Trading
Gold’s Game of Traps: Is the Dip a Setup for a Bigger Move? Gold’s Game of Traps: Is the Dip a Setup for a Bigger Move?
After an aggressive rally fueled by geopolitical FOMO headlines, gold (XAUUSD) saw a sudden pullback — but what looked like weakness might actually be a setup for smart accumulation. The market narrative is shifting, and price action is sending important signals...
🌍 Global Drivers Behind the Volatility
Middle East conflict between Israel and Iran continues to escalate, prompting global safe haven flows. Evacuation warnings and nuclear deal pressure add more uncertainty to the mix.
Despite bullish news, gold failed to hold its highs — a potential bull trap as institutional players took advantage of retail FOMO to offload.
Big capital may now be rotating from gold into other sectors like energy (oil) and discounted equity assets.
📉 Price Action & Technical Outlook (M30–H1)
After topping around 3442–3440, price snapped back into the mid-range — a sign of liquidity hunting rather than a full reversal.
The EMAs (13/34/89/200) on the M15–M30 timeframes are showing early signs of bearish crossover, hinting at further short-term weakness.
Below current price sits a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) that could act as a magnet — aligning with a high-probability buy zone.
🎯 Trading Playbook
✅ BUY Setup – "Smart Money Entry Zone"
Buy Zone: 3342 – 3344
Stop Loss: 3338
Take Profit Targets:
→ 3348 → 3352 → 3356 → 3360
→ 3364 → 3368 → 3372 → 3380+
💡 Look for price to tap into the FVG and form a base with bullish confirmation (engulfing candle, divergence, or rising volume) before entering.
❌ SELL Setup – "Fade the Overhead Resistance"
Sell Zone: 3440 – 3442
Stop Loss: 3446
Take Profit Targets:
→ 3436 → 3432 → 3428 → 3424
→ 3420 → 3415 → 3410
⚠️ Only short on a strong rejection or bearish engulfing candle near the resistance — do not short blindly.
🧠 Market Psychology Insight
The initial Asian-session rally was likely a news-driven liquidity event.
Institutions appear to be rotating capital, using emotional retail entries as exit liquidity.
Current market conditions suggest a shakeout before a longer-term bullish move.
📌 Final Note
Don’t chase price. Let it come to your zones. This market is being driven by geopolitical narrative and smart money behavior, not just technicals alone.
✅ Stay patient.
📊 Trade with logic.
🧘♂️ Let others FOMO — you focus on levels and confirmation.
👉 Follow for real-time London session updates and reaction-based entries.
USD-CHF Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair
Is making a local bullish
Pullback but will soon
Hit a horizontal resistance
Level around 0.8185
So we are bearish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
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#004 DAX GERMANY 40: LONG Opportunity
GERMANY 40 – Possible Daily Reversal Starting: LONG on Strategic Support
Hello, I am Trader Andrea Russo, Founder of the SwipeUP Élite FX Method, and today I want to point out this investment on Germany 40 (DAX), in a long configuration from the 23,345 area.
🔍 Technical Context
In recent days, the DAX has undergone a strong correction that has brought the price from 24,800 to test the lows in the 23,200 area. This area corresponds to a long-term daily support level, already used in the past for institutional accumulations.
The price generated a strong bearish spike right at the opening of the cash session, but without closing below the previous lows. This behavior is often indicative of a pre-reversal bearish manipulation.
Confirming this scenario, a double bottom pattern has formed with positive divergence on the 8H and daily cyclical oscillators. In addition, volumes are growing right on the support: a typical signal of an invisible accumulation phase by institutional operators.
✅ Trade Strengths
Daily static support confirmed at 23,200–23,300, already defended several times in the past.
Manipulative spike evident in the first hour of cash opening, followed by rejection of the lows.
Bullish divergence on the cyclical indicators (WT_CROSS) in H8.
Favorable risk/reward ratio (~3.6:1), with well-defined technical stop loss.
