SPY S&P 500 etf Oversold on the RSI ! 2025 Price Target ! The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) is flashing a major buy signal, with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sitting at 28.33 — firmly in oversold territory. Historically, every time SPY has entered oversold levels on the RSI, institutional buyers have stepped in aggressively, driving sharp rebounds in the following weeks and months.
The last time SPY dipped below the 30 RSI threshold was during market pullbacks in 2022 and 2023 — both of which were followed by significant rallies as institutions capitalized on discounted valuations. The current setup is no different. With earnings growth stabilizing, inflation cooling, and the Federal Reserve signaling a potential shift toward rate cuts in the second half of the year, the backdrop for a recovery is aligning perfectly.
Technically, SPY is also approaching key support levels that have held strong in past market corrections. The combination of an oversold RSI and strong institutional appetite at these levels creates a compelling case for a bounce.
My price target for SPY by year-end is $640, representing over 15% upside from current levels. With sentiment stretched to the downside and technical indicators flashing green, SPY looks primed for a sharp and sustained rebound. Now could be the perfect time to position for the next leg higher.
Trading
EURCHF: Correctional Movement Started 🇪🇺🇨🇭
EURCHF started a correctional movement after a test of a key daily resistance.
Inverted cup & handle pattern on an hourly time frame on that
provides a strong intraday bearish confirmation.
We can expect a bearish continuation at least to 0.96 today.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Gold price analysis March 11⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices are struggling to capitalize on a modest intraday rebound from a one-week low and remain below $2,900 in Asian trading on Tuesday. Uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump’s trade policies and their impact on the global economy continues to weigh on investor sentiment. This, in turn, has supported the safe-haven bullion, attracting some intraday dip buyers near the $2,880 region.
Furthermore, the prevailing US Dollar (USD) selling bias, fueled by speculations that a tariff-driven slowdown in US growth could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates multiple times this year, further underpins the non-yielding gold price.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold price is approaching the resistance level of session 2909 when breaking this zone waiting for the SELL zone in the European session at 2915-2918, the SELL margin is relatively wide. Support 2880 is still an important support level that gold needs more momentum to break this zone.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 12, 2025 🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ceasefire Proposal in Ukraine 🇺🇦🇷🇺: Ukraine has expressed willingness to accept a month-long ceasefire proposal, leading to a surge in the euro to five-month highs. This development has introduced volatility in European and U.S. equity markets, influenced by ongoing U.S. tariff plans.
🇺🇸🇨🇦 U.S. Tariff Increases on Canadian Imports 🇺🇸🇨🇦: President Trump has threatened to double tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum imports to 50%, escalating trade tensions and contributing to a deepening stock market sell-off. This move has raised concerns about inflation and economic growth, affecting investor confidence.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Wednesday, March 12:
📈 Consumer Price Index (CPI) (8:30 AM ET) 📈:The CPI measures the average change over time in prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of goods and services, serving as a key indicator of inflation.
Forecast: +0.2% month-over-month
Previous: +0.3% month-over-month
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Different Shades of DisciplineIn my decade of trading experience I've come to realize through huge number of trials and errors that discipline in trading is a rather unique and not always universal beast.
While there are definitely broad categories of discipline trading like taking high-quality setups, correctly managing risk, taking profits, and so on; There are also many unique underlying reasons and mind-tangled cognitive dissonances that can become the cause of these lapses.
What I understood in my experience is that discipline seems to be transferrable from 1 area to another. Addicted to smoking? Perhaps, quitting can be beneficial to one's trading. However, not necessarily as some traders smoke (and can't quit that habit) for a different underlying reason and thus quitting for them might NOT be as beneficial for the former one. The devil seems to be in the details. Why one smokes? Is it a coping mechanism for stress, or is it a little ritual that one employs to consciously recalibrate themselves?
The key seems to be in action and number of trials and experiments. Attempting to try the routine of other people might not yield the best results for the expended effort. One person may run for many miles and enjoy that time, for another it will be excruciating agony to do that. The discipline required in that example would obviously be vastly different, and thus the effect that action produces also - different.
At the end of the day - the most important thing in trading is consistency, but coupled with PERSONAL unique discipline is something that gives us edge in the markets.
USD-JPY Swing Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY has made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Of 146.540 and we are already
Seeing a bullish rebound
From where we will be
Expecting further move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SILVER Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in an uptrend
And the price made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 3266$ and the brekaout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish continuation
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR-GBP Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-GBP keeps growing in
A strong uptrend but the pair
Is already overbought so after
It hits a horizontal support
Level of 0.8473 we will be
Expecting a local bearish correction
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP_USD WILL GO UP|LONG|
✅GBP_USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A bullish breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 1.2850
Which is now a support
Then made a retest and is going up
Now so we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
TIA Trade Setup: Potential Double Bottom FormationWith seller exhaustion possibly setting in, TIA is shaping up for a double bottom formation. If price deviates from launch levels and confirms a market structure shift, we could see a strong upside move.
🛠 Trade Details:
Entry: Around $4.00
Take Profit Targets:
$5.50 (First TP - Key Resistance Zone)
$7.10 (Second TP - Breakout Level)
$9.00 (Third TP - Full Expansion Target)
Stop Loss: Below $3.00
Keeping an eye on volume confirmation and resistance reclaim before full conviction. 🚀
Dow Jones: A Make-or-Break Buy Setup with Smart Money BackingDow Jones Industrial Average - Buy Setup
Technical: U.S. markets have struggled recently due to uncertainty over tariffs imposed by President Trump. While the S&P 500 and NASDAQ have broken key support levels, the Dow remains resilient, holding the critical 41,648 support. A break below would confirm a large double-top pattern, signaling a bearish outlook. This is a pivotal moment. The rebound from overnight lows is encouraging, but with the U.S. CPI release tomorrow, caution is warranted. While speculative, COT and seasonal data favour a short-term move higher.
Fundamental: The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) Report shows increasing long interest in the Dow, suggesting "smart money" accumulation.
Seasonal: Historically, from March 12 – May 2, the Dow has posted gains 84% of the time, averaging +3.68% over the past 25 years.
Setup:
Entry: 41,800 – 42,000
Stop Loss: 41,285 (below the Nov 2024 low at 41,648)
Target: 44,290
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDUSD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
AUDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.6335 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.6271
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SILVER Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 32.527
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal -31.899
My Stop Loss - 32.922
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CHFJPY My Opinion! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for CHFJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 168.11
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 167.35
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SILVER SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
SILVER uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 3,176.0 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the SILVER pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EUR/GBP BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/GBP pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously rising on the 8H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.831 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EURJPY Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
EURJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 160.92 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 159.03
Recommended Stop Loss - 161.65
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USD/CAD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/CAD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.411 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USD/CHF BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are going long on the USD/CHF with the target of 0.895 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUD/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/JPY pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 92.334 area.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