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USD/JPY Short and EUR/NZD LongUSD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • Break above area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. EUR/NZD Long Minimum entry requirements: • Break below area of value. • 1H impulse up above area of value. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
by StewySongs
Bitcoin (BTC) – Current Market OverviewConsolidation Range: Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a well-defined range between $92,000 and $108,000, with significant support holding above the $90,000 mark. This range presents trading opportunities for both buyers and sellers depending on market conditions. The $92,000 support level is particularly important, as it provides a base for the price to hold above and indicates strong demand. As long as BTC remains above this level, the bullish outlook stays intact. Market Dynamics & Volatility: Recent selling pressure has caused some downward movement, but the price staying above $90,000 suggests that buyers are still in control, which supports a bullish thesis. The market’s decreasing volatility indicates that Bitcoin is likely building momentum for a major move, with the current phase acting as a consolidation or accumulation period. This narrowing range could lead to a significant breakout once the price shifts direction. Key Levels: Resistance: The $108,000 level is a crucial resistance point. A breakout above this level could send Bitcoin on a bullish rally toward $124,000, as the price would be clearing a key area of selling pressure. Support: The $92,000 support remains vital. A sustained drop below this level would put significant pressure on the bullish case, and further downside could challenge the current market structure. Outlook: Bitcoin appears to be coiling for a major move, with the market likely preparing for a breakout in either direction. A break above $108,000 could lead to further upside toward $124,000, while a drop below $92,000 would raise concerns about potential bearish action. Conclusion: Consolidation around the $92,000 to $108,000 range is providing an opportunity for Bitcoin to build momentum, with buyers maintaining control for now. A breakout above $108,000 would potentially push Bitcoin towards $124,000, but careful monitoring of the $92,000 support is key for maintaining the bullish outlook.
by Richtv_official
EUR/USD - Bearish Bias🔹 4H Timeframe: • Still in a bearish structure → Major sell confirmations. • Took out buy-side liquidity (BSL) and inducement (IDM) before mitigating a supply zone → Bearish intent remains. 🔹 30M Timeframe: • Bearish structure confirmed, but price is forming a range inside the bearish structure. • This range has built a bullish structure, likely a manipulation move to strike supply before continuing down. • Took out SSL & IDM within the bullish structure → Tapped a bullish order block inside the range. 🔹 5M Timeframe: • Waiting for a flip entry → CHoCH break of major LH + liquidity sweep before entry. • Plan: If 5M confirms CHoCH + sweep + order block retest, I’ll enter for a continuation downward. 🎯 Target: Next major low inside the 4H bearish structure. 🛑 Invalidation: If price flips structure fully bullish and holds above supply zones. Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
EUR/GBP - Bullish Bias🔹 4H Timeframe: • Broke a major Higher High (HH) → Confirmed bullish structure. • Engineered liquidity at an order block → Expecting a move higher. 🔹 30M Timeframe: • CHoCH confirmed → Bullish intent established. • Took out sell-side liquidity (SSL) and inducement (IDM) to mitigate a 30M order block. • Plan: Looking for a bullish reaction from the 30M order block → Entry on confirmation for further upside continuation. 🎯 Target: Next major high. 🛑 Invalidation: If price breaks below internal structure lows.
Long
by Juicemannn
XAU/USD (GOLD) - Bullish Continuation Expected 🔹 4H Timeframe: • Market structure is bullish, showing signs of continuation. • Watching for a potential retracement before price resumes its trend. 🔹 30M Timeframe: • Looking for a sweep of IDM (Inducement) to mitigate order flow. • Once liquidity is taken, watch for a CHoCH and order block retest for entry. • Plan: If price mitigates the order block after the IDM sweep, expect bullish continuation. 🎯 Target: Previous highs or next liquidity zone. 🛑 Invalidation: If price breaks key bullish structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Juicemannn
USD/JPY - Bullish Bias🔹 4H Timeframe: • Broke major Higher High (HH) → External structure remains bullish. • Took out inducement before retracing into an internal structure order block (demand zone). • Expecting a continuation to the upside. 🔹 30M Timeframe: • Liquidity sweep at the lows → Preparing for a potential reversal. • Now waiting for CHoCH + break of major LH for confirmation. • Plan: If CHoCH confirms, look for an order block retest entry to ride the trend higher. 🎯 Target: Next external high. 🛑 Invalidation: If price fails to reclaim previous structure and starts forming LHs & LLs.
Long
by Juicemannn
AUD/USD - BULLISH Bias🔹 4H Timeframe: • Price took out sell-side liquidity (SSL) before pushing up. • Broke a major Lower High (LH) → Confirmed bullish intent. • Targeting the previous high as the next liquidity point. 🔹 30M Timeframe: • CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmed → Bullish intent. • Price is now approaching inducement before mitigating order flow. • Plan: Wait for price to sweep inducement, confirm a lower timeframe CHoCH, and enter off the order block for a continuation to the upside. 🎯 Target: Next major high. 🛑 Invalidation: If price breaks below previous swing low and structure shifts bearish. Bless Trading!