Volatility under control: the VIX is stable and the US session opened without a selloff.
Neutral/positive macro environment: weak euro, expectations of monetary easing, low pressure on bonds.
Derivatives sentiment favorable: open interest rising in the 23,300–23,400 area on DAX futures.
🎯 Operating Levels
ENTRY: 23,345
STOP LOSS: 23,170
TAKE PROFIT: 24,007
📌 This positioning allows you to operate with limited risk and a realistic objective, perfectly compatible with standard technical movements on the German index in 2–3 days.
⏱️ Expected Timings
First directional candle expected within 8–16 hours (1–2 H8 candles).
Estimated duration of the trade: between 48 and 72 hours to reach the target.
🧠 Operating Conclusion
The long investment on DAX from 23,345 represents one of the clearest technical configurations seen in the last week on European indices.
The simultaneous presence of cyclical signals, manipulation, structure and static support offers a high probability of success.
The final target at 24,007 is technically and statistically achievable with rigorous management.
💬 Leave a like if you want to receive the 8H analysis update and comment your vision on Germany 40.
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Gold Price Analysis June 17The D1 candle shows profit-taking by the sellers, pushing the price back below 3400. In the current context, the pullback is only short-term and has not confirmed the reversal, but long-term Buy signals can still be noticed at important support zones.
Today, there are many price zones that can BUY Gold, so wait for confirmation before placing an order. Gold is heading towards the first support around 3375-3373. This is also the Breakout zone. If it breaks out, Gold will go to 3343-3341 to be able to BUY (pay attention to sell break). If there is a sweep to 3343 and then bounces and closes above the 3373 breakout zone, it confirms that the uptrend will continue strongly in the near future.
The next BUY support zone to pay attention to is 3322-3320 and the 3305-3303 zone.
The BUY order target is always pushed further back to 3415 or 3443.
Gold trading strategy June 17D1 candle shows profit taking by sellers pushing the price back below 3400. In the current context, the pullback is only short-term and has not confirmed the reversal, but long-term Buy signals can still be noticed at important support zones.
Today, there are many price zones that can BUY Gold, so wait for confirmation before placing an order. Gold is heading towards the first support around 3375-3373 (this zone has just reacted 100 pips). This is also the Breakout zone. If it breaks this zone, Gold will reach 3343-3341 before it can BUY.
Note that to sell break 3373 and the SELL resistance point must wait for 3415 and the daily resistance 3443-3445
If there is a sweep to 3343 and bounces and closes above the 3373 breakout zone, it confirms that the uptrend will continue strongly in the near future.
The next BUY support zone to pay attention to is 3322-3320 and the 3305-3303 zone. The BUY target is always pushed further back to 3415 or to the peak around 3443.
SUPPORT: 3373;3342;3322;3304
RESISTANCE: 3415;3443
Gold Price Analysis June 16There is not much surprise when the price gap up appeared on Monday morning
there is no barrier that can stop the price of gold from increasing towards ATH.
Gold has a slight correction in Tokyo session after the price gap up touched the round resistance zone 3450.
The correction may extend to 3413 in European session. This is a BUY zone with the expectation that Gold will regain the ATH hook. If broken, there will be some Scalping buy zones but the risk is quite high so to be safe, wait for 3398.
3463 acts as temporary resistance for a reaction period before Gold returns to the all-time high. Maybe before 3490 there will be another price reaction before reaching the top.
Gold Trading Strategy June 16There is not much surprise when the price gap up appeared on Monday morning there is no barrier that can stop the price of gold from increasing towards ATH. Gold has a slight adjustment in Tokyo session after the price gap up touched the round resistance zone 3450.
The adjustment may extend to 3413 in European session. This is a BUY zone with the expectation that Gold will regain the ATH hook. If broken, there will be some Scalping buy zones but the risk is quite high so to be safe, wait for 3398.
