AUD/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the AUD/USD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 0.641.
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Pullback or Recovery? All Eyes on ECB and Inflation CluesEUR/USD – Pullback or Recovery? All Eyes on ECB and Inflation Clues
Hey traders! 👋
After a tough drop earlier this week, EUR/USD is now finding its feet again near the 1.1240 area. We’re seeing some early bullish signs, but the bigger question is: Is this just a pullback or the start of a stronger recovery?
🔎 What’s going on?
Today, ECB’s Šimkus came out with some pretty dovish comments:
He warned that Eurozone inflation depends a lot on how the EU responds to trade policies from the US.
There's pressure to cut interest rates as soon as June, but it’s still unclear whether they’ll follow up again in July or September.
Growth risks remain due to geopolitics and Chinese goods flowing into Europe.
These hints of a possible rate cut added more weight on the Euro. But at the same time, we’re seeing buyers step in around key support zones, so price action could get interesting soon.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
1.1278 – First level to break for bulls
1.1301 – Near-term resistance
1.1325 & 1.1353 – Highs to watch if momentum builds
Support:
1.1240 – Holding well so far
1.1198 – Key BUY zone
1.1160 – Last line of defence for bulls
🧠 Trade Plan for Today (May 9th)
✅ BUY IDEA:
Buy Zone: 1.1198
SL: 1.1138
TP Targets:
→ 1.1235
→ 1.1285
→ 1.1325
❌ SELL IDEA:
Sell Zone: 1.1301
SL: 1.1360
TP Targets:
→ 1.1265
→ 1.1225
→ 1.1185
📌 Final Thoughts
The pair is still inside a downward channel, so we need to be flexible. If EUR/USD breaks and holds above 1.1300, bulls could take control. But if it fails, we might see another dip back toward the lower range.
Keep an eye on macro data next week – especially inflation figures and any fresh ECB signals.
👉 Stay patient, trade your zones, and don’t chase! Let the setup come to you.
Good luck! 🚀
GOLD Is Going Down! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,321.83.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,305.50 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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USDJPY Will Fall! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 145.311.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 140.353.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURGBP Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURGBP.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.848.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.838 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Gold Friday Volatility – Liquidity SweepsGold Friday Volatility – Liquidity Sweeps & Potential Channel Break Ahead
Gold kicked off Friday with intense volatility, triggering sweeping liquidity grabs during the Asian session. Price dropped aggressively into the 327x region, clearing stop zones and vacuuming liquidity — only to quickly rebound and fill the imbalance above.
This classic FVG (Fair Value Gap) behavior was especially visible on the M30 timeframe, as price repeatedly left behind inefficient zones and promptly returned to fill them. Volatility remains elevated — and traders should proceed with caution.
📉 Technical Context – End of the Downtrend?
Since Thursday, gold has been trading in a clean descending parallel channel, respecting lower highs and pushing downward. However, late in the Asian session today, a bullish momentum surge appears to be testing the upper boundary of this channel.
We are now watching the 3324 level very closely.
A confirmed breakout above this zone — with candle closure outside the trendline — would suggest a structure shift and open the door for BUY setups on the retest.
Until then, we observe. Let price confirm. We trade the reaction, not the assumption.
🌍 Macro Risk – Trade Tensions & Weekend Volatility
The market remains extremely reactive to:
Geopolitical risks: Military tensions are still simmering.
US–China tariff discussions: President Trump is expected to make remarks on tariff policy.
Any surprise here could heavily impact USD and gold.
⚠️ Liquidity sweeps are common on Fridays — especially into London and NY sessions — so risk management is critical today.
📌 Key Technical Levels to Watch
🔺 Resistance:
3345 → 3364 → 3395
🔻 Support:
3280 → 3270 → 3256 → 3244 → 3225
The 3324 and 3366 zones are particularly critical.
If price closes firmly above these zones, bullish continuation becomes more likely.
If price gets rejected, we stay within range and look for sell opportunities.
🎯 Trade Plan – Friday, May 10
🟢 BUY ZONE
Entry: 3280 – 3278
SL: 3274
TPs: 3285 → 3290 → 3295 → 3300 → 3305 → 3310 → 3320
🔴 SELL ZONE
Entry: 3364 – 3366
SL: 3370
TPs: 3360 → 3356 → 3352 → 3348 → 3344 → 3340 → 3330
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Friday often delivers unexpected liquidity traps.
With news expected from the White House and technical structure on the verge of a break, this session could offer both risk and reward — if approached with discipline.
✅ Use clear levels.
✅ Respect TP/SL.
✅ Stay sharp as NY volume enters.
📣 Let’s end the week strong. Drop your charts and ideas below!
AUDCAD Will Go Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDCAD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.890.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.888 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Euro Nears 1.1230 on Cautious ECBEUR/USD edged up to 1.1230 in Friday’s Asian session, paring earlier losses caused by stronger U.S. data and easing trade tensions that supported the dollar. The euro remains under pressure as markets price in possible ECB rate cuts by June, though officials maintain confidence in inflation reaching the 2% target by year-end.
The pair faces resistance at 1.1260, with further upside capped near 1.1460 and 1.1580. On the downside, support is seen at 1.1150, followed by 1.1100 and 1.1050.
Leo XIV: Impact on the Forex Market
Hello, I am Forex trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about the election of the New Pope.
The election of a new Pope is an event with implications not only religious and social, but also economic. With the rise of Leo XIV, the financial world is closely watching the possible repercussions on global currencies and investment strategies.
Immediate effects on Forex volatility
Historically, major political and institutional events can generate fluctuations in international currencies. Italy, home to the Vatican, could see movements on the EUR/USD pair, especially based on the first statements of the new Pontiff regarding the economic policies of the Vatican.
