GBP/USD Outlook: Navigating Recent Trends and Upcoming EventsAfter a brief rally that saw GBP/USD rise above the 1.3000 mark on Friday, the pair lost momentum and closed the day marginally lower. As of Monday morning, GBP/USD remains relatively quiet, trading sideways above the 1.2970 level. This stagnation reflects a broader market reaction to various economic signals and upcoming events.
Impact of US Treasury Bond Yields
The recent increase in US Treasury bond yields has provided substantial support for the US Dollar, contributing to the reversal of GBP/USD's earlier gains. As investors flocked to the dollar, the pair's upward trajectory was curtailed. Additionally, the rise in US stock index futures, which increased between 0.5% and 0.7%, indicates a growing risk appetite among investors, further amplifying the dollar's strength.
Potential for Bearish Impulses in GBP
Given the current market conditions, there is a possibility of a bearish impulse for the GBP. Should risk flows dominate the financial markets after Wall Street opens, the USD may face renewed selling pressure. However, the demand areas could become the next target for sellers, suggesting that the GBP might struggle to maintain its upward momentum in the short term.
Upcoming Economic Events
Looking ahead, the UK government is set to present its Autumn Budget on Wednesday, which could have significant implications for GBP volatility. Market participants will closely monitor the details of the budget for potential fiscal measures that could influence the economy. Meanwhile, the US economic calendar is also packed with key data releases in the latter half of the week, adding further complexity to the market dynamics.
Technical Analysis and COT Insights
From a technical standpoint, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report offers valuable insights. Retail traders remain predominantly bearish, while "smart money" is beginning to build long positions. This divergence in sentiment can create opportunities for traders, particularly if the price reaches identified demand areas.
For those looking to capitalize on potential movements, it may be prudent to consider long positions only when the price approaches these demand zones. This strategy aligns with risk management principles and may enhance the likelihood of favorable trade outcomes.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the current landscape for GBP/USD is characterized by a complex interplay of economic indicators, market sentiment, and upcoming events. As the pair navigates the immediate challenges, traders must remain vigilant and adaptable. Monitoring both the US and UK economic calendars, along with key technical levels, will be essential for making informed trading decisions.
What are your thoughts on the potential movements of GBP/USD in the coming days, and how do you plan to position yourself in this evolving market?
Trading
USOIL BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the USOIL pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 68.29 level.
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Gold prices are influenced by inflation risks and political.World gold prices decreased slightly when the USD index increased. Recorded at 9:15 a.m. on October 28, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 104,357 points (up 0.22%).
Nine analysts participated in Kitco News' gold survey. Last week's near-bullish consensus has narrowed. 5 experts expect gold prices to increase this week, while another 2 experts expect the price of this precious metal to decrease. The remaining two analysts remain neutral on gold's short-term prospects.
Meanwhile, 213 votes were cast in Kitco's online poll. The majority of Main Street investors believe that gold has an upward trend. 126 traders expect gold prices to increase this week. There are 47 people who expect precious metals to decrease. The remaining 40 investors said that prices will tend to move sideways this week.
🔥 XAUUSD Buy limit 2714 - 2712 🔥
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2750
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2706
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
🔥 XAUUSD Sell limit 2740 - 2738 🔥
✔️ TP1: 2725
✔️ TP2: 2720
✔️ TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2748
Gold analysis European and American sessionsUpdate gold price fluctuations in today's European session. After creating a resistance zone around 2745. By the middle of the European session, if gold cannot break this 2745 zone, the possibility of gold's retreat is quite high and SELL signals are considered at 2724 and 2710. If it breaks 2745, wait for 2750 to execute SELL in the European and American sessions. Wish you successful trading.
EUR/USD Analysis: Range-Bound Movement with Potential ReboundThe EUR/USD currency pair remains stagnant around the 1.0800 mark after experiencing its fourth consecutive week of losses. Following a slight bullish retracement, the pair has retraced downwards again, opening the London session this morning with a bullish candle, yet still confined within a defined range.
