Will Gold Break Through 3366 or Collapse Before NFP? XAUUSD PLAN – MAY 26 | Will Gold Break Through 3366 or Collapse Before NFP?
Gold is approaching a key resistance zone as geopolitical uncertainty and shifting Fed signals add volatility to global markets. While recent bullish momentum has been strong, traders should prepare for potential shakeouts ahead of NFP week.
🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
US–Iran Tensions on the Rise: Iran has warned the US it will bear full responsibility if Israel attacks its nuclear facilities. This comes just days before both sides are scheduled to resume nuclear negotiations, increasing the risk of escalation.
Goldman Sachs Signals a Safe-Haven Shift: With 20-year US bond auctions failing and yields surging, Goldman Sachs now recommends gold and Bitcoin as core hedge assets against fiscal instability and a weakening dollar.
DXY Losing Steam: The US Dollar Index is cooling off after a short-term rally, with Fed rate hike expectations becoming less certain.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – XAUUSD (M30 – H1)
Gold is consolidating in a bullish structure, bouncing within a rising channel and showing signs of potential continuation.
EMA13/EMA34 have crossed above EMA200 on the M30 chart → a sign of trend strength building.
A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) remains unfilled near 3360–3395 → potential magnet zone if bullish breakout succeeds.
🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY
🟢 BUY SCALP
Entry: 3304 – 3302
SL: 3298
TP: 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340
🟢 BUY ZONE
Entry: 3276 – 3274
SL: 3270
TP: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3296 → 3300
🔴 SELL SCALP
Entry: 3344 – 3346
SL: 3350
TP: 3340 → 3336 → 3332 → 3328 → 3324 → 3320
🔴 SELL ZONE
Entry: 3376 – 3378
SL: 3382
TP: 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3350
🧩 STRATEGIC KEYLEVELS
Key SELL Zone: 3358–3360 → If broken, gold may rush toward ATH targets.
Key BUY Zone: 3276–3274 → If lost, a deep retracement below 3200 is likely.
⚠️ NOTES TO TRADERS
This is a geo-politically sensitive market. Sudden news or tweets can trigger explosive moves.
Always wait for confirmation near key zones. Don't chase breakouts without structure.
Risk management is critical.
✅ SUMMARY:
"Political risk is the fuel. Gold is the fire. Stay sharp around the key levels and don't get caught in false breakouts. Be reactive, not predictive."
Trading
Sterling Holds Ahead of U.S. GDPGBP/USD trades near 1.3435 on Thursday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar after a court blocked Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, ruling he lacked authority to impose them. Markets now await preliminary US Q1 GDP data. Fed minutes showed rising uncertainty, with policymakers favoring a cautious, steady rate path. In the UK, food inflation rose for a fourth month, prompting Barclays to delay its rate cut forecast to February 2026, which may support the Pound.
The first critical support for gold is seen at 1.3425 and the first resistance is located at 1.3600.
EUR/GBP BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
EUR/GBP SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 0.837
Target Level: 0.843
Stop Loss: 0.832
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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APE is showing early signs of accumulation after prolonged conso"APE is showing early signs of accumulation after prolonged consolidation. With improving sentiment in the altcoin market and potential catalysts on the horizon, this could be one to watch. Patience and proper risk management remain key. 🦍📈 #APE #Altcoins #CryptoTrading"
USDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 145.162.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 142.359 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GOLD Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,301.19.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,325.39 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GOLD LONG FROM SUPPORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,281.17
Target Level: 3,348.67
Stop Loss: 3,236.17
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 7h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/CAD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the USD/CAD with the target of 1.375 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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USD/CHF BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the USD/CHF pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 0.817 level.
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Gold isn't breaking out — it’s breaking down.What we're seeing in gold right now is not a temporary pause — it's a calculated, smart money-driven transition from impulsive expansion into controlled redistribution. The rally from 3120 to 3357 wasn’t organic or trend-based — it was mechanical, steep, and uncorrected. And that’s the first red flag. When price travels that far without building any real base or demand, it’s often not aiming for continuation, but to reach a liquidity target. This was a liquidity run, not a sustainable breakout.
Then comes May 24 — a pivotal moment. Price breaks above 3357, spikes volume +19% over average — but delivers a weak candle body. The next bar doesn’t confirm, doesn’t expand, doesn’t even push the high. Instead, we get a failed breakout followed by retreat. That’s textbook deviation — a classic trap where market makers dump inventory while retail rushes to chase the breakout.
