timeframe: Identifying Key Levels On the daily chart, the primary trend remains bearish within a descending channel. Key Support Zone: 1.01270 to 1.00423 This zone aligns with the midline of the channel, Fibonacci retracements, and horizontal support levels. If you’re holding short positions, this area is ideal for profit-taking. 📍 4-Hour Timeframe: Triggers and Precision Moving to the 4-hour chart, we pinpoint actionable setups: After breaking below the 1.02527 support level and consolidating, EUR/USD has reached the 1.02084 support zone. For Breakout Traders: A break and close below 1.02084 could signal further bearish momentum. I personally lean toward this approach and will monitor the break closely. For Reaction Traders: Waiting for a pullback or bounce near the daily support zone (1.01270-1.00423) might offer better long opportunities with tighter stop-loss levels. 📈 DXY Analysis: Driving Market Sentiment The DXY (US Dollar Index) continues its strong bullish trend, and its performance heavily influences EUR/USD: A sustained break above 109.449 could pave the way for further upside toward 113.219. With its current bullish momentum, this move could pressure assets like Bitcoin, which may test critical support levels at 85 or even 80-82. Key Takeaways: EUR/USD: Watch for a break below 1.02084 for short entries. React near 1.01270-1.00423 for potential long setups. DXY: A continuation above 109.449 strengthens bearish pressure on EUR/USD. Conclusion & Final Thoughts Navigating the EUR/USD market requires a blend of technical precision and patience. While short-term triggers offer immediate opportunities, always align your trades with the broader market context, such as DXY trends. 💬 What’s your take on EUR/USD? Are you a breakout or reaction trader? Share your insights in the comments! I’m Skeptic , dedicated to simplifying trading and helping you achieve mastery step by step. Let’s keep growing and learning together! 😊
Short
by SkepticWise
1
"INJ support at $17.30-$18.30, potential reversal to $27-$45." INJ/USDT Detailed Chart Analysis and Trade Plan This analysis aims to provide an in-depth view of the current market structure for INJ/USDT, highlighting a potential reversal zone and long-term upside targets. --- #1. Current Market Structure Analysis - Support Zone: $17.30 - $18.30 - This range aligns with a visible **Fair Value Gap (FVG)** and a potential **bullish order block** from historical price action. - INJ has consolidated around this zone, indicating a strong **buying interest** from previous liquidity sweeps. - Why is this important? - FVGs are areas where price has moved rapidly, often leaving inefficiencies that the market tends to revisit. Coupled with the order block, it strengthens the probability of reversal. - RSI Oversold Signal: - The **Relative Strength Index (RSI)** is at **38.49**, nearing oversold levels. Historically, bounces occur when RSI enters this zone, indicating that sellers may lose momentum. - EMA Levels (Resistance): - The **50 EMA ($23.62)** and **200 EMA ($23.52)** are acting as resistance. A breakout above these levels would likely confirm a stronger bullish reversal. --- 2. Reversal and Upside Targets - Take Profit Levels: - Target 1 (TP1): $27.30 - This corresponds to a prior liquidity zone where sell-side pressure emerged. Price may face resistance here before breaking higher. - Target 2 (TP2): $35.00 - This level aligns with a significant **swing high** and an untested order block, providing a more ambitious long-term target. -Target 3 (tp3) :45$-50$ for long term . --- 3. Key Levels and Trade Setup | **Zone** | **Price Range** | **Action** | |-----------------------|------------------|--------------------------| | **Support Zone** | $17.30 - $18.30 | Look for long entries | | **Stop Loss (SL)** | Below $16.80 | Risk management | | **Take Profit 1 (TP1)** | $27.30 | Partial exit | | **Take Profit 2 (TP2)** | $35.00 | Final exit | **Position Scaling** | Add $45-$50 near confirmation signals to build a stronger position | --- 4. Sentiment and Fundamental Factors - Injective Protocol's Key Strengths: - Known for **high-performance Layer 1 blockchain** optimized for DeFi and decentralized exchange (DEX) applications. - Recently, INJ has seen increased adoption with features like **decentralized perpetuals**, cross-chain bridging, and seamless liquidity. - Bullish Catalysts to Watch: - Ecosystem Growth: Partnerships or developments in **DeFi adoption** and higher trading volumes on Injective-based DEXs. - Protocol Upgrades: Any enhancements that improve the scalability, security, or interoperability of the platform. - Macro Market Trends: Bullish momentum in the broader crypto market could act as a tailwind for INJ. --- 5. Risk Management - Entry Precision: - Set limit orders near $17.30–$18.30 to capture entries at optimal levels. - Risk/Reward Ratio: - Assuming a stop loss at $16.80 and TPs at $27.30/$35.00, the -risk/reward ratio exceeds 3:1, offering a favorable trade setup. 6. Final Notes This trade is structured around the following: - Strong confluence of technical indicators. - Positive sentiment in the **DeFi space**. - Potential for a broader crypto market rally. If the price holds above the $17.30–$18.30 zone and breaks the EMAs, the likelihood of a bullish breakout increases significantly.
