FFM -- ASX – Breakout Consolidation in Focus
📝 Description
Firefly Metals is setting up a classic breakout continuation scenario after reclaiming the $1.00 psychological level and breaking the long-term trendline resistance.
🔹 Key Observations:
• Trendline Break: The descending trendline from the prior high was decisively breached, signaling a structural shift.
• Accumulation Zone: Price has consolidated in a tight range above $1.00, forming a bullish flag or box accumulation.
• EMA Cluster Support: Both the 15 and 60 EMAs are aligned below the consolidation, providing dynamic support.
🔹 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Continuation:
A clean breakout above the top of the blue box could trigger a momentum rally toward $1.30 and ultimately the $1.38–$1.50 resistance levels.
✅ Deeper Pullback:
If price loses the $1.00 support decisively, a retracement to retest the breakout base is possible.
Trade Plan:
I am monitoring for a confirmed breakout candle with volume expansion to validate the continuation thesis.
• Entry trigger above the range high ($1.10 area)
• Stops below recent swing low / $1.00 level
• First target: $1.30 resistance
As always, risk management first—no breakout, no trade.
#MJTrading
#FFM #FireflyMetals #ASXTrading #BreakoutSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingPlan #ChartOfTheDay #AustralianStocks #MomentumTrading #MJTrading
Trading
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 30 – July 3, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 30 – July 3, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📈 US Stocks Rally to Record Highs
Following a volatile first half, U.S. equities surged into record territory in late June on a combination of easing Middle East tensions, cooling inflation data, and the 90-day tariff pause
💵 Dollar Weakens on Fed and Trade Uncertainty
The U.S. dollar fell to a 3½-year low, pressured by persistent speculations over President Trump replacing Fed Chair Powell and extending rate-cut expectations, as well as progress in U.S.-Canada trade talks
🇨🇦 U.S.–Canada Trade Talks Lift Sentiment
Canada temporarily repealed its digital services tax to facilitate talks seeking a broader trade agreement by July 21, boosting U.S. equity futures
🛢️ Oil Prices Stabilize
After spiking on geopolitical fears, oil traders settled between $65–78/bbl amid supply relief following ceasefire developments and easing Middle East risks
⚠️ July Risks Loom
The coming week will spotlight:
July 4 deadline for Trump’s tax bill
Expiry of the tariff pause on July 9
U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls on July 3
Each poses potential for increased volatility if outcomes disappoint
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Monday, June 30
9:45 AM ET – Chicago PMI (June): Gauge of Midwestern factory activity
📅 Tuesday, July 1
U.S. markets open, watch trade developments
📅 Wednesday, July 2
Global PMI readings released
📅 Thursday, July 3 (Early close ahead of Independence Day)
8:30 AM ET – Nonfarm Payrolls (June)
8:30 AM ET – Unemployment Rate (June)
8:30 AM ET – Average Hourly Earnings (June)
These labor metrics will be critical for Fed rate outlooking
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #jobs #Fed #oil #trade #technicalanalysis
AUDJPY 4hour TF - June 29th, 2025AUDJPY 4hour Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bearish
Dailly - Bearish
4hour - Ranging
AJ is currently sitting at a major daily resistance area around 94.500. We have to wait for price action to make a move and show some conviction before we can become confident in a setup.
Lucky us, price action is usually easy to follow when waiting for a break of a range. The way I see it, we have two great options.
Bullish Breakout - In the scenario where we see price action break above the 94.500 zone we will look for long setups. Ideally, we spot some clear higher lows above 94.500 with strong bullish conviction. Look to target higher resistance levels like 96.500.
Bearish Continuation - If we see this resistance level at 94.500 continue to hold we could see a daily bearish continuation happen. Look for strong bearish candles rejecting the current zone followed by clear lower highs. We’re targeting lower if that happens to around the 92.000 area.
GBPCHF My Opinion! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GBPCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 1.0911 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.0951
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBP/CHF BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GBP-CHF downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 1.096 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the GBP/CHF pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD is in a strong uptrendEURUSD is in a strong uptrend, Price just broke the resistance zone of 1.175.
All the bullish momentum is heading towards the resistance zone of 1.188.