In the long term, 3463 acts as temporary resistance for a reaction phase before Gold returns to its all-time high. Maybe before that, 3490 will have another price reaction before reaching the peak.
Resistance: 3428 (Scalping) - 3444 - 3463 - 3490
Support: 3413- 3298
GBPUSD ANALYSIS Based on technical analysis GU is in a bullish trend and we should only be looking for buys.
Expect a pullback near the fibs reversal zone for a buy entry.
Risk Reward- 1% : 3 or your TP can be the 4H HH zone.
Keep your trading plan simple and only take quality trades in the direction of the trend. The trend is your soulmate.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 17, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 17, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📈 U.S. Retail Spending Holds Firm
May’s retail sales were flat month-over-month, defying expectations of a slowdown. Core retail sales (ex-autos) edged up +0.2%, signaling resilience in consumer purchases—an encouraging sign for economic momentum
🤖 Tesla’s Robotaxi Buzz Accelerates
Tesla stock surged after a weekend robotaxi video surfaced ahead of its planned Austin launch. A viral clip showed a Model Y “robotaxi” navigating traffic autonomously, sparking fresh investor enthusiasm despite safety debates
📊 BoJ Holds Rates; Dollar Edges Higher
Japan’s central bank left policy unchanged at 0.5%, maintaining its dovish bias. This lifted the dollar slightly versus the yen, drawing focus to global interest-rate divergence
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Tuesday, June 17:
8:30 AM ET – Retail Sales (May)
Consumer purchases are tracked, excluding autos. Monitor if activity stays steady despite inflation and rate pressures.
9:15 AM ET – Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization (May)
Provides insight into factory activity and plant usage—a gauge of economic health amid global slowdown concerns.
10:00 AM ET – Business Inventories (April)
Shows stock levels held by wholesalers and manufacturers. Higher inventories with weaker sales may signal slowing demand.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
NZDCAD - a few technical things togetherFib's retracement level of 50.00% will probably give the trend some strong upward impulse,
After that, this "Bull Flag" will come into play, and the price will go up a little bit higher,
The next step is to enter the price into the current "Most meaningful" channel...
Our take profit is: 0.82550. (Near +24 pips from current price).
EUR_AUD WILL GROW|LONG|
✅EUR_AUD went down to retest
A horizontal support of 1.7572
Which makes me locally bullish biased
And I think that a move up
From the level is to be expected
Towards the target above at 1.7800
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR-CHF Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CHF keeps growing
But a strong horizontal
Resistance of 0.9445
Is ahead so after the
Retest we will be expecting
A local bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ETH didn’t rally — it cleared inefficiency and pausedThis isn’t the move. This is the setup for the move.
ETH tagged 2658.22 — premium — and stalled right where Smart Money pauses before redistributing or rotating.
Here’s how this lines up:
Price swept into the 0 fib (2658.22), then hesitated — that’s not weakness, that’s precision
Just below sits a clean FVG at 2594–2575, right between the 0.382–0.5 fibs
Below that: OB near 2527–2492 — last line of defense before momentum flips
Right now, ETH is offering a reactive pullback opportunity. If bulls hold 2594–2575 with a bounce, we rotate higher again. But if they don’t — 2527 becomes the decision zone.
Execution lens:
Ideal re-entry zone: 2594–2575
Invalidation: sustained close below 2555 = expect OB tap
If FVG holds, expect revisit of 2658 → extension toward 2680s
This setup isn’t done. It’s developing. Wait for price to speak — not hope.
For more plays built like this — mapped in advance, not after the fact — check the profile description
Impulse without purpose? Not in Smart Money termsSOL didn’t just break structure — it filled inefficiency and positioned above. Now price is sitting in the upper FVG, where decisions are made — not guesses.
What just happened:
Price rallied from the OB below and left an IFVG in its wake
Current price is hovering at the edge of a higher FVG, right where liquidity rests from trapped shorts
The move is complete — now it’s about what price does next in this zone of intent
From here, two paths:
Sweep into FVG, reject, and rotate back down toward the 154–147.4 range
React bullishly from mid-FVG, reclaim structure → break to new internal high and keep running
The OB down at 145 is still valid if price unwinds — that’s where Smart Money bids.