The strength of the US Dollar (USD) has persisted as we head into the weekend, exerting pressure on the EUR/USD pair. This demand for the USD has been bolstered by rising US Treasury bond yields, which contributed to its strength on Friday.
Looking ahead, the economic calendar for the United States is relatively light, featuring only the Texas Manufacturing Business Index from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. It is unlikely that this report will induce any significant market reaction. However, market participants will closely monitor upcoming third-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data from Germany, the Eurozone, and the United States. Additionally, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the October employment report on Friday, which will include critical figures such as the Unemployment Rate, Nonfarm Payrolls, and wage inflation data.
From a technical standpoint, our outlook suggests a potential rebound towards the demand zone. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates a consistent trend over the past two weeks, with retail traders holding short positions while institutional players appear to be building long setups. Our forecasting analysis points to a possible emergence of a new bullish trend in the near future.
As we await further developments, the key remains patience—watching to see if the price reaches our designated area of interest before committing to a bullish position. The market’s reaction to the upcoming economic data will be crucial in determining the next steps for the EUR/USD pair.
✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
GBPUSD entry analysisGBPUSD Analysis
After outperforming its rivals in the first half of the week, the US Dollar (USD) lost some of its strength on Thursday, with the US Dollar Index down 0.4%. The positive shift in risk sentiment made it difficult for the USD to find demand, while falling US Treasury yields further weighed on the currency.
The September Durable Goods Orders and the October University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment Index will be on the US economic calendar on Friday. The UoM data is unlikely to cause a reaction as it will be a revision. If Durable Goods Orders unexpectedly rise, the initial reaction could support the USD. On the other hand, a worse-than-expected reading of -1% could hurt the currency and allow GBP/USD to move higher towards the end of the week.
Meanwhile, US stock futures were last up 0.1% to 0.2%. A bullish open on Wall Street could attract risk-on money and weaken the USD further in the second half of the day.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD BUY entry is set around the current price zone with a Fibonacci retracement of 0.618. The current price zone is expected to capture the end of wave 2 and form a breakout point for wave 3 according to the Elliot wave pattern. Wish you a successful trading day.
JASMY AT A PERFECT ENTRY POINT FOR A LONG POSITION! TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis by Blaž Fabjan
Pattern Identification:
The chart displays a falling wedge pattern , a bullish reversal pattern often signifying a potential trend change from bearish to bullish.
The price action is currently testing the upper boundary of the wedge pattern, indicating that a breakout could be imminent if there’s sufficient buying momentum.
Support and Resistance:
Support Line: The lower green line in the falling wedge acts as support. This line has been consistently respected, indicating strong buying interest at those levels.
Resistance Line: The upper green line marks the resistance level within the pattern. A breakout above this line would be considered a strong bullish signal.
Volume Analysis:
There’s a noticeable decrease in volume within the wedge, which aligns with typical falling wedge characteristics. Look for a volume increase on a breakout to confirm the move.
Indicators:
VMC Cipher: Divergences and buy signals have been detected, showing signs of potential momentum shifts.
RSI: At around 41.07, the RSI is approaching the neutral zone (50), suggesting the potential for further upside if it breaks above 50.
Stochastic: Currently around 60.48, indicating upward momentum and possibly further bullish action if it continues moving up.
HMA+ Histogram: Showing minor bullish signals that could align with a breakout confirmation.
Entry Signal:
The wedge breakout zone is highlighted as an “Amazing Entry Point.” The suggested entry is around the resistance line in the pattern, currently close to $0.01743.
Trading Plan
Entry:
Enter a long position once JASMY/USDT breaks and closes above the falling wedge resistance line with increased volume. This would be near or slightly above the $0.0175 level, depending on price action confirmation.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss slightly below the wedge’s recent support level or just below the most recent swing low at around $0.016 to mitigate risk.
Take Profit Levels:
First Take Profit (TP1): Set around the recent swing high near $0.019.
Second Take Profit (TP2): For a more extended target, aim around $0.0205, where the price previously found resistance.