Some investors may react with initial caution, leading to temporary volatility in the Forex market, similar to what happens during political elections or other leadership transitions. However, this volatility could be limited in the short term, unless Leo XIV announces substantial changes in the management of the Vatican finances.
Vatican Financial Policies and Their Impact on Currencies
The Vatican holds significant wealth, with real estate investments and stakes in international companies. If the new Pope decides to adopt a more transparent or ethical strategy in his investments, this could influence the financial sector, prompting global funds to review their investment strategies.
EUR/USD and the Role of the ECB: Possible Vatican interventions on economic and social policies in Europe could prompt the ECB to assess the macroeconomic picture more carefully.
Safe Haven Currencies (CHF, JPY, Gold): If the election generates economic uncertainty, we could see an increase in investments in safe haven assets, such as the Swiss Franc (CHF) and the Japanese Yen (JPY).
Economic Sectors Impacted
Ethical Finance and ESG: If Leo XIV emphasizes the importance of sustainable investments, companies linked to the ESG sector could see increased interest and capital inflows.
Real Estate: With the Vatican being one of Europe’s largest property owners, any reforms in asset management could have repercussions on real estate markets, influencing the value of the EUR and other related assets.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bullish Reversal Confirmed?!
Dollar Index formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern on a daily.
Its neckline breakout is a strong bullish reversal signal.
The broken neckline of the pattern turns into a significant support now.
We can expect a growth from that at least to 101.25 resistance.
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USDJPY: Pullback From Resistance 🇺🇸🇯🇵
There is a high chance that USDJPY will retrace
from the underlined blue resistance cluster.
As a confirmation signal, I spotted a double top pattern
on that on an hourly time frame.
Closest support - 145.1
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GBP/AUD Short, EUR/CAD Short, USD/JPY Short and EUR/USD NeutralGBP/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/CAD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
USD/JPY Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
EUR/USD Neutral
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it.
• If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Minimum entry requirements:
• If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
EUR_CAD MOVE DOWN AHEAD|SHORT|
✅EUR_CAD is consolidating
Beneath the horizontal resistance
Of 1.5700 and as we are bearish
Biased we will be expecting
A further bearish move
Down towards the target
Below around 1.5573
SHORT🔥
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GBP_USD REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅GBP_USD is approaching a
Demand level of 1.3181
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs
Of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bullish bandwagon
Just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
LONG🚀
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GBP-AUD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD hit a horizontal
Resistance level of 2.0766
And is already making a
Bearish pullback so we are
Locally bearish biased which
Means we can enter a short
Trade with the Take Profit
Of 2.0527 and the
Stop Loss of 2.0797
Sell!
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EUR-GBP Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-GBP made a retest
Of the wide horizontal
Support area around 0.8458
From where we are already
Seeing a bullish rebound
So we are locally bullish
Biased and will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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Gold Price Analysis May 9The recent market with big fluctuations with yesterday's D1 candle down 100 price shows that the Sellers have regained their position.
Today's strategy is to watch SELL more than to watch BUY.
The Gold zone is reacting at the 3316 resistance zone and is heading towards 3322 at the end of the Asian session. Today's trading strategy pays attention to the 3322 resistance zone. If the European session does not break, SELL to 3300. If it breaks, hold to 3286. When it breaks 3286, do not BUY anymore but wait until 3325 to be able to BUY.
In the opposite direction, if it breaks 3322, wait for a test and BUY to 3350 and then SELL around 3350 today.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 9, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 9, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🚢 Maersk Adjusts Outlook Amid U.S.-China Trade Tensions
Global shipping giant Maersk reported better-than-expected Q1 profits but lowered its forecast for global container volume growth, citing uncertainties from the ongoing U.S.-China trade war. CEO Vincent Clerc highlighted that while U.S.-China shipping volumes have declined, the rest of the world remains stable.
🇺🇸 Fed Officials to Speak Post-Meeting
Following the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates, eight Fed officials are scheduled to make public appearances today. Investors will be keenly observing their remarks for insights into future monetary policy directions.
📈 Markets React to Trade Developments
U.S. markets closed higher yesterday, with the Dow gaining 250 points, as investors responded to President Trump's encouragement to 'buy stocks now' amidst ongoing trade negotiations.
🛠️ U.S.-U.K. Trade Deal Finalized
The U.S. and the U.K. have agreed on a trade deal involving reduced tariffs and adjustments to digital services taxes. This development is expected to influence sectors ranging from automotive to digital services.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, May 9:
3:00 PM ET: Consumer Credit (March)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Gold Price Analysis May 7Yesterday's D1 candle continued to be a FULL candle with a 100 price increase. At the beginning of the day, the market opened with a bearish price gap, showing that the market also wants to cool down and today.
Gold is sideways in the range and is running a corrective downtrend.
The support zone for BUY strategies is around 3371, this is the EMA 34 of the h1 frame and is partially supported by the trendline. The next notable area is 3352, which is the old candle wick area and also the support area of yesterday's European session.
The two SELL areas are around 3402 and the Gap opening area is 3423.
USD-CAD Potential Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CAD went up sharply
And is about to hit a horizontal
Resistance of 1.3964 from
Where we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
And a local move down
Sell!
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USD_JPY WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅USD_JPY will be retesting a
Resistance level soon around 147.500
From where I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
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GBP-USD Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is
About to retest a horizontal
Support level around 1.3178
From where we will be expecting
A local rebound and a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
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EUR_USD LOCAL LONG|
✅EUR_USD is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 1.1187
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target of 1.1278
LONG🚀
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