EUR/USD Under Bearish Pressure: A Market Analysis [Update]As anticipated in our previous analyses, the EUR/USD currency pair experienced significant downward pressure during the late American trading session on Wednesday, hitting its lowest point in almost a month, below 1.0350. Currently, while I am drafting this article, the pair has seen a minor rebound and is trading around 1.0410; however, the technical indicators still suggest a bearish outlook.
The price is nearing a critical area where it may continue to decline. Our analysis reveals an imbalance on the Daily timeframe that could signal a further downturn. For more detailed insights, please refer to the link provided below.
Following the last Federal Reserve policy meeting of the year, the central bank announced a reduction in its policy rate by 25 basis points, aligning with market expectations, bringing it to a range between 4.25% and 4.5%. In their accompanying statement, the Fed emphasized that they would take into account incoming data, the evolving economic landscape, and the balance of risks when evaluating future rate adjustments.
In the aftermath of the Fed's decision, the US Dollar (USD) gained substantial strength, leading to a sharp decline in the EUR/USD pair. Moving forward, our outlook suggests the potential for a new bearish correction in the market as we navigate these developments.
Previous close position SHORT
✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Trading
EUR/USD Market Dynamics: Analyzing Recent Price MovementsFollowing our previous analysis, we anticipated the market's response to last week's robust U.S. economic indicators, particularly regarding the USD's strength against the EUR. After experiencing a notable bearish trend, the euro managed to recoup some losses, specifically retesting our pending order at 1.04380. As I write this article on December 23, 2024, the currency pair trades around 1.04130, providing a rejection of our entry point.
On Monday, the U.S. Dollar (USD) stabilized after a significant drop on Friday. This sell-off was prompted by weaker-than-expected growth in the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE). Specifically, the core PCE—a key inflation metric favored by the Federal Reserve—rose by 2.8%, falling short of the projected 2.9%. On a month-to-month basis, both headline and core PCE inflation inched up by only 0.1%, leading to speculation about the Federal Reserve's trajectory concerning interest rate adjustments in 2025.
Federal Reserve officials are beginning to signal expectations of fewer rate cuts in the coming year, as the disinflation process appears to be slowing and uncertainties loom over how President-elect Donald Trump’s upcoming immigration, trade, and taxation policies could affect the economy.
Given the current outlook, we are anticipating a continuation of bearish trends in the market.
Previous Idea:
✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
ENA (ENA/USDT) – Technical Analysis UpdateCurrent Consolidation & Support Levels:
ENA has consolidated near June's high, showing strong support around $0.9538, reinforced by December 20th's daily candle tail and the 40 EMA.
Token unlocks increasing supply are likely to delay a rally until after January 1st, keeping near-term upside muted.
Key Downside Targets:
If the $0.9538 support fails, watch for:
$0.8824 – December 28th's swing low.
$0.8465 – Key levels from December 20th and 10th.
$0.7600 – November 25th's bullish weekly gap, a likely higher timeframe support zone.
Resistance Levels & Upside Scenarios:
$0.9961: December 26th's bearish gap.
$1.0299: December 21st's rejection point. A break above this zone could trigger profit-taking at:
$1.1223: December 23rd's swing high and December 21st's bearish gap.
Outlook:
ENA is range-bound in the near term, with a bearish bias if token unlocks intensify supply pressure.
Bulls need a decisive reclaim of $0.9961–$1.0299 to regain control. Until then, $0.9538 support remains critical, with the risk of testing lower levels.
This setup highlights near-term caution but leaves room for a bullish breakout once overhead supply dynamics stabilize.
USD/JPY Surges Higher:US Economic Strength Fuels Dollar MomentumThe USD/JPY exchange rate continues its upward trajectory, aligning with our forecast as robust US economic data bolsters the dollar.
The price movement reflects the strong momentum of the USD, with the latest Commitments of Traders (COT) report indicating that commercial traders maintain a strong position, while retail investors are riding the wave. Our initial price target is set at 155.050, and beyond that, we anticipate a potential move towards 158.000, where a notable supply zone exists.