Long
by PROFITPULSE10X
"EGLD eyeing $27-$28 support—bounce to $35, $40, or $55? Support Zone Around $27-$28: There’s a clearly marked order block around the $27-$28 range, indicating a region of significant demand. Recent price action suggests bearish momentum leading to this zone, which may act as a strong support if tested. Reversal Potential: If the price finds support and reverses from the $27-$28 area, it could confirm this zone as a critical demand level. The RSI is currently near the oversold region (~36), suggesting that bearish momentum might be weakening, aligning with a potential reversal. EMA Dynamics: The 50 EMA (yellow) and 200 EMA (pink) are above the current price, indicating a bearish trend. For a sustainable uptrend, the price would need to reclaim these EMAs. Targets Post-Reversal: $35: First target near the 50 EMA, where sellers may initially step in. $40: A significant resistance zone tied to recent liquidity and order block rejection. $55+: Long-term target aligned with the previous peak, indicating a return to a bullish trend. Strategy: Wait for price confirmation in the $27-$28 zone (e.g., bullish candles, RSI divergence). Track volume and price strength as it approaches $35 for early signs of rejection or continuation. Longer-term positions could aim for $40 and $55, provided the trend flips bullish.
Long
by PROFITPULSE10X
NZD/JPY (Trade Recap) EUR/USD Long, GBP/AUD Long & USD/CAD ShortEUR/USD Long Minimum entry requirements: • Break below area of value. • 1H impulse up above area of value. • If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. GBP/AUD Long Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse up above area of value. • If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it. USD/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
by StewySongs
2
BITCOIN TRADE PLAN + TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (ASCENDING TRIANGLE)Bitcoin appears to be forming an ascending triangle, a bullish continuation pattern. The horizontal resistance line is at $95,407, while the ascending support line suggests increasing buying pressure. A breakout above $95,407 could signal a significant upward move. Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance at $95,407. Secondary resistance levels: $108,330 and potentially higher targets as the trend develops. Support Levels: Immediate support near $92,000. Additional support levels: $88,071 and $85,000. Indicators Analysis: VMC Cipher B Divergences: Neutral-to-bullish signals with minimal negative momentum. RSI (14): The current value of around 44.2 indicates a neutral zone, with potential for upward movement if it crosses the 50 level. Money Flow Index (MFI): Indicates neutral activity, suggesting balanced buying and selling pressure. Stochastic Oscillator: Near oversold levels (15.3), implying that a reversal to the upside might occur soon. Trading Plan Entry Strategy: Aggressive Entry: Consider entering at current levels ($94,000) with a small position, anticipating a breakout. Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout above $95,407, with strong volume as confirmation. Stop-Loss Placement: Place an initial stop-loss below $92,000 to limit downside risk. For tighter risk management, consider $93,000 as an alternative stop-loss level. Take-Profit Targets: First Target: $100,000 (psychological and round number resistance). Second Target: $108,330 (next major resistance based on historical levels). Third Target: Trail-stop strategy to capture potential gains beyond $108,330 if Bitcoin rallies further. Risk Management: Allocate no more than 2-3% of your trading capital to this position to manage risk effectively. Monitor trading volume during the breakout; lack of volume confirmation may indicate a false breakout. Contingency Plan: If Bitcoin breaks below $92,000, re-evaluate the bullish thesis and consider a short-term bearish outlook toward $88,071 or $85,000 support levels. Be cautious of false breakouts, particularly around $95,407. Keep an eye on macroeconomic events or Bitcoin-specific news that could influence price action. Bitcoin's ascending triangle pattern and current positioning suggest a bullish breakout is possible. Following this trading plan with disciplined risk management can help capture potential upside while limiting downside risks. Monitor the market closely for breakout confirmation or invalidation.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by elfabiiani
1
Euro Back to Parity?The possibility of EUR/USD reaching parity remains a realistic scenario under current macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions. 1. Diverging Monetary Policies In light of Tump 2.0 and the potential impact of increasing inflation due to the introduction of tariffs, the Federal Reserve is seen to be backing down on its path to keep cutting rates. On the current plans for only 2 rate cuts in 2025, elevated U.S. interest rates could continue to bolster the U.S. dollar, as higher yields attract foreign investment, increasing demand for USD. On the other hand, the European Central Bank (ECB) faces mounting pressure to ease its policy stance. The Eurozone economy has shown signs of stagnation, with Germany, the region's economic engine, teetering on the brink of recession. A dovish ECB weakens the euro relative to the dollar, contributing to downside pressure on EUR/USD. 2. Weakening Eurozone Economy The U.S. economy has remained relatively resilient, supported by robust labor markets and consumer spending. Conversely, the Eurozone has struggled with sluggish growth and energy dependence, leaving it more vulnerable to external shocks. 3. Geopolitical Risks The ongoing effects of the Russia-Ukraine war continue to strain Europe’s energy sector. While the region has reduced its reliance on Russian natural gas, high energy prices remain a structural challenge, eroding business competitiveness and consumer purchasing power. Heightened geopolitical tensions globally have fueled risk-off sentiment, benefiting the safe-haven U.S. dollar. 4. Technical Analysis EUR/USD has been trading in a downward trend since October 2024, after reaching a peak of 1.12. Should the pair break below the round number level of 1.02 (and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the longer term) the path to parity becomes increasingly plausible, with 1.00 serving as the next major psychological support. The 50-day moving average remains below the 200-day moving average, forming a " death cross " pattern, which indicates bearish momentum. Additionally, the TSRI MACD crossover indicates continued selling pressure but room for further downside. Conclusion The conditions are aligned for EUR/USD to reach parity. While short-term volatility and market sentiment may delay this move, the structural drivers of dollar strength and euro weakness remain firmly in place.