Final Take Profit (TP3): Around $0.022, aligning with previous higher resistance levels.
Risk Management:
Calculate position size to risk no more than 1-2% of your trading account per trade.
Monitor volume closely, as a breakout with low volume may indicate a false breakout, in which case exiting the trade early could be advisable.
Alternative Scenario:
If the price fails to break the resistance and moves back within the wedge, refrain from entering. In this case, wait for a possible retest of the support level around $0.016 as a secondary entry point.
Summary
Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish).
Buy Zone: Above $0.0175, confirmed with volume.
Stop Loss: Below $0.016.
Take Profit Targets: $0.019 (TP1), $0.0205 (TP2), $0.022 (TP3).
btw: VERY GOOD ENTRY POINT AT THE MOMENT!
BITCOIN is the KING and upward movement is highly expected!Technical analysis and trade plan by Blaž Fabjan
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance Levels:
72,198.87 USDT
68,556.87 USDT
64,591.15 USDT
Support Levels:
66,333.98 USDT
61,758.48 USDT
60,301.68 USDT
56,902.49 USDT
The key levels indicate potential areas where price action could face resistance or find support, which might serve as entry or exit points.
Indicators:
Wave Cipher Divergences:
Wave Cipher shows divergences suggesting a possible upward momentum. Positive divergences with green dots could imply bullish continuation.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
RSI currently reads 55.19, indicating a neutral zone, leaning slightly bullish if it moves towards 60. This suggests Bitcoin isn't overbought or oversold and could continue a gradual trend.
Stochastic Oscillator:
The Stochastic shows a value around 70.52, close to the overbought region (above 80). If it breaks further upward, it may signal an overbought state, potentially leading to a correction.
Hull Moving Average (HMA):
HMA appears to trend slightly downwards, showing a bearish trend in the short term. The value of -6.58 indicates a bearish momentum, which may warn of a potential short-term pullback before any significant uptrend resumes.
Price Action:
The chart shows a potential breakout attempt around the 66,333.98 USDT level, where price action previously tested and retraced. A consolidation near this level could suggest that bulls are preparing for an upward push, especially if price breaks above 68,556.87 USDT.
Volume Analysis:
Volume shows a steady, moderate increase, supporting the upward trend. This moderate volume increase without large spikes could imply gradual accumulation rather than distribution.
Trading Plan
Long Position (Bullish Scenario)
Entry: Consider entering a long position if the price breaks and holds above the 68,556.87 USDT resistance level with volume confirmation.
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss slightly below the 66,333.98 USDT support level to mitigate risk in case of a false breakout.
Targets:
Target 1: 72,198.87 USDT — aligns with a strong resistance level and provides a conservative target.
Target 2: 75,553.67 USDT — the next significant resistance level, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Short Position (Bearish Scenario)
Entry: Consider shorting if the price fails to hold above 66,333.98 USDT and shows bearish confirmation, such as a breakdown with high volume.
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss above 68,556.87 USDT to avoid risks from potential false breakdowns.
Targets:
Target 1: 61,758.48 USDT — a nearby support level that provides a logical take-profit point.
Target 2: 60,301.68 USDT — serves as a secondary target if the bearish trend strengthens.
Risk Management: Given the proximity to resistance and support levels, using a risk/reward ratio of 1:2 or higher is advisable to maintain favorable trade setups.
Monitor Divergences: Keep an eye on divergences in the Wave Cipher, RSI, and Stochastic Oscillator for potential trend reversals or continuations.
News and Market Sentiment: Be mindful of broader market sentiment and news events, as these can influence Bitcoin's price behavior, particularly near key levels.
This trading plan provides a structured approach to capitalize on potential breakouts or breakdowns, balancing both bullish and bearish scenarios.
It is predicted that the price will continue to rise above 2,750Last week, gold prices fluctuated strongly, reaching a record high, but also encountered many difficulties in maintaining the upward momentum, causing experts to have mixed opinions on this week's price trend.
