Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 10, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 10, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🏦 Global Banks Profit from Tariff Volatility
Major banks like JPMorgan, BofA, and Citigroup are expected to see ~10% growth in trading revenue in Q2, fueled by volatility from President Trump’s tariff policy shifts. Treasury trading volumes hit record highs as markets priced in policy swings
📈 S&P 500 Nears Lull Amid Bull Market Strains
Despite record highs in 2025, investors are warning that the rally may be reaching its limit. Bullish sentiment is strong, but analysts caution that sluggish consumer spending, rising inflation from tariffs, and few rate-cut signals from the Fed could cap downside momentum
🐻 Bear Case Gains Ground
Stifel’s Barry Bannister projected a potential ~12% correction in the second half of 2025. Key risks include slowing consumer spending, weak capital investment under tariff uncertainty, and persistent core inflation above 3%, negatively impacting earnings and growth outlooks
⚖️ “One Big Beautiful Bill” Could Add Trillions in Debt
The new fiscal package signed July 4 will add $3–4 trillion to national debt over the next decade while extending tax cuts and revising EV incentives. Bond market and Fed policy implications may become more pronounced if growth fails to keep pace
📊 Stocks vs Bonds: Diverging Signals
While equities climb and megacaps extend gains, Treasury yields have risen five days straight—signaling growing caution over real growth prospects. The yield curve steepening hints at mixed signals: growth optimism in stocks, but bond market signaling economic risk ahead
📊 Key Data & Events
📅 Thursday, July 10:
No major scheduled economic releases. Markets remain driven by tariff headlines, bank earnings reactions, and evolving Fed signals.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is for informational and educational purposes only—not financial advice. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #marketvolatility #tariffs #banks #Fed #debt #technicalanalysis
Trading
EUR_USD LOCAL REBOUND|LONG|
✅EUR_USD has retested a key support level of 1.1690
And as the pair is already making a bullish rebound
A move up to retest the supply level above at 1.1744 is likely
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NATGAS Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS keeps falling but
The price will soon hit a
Horizontal support of 2.90$
From where we will be expecting
A local bullish rebound
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$SOL | Triple Top or Launchpad?Macro to Micro Context:
SOL is now testing a third rejection in the upper 153s, forming a textbook triple top just under a multi-month descending trendline and major Fib resistance. This ceiling has held firm since late June, despite higher lows grinding up from below. Price is now squeezed tightly between compressing demand and stacked supply, with volatility contraction apparent across the board.
The structure is coiling hard but momentum and volume must confirm resolution before positioning aggressively.
Structural & Momentum Breakdown:
Resistance Layering (Reinforced):
Triple Top: Price has repeatedly failed to break above the upper 153s.
Fib Overlap: 50%–61.8% retracement range aligns with both trendline resistance and OB stack.
Order Block Stack: Resistance from mid-153s to low-154s is now reinforced across timeframes (30M → Daily).
Momentum Shifts:
RSI Divergence: Lower highs on RSI across 2H/1H, despite flat or slightly higher price.
PVT Flattening: No fresh accumulation during recent tests.
Volume Decline: Progressive volume deterioration on each retest distributional tone building.
Demand Shelf:
Key demand and support range from low-150s to mid-151s has held through three separate dips.
This is the immediate pivot zone — lose it and vacuum effect likely down into the upper 140s.
Updated Trade Plan:
Rejection Short Setup:
Entry: Breakdown through mid-151s with confirming sell volume.
Stop: Above low-154s to account for potential deviation wicks.
TP1: Upper 148s (first OB cluster).
TP2: Mid-146s (Fib + minor support).
TP3: Low 140s (macro demand + wedge base).
Bear Confirmation: RSI breakdown + volume expansion + OB flips into resistance.
Breakout Setup (Only on Clear Validation):
Entry: Strong candle close above low-154s with breakout volume.
Stop: Below low-151s — invalidation of reclaim.
TP1: Upper 157s (Fib zone).
TP2: Low 160s (swing high area).
TP3: Upper 160s (macro breakout expansion).
Bull Confirmation: RSI > 62 on 2H, strong PVT rise, and flip of local OB into demand.
Risk Warning:
Triple tops near macro resistance are high-risk unless clearly broken. This zone is overloaded with historical rejection. Don't front-run the breakout — volume will show you who's in control.
Closing Thoughts:
With a confirmed triple top now visible, SOL is facing its most important rejection zone in weeks. Bulls must reclaim with strength or this becomes a clean setup for rotation into the mid to low 140s. Patience and confirmation are key here. Keep risk asymmetric.
CAD_CHF STRONG SUPPORT|LONG|
✅CAD_CHF has been falling recently
And the pair seems locally oversold
So as the pair is approaching a
Horizontal support of 0.5790
Price growth is to be expected
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUD-NZD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-NZD keeps growing
And the pair is overbought
So after it hits the horizontal
Resistance of 1.0921 from
Where we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
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GBP_AUD BEARISH FLAG|SHORT|
✅GBP_AUD is going down now
And the pair has formed
A bearish flag pattern
Which makes me bearish biased
And after the breakout
I believe we will see bearish continuation
SHORT🔥
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EUR-NZD Strong Uptrend! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD is trading in a
Strong uptrend along the
Rising support so we are
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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USD-CHF Bearish Flag! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair broke
Out of the bearish flag so
We are bearish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Sprott Copper Arbitrage against LME copper futures, discount 20%Currently COP.UN (traded on TSX, Toronto Stock Exchange) is showing some substantial discount again against NAV. Discount is more than 20% which basically means that you can buy copper on the world markets (LME) with a 20% discount! I expect discount will narrow again in coming weeks and wil go back to minus 10 or even better.
A more detailed description can be find below of all facts and figures.
Current Situation:
Discount to NAV: COP.UN is trading at just over a 20% discount to its net asset value (NAV). Essentially, this means you can buy copper exposure at a significant discount to the current market price.
Copper Storage and Transfers: The trust’s copper is stored in LME-approved warehouses and is increasingly being shipped to COMEX warehouses in the U.S. The reason is straightforward: copper prices on COMEX are currently higher than on the LME. By moving copper to COMEX, Sprott can sell inventory at better prices.
Mechanism for Payouts: The proceeds from selling copper at a premium on COMEX versus the LME can be distributed to unitholders as a special cash distribution (dividend). This provides a direct way for investors to benefit from arbitrage between exchanges.
Redemption Option: Institutional investors can redeem trust units for physical copper, subject to minimum tonnages and fees. This helps keep the trust price connected to physical copper markets and offers an arbitrage route if the discount remains wide.
The Opportunity:
This setup offers trading houses huge opportunities:
Arbitrage Play: Buy COP.UN units at a >20% discount, redeem them for physical copper, and sell the metal at spot prices, pocketing the spread (net of costs).
Dividend Upside: Hold COP.UN units and potentially benefit from future special dividends if Sprott continues moving copper to COMEX and realizing higher sales prices.
Useful Resources:
COP.UN Prospectus (Sprott Physical Copper Trust) cop-prospectus-en.pdf
DXY: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 97.054 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,311.90 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,301.31..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GBPNZD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GBPNZD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2.2694
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2.2568
My Stop Loss - 2.2759
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on USDJPY and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 146.88 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 145.35
Safe Stop Loss - 147.68
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The market is trading on 1.1709 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.1729
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURCHF The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURCHF below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.9312
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.9349
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.9293
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SILVER: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 36.433 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 36.547.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Confirming EURUSD corrective downtrend✏️EURUSD is trading in a downtrend channel. SELL signal is triggered at the current price around 1.172 as the H4 candle failed to break 1.176 and confirmed the Sellers' entry into the market clearly. Target for the downtrend is at 1.145, the Sellers' strength needs to overcome the Break out zone of 1.163 first.
📈 Key level
Support 1.163-1.146
Resistance 1.176
SELL DCA Trigger: Break 1.163
BUY Trigger: The price trades about 1.163.
Gold continues downtrend today✏️#GOLD view
Yesterday's D1 candle confirmed the decline in gold prices when the selling pressure returned below the liquidity candle wick. The extension of the downtrend will continue today.
Yesterday's strong support zone 3297 has become today's resistance zone, this is the SELL point today when there is confirmation from the selling side in this zone.
3310 The confluence resistance zone between the trendline and the US Session Resistance is noted in today's SELL strategy. The previous SELL Target 3352 orders pay attention to the reaction at 3377.
📈Key Level
SUPPORT 3277-3250
RESISTANCE 3297-3310-3328
SELL Trigger: Price cannot break 3297
SELL DCA Trigger: Break 3276
Target: 3250
BUY Trigger:PriceTrading above 3276
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
EURUSD: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 1.17041 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 1.17163 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GBPNZD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GBPNZD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2.2683
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2.2655
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3297.6
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3291.9
My Stop Loss - 3301.3
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Will It Rise More?
Quick update for my yesterday's analysis for WTI Crude Oil.
As I predicted yesterday, the price went up to the target.
We got one more strong bullish confirmation after a New York
session opening:
the price violated a resistance of a horizontal range on a 4H time frame.
I think that the market may rise even more and reach 69.25 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️