Recent US macroeconomic indicators point to significant growth in the fourth quarter. Investor sentiment remains buoyed by expectations that the Federal Reserve may implement interest rate cuts in December. However, the Fed may emphasize the strengthening economic conditions and rising inflation, which could lead to a more hawkish stance in their forward guidance.
Conversely, the Bank of Japan is widely expected to maintain its current interest rate levels during Thursday's meeting. This comes after indications of a possible 25 basis point reduction just a week prior. Dovish comments from BoJ officials suggest that the bank will likely postpone any decisions until January to evaluate how US policies under the Trump administration might affect the Japanese economy.
Today's economic calendar highlights US Retail Sales, which are projected to reflect strong consumer spending. This, combined with positive services activity reported earlier this week, is likely to curtail any downside pressures on the US dollar, at least until the Fed meeting's outcome.
We are optimistic about a continued upward movement in the USD/JPY pair.
Our Initial Forecast:
✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
"JUP/USDT: TP1 $0.96, TP2 $1.10, Long-term $2-$5."Analyzing the **JUP/USDT** chart, here's a detailed breakdown:
---
### **Current Market Overview**
1. **Price Action**:
- The price is trading around **$0.8348**, showing a slight recovery of **+2.64%**.
- There has been a significant downtrend from recent highs near $1.30.
2. **Key Moving Averages (MA)**:
- The 50 EMA (white), 100 EMA (yellow), and 200 EMA (gray) are acting as dynamic resistance levels.
- Price is attempting to retest the **50 EMA (0.9659)**, which coincides with TP1.
3. **CM_Ultimate MACD Indicator**:
- Bullish momentum is beginning to build, indicated by the green histogram flipping positive.
- Crossovers suggest a potential continuation of the upward movement.
4. **MACD Histogram**:
- The MACD line shows recovery momentum, but a clean bullish crossover is yet to occur.
---
Short-Term Targets
1. **TP1 (Take Profit 1)**: **$0.9659**
- A retest of the **50 EMA** and the previous strong support-turned-resistance level.
2. **TP2 (Take Profit 2)**: **$1.1064**
- Mid-term resistance aligning with previous consolidation zones.
3. **TP3 (Take Profit 3)**: **$1.3107**
- A major resistance and psychological level.
---
Long-Term Targets
- $2.00:
- This aligns with Fibonacci extension levels and historic resistance during the earlier bull market.
- $5.00:
- A significant target for bulls, requiring major market momentum and broader crypto adoption or partnership news.
---
Attractive Features for Investors
1. **Bullish Reversal Potential**:
- If the price can close above **$0.9659**, it signals a strong potential for a reversal toward **$1.10-$1.30** in the mid-term.
2. **Low Risk-High Reward Zone**:
- Current prices near **$0.83** are significantly discounted from previous highs, providing a favorable risk/reward ratio.
3. **Technical Support**:
- The **$0.79-$0.80** range acts as strong horizontal support, minimizing downside risk.
---
Strategy for Bulls
1. **Accumulation Zone**: **$0.80-$0.84**.
- Consider entering around these levels if volume and momentum increase.
2. **Stop-Loss**: **$0.75**.
- Below this, the trend might invalidate, suggesting further downside.
3. **Targets**:
- Short-term: **$0.96, $1.10**.
- Long-term: **$2.00, $3.00**.
Summary
- **Short-Term Bullish**: A breakout above the 50 EMA could lead to a rally toward $1.10 or higher.
- Long-Term Ambition: Momentum and market participation could eventually push prices toward $2-$5 in a macro bull run.
GBP/USD Short, NZD/USD Short and USD/CAD LongGBP/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
NZD/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
USD/CAD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
How Leverage Works in Forex TradingDear readers, my name is Andrea Russo, and today I want to talk to you about one of the most discussed topics in trading: leverage in Forex. This tool, both powerful and delicate, allows traders to amplify their gains with small investments but also carries significant risks if not used prudently. In this article, I will guide you step by step, explaining how leverage works, its advantages and risks, and how you can start trading safely.
What is leverage in Forex?
Leverage is a tool that allows traders to control much larger positions than the capital actually invested. For example, with a leverage of 1:100, you can open a $100,000 position with an initial investment of just $1,000.
Here’s a simple example:
You invest $1,000 with a leverage of 1:100.
Your market exposure will be $100,000.
If the market moves 1% in your favor, you will earn $1,000 (equal to 100% of your capital).
If the market moves 1% against you, you will lose your entire capital.
As you can see, leverage amplifies both gains and losses, which is why it’s essential to understand how it works before using it.
Advantages of leverage
Leverage offers several advantages that make it an attractive tool for those who want to invest in Forex:
Access to the market with small capital: You can start trading even with modest sums, thanks to leverage.
Diversification: With limited capital, you can open multiple positions on different currency pairs.
Maximization of profits: Even small price movements can translate into significant gains.
The risks of leverage
Despite its advantages, leverage carries important risks:
High losses: The same amplification that generates profits can multiply losses.
Margin Call: If losses exceed the available margin, the broker may automatically close your positions.
Emotional stress: High leverage can lead to impulsive decisions, often driven by anxiety.
How to start trading in Forex with leverage
If you want to use leverage effectively and safely in Forex, follow these steps:
1. Educate yourself and learn the basics
First of all, study how the Forex market works. It’s important to understand what influences exchange rates and which strategies to adopt. Dive into key concepts such as:
Major currency pairs
Spread and commissions
Technical and fundamental analysis
2. Choose a reliable broker
The broker is your trading partner, so ensure that it is regulated and offers transparent conditions. Look for brokers with:
Competitive spreads
Flexible leverage options
User-friendly platforms
3. Start with a demo account
To practice, use a demo account. You can test your strategies without risking real money and gain confidence with the platform.
4. Set up a trading strategy
A good trader doesn’t leave anything to chance. Define a trading plan that includes:
Realistic goals
Percentage of risk per trade (1-2% of capital)
Risk management tools like stop-loss and take-profit
5. Start with low leverage
If you’re a beginner, use moderate leverage, such as 1:10 or 1:20. This will allow you to limit losses while learning to manage risk.
6. Monitor positions and manage risk
Risk management is the key to successful trading. Invest only what you can afford to lose and constantly monitor your positions.
Conclusion
Leverage is an incredible tool, but it must be used cautiously. It can open the doors of the Forex market even to those with limited capital, but it requires discipline, education, and good risk management.
Thank you for reading this article. If you have any questions or want to share your experiences in Forex, feel free to write in the comments.
And remember: trading is a marathon, not a sprint! Happy trading!
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 12.31.2024🔮
⏰ 9:00am
S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y
1️⃣ GAP ABOVE HPZ:
If we do gap up
definitely be bearish
2️⃣ OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
There is a slight bullishness left
but I think that goes in the
premarket, trade the futures
if you want, but I do believe that
the last trading day will be a V shape
3️⃣ GAP BELOW HCZ:
Once again will cause a
mechanical bounce
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
XRP 1 HR POSSIBLE SCENARIOS 🚨 XRP 1-Hour Analysis 🚨
Here’s what we’re watching:
📈 Upside Targets:
• TP1:2.190
• TP2: 2.235
📉 Downside Targets:
• TP1: 2.08
• TP2: 2.04
So we have to watch out for level. If XRP stays below 2.12 - 2.14 then you can target downside targets and if above then you can target above levels mentioned as TP(take profit)
Keep an eye on key levels and trade smart! 💹
xauusd sell strong fall full safe trade for sell xauusd sell big fall soon if you want daliy trade then fallow my chart my target is 2590 fallow my trade Markets are struggling to find a reason to move too much in either direction ahead of the New Year’s market closures, which will see most global exchanges shuttered during the middle of the trading week xauusd sell now 2610;2616/sl 2620 tp 2600 more tp 2590 and target 2580
Trading While Tired: How Lack of Sleep Messed Me UpThere was a time in my trading journey when I thought staying up late would make me a better trader. I’d sit at my desk until the early hours, staring at charts and telling myself, “The more I watch, the more I’ll win.” At first, it seemed like it was working. I caught a few decent trades late at night and felt like I was ahead of the game.
But then, it all started to go wrong.
The Day It Hit Me
One morning, after getting just four hours of sleep, I sat down to trade like I always did. But something felt off. I couldn’t focus on the charts—I kept missing obvious patterns. On one trade, I completely forgot to set a stop-loss, and it ended up costing me more than it should have.
By the end of the day, I had made so many mistakes that I didn’t even recognize myself as a trader. I was losing money, and I felt like a mess.
What Lack of Sleep Does
Looking back, I can see how skipping sleep was hurting me. Here’s what I went through:
- I Couldn’t Think Clearly: I felt foggy and couldn’t concentrate on my trading plan.
- I Made Bad Choices: I rushed into trades without thinking them through.
- I Was Moody: Losing trades hit me harder than they should have, and little things made me angry.
- I Drank Too Much Coffee: I thought caffeine would fix my tiredness, but it just made me jittery.
- I Broke My Rules: I was too tired to follow my trading strategy.
How I Fixed It
One day, after another sleepless night and a morning full of mistakes, I decided enough was enough. I told myself I needed to change.
The first step? Making sleep a priority. At first, it was hard to turn off the charts and go to bed. I thought I’d miss out on opportunities, but the truth was the opposite. With proper rest, I became sharper, calmer, and more confident in my trades.
What I Learned
-Sleep is as important as trading skills—you can’t think clearly without it.
-Watching the charts all night doesn’t help if you’re too tired to make good decisions.
-A good night’s sleep leads to smarter, more focused trading.
Are You Trading Tired?
If you’re staying up late and feeling exhausted while trading, it’s time to change that. Trust me, your trades will get better when your brain has the energy to work properly.
If you’re stuck or want to chat about how to balance trading with a healthy lifestyle, send me a DM. I’ve been there, and I’m here to help!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Overtrading: The Fast Track to BurnoutThere was a day in my trading journey that I’ll never forget—and not for a good reason. It started like any normal day. I had my plan, and the first few trades went well. But then, I saw what I thought was another good opportunity. Without thinking it through, I jumped in.
The trade didn’t work out, and I got frustrated. Instead of stepping back, I started trading like crazy, trying to get my money back. One bad trade led to another, and before I knew it, I had made over 30 trades in a single day. Each one was worse than the last. By the end, I had lost thousands of dollars.
Even worse than the money, I felt drained, frustrated, and embarrassed. That’s when I realized: I was overtrading, and it was destroying both my account and my mindset.
What Is Overtrading?
Overtrading is when you make too many trades, often because you’re emotional. Maybe you’re trying to chase every small market move, recover a loss, or just avoid feeling bored. Whatever the reason, you’re not sticking to your plan—you’re just clicking buttons and hoping for the best.
How to Spot Overtrading
Here’s how you can tell if you’re overtrading:
- Too Many Trades: You’re constantly jumping in and out of the market without thinking it through.
- Ignoring Your Rules: You forget your plan and take trades that don’t fit your strategy.
- Trading on Emotions: You’re trading out of frustration, boredom, or desperation.
- Feeling Exhausted: By the end of your session, you’re completely wiped out.
- Losing More Money: Your account keeps shrinking because your trades are rushed and sloppy.
What Overtrading Does to You
Overtrading isn’t just bad for your account—it’s bad for you, too:
- You Lose Money: Bad trades add up fast, and your account takes a hit.
- You Burn Out: Staring at screens all day and trading on emotions will leave you mentally drained.
- You Lose Confidence: Watching your mistakes pile up makes you doubt yourself.
- You Break Discipline: Once you’re out of control, it’s hard to stick to your strategy.
- You Feel Tired and Unhealthy: Long hours and no breaks make your body and mind feel worse.
How I Fixed It
After that awful day, I knew I had to change. I took a break for a few days to clear my head. When I came back, I made some rules for myself:
-Only trade setups that match my plan.
-Set a limit on how many trades I can take in a day.
-Take regular breaks so I don’t burn out.
-Journal every trade so I can spot my mistakes and improve.
It took time, but these small changes helped me stop overtrading and focus on making smarter decisions.
Are You Overtrading?
If this sounds familiar, you’re not alone. Overtrading happens to a lot of traders, but you can fix it with the right approach.
If you’re feeling stuck, frustrated, or burned out, send me a DM. I’m here to help you figure out what’s going wrong and how to turn things around. You don’t have to do it alone!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
BTC - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched equal lows lower.
But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of weakness, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
The Impulse Master indicator nailed the top of this rallyThe Impulse Master indicator accurately identified the top in NQ (Nasdaq Futures) and signaled a shift in market structure. The key observation here is the breakdown under the critical support level, which confirmed a reversal in the trend.
Explanation of the Pattern:
Supply Zone and Reversal Signal:
The chart highlights a supply zone where bullish momentum begins to stall. This area marks the exhaustion of buying pressure, as seen with the "Turn Down" label. The price repeatedly failed to break higher within this zone, signaling a potential reversal.
Support Breakdown Logic:
A rally typically continues as long as the price respects key support levels. Think of the structure as comprising a micro wave iv (a small corrective dip) followed by a wave v up (a final push higher).
In this case, the breakdown below the first major support invalidates the continuation of the uptrend. The failure of bulls to produce a higher high off the low created by wave iv is a clear indication that the rally has ended.
Confirmation of Trend Reversal:
Once the price broke below support, the rally's structure was compromised. This failure to sustain higher levels signals the transition from a bullish trend to a bearish phase, as confirmed by the "Trend Down" signal and the formation of resistance at 21,652.81.
Indicator Precision:
The Impulse Master indicator effectively mapped the turning points in the market, including the Breakout Zone, the critical support retest, and the ultimate rejection leading to a downtrend.
Key Takeaway:
The breakdown below ** the key support** is a crucial confirmation that the uptrend has concluded. This methodology highlights the importance of observing raising support levels as benchmarks for trend continuation or bearish reversal. ***When bulls fail to push the priceto a higher high after a corrective dip, then drops under the previously made low, it serves as a reliable signal that the rally is over and a new down trending move might have started.***
Ethereum (ETH) – Key Technical OutlookPrice Action & Sentiment:
Ethereum's current price action suggests upside potential, though a decisive move above the $3,500-$3,600 zone is needed to reignite short-term bullish momentum and shift market sentiment.
Ethereum appears undervalued by 30-50% relative to current market conditions, adding to the attractiveness of its long-term growth potential.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Support: The $2,900-$3,100 range remains a crucial support zone. A retest of this level, especially following mid-November lows, could reset sentiment and provide a stronger base for future growth.
Resistance: Breaking through the $3,500-$3,600 resistance zone would signal a significant shift in sentiment and encourage further bullish momentum.
Broader Market Context:
This setup mirrors historical patterns observed in previous crypto bull cycles, where a period of consolidation or a retest of key support levels often precedes substantial upward movement.
Broader market strength and positive sentiment shifts could act as catalysts, especially as the macroeconomic environment becomes more favorable.
Outlook:
If Ethereum's technical structure holds and broader market sentiment improves, the potential for significant growth remains high.
Investors should monitor price action around the $3,500-$3,600 zone for signs of a breakout and pay attention to the $2,900-$3,100 support for risk management.
Conclusion:
Ethereum is well-positioned for long-term growth, but near-term selling pressure could lead to a retest of critical support levels. A break above $3,500-$3,600 would signal bullish momentum, while holding above $2,900-$3,100 keeps the technical structure intact. This setup offers a compelling opportunity in alignment with previous bull cycle patterns.
GBP/USD Short, EUR/GBP Short and NZD/USD ShortGBP/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Corrective tap into area of value.
• 4H risk entry.
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/GBP Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach forms, 15 min risk entry within it.
NZD/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.