According to a survey by Kitco News, the optimism of experts and investors has decreased significantly compared to last week, when only about 56% of experts forecast that gold prices will increase, 22% said that prices will decrease, and the remaining 22% hold a neutral opinion.
Marc Chandler from Bannockburn Global Forex believes that gold prices may adjust in the short term. He said that current risks are tilted to the downside, especially if gold breaks the threshold of 2,700 USD/ounce, which could lead to strong selling pressure. Sharing the same opinion, Colin Cieszynski from SIA Wealth Management also forecasts that gold prices may decrease next week because there is no positive news from the BRICS conference for the precious metals market. He said that gold is facing a correction after previously increasing strongly.
🔥 XAUUSD Buy limit 2714 - 2712 🔥
✔️TP1: 2730
✔️TP2: 2750
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2706
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
🔥 XAUUSD Sell limit 2732 - 2734 🔥
✔️ TP1: 2725
✔️ TP2: 2720
✔️ TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2742
Gold Rises Short-Term to Close Gap Ahead of US Economic DataBased on the chart and the current situation, I see gold prices are creating a gap and tending to rise to close that gap. This may reflect the cautious sentiment of investors ahead of the release of important US economic data this week, including GDP, unemployment rate, consumer confidence index and some other important indicators on the labor market.
US government bond yields are rising sharply, pushing to 4.275%, and the Dollar-Index is also at a high of 104,400 points. These factors usually put downward pressure on gold prices because a stronger USD makes gold more expensive for investors holding other currencies. However, with the gap opening up, I expect a short-term rally to close the gap, before gold continues to test higher resistance levels.
The key support level is still around $2,730, and if the price holds at this level, there is a good chance of a short-term rally to fill the gap, giving investors a chance to find a reasonable entry point in the short term. However, I remain cautious with the possibility of a drop to lower levels if US economic data supports the strength of the USD.
Gold Price Analysis October 28Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices edged lower to near $2,735, snapping a two-day losing streak in early morning trading in Asia on Monday. However, the precious metal’s losses may be limited amid geopolitical tensions and ongoing uncertainty surrounding the US presidential election.
Buying by central banks and rising demand from investors have pushed up prices of the yellow metal. The World Gold Council said that central banks around the world have bought more than 1,000 tonnes of gold in each of the past two years, with China topping the list of countries looking to increase their gold reserves.
On the other hand, a slower pace of interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve amid stronger US economic data has weakened the yellow metal. According to CME's FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing in a 97.7% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) in November.
Technical Analysis
Gold is approaching the gap again and forming an uptrend if it breaks the important zone of 2750. The all-time high of 2768 will still act as resistance at the moment. On the other hand, a break of 2725 is considered an opportunity to find long-term buying points. 2711 and 2723 are two areas to watch in today's trading session. Wish you a successful trading day.
EURUSD - Daily analysis - Downtrend is over, pay attention to geEURUSD - Daily analysis - Downtrend is over, pay attention to geopolitics.
As the elections in the United States approach, we increasingly begin to pay attention to geopolitics, which affects the currency markets, and especially the dollar, at the expense of technical and fundamental analysis.
In reality, only one working week remains until the all-important elections, where the world decides which way it will go next. Escalation of the two major conflicts into full-scale wars is a completely possible scenario.
This would affect the United States depending on how involved the US would be. A further escalation of the wars could strengthen the dollar as US industry would produce more of the real good - weapons, as opposed to peace, where services are the driving force of the US economy.
We expect new developments in the last days of the campaign, be it new attacks against Trump or escalation in the Middle East, after another batch of missile attacks against Tehran (Iran).
On Monday, we don't really have any important data for the United States or Europe. On Tuesday we expect data on Consumer Confidence, Housing Price Index and JOLTS Job Openings.
Big expectations for fundamental news from the United States are expected in the second half of the week, with the important Nonfarm Payrolls (Oct) report at the end.
Expectations for Nonfarm Payrolls (Oct) are for a sharp decline in the numbers to weaker jobs data. That is why the dollar stopped the EURUSD downward trend in the last almost month.