This happens inside the derivation area — that thin, deceptive range between 3357 and 3370. It’s where distribution is masked as strength. But price behavior reveals the truth: after tapping that zone, it didn’t hold. Price fell back inside the range. No retest. No follow-through. And most importantly — price has now closed beneath the anchored VWAP from May 13, shifting the control of the tape.
Anchored VWAP matters — it's the average weighted cost of the dominant positioning from smart money. And once price falls below it and stays there, we know demand has dried up. Add to that: shrinking candle ranges, decreasing volume, soft closes — all signs of exhaustion. RSI has already pulled off from overbought levels, Stochastic is turning down, and ADX shows trend strength fading.
But those indicators are just the shadow of what price already told us. We’ve lost structure. A lower high is forming. Price was rejected from the same zone that was previously supposed to be the breakout. It’s not consolidation anymore — it’s redistribution.
The path forward is tactical and logical. Price is likely headed first toward 3275 — that’s the shallow liquidity pocket. From there, we might get a pullback to 3305–3315 — not a rally, but a retest of the old sell zone. That’s where another leg of short interest can build. Then comes 3250 — the bottom of the last structural block. If that fails to hold, gold opens the door to 3205–3215 — a historical volume shelf and the next real support.
There’s no guessing here. The breakout failed. VWAP is broken. Momentum is gone. This isn’t the start of something higher — this is the start of the unwind. And while retail waits for 3400, smart money is already loading their next leg short.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 29, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 29, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🚫 U.S. Trade Court Blocks Tariffs
A federal trade court struck down key sections of President Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs, sending U.S. stock futures sharply higher as investors anticipate reduced input costs for industrials and manufacturers
🌐 Markets Drift on Lack of Fresh Catalysts
Global equity markets showed muted moves today—stocks dipped and bond yields rose—as traders awaited new drivers of direction, with Nvidia’s ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) mixed earnings doing little to spark a decisive trend
📈 Bond Yields Climb, Pressuring Equities
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield pushed above 4.6%, its highest in a month, on concerns over federal borrowing and fading rate-cut expectations, dragging the S&P 500 down more than 1% by midday
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Thursday, May 29:
8:30 AM ET: Advance Q1 GDP
Provides the first estimate of U.S. economic growth in Q1, a critical gauge of recession risk and Fed policy direction.
8:30 AM ET: Personal Income & Spending (April)
Tracks household earnings and outlays, offering insight into consumer resilience amid rising living costs.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
USDJPY Analysis week 23Fundamental Analysis
Tokyo's core CPI (excluding fresh food) - a key inflation gauge - rose 3.6%, higher than forecast and last month. This increases the possibility that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates this year, although most experts predict the BoJ will keep rates unchanged until September.
Meanwhile, the USD rose sharply after a US appeals court overturned the decision to remove most of the tariffs imposed by Mr. Trump. However, the Yen still appreciated slightly against the USD.
Technical Analysis
After consecutive declines on Friday, the pair is sideways waiting for the next development. 142.900 is the next support zone that the pair faces, this is the breakout zone and also the trendline meeting. Break this price zone must wait 141,200 for weekly support zone
145,900 last week's peak resistance zone acts as resistance for the pair's price reaction towards this week's resistance peak around 148,000
ETH 1W – Long above 200MA | Retest or Launch?ETH just broke two major barriers:
✅ Closed above the 200MA on the weekly
✅ Broke out of the pink zone, which marks the textbook double top base from June & December 2024
That pink box held price for months — a structural pivot that now flips from resistance to possible support.
Price paused into the 50MA, which typically doesn’t offer heavy resistance on the 1W.
If we see a pullback, I’m watching for a wick into the 200MA or even into the pink zone. Otherwise, this might just go vertical if macro stays calm.
USD-CHF Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF is approaching a
Key horizontal support area
Around 0.8189 which is a
Strong level so after the retest
A local bullish correction
And a move up are to be expected
Buy!
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US30: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 42,126.0 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 32.984 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 33.109.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NZDUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
NZDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.5954 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.5969
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBP-CHF Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CHF will soon hit
A wide horizontal support
Level around 1.1048 and
After the retest a local
Bullish rebound and a move
Up are to be expected
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CAD-CHF Bearish Wedge! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-CHF formed a bearish
Wedge pattern and now we
Are seeing a powerful breakout
Which is confirmed so we are
Locally bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GameStop (GME) Is the New MSTR — And It Might Moon Harder ! If you haven`t bought the dip on GME:
Now You need to know that GameStop (GME) is the new MSTR MicroStrategy — But With Meme Power!