If there is a close of the h4 candle below the resistance zone of 1.175, there will likely be a Pullback to 1.163 to find more buying momentum towards the target at the resistance zone of 1.188
📈 Key Levels
Support: 1.175-1.163
Resistance: 1.188
📊 Recommended Trade Setups
BUY EURUSD 1.175-1.173 Stoploss 1.170
BUY EURUSD 1.163-1.161 Stoploss 1.158
SELL EURUSD 1.188-1.190 Stoploss 1.1930
NZD_JPY WAIT FOR BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅NZD_JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair has formed
A bullish triangle pattern
And we are bullish biased
So IF we see a bullish breakout
It will be our signal that
A bullish continuation is
Likely and we will be
Able to enter a long trade
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CAD_CHF WILL KEEP FALLING|SHORT|
✅CAD_CHF broke the key structure level of 0.5840
While trading in a strong downtrend
Which makes me bearish
And I think that after the retest of the broken level is complete
A rebound and bearish continuation will follow
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD Will Grow! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,281.18.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,396.94 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURUSD: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 1.17225 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 1.17114.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 36.170 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 36.429.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SELL BTCUSD trading signalBTCUSD confirmed the weakness at the trendline resistance zone on the h4 time frame.
The h1 time frame price confirmed that the sellers won when the candle closed below the nearest trendline support zone.
In terms of wave structure, there is no strong support zone that is strong enough to keep the BTC price uptrend in the short term. Therefore, the target of the SELL signal can reach 100,400. That is the wick area of the past liquidity candle where the buyers won over the sellers and pushed the price up sharply.
EUR/CHF SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
EUR/CHF pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly falling on the 1H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 0.937 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #EURUSD weekly time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸
The pair is unstoppable.
The market violated a significant weekly resistance cluster last week.
It opens more growth potential after a pullback.
2️⃣ #GBPUSD weekly time frame 🇬🇧🇺🇸
In comparison to EURUSD, GBPUSD is now approaching a major
resistance area. I think that we can expect a retracement from that.
3️⃣ #USDJPY daily time frame 🇺🇸🇯🇵
The market continues a correctional movement lower.
The closest strong support that I see is based on a rising trend line.
I think that buying interest may spark again after its text.
4️⃣ #USDCHF daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇭
The price updated a historic low on Friday.
The next strong support that I see is based on a falling trend line.
We can expect a pullback from that.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDUSD 4hour TF - June 29th, 2025AUDUSD 4hour Neutral idea
Monthly - Bearish
Weekly - Bearish
Dailly - Bullish
4hour - Bullish
AU has been in this subtle bullish channel since late April 2025, just above major monthly support at 0.63250 area.
We also have some conflicting trends and we need to see some conviction before we can comfortably follow price action. We do have some alignment with a bearish USD but at the moment we have two options:
Bullish Continuation - This is the most likely scenario based on what we’re seeing and where price action is. Ideally, we see some rejection from our 4hour 0.65000 support area followed by bullish conviction. If this happens look for price action to touch or break the top of this channel and continue bullish for the week ahead.
Reversal back into channel - If we fail to see bullish presence we could see price action fall back into the channel. The key indication of this would be a break below our 0.65000 support area followed by a retest and bearish conviction.
USDJPY Daily TF - June 29th, 2025USDJPY Daily Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bearish
Daily - Bearish
I’m looking at the Daily time frame here as this is the only clear picture for price action in terms of trends. The 4hour looks like price action can’t make a decision so we will wait for price action to get closer to some major zones.
Bearish Continuation - Ideally, we want to see price action touch 147.500 again followed by convincing bearish rejection. Look to target lower toward major support levels if this happens.
Aside from this potential setup we don’t have much to look at here on UJ.
GBP/CAD (Two Trade Recaps) EUR/NZD Long and GBP/JPY LongEUR/NZD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
- If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/JPY Long
Minimum entry requirements:
- Tap into area of value.
- 1H impulse up above area of value.
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
GBPCAD Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPCAD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.842.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.855.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,339.37
Target Level: 3,313.04
Stop Loss: 3,356.82
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDCAD Is Going Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.356.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.360.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDCAD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.365.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.369.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
QQQ A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the QQQ next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 548.21
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 535.27
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK