Euro Weakens Against USD Ahead of Key Economic DataThe EUR/USD pair declined to around 1.0835 during Friday’s Asian session, as the Euro (EUR) weakened against the US Dollar (USD) amid rising trade tensions between the U.S. and the European Union. Later in the day, market focus will shift to key economic releases, including Germany’s February Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and the preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for March.
Key resistance is at 1.0950, followed by 1.1000 and 1.1050. Support stands at 1.0800, with further levels at 1.0730 and 1.0650.
Trading
AUDCHF: Strong Bullish Chart Pattern 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF formed an inverted head & shoulders pattern on a 4h time frame
after a test of a key intraday/daily horizontal support.
After a deep retest of a broken neckline, we finally see a positive bullish reaction.
I think that the market will rise and reach 0.56 level soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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Europe - America War, Impact on Forex
Hello, my name is Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about an important issue that is shaking up the international market: the trade war between the European Union and the United States. Recently, the European Union responded to the duties imposed by the United States on steel and aluminum with countermeasures worth 26 billion euros. In response, US President Donald Trump threatened to impose 200% duties on all wines, champagnes and spirits from France and other countries represented by the EU2.
This escalation of trade tensions will certainly have a significant impact on the FOREX market. Let's see together what the consequences could be:
Market Volatility: Trade tensions between two of the world's largest economies will increase the volatility of the FOREX market. Investors will seek safe havens, such as the Swiss Franc (CHF) and the Japanese Yen (JPY), increasing the demand for these currencies.
Euro (EUR) depreciation: The euro could come under downward pressure due to concerns about the economic impact of tariffs on key EU sectors, such as wine. The reduction in exports of wine and other alcoholic products could negatively impact the EU's trade balance.
US dollar (USD) appreciation: The dollar could strengthen further, as investors view the US as a safe haven in times of economic uncertainty. However, the increase in tariffs could also lead to higher inflation in the US, complicating the Federal Reserve's decisions regarding interest rates.
Impact on the currencies of wine exporting countries: The currencies of major European wine exporters, such as the euro (EUR) and the Swedish krona (SEK), could come under downward pressure due to the decrease in exports to the US.
In conclusion, the tariff war between the European Union and the US will have a significant impact on the FOREX market. Investors will need to monitor developments closely and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. Stay tuned for more updates and market analysis!
Happy trading to all!
Gold Price Analysis March 14⭐️Fundamental analysis
Optimistic comments from the White House and Canada, along with news that enough Democrats have voted to avoid a US government shutdown, have boosted investor sentiment. However, gold's gains were capped by a stronger US dollar, which was bought for the third consecutive session.
However, expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates multiple times this year could limit the strong recovery of the US dollar. In addition, concerns about former President Trump's tough trade policies and their impact on the global economy continue to support gold prices. This suggests that any correction in gold could be a buying opportunity, helping the precious metal maintain its upward trend for the second consecutive week.
⭐️Technical analysis
any pullback today is considered a reasonable buy 2970 is the area where the European session Gold can find deeper and 2953 are the two BUY zones today. The sell zone is still noticeable around the 3000 round resistance and the 3015 border is considered resistance today. When gold has ATH, the FOMO is very high, so this is a difficult time to trade. Pay attention to volume and good capital management.
AUDUSD Price ActionHey traders! It's the last trading day of the week, so let's dive into some analysis on this pair.
We can see that price has grabbed liquidity on both the upside and downside. At the top, a new supply zone has formed, sweeping liquidity from the previous supply zone. On the flip side, there's also a demand zone where liquidity has been collected.
Right now, we’ve got internal liquidity on both sides, making this a solid area to look for trade opportunities. Aim for a 1:3 to 1:5 risk-to-reward ratio—stay disciplined and don't get greedy! Risk management is key.
Wishing you all a profitable day and a great weekend—use it to refine your analysis and come back stronger next week! 📊🔥 Happy trading! 🚀
Gold Price Analysis March 13⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices maintained a positive trend in early European trading on Thursday and remained near the all-time high reached on February 24. The chaotic implementation of US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs and their impact on the global economy continued to drive safe-haven flows into bullion for the third consecutive day.
Meanwhile, fears of a US recession, coupled with signs of a cooling labour market and falling inflation, will allow the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume its rate-cutting cycle sooner than expected. This, in turn, kept the US dollar (USD) near its lowest level since October 16 touched on Friday and turned out to be another factor supporting non-yielding gold prices.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold is correcting to the immediate support zone of 2930 if the support zone is broken 2922 is the next support point before gold price moves to 2910. The resistance zone of 2950 is considered as a barrier before reaching ATH and the daily sell plan is noticed around 2970
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 14, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸⚠️ Potential U.S. Government Shutdown ⚠️: The United States faces a potential government shutdown on March 14 if lawmakers fail to agree on the 2025 budget. This impasse could lead to the closure of government agencies and furloughs of federal employees, impacting various sectors and potentially affecting market sentiment.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Friday, March 14:
🛒 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (10:00 AM ET) 🛒:This index measures consumer confidence regarding personal finances, business conditions, and purchasing power, providing insights into consumer sentiment.
Forecast: 64.0
Previous: 64.7
🛢️ Baker Hughes Rig Count (1:00 PM ET) 🛢️:This report provides the number of active drilling rigs in the U.S., offering insights into the oil and gas industry's health.
Previous: 592
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
GOLD Strong Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price
Made a bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 2949$ and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting a further move
Up after the potential pullback
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ES futures trade setup 13/03/'25Hello,
In today's trade analysis, I will review potential setups for this trading day. Since the overall trend is bearish, I favor short positions over long positions.
I have identified two important zones on the 4H timeframe that align well with the 1H timeframe.
4H supply zone: 5,643 - 5,630
4H demand zone: 5,577 - 5,558
We've seen both false breakouts and breakdowns in recent days, indicating choppy market conditions.
My plan is to either go short in the upper 4H supply zone or short a breakdown of the 4H demand zone. For the latter, I'll wait for the candle to close below the zone and set my entry on a retest.
TRANSPORTATION! CRACK!!The transportation average breaking the first time warned us that things were not right back in July 2024. Today we are getting yet another CRACK WARNING!
The TRUMP economy will be a disaster area if he doesn't change his ways quickly. Even then it may be too late. Trust in the government has eroded.
Democracy and markets rely on TRUST! Trust can not be bought, or taken, it may only be lost!
DANGER for bulls!
last month I started to warn about Airlines (JETS) since then the results speak for themselves.
Click like, follow subscribe for more!
Solana (SOL) Price Analysis: Key Support & Resistance LevelsCurrent Market Structure
SOL is holding a major support level around $110, which could act as a launchpad for a short-term rally.
This support has historically served as a strong demand zone, attracting buyers looking for a potential rebound.
Upside Potential: Resistance Zones to Watch
If SOL maintains $110 support, it could rally toward:
$140 (first key resistance level)
$150 (historical rejection zone)
These levels have previously triggered selling pressure, so traders should watch for possible rejections.
Downside Risk: Key Support Levels
If SOL fails to hold $110, further downside could lead to a test of:
$80, a stronger support level from previous price action.
Conclusion & Strategy
Bullish Scenario: Holding $110 could trigger a move toward $140–$150, but a breakout above these levels is necessary for sustained upside.
Bearish Scenario: A break below $110 could accelerate losses, leading to a retest of $80 support.
Key Watchpoint: Reaction at $140 resistance—a rejection here could indicate another leg down, while a strong breakout could confirm further bullish momentum.
$ADSK: AutodesK – Designing Profits or Sketching Losses?(1/9)
Good afternoon, everyone! ☀️ NASDAQ:ADSK : AutodesK – Designing Profits or Sketching Losses?