Short
by JinDao_Tai
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.13.2024🔮 📅 Tue Jan 14 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core PPI m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.2%) 📊 PPI m/m: 0.4% (prev: 0.4%) 📅 Wed Jan 15 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core CPI m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.3%) 📊 CPI m/m: 0.3% (prev: 0.3%) 📊 CPI y/y: 2.9% (prev: 2.7%) 📊 Empire State Manufacturing Index: -0.3 (prev: 0.2%) ⏰ 10:30am 🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories: -1.0M 📅 Thu Jan 16 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core Retail Sales m/m: 0.5% (prev: 0.2%) 📊 Retail Sales m/m: 0.6% (prev: 0.7%) 📊 Unemployment Claims: 210K (prev: 201K) 📊 Philly Fed Manufacturing Index: -7.0 (prev: -16.4) 📅 Fri Jan 17 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Building Permits: 1.46M (prev: 1.49M) 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: On a gap up, we will hold and run higher. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: The markets will get a few days of a bullish run. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Everyone will eat up this drop; definitely look to position bullish here. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SP:SPXLong
by PogChan
GBP/USD IS BEARISH TECHNICAL OUTLOOK Cable is 100% bearish. On a monthly,weekly and daily perspective she is bearish. We will be looking for sells however we do see some buying opportunities located around 1.19 and above. For sellers we are seeing them primarily in control with no signs of reversal. The goal here for the account is to focus heavy on the continuation and to utilize our gains wisely. This year will be a year where I will be focusing on account builds (small to big). This compound skill is a skillset that is worth multi millions and if learned correctly will literally separate you from 99% of traders. The key from what it seems in my research is finding the right timing and scaling into the bigger overall move with intra day positions. Another way is to effectively focus on % gain wins w/ a decent weekly hit rate. Both are scenarios in which require the trader to understand the asset of choice like the back of their hand. Another goal of mine this year will be finally tackling the prop firm space. Now this particular space to me screams red flags due to the lack of reliability and the casino effect tied to all prop firms world wide. In short, the casino effect reflects on how hard these prop firms will be towards profitable traders. They can create rules and eliminate winning trades because of some made up rule they decided to implement. To me, that is one of the biggest issues I have and people playing with hard earned money is a huge no for me and to make matters worse, all these accounts we are paying for are demo accounts. However, I cant just ignore the space so to meet everything half way I will be purchasing the smallest account size available. Doing this, my investment towards their business model is minimal and the profits will be used to scale into the biggest account they have. This will also let my models prove to me they are ready to tackle space and effectively generate weekly % gains in order to even consider investing into any prop firm. Other than that, GBP/USD is bearish and we are ready to push our models in order to facilitate the upcoming plays. As always, trade safe. Mr.Oazb
Short
by MROAZB
"Market Corrections Ahead of the Presidential Inauguration."Corrections are a part of the stock market, signaling moments of weakness and opportunity. Here's a breakdown of the current market decline levels, ranging from the recent 5% pullback to the potential 20% drop that defines a bear market. These are the levels that I will be watching to let me know the momentum of this current shorter term downtrend. Historical Context: Over the past 50 years: 5-10% declines occur about 3-4 times per year on average. 10-20% corrections happen roughly every 2-3 years. Full bear markets (20%+ declines) are rarer but significant, averaging one every 6-8 years. This chart visualizes the current levels, helping traders and investors understand where we stand in historical context and where the market could potentially head. Always remember that as hard as some corrections and declines can be, they all create buying opportunities for long term investors.
AMEX:SPY
by IgniteWealthBuilders