Long
by Juicemannn
EURJPY - Intraday forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas💡 H4: ShortTerm Forecast: Price rejected from Downtrend and Sell Zone. Sell Zone: 163.18 ~ 164.84 Forecast: 1- Correction wave toward the Sell Zone 2- Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs SL: Above 164.84 💡 H1: Intraday Forecast: The Uptrend is broken, and the price could start an impulse wave. Sell Zone: 162.71 ~ 163.18 Forecast: 1- Correction wave toward the Sell Zone 2- Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs SL: Above 163.18
Short
by ForecastCity
5
Price Action: Traps of Market MakersHave you ever felt confident about a market trend, only to watch the price suddenly reverse direction? Or found yourself following what seemed like a clear price movement, only to realize it was a false signal? Don't blame yourself or your trading strategy. What you're experiencing is likely the work of market makers who strategically create traps to trigger stop losses and pending orders. In this post, we'll dive into these market traps – learning how to identify them, understanding their different types, and most importantly, discovering how to turn them into profitable opportunities. What are market maker traps? At their core, market traps are deceptive price movements designed to create an illusion of a genuine trend, convincing traders to take positions before the market reverses course. 📍 1. The False Double Pattern Trap At its core, most market traps manifest as false breakouts of key levels. One of the most common examples is the deceptive Double Top/Double Bottom pattern. If you have traded these patterns, you have probably noticed something interesting: the second top is often slightly higher than the first, while the second bottom tends to be slightly lower than the previous one. This contradicts the traditional pattern theory, which suggests the second top should be lower, indicating market weakness. What's really happening here? Large market players deliberately push prices beyond these levels to trigger the stop losses and pending orders of smaller traders. Once they've captured this liquidity, the market reverses, revealing the trap. 📍 2. The Trend Continuation Trap This trap is perhaps the most devastating for traders. Traditional market wisdom tells us that a bearish trend consists of progressively lower highs and lower lows. When a previous high gets broken, conventional technical analysis suggests the bearish trend has possibly ended. However, reality often plays out differently. The price might briefly break above a local maximum, triggering stop orders and creating the illusion of a trend reversal. Instead of reversing, though, the price continues its original downward trajectory. This phenomenon is particularly visible on shorter timeframes like M30 or H1, where the fake breakout typically spans several candles. When you spot a breakout against an established trend, approach with caution – it's more likely to be a false signal than a genuine reversal. In contrast, during sideways market conditions, focus on trading bounces from the channel's boundaries (upper and lower borders). This more conservative approach can help protect you from these common traps. 📍 3. The News-Driven Trap One of the most common traps occurs during news events. You've probably experienced it: price suddenly surges in one direction, breaks through a significant level, only to reverse sharply. This classic "fake-out" catches many traders on the wrong side of the market. A key strategy for identifying these traps is to analyze multiple timeframes. Generally, you'll want to examine both higher and lower timeframes than your primary trading window. Remember: the higher the timeframe, the fewer traps you'll typically encounter, making your analysis more reliable. 📍 4. Session Opening Traps Trading session transitions, particularly around the London open, often create another type of trap. You might notice one price direction before London opens, followed by a different movement at the session's start, which then reverses later. These movements typically trigger stop losses at key levels before reversing. For detailed analysis of session traps, dropping down to smaller timeframes (15M) can reveal the true price action. For instance, you might spot a clear price rise followed by a decisive bounce off a significant level like 189.500. When you see a breakout of any significant level – whether it's a round number or a local high/low during a trend correction – approach it with skepticism. Until price firmly establishes itself in the new zone with clear confirmation, consider the possibility that you're witnessing a trap designed to collect stop losses. Remember this fundamental truth: price is more likely to bounce from a level than break through it. 📍 Practical Tips on Trading Traps ◾️ Multi-Timeframe Analysis. The key to successfully trading traps begins with analyzing multiple timeframes. When you spot a breakout of an obvious level, switch to the timeframe where the movement appears most convincing. This helps you better understand the trap's structure and potential reversal points. ◾️ Entry and Risk Management. Timing your entry is crucial. Look for the first signals of price reversal, but remember - proper position sizing is essential. Keep your stop losses tight, as the market may still produce additional spikes that could prematurely end your trade. While this approach might take practice to master, the reward potential is significant - you can set take-profit targets up to 10 times larger than your stop loss. ◾️ Position Management. Once in the trade, actively manage your position. Move your stop loss to breakeven at the first appropriate opportunity to protect your capital. 📍 Conclusion Trading traps effectively requires patience and practice. While this strategy can be challenging to master, the ability to recognize and capitalize on these traps gives you a significant edge in the market. Many traders fall victim to these traps; learning to spot them transforms you from potential prey into a skilled hunter. Take time to practice identifying these patterns before committing real capital, and start with smaller position sizes as you develop your skills. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