Execution view:
Rejection from 158–159 = short bias down to 147–145
Clean invalidation above FVG high
If price consolidates at 154 and reclaims → setup flips bullish
The setup isn’t about what price did — it’s about what it’s preparing for.
You want more trades like this — precision zones, mapped logic — check the profile description.
That wasn’t a breakout. That was the stop runBTC swept the high into 107,991 — precision tap of the premium fib. Now the delivery shifts. Price has already done its job: take liquidity, trigger late longs, and set up the real move.
Here’s the execution breakdown:
Price tagged the 0 level of the fib extension — 107,991 — and rejected
A clean 4H FVG sits just below around 106,195.9 (0.5), aligned with 0.382 and 0.618 fib levels (106,619.8 to 105,772.1)
This is the re-entry zone for Smart Money — not the top chasers
Expectations from here:
→ Rebalance into the 106.6–105.7k region
→ If that zone holds and price shifts structure bullish again, we retest 107.1 → 107.9 → break higher
→ If we lose 105.7 cleanly, I’m watching 104,399.9 — the deeper inefficiency magnet
This isn’t about confirmation. It’s about preparation.
More trades like this — clean, controlled, conviction-based — live in the profile description.
Macromics Group: Market Trends Overview (June 2025)Global Economic Landscape: What Has Changed?
June 2025 marks significant shifts in the global economy. After several years of instability caused by the pandemic, inflation, and geopolitical tensions, markets are gradually stabilizing. However, new challenges are emerging: rising risks in Asia, digital transformation in Europe, and strategy shifts in the U.S.
China and India continue to show strong growth rates—5.8% and 6.5% respectively. Europe, by contrast, is lagging behind due to slow recovery and persistent inflation. The U.S. maintains a steady course driven by consumer spending and innovation, reporting 2.1% GDP growth.
Macromics Group continues to deliver in-depth analytics and strategies for clients seeking to understand and capitalize on these changes. We analyze trends across more than 120 industries, helping companies adapt and thrive.
Macroeconomics and Monetary Policy: A Shift Toward Stabilization
Financial regulators have begun cautiously lowering interest rates after the peaks of 2024. The U.S. Federal Reserve has dropped its rate to 4.5%, while the ECB has reduced its rate to 3.75%. This is made possible by a decline in inflation: 2.7% in the U.S. and 3.1% in the EU.
Meanwhile, developing nations like Turkey and Argentina are still grappling with high inflation. These countries risk falling behind the global recovery unless decisive steps are taken.
Overall, the global course is toward soft stabilization: interest rates remain high but steady. This creates favorable conditions for investment and long-term planning.
Financial Markets: From Caution to Moderate Optimism
Stock markets in June 2025 show mixed performance. U.S. indexes such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new highs, thanks to the booming tech sector. Stocks of companies involved in AI, quantum computing, and cybersecurity are particularly strong.
European markets are less active but relatively stable. Growth is limited by high costs, demographic issues, and the transition to ESG standards. In Russia and CIS countries, markets are under pressure due to sanctions, currency restrictions, and reduced investment.
On the currency front, the U.S. dollar and Chinese yuan dominate. The ruble is volatile, the euro is stable, and the yen is strengthening as a safe haven asset.
Technology: The Engine of New Markets
The main trend in 2025 is AI and automation. Companies are deploying neural networks in logistics, marketing, finance, and HR to cut costs and boost efficiency. Demand for AI professionals and developers is surging.
5G infrastructure has matured in most developed countries, unlocking new potential in IoT, telemedicine, and remote work. At the same time, quantum computing is advancing rapidly, with commercial solutions expected by 2026.
Macromics Group invests in next-generation analytical platforms, enabling clients to access real-time insights and forecast trends before they go mainstream.