With ADSK at $245 post-Q4 beat and robust guidance, is this design titan a blueprint for profit or a rough draft? Let’s ink out the details! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: $ 245 as of Mar 13, 2025 💰
• Recent Move: Up after Q4 FY2024 earnings beat, per data 📏
• Sector Trend: Tech sector buoyant, with AI and cloud driving growth 🌟
It’s a tech favorite—let’s see if it’s worth the hype! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: Approx $50B (assuming shares outstanding) 🏆
• Operations: Design software for architecture, engineering, manufacturing ⏰
• Trend: Cloud and AI integration boosting future growth, per reports 🎯
Firm in its niche, with digital transformation as tailwind! 🚀
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Q4 FY2024 Earnings: Billings and revenue beat, per data 🌍
• FY2026 Guidance: Revenue growth 8-9%, FCF $2.075B-$2.175B 📋
• Market Reaction: Stock price up post-earnings, indicating confidence 💡
Adapting to new tech trends, looking ahead! 💪
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Economic Slowdown: Reduced software spending in tough times 🔍
• Tariff Threats: March 10-12, 2025, impacting new business, per data 📉
• Competition: Adobe, Siemens, others in design software market ❄️
It’s a competitive landscape—risks are real! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Market Leader: Dominant in design software, strong brand 🥇
• Subscription Model: Recurring revenue from cloud-based services 📊
• AI Integration: Leveraging AI for enhanced products, per recent announcements 🔧
Got solid foundations and futuristic vision! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: High valuation (P/E around 39), macro headwinds 📉
• Opportunities: Expanding into manufacturing, healthcare, per strategy 📈
Can it justify its price and expand further? 🤔
(8/9) – POLL TIME! 📢
ADSK at $245—your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: $260+ soon, growth story continues 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, risks and opportunities balance out ⚖️
• Bearish: $220 looms, overvalued in current market 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
ADSK’s $245 price reflects strong performance and guidance 📈, but with a high P/E ratio, it’s not for the faint-hearted. Dips could be golden opportunities for DCA investors. Gem or bust?
GBPCHF Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GBPCHF below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.1451
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1386
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1486
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
MOVE Price Analysis: Key Levels & Potential ScenariosCurrent Market Structure
Since mid-February, MOVE has been consolidating, with a critical support level forming around $0.4371.
This level aligns with a bullish daily gap and the midpoint of a previous candle tail, making it a key area to watch for a potential retest.
Following the mainnet launch, a "sell the news" reaction may test this support level before determining the next directional move.
Downside Risk: Key Support Levels
If $0.4371 support fails, there is minimal historical support below, making a drop more probable.
Possible profit-taking zones include:
$0.3705 (near bulls' stop levels)
$0.3500 (a major psychological support level)
Upside Potential: Resistance Levels to Watch
If MOVE rebounds off support and breaks above $0.4980 (previous rejection zone), the next bullish targets include:
$0.5573 (first major resistance level)
$0.5820 (historical rejection zone)
Conclusion & Strategy
Bullish Scenario: A strong bounce from $0.4371 could lead to a push toward $0.4980 and potentially $0.5573 if buying pressure sustains.
Bearish Scenario: A break below $0.4371 could accelerate losses toward $0.3705-$0.3500, where buyers may attempt to step in.
Key Watchpoint: How the price reacts at $0.4371 will dictate the next significant move. If it holds, bulls regain control; if it fails, further downside is likely.
GBPJPY Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GBPJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 191.33
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 190.40
My Stop Loss - 191.87
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Copper (HG): Red Metal Rally or Rusty Bet?(1/9)
Good afternoon, everyone! ☀️ Copper (HG): Red Metal Rally or Rusty Bet?