Thus, from the great growth of the dollar (EURUSD) from 1.12 at the end of September, to 1.0761 on October 23, 2024. This trend ended in the 43rd week of this year (the last week) to pass into expectations of a decline in the dollar and return to levels above 1.08.
Thus, the downtrend is over and a break below 1.0760 is unlikely until at least Friday.
Use the moment to trade in a neutral trend with a move of 25-40 pips or an uptrend in anticipation of levels above 1.0860.
Let's also mention the BRICS meeting, which leaves the Dollar as the leading world currency in international payments for now, but more and more the Dollar will give way to the power of China, Russia and the rest of the world.
USDCHF BuyUS Dollar VS Swiss Franc is in a Bullish trend as US dollar has gained power and swiss franc price declined we are expecting a rally upwards in USDCHF pair the confluence is price is making higher highs and higher lows on H1 time frame and price is moving in a wedge pattern which make price confluence as bullish so we bullish over gold as currency strength also powers up our anylisis
Is Palantir in a Danger Zone? We will see after the report... Palantir is about to announce its quarterly report.
As we analyzed in the last report, the price reached its highest point after several years, but after reaching this liquidity zone, it had a pullback as we announced before.
However, Palantir is showing strength in this area, and we ended on the last candle where it will attempt again to surpass this liquidity zone with strongly.
Will it succeed?
I believe Palantir has the volume to continue moving a bit higher, but at this point is entering an area where the upward momentum is slowing significantly. On one hand, we’re seeing a double-top forming, and the candle hasn’t fully formed yet. We need to wait and see if the next candle shows liquidity. If so, we should be cautious about the wick length, as that could signal trouble for Palantir.
so with the earnings report approaching, there is a lot of uncertainty, which may make it difficult for the price to break this liquidity zone.
We should stay alert this November 4th. Palantir has excellent fundamentals, but its recent reports have barely exceeded analysts' expectations. If this report misses even by a small margin, I think we could see a significant drop due to the stock being heavily inflated.
Here are Palantir's latest results:
Nov 02, 2023
2023 (Q3)
Analysts = 0.06 / Reported = 0.07 (BEAT)
Feb 05, 2024
2023 (Q4)
0.08 / 0.08
May 06, 2024
2024 (Q1)
0.08 / 0.08
Aug 05, 2024
2024 (Q2)
0.08 / 0.09
Nov 04, 2024
2024 (Q3)
0.09 / (Mon, Nov 4)
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
TRADE SAFE!
Best regards!
ROBINHOOD TO $70?! Let's break it down.NASDAQ:HOOD TO $70?! Let's break it down.
5 REASONS WHY:
1⃣ 4/5 ON THE "High Five Setup" trade strategy
2⃣ Strong fundamentals and AMAZING Sentiment
3⃣ The forming of a CUP N HANDLE pattern. Measure Move: $70
4⃣ Growth Beast! Newer generations are on board!
5⃣ Continue to grow their products and offer great deals for people to switch. Like the HOOD week, which had up to 3% match. They got me to move because the deal was too good to pass up!
Stay tuned for more!🔔
Like ❤️ Follow 🤳 Share 🔂
When does NASDAQ:HOOD get to $70 per share?! Drop a comment below.
Not financial advice.
#tradingstrategy #TradingTips
EURNZD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
EURNZD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.8055 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.7932
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.8125
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2747.2
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2714.3
My Stop Loss - 2764.9
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BTCUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
BTCUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 67614 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 67240
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TXN Texas Instruments Incorporated Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TXN Texas Instruments Incorporated prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 200usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-15,
for a premium of approximately $6.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
LOGI Logitech International Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LOGI Logitech International prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 80usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $1.87.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AAPL Apple Options Ahead of Earnings If you haven`t bought AAPL before this major breakout:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AAPL Apple prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 232.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-1,
for a premium of approximately $4.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ETHUSD: Move Down Expected! Sell!
Welcome to our daily ETHUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 2,458.4
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!