GME GameStop just made its boldest move yet: the company revealed it has purchased 4,710 Bitcoin, officially entering the crypto game in a serious way. While it hasn’t disclosed the total price paid, the intent is loud and clear — GameStop is transforming into a Bitcoin-holding company, just like MicroStrategy (MSTR) did back in 2020.
This isn’t just about hype. In March, GameStop raised $1.3 billion through a convertible note offering, specifically to help fund Bitcoin purchases. It also updated its investment policy to formally add Bitcoin as a reserve asset — the same exact strategy that led to MicroStrategy’s 10x stock explosion.
But here’s the twist: GameStop brings more than just Bitcoin exposure — it brings meme momentum. Unlike MicroStrategy, which had to win over the market, GME already has an army of loyal retail traders, massive online visibility, and a cultural legacy as the original meme stock. If MicroStrategy was the corporate face of Bitcoin adoption, GameStop is the internet’s version — louder, faster, and potentially more explosive.
Yes, the stock dipped on the announcement — typical for big moves like this — but long-term, the upside is undeniable. Bitcoin on the balance sheet gives GME new life, and volatility is GameStop’s comfort zone. With Bitcoin becoming a political and financial flashpoint — highlighted by major figures like JD Vance and Donald Trump Jr. attending the 2025 Bitcoin conference — GME’s move couldn’t be more timely.
This is more than a pivot. It’s a power play. GameStop is no longer just a nostalgia-fueled retailer — it’s a digital asset powerhouse in the making.
If you missed MicroStrategy’s rise, GameStop might just be your second chance — with even more firepower behind it.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Euro Weakens Near 1.1240 Amid Economic ReleasesEUR/USD extended its decline for a third straight session, trading near 1.1240 during Thursday’s Asian hours. Market attention is now turning to key upcoming U.S. economic releases, including Q1 Annualized GDP, quarterly PCE Prices, and weekly Jobless Claims. The U.S. dollar gained strength following a federal court decision on Wednesday, which blocked former President Trump’s attempt to enforce "Liberation Day" tariffs, ruling the measure unconstitutional and beyond presidential authority, according to a Manhattan court panel.
The key resistance is located at 1.1290 and the first support stands at 1.1200.
Recovery or Just a Bull Trap? All Eyes on PCE This WeekNZDUSD – Recovery or Just a Bull Trap? All Eyes on PCE This Week
🌐 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW
After the FOMC’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, the US Dollar has shown signs of recovery driven by expectations that core inflation remains persistent — especially ahead of the upcoming US Core PCE Price Index release this Friday.
On the New Zealand side, the Kiwi remains under pressure due to recent weak economic data and negative sentiment from China — its largest trading partner. The RBNZ continues to maintain a neutral stance, offering little support for the currency in the near term.
Market sentiment remains cautious as investors await the PCE data to determine inflation trends and potential Fed policy shifts.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1–H2 TIMEFRAME)
NZDUSD is forming a technical rebound after a strong bearish leg from the 0.60300 region. Current price is trading around the 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5964–0.5976), struggling to break above EMA89 and EMA200 resistance.
Overall structure: Bearish bias remains intact with lower highs.
EMA alignment: EMA13, EMA34, and EMA89 are in bearish formation.
Key support zone: 0.5926–0.5940, trendline confluence + consolidation base.
🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
Resistance:
0.5976 – Fibonacci 0.5 retracement + previous rejection zone
0.5990 – Structural resistance of the week
0.6007 – 78.6% Fib + liquidity sweep potential
Support:
0.5940 – Trendline retest + short-term structure
0.5926 – Key demand zone with previous fake breakout
🎯 TRADE IDEAS
SELL SETUP – Fade the pullback into resistance:
Entry: 0.5976 – 0.5990
Stop Loss: 0.6010
Take Profit: 0.5940 → 0.5926
BUY SCALP – On strong bullish rejection from support:
Entry: 0.5926 – 0.5930
Stop Loss: 0.5900
Take Profit: 0.5960 → 0.5976
Note: Confirm with bullish candlestick and volume spike before entry.
⚠️ STRATEGY OUTLOOK
NZDUSD remains in a corrective phase. This week’s PCE inflation data will be critical. A hotter-than-expected reading could strengthen the USD and push NZDUSD below 0.5926, resuming the medium-term downtrend.
Avoid chasing mid-range price action. Focus on price reactions near the key resistance and support levels.