13
XAUUSD analysis for the weekLet’s craft a forward-looking analysis for XAU/USD (gold) based on plausible macroeconomic narratives, historical patterns, and potential catalysts. Keep in mind this is a speculative exercise—actual outcomes depend on unpredictable events. Key Factors Shaping XAU/USD 1. Federal Reserve Policy Bullish for Gold: Lower real interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Risk: If the Fed pauses or signals a "higher for longer" stance due to sticky inflation, gold could face headwinds. 2. U.S. Dollar Dynamics A weaker USD (due to rate cuts or fiscal concerns, e.g., U.S. debt sustainability debates) would amplify gold’s appeal. A stronger USD (safe-haven demand during a global recession or Fed policy reversal) could pressure gold. 3. Global Recession Risks If major economies (EU, China) slide into recession, gold may rally as a safe haven, even if the USD strengthens temporarily. 4. Geopolitical Landscape U.S. Election Aftermath: Policy uncertainty post-2024 election (taxes, tariffs, fiscal spending) could drive volatility. New Conflicts: Escalation in Taiwan, Middle East, or Russia-NATO tensions would boost gold demand. 5. Central Bank Demand Continued diversification away from USD reserves (e.g., BRICS+ nations) may sustain structural gold buying. 6. Inflation Trends A resurgence of inflation (e.g., energy shocks, supply chain disruptions) would reignite gold’s role as an inflation hedge. Scenario 1: Bullish Rally (2900–3000) Catalysts: Fed cuts rates aggressively (150+ bps total) amid a U.S. growth slowdown. China’s property crisis spirals, triggering global risk-off sentiment. Middle East conflict disrupts oil flows, spiking inflation. Technical Outlook: A breakout above $3,000 (psychological barrier) could trigger algorithmic buying and FOMO momentum. Scenario 2: Bearish Correction (2800-2600) Catalysts: Fed halts cuts due to stubborn inflation (CPI rebounds to 3.5%+). USD surges as EU/Japan face deeper recessions. Central banks slow gold purchases, ETFs see outflows. Technical Outlook: A drop below $2,800 (hypothetical 2024 support) could trigger stop-loss cascades. Scenario 3: Sideways Churn (2750-2900) Catalysts: Markets digest conflicting data (mixed growth, moderate inflation). Geopolitical “cold wars” (U.S.-China tech/trade) persist without escalation. Technical Outlook: Range-bound action as bulls and bears await clarity. Strategic Takeaways Prepare for Volatility: Gold will react sharply to Fed policy shifts and geopolitical “surprises.” Watch the USD: A sustained DXY breakdown below 106 could turbocharge gold’s rally. Risk Management: Use options or trailing stops—gold’s moves could be exaggerated in thin liquidity. Final Note By February 2025, gold’s path will depend on how 2024’s unresolved macro risks (debt, inflation, elections) unfold. While the long-term bullish case for gold remains intact (debasement hedging, de-dollarization), short-term swings will hinge on Fed credibility. PLEASE BOOST US FOLLOW US AND SHARE OUR ANALYSIS
OANDA:XAUUSD
by realmillionairefx
AUDNZD Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for AUDNZD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1070 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 1.1041 Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1086 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
GBPAUD Will Explode! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for GBPAUD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.9763 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Point Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.9903 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
Xauusd weekly chart From a technical perspective, the overnight bounce and the subsequent move up on Friday validates the near-term positive outlook for the Gold price. That said, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is flashing slightly overbought conditions on the day chart and warrants some caution for bullish traders. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some near-term consolidation before positioning for an extension of the recent well-established uptrend from the December monthly trough.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JohnHarry_7
NATGAS Massive Long! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for NATGAS is below: The market is trading on 3.072 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 3.428 Recommended Stop Loss - 2.914 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by AnabelSignals
2
EURUSD My Opinion! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0413 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 1.0336 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
Nifty's Next Move? 24,000 on the Cards!The hourly candle formed on Friday, 7th Feb looks promising! A bullish engulfing pattern, confirming RD while taking support at AVWAP, sets up an interesting long opportunity. With the low of this candle on a closing basis as SL, going long makes sense. 📈 Upside Target? 24,000 in the coming weeks! 📉 What about ATH? A new all-time high (ATH) looks unlikely unless we see a clear breakout above the heavy supply zone of 24,200 - 24,300. 🔍 Trading Idea For now, shorting PUTs seems like a good play, aiming for 23,800 - 24,000 levels with a clear SL of closing below 23,400. 👀 What's your view? Drop your thoughts below! 🔥📊 ⚠ Disclaimer: This is my personal view and not a recommendation or tip. Please do your own due diligence and study before making any trading decisions. NSE:NIFTY
NSE:NIFTYLong
by dixitsoham7