With copper at $4.88 per pound, is this industrial darling a steal or a trap? Let’s dig into the dirt! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: $ 4.88 per pound as of Mar 13, 2025 💰
• Recent Move: Up slightly this week (Mar 10-13), per data 📏
• Sector Trend: Industrial metals volatile, with tariff impacts 🌟
It’s a mixed bag—let’s see what’s driving the price! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Global Demand: Key in construction, electronics, renewable energy ⏰
• Supply Dynamics: Major producers in Chile, Peru, China; tariff risks loom 🎯
• Trend: Green energy demand up, but economic slowdowns could dampen growth 🚀
Firm in its industrial roots, but facing new challenges! 🏭
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Trade War Escalation: U.S.-China tensions on Mar 13, 2025, per data, could hit supply chains 🌍
• China’s Response: Uncertain, but likely to affect prices due to its role in copper 📋
• Market Reaction: Prices volatile but up slightly, indicating cautious optimism 💡
Navigating through geopolitical storms! 🛳️
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Economic Slowdown: Reduced industrial activity could lower demand 🔍
• Supply Disruptions: Tariffs or geopolitical issues could disrupt supply, per data 📉
• Substitution: Other materials or technologies could reduce copper’s importance ❄️
It’s a risky ride, but potential rewards are there! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Increasing Demand from Green Energy: Solar panels, wind turbines, EVs require copper 🥇
• Industrial Staple: Essential in construction and electronics, ensuring steady demand 📊
• Price History: Historically, copper has been a good long-term investment, especially during expansions 🔧
Got solid fundamentals! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Price volatility due to economic cycles and supply disruptions 📉
• Opportunities: Expansion in emerging markets, new applications in tech and infrastructure 📈
Can copper shine through the challenges? 🤔
(8/9) – 📢Copper at $4.88 per pound—your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: $5+ soon, green energy boom drives prices up 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, risks and opportunities balance out ⚖️
• Bearish: $4 looms, economic slowdown hits demand 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
Copper’s $4.88 price reflects a mix of optimism and caution 📈. With green energy demand rising but economic and geopolitical risks lingering, it’s a volatile market. DCA-on-dips could be a strategy to average in over time, banking on long-term growth. Gem or bust?
$HRTG: Heritage Insurance – Catastrophe or Opportunity?(1/9)
Good morning, everyone! ☀️ NYSE:HRTG : Heritage Insurance – Catastrophe or Opportunity?
With HRTG at $11.50, is this insurer a risky bet or a hidden gem in the catastrophe-prone market? Let’s dive into the details! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: $ 11.50 as of Mar 12, 2025 💰
• Recent Move: Slipped 4% post-Q4 earnings, but stabilized 📏
• Sector Trend: Insurance sector steady, with P&C insurers facing claims volatility 🌟
It’s a volatile ride, but potential value lurks! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: Approx $200M (assuming 17.39M shares) 🏆
• Operations: Property and casualty insurance in high-risk areas ⏰
• Trend: Niche focus on catastrophe-prone regions like Florida, potential for growth 🎯
Firm in its niche, but risks are high! 🚀
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Q4 2024 Earnings: Net income $0.66 per share, down from $1.15 YoY 🔄
• Revenue: Slightly missed estimates, per reports 🌍
• Market Reaction: Stock slipped 4%, but stabilized post-earnings 📋
Adapting to challenges, looking ahead! 💡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Natural Disasters: High exposure to claims from hurricanes, floods, etc. 🔍
• Regulatory Changes: Potential impacts from state regulations in Florida and other areas 📉
• Competition: Increasing competition in high-risk insurance markets ❄️
Tough, but risks are part of the game! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Niche Market: Focus on high-risk areas with potentially higher premiums 🥇
• Established Presence: Strong foothold in Florida and other states 📊
• Growth Potential: Increasing demand due to climate change and urbanization 🔧
Got potential in a challenging market! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Earnings volatility from natural disasters, regulatory risks 📉
• Opportunities: Expansion into new high-risk areas, technological advancements for better risk management 📈
Can it weather the storms and shine? 🤔
(8/9) –📢HRTG at $11.50, with undervaluation signs—your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: $15+ soon, undervalued gem 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, risks balance growth ⚖️
• Bearish: $10 looms, catastrophe ahead 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
HRTG’s $11.50 price tags potential value 📈, but catastrophe risks add caution 🌿. Volatility’s our friend—dips are DCA gold 💰. Grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust?
AUD-USD Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD is going down
And will soon retest a
Horizontal demand level
Of 0.6260 from where we
Will be expecting a local
Rebound and a move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.