Energy and Sustainability: ESG and the “Green” Shift
Energy markets have stabilized after the turbulence of 2024. Oil prices remain between $70–$85 per barrel—comfortable for both producers and consumers. Meanwhile, renewable energy—solar, wind, and hydrogen—is seeing record investment.
Corporations are increasingly reporting according to ESG standards. It’s not just a trend, but a new business reality. Investors demand transparency, consumers prefer socially responsible brands, and regulators impose mandatory reporting.
Macromics Group supports clients in transitioning to sustainable models by developing ESG strategies, assessing risks, and offering financial solutions.
Conclusion: Outlook for the Second Half of 2025
The first half of 2025 showed that markets are learning to operate in a new reality. The global economy is no longer chasing rapid growth, but adapting to volatility. Key focus areas are technology, sustainability, and smart resource management.
For businesses, this means quick adaptation, innovative thinking, and reliance on data-driven decisions. In this context, Macromics Group serves not just as an analyst but as a strategic partner.
Our recommendation: act proactively. In times of uncertainty, those who plan years ahead and use quality data will win.
XAUUSD 16 June – Liquidity Trap or Smart Money Rotation? XAUUSD 16 June – Liquidity Trap or Smart Money Rotation?
Gold surprised many traders with a sharp spike during the Asian session, only to reverse aggressively hours later. While headlines screamed “war” and panic, the price behavior told a different story—one of strategic distribution and smart money rotation...
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Context
Geopolitical triggers: Rising tensions in the Middle East (Israel-Iran) and political assassinations triggered emotional buying across safe-haven assets like gold and oil.
Institutional rotation: Major funds appear to be offloading gold positions to rebalance into equities (in correction) and oil (strong upside potential).
Market narrative: News-induced FOMO drives retail into overbought zones, allowing larger players to exit at premium prices.
📈 Technical Overview (M30 Structure)
Price Action: Gold tapped into major resistance at 3456–3458, showing an aggressive rejection shortly after.
EMA Behavior: EMAs (13/34/89/200) are flattening across M15 and M30—early signs of a possible bearish crossover.
Volume Drop: Declining volume after the spike suggests buyer exhaustion, reinforcing the idea of a bull trap.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): A visible liquidity void remains below the 3390 area. Price often returns to fill these zones.
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
✅ Scenario A: Buy from Demand Zone (Liquidity Fill)
Entry: 3383 – 3385
Stop Loss: 3377
Targets: 3386 → 3390 → 3394 → 3398 → 3402 → 3406 → 3410+
📌 Best executed during London or NY session if price shows absorption or reversal confirmation.
❌ Scenario B: Sell from Resistance Only on Clear Rejection
Entry: 3456 – 3458
Stop Loss: 3462
Targets: 3452 → 3448 → 3444 → 3440 → 3435 → 3430
⚠️ Only enter shorts if clear bearish engulfing or pin-bar setup forms near resistance zone.
🧠 Market Psychology
Retail FOMO is being exploited by larger players to exit risk positions.
Liquidity engineering is likely in play—smart money drives price up on headlines, then exits into buyer momentum.
Equity & Oil rotation signals a shift in institutional preference short-term.
📌 Final Thoughts
This isn’t a time to chase breakouts. Gold is entering a volatile re-accumulation phase where news is being weaponized to induce emotional trading. The real edge lies in waiting for price to come to your level and only executing with confirmation.
🎯 Zone to Watch: 3383 – 3385
📉 Avoid chasing moves
📊 Respect your SL & manage risk like a pro
—
🧭 Stay patient. The next big move will reward those with discipline and timing.
QQQ On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for QQQ is below:
The market is trading on 526.92 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 530.98
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BTCUSD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for BTCUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 10537
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 10693
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURNZD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
EURNZD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.9194 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 1.9246
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.9095
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
US30: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 42,682.9 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 42,855.1 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 36.344 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
