Trading
Deposits All Commercial Banks & US DebtWhen a politician and their buddy start spouting nonsense about the US debt spiraling out of control, but then insist that tax cuts are great because they’ll create jobs, and all that money will somehow trickle down to the rest of us, magically boosting tax revenue to "make up" for the lost funds.
Especially when that same politician was re-elected bc inflation & the economy were just so horrible, promising he would come in and save the day bringing prices down again with more tax cuts because they worked so great the first time around.
That's the extreme right. What about the extreme left #MMT?
#MMT is just as bad as MAGAs! They will tell you deficits are great! Deficits add to our savings! Deficits make us all richer! It's accounting, they say! it has to be that way! Except for the little fact that it's not based on empirical evidence.
So the next time some B.S. Artist tells you their little version of a fictional money story, you will know what reality is since 2018. You will have seen this chart with your own eyes and cannot unsee it! No matter what you do, no matter what side you lean politically, it's irrelevant.
Public debt since the tax cuts have grown exponentially, while the private sector deposits have lagged to the point they have stagnated completely since 2021. Barely rising 6%.
Defunding CIA, FBI, USAID, Dept of Education etc.. will do absolutely nothing to make up for all the lost tax revenue since 2018 and the next tax cuts to follow. In fact, when we enter a recession, the deficits will explode even higher as tax revenues collapse and social and economic stabilizers (if there are any left) kick in. Then what?
Don't shoot the messenger!
SOXL Has Room to Run?This one has a double bottom look, with a higher low, and another 4% remaining to hit take profit enroute to retesting the neckline before breaking out (another 8% from here) or balance and fail! Stop loss of 5% is pretty steep, so typically I either lower my position size or stop loss. Even at 4% stop loss, according to backtest results this wins more than it loses and has done pretty decent in the past, as I have been forward testing this model for over the past 18 months and profiting from over 100 different equities that I signal on.
The King Trading Momentum Strategy combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes! SOXL and over 100 equities are built into this script with optimal backtest take profits and stop losses and can be toggled on by simply checking a box (default they are turned off). Check out my script, as I am always looking for people to help test and I am always interested in feedback...
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DXY Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY has been making some
Pretty wild moves on the
Recent geopolitical news
Lately so we need to be
Trading this index with
Caution, however, the
Dollar index is approaching
A horizontal support of 107.000
From where we will be
Expecting a local
Bullish correction
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
LINK Long Spot OpportunityMarket Context:
LINK has retraced into a major support zone, setting up a potential retest and bounce. Given its historical price behavior at these levels, this provides a strong risk-to-reward opportunity for a long spot position.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $14.50 - $16.50
Take Profit Targets:
$19.40 - $21.50
$27.00 - $30.00
Stop Loss: Just below $12.00
This setup aligns with historical support zones and potential continuation of the uptrend. Manage risk accordingly and stick to the plan! 📈🔥
SOL Long Spot OpportunityMarket Context:
SOL has retraced to the bottom of its range support, offering a favorable entry for a long spot trade. Given its strong trend, this could be a high-probability setup for continuation to the upside.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $160 - $180 (bottom of range support)
Take Profit Targets:
$200 - $225
$260 - $275
Stop Loss: Just below $155
This setup provides a strong risk-to-reward ratio, with price consolidating near a key level before a potential breakout. Manage risk accordingly and stay disciplined! 📈🔥
EURJPY Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 159.31
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 160.59
Recommended Stop Loss - 158.73
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Decent pullback Google looks opportunistic hereGoogle traded higher into earnings only to have a decent pullback afterhours. Its trading into support which in my opinion is a decent buying opportunity. AMD also sold off below 110 and has finally reached a measured move from the start of its sell off last summer.
EURCAD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURCAD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.4882
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.4964
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CHFJPY The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
CHFJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 170.90 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 170.21
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDCHF Massive Long! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for NZDCHF is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.5102
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.5126
My Stop Loss - 0.5090
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.0256
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.0358
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Fundamental Weakness Meets Technical Strength, AMD at a Turning?Hello readers,
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) posted strong Q4 earnings, with a 24% year-over-year revenue increase to $7.66 billion, slightly surpassing estimates. Adjusted EPS came in at $1.09, just above expectations.
However, the data center segment underperformed, bringing in $3.86 billion a 69% YoY increase but below the $4.1 billion analysts had anticipated. Additionally, CEO Lisa Su cautioned that data center sales may decline by 7% in the next quarter. This guidance, combined with the revenue miss, led to an 8.2% pre-market drop in AMD’s stock price.
Technical Perspective
The price has finally arrived at the first key area of interest. This level has been anticipated for some time, and the fundamental reaction has now drawn the price close to the marked zone.
For those considering this as a potential investment, I can provide a small but valuable confirmation: from a technical standpoint, this is not a mistake to take, as this area holds the potential to generate strong liquidity for further growth.
Key criteria:
1. Strong horizontal price zone around the $100
2. The round number itself $100
3. The trendline since 2018
4. Channel projection
5. Equal waves from the top
For a more in-depth technical analysis, visit my Substack channel - content is now available for English readers. Simply go to my profile and click on "Website."
Regards,
Vaido
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider risk management before making any investment decisions.
Manufacturing Data Fuels Silver's RiseSilver rose above $31.5 per ounce, near its highest since early December, as easing trade war fears and strong manufacturing data stimulated demand. While Trump imposed 10% tariffs on China and 25% on Canada and Mexico, a delay in Mexico’s tariffs eased protectionist concerns. The ISM reported improving U.S. factory activity, reinforcing silver’s industrial demand outlook.
The Silver Institute projected a fifth market deficit in 2025, with strong industrial and retail investment demand outweighing weaker jewelry and silverware demand.
Key resistance levels are 32.50, 33.00, and 33.50. Support stands at 31.80, followed by 30.90 and 30.20.
DXY Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 107.486.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 108.791 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 2,869.381.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 2,897.141 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!