Gold Price Analysis October 18Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices rose above $2,700, hitting a fresh record high on Friday amid expectations of interest rate cuts and an easing monetary policy environment from major central banks. Moreover, persistent geopolitical risks stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, coupled with uncertainty surrounding the US presidential election, appeared to be boosting demand for the safe-haven precious metal.
The supportive factors have, to a large extent, offset the recent rally in the US Dollar (USD) to its highest since August, bolstered by growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will proceed with a modest rate cut. A stronger dollar tends to dampen demand for USD-denominated commodities, including Gold, which is still on track to post strong weekly gains and looks set to rise further.
Technical Analysis
Good morning traders. Gold continues to be at an all-time high. It is quite difficult to determine where the SELL zone is at the moment. We can only Scalp at the psychological port areas around 2720-2730. The important BUY zone is more clearly considered at
2675-2673. Before that, we cannot ignore the 2685 zone, the temporary all-time high for more than a month. Wish you a successful trading day
Trading
Gold price surges and sets new ATHThe European Central Bank (ECB) reduce hobby quotes extensively via way of means of 25 foundation points, in keeping with economists` expectancies.
The ECB stated falling inflationary pressures are developing situations to loosen economic coverage: "Inflation statistics suggests that the deflation technique is at the proper track."
similarly ECB easing withinside the first 1/2 of of 2025. "It basically stays that the ECB will supply a similarly 25-factor reduce at its December meeting, accompanied via way of means of comparable cuts in early 2025 till whilst deposit quotes reached a impartial stage of round 2% withinside the summer.
Gold charges are receiving robust help from secure haven call for and issues approximately escalating geopolitical tensions. In addition, expectancies that americaA Federal Reserve (FED) will hold to loosen economic coverage after reducing hobby quotes via way of means of 1/2 of a percentage closing month are increasing.
💎 OANDA:XAUUSD sell 2710 - 2712💎
✔️TP1: 2690
✔️TP2: 2680
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2720
BTC Testing Bull Flag Resistance at $68,000Market Overview:
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently testing the upper resistance level of its bull flag formation around $68,000.
Recent price action shows a higher high compared to the previous highs from late September and August, confirming a bullish trend on higher time frames.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $68,000 (bull flag top)
Target: $70,000 (next psychological level)
Outlook:
Given the upward momentum, BTC is likely to consolidate in the $68,000 range for a few days before attempting a breakout.
A successful move above this resistance could pave the way for a test of the $70,000 level.
#BTC #Bitcoin #PriceAnalysis #BullFlag #CryptoMarket
Semiconductors vs. Nasdaq: Key Indicator of Tech MomentumIntroduction:
The ratio between semiconductors NASDAQ:SMH and the Nasdaq 100 NASDAQ:QQQ serves as a key indicator of tech sector momentum and near-term risk sentiment. When SMH outperforms QQQ, it signals a "risk-on" environment, reflecting strong demand for semiconductors and overall tech sector health. Conversely, if QQQ outperforms SMH, it suggests a "risk-off" environment, pointing to concerns over weakening chip demand.
Analysis:
Risk Sentiment: The SMH-to-QQQ ratio provides insights into tech momentum. A higher SMH performance often indicates robust chip demand, a positive signal for the broader tech sector. On the other hand, when QQQ outperforms, it signals caution, possibly reflecting waning demand for semiconductors.
Bullish Outlook: Recently, the SMH-to-QQQ ratio has formed a higher low, reinforcing a bullish outlook for semiconductors. This higher low is a positive sign not just for the semiconductor industry but for the broader market as well, as semiconductors often lead market rallies.
Conclusion:
The recent bullish signal in the SMH-to-QQQ ratio suggests tech sector strength, with semiconductors likely leading the way. This is a critical metric for assessing near-term market momentum, so traders should keep a close eye on this ratio to gauge potential shifts in sentiment. What’s your take on this trend? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the SMH-to-QQQ ratio and the higher low formation)
#Semiconductors #Nasdaq #TechSector #SMH #QQQ #RiskOn
SPY/ES1! Flagging In Bullish Carryover Trend - Squeeze PosssibleCheck out the APEX FLAGGING formation in the SPY and ES chart; they are aligning perfectly.
If my analysis is correct, the SPY and ES should move into an upward price squeeze after the Flag Apex volatility period (roughly 20+ minutes) is complete.
That means the SPY and ES should move into a more defined upward price trend as we close out the day today - possibly carrying into tomorrow.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AUDUSD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.6694
Bias - Bullish
Safe Stop Loss - 0.6659
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal -0.6754
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2694.2
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2667.7
Recommended Stop Loss - 2707.7
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
M&T Bank Corporation: Riding the Bullish WaveM&T Bank Corporation: Riding the Bullish Wave - M&T Bank Corporation (NYSE: MTB) Technical Analysis
H ello,
1 Introduction
Headquartered in Buffalo, New York, M&T Bank Corporation is a regional bank operating in the United States. While M&T is headquartered in New York, it has a significant presence in the state of Maryland and in several of the mid-Atlantic states. It was founded in 1856 as the "Manufacturers and Traders Bank." Over the years, it has changed and expanded its name and reach but has kept its main office in Buffalo. A "community banking" philosophy directs its operation of more than 700 bank branches across 12 states and the District of Columbia.
2 Current Price
The most recent figures put M&T Bank Corporation’s stock at $185.19. In the face of a jittery market, the stock has been steady—although, to be sure, we are coming up on a few weeks when the price has not moved much at all. Yet this level reflects what I would say is a pretty strong dose of investor confidence in the bank's growth in earnings, not just in the immediate future but also over the next several quarters.
3 Moving Averages
5-day Moving Average: $182.50
20-day Moving Average: $180.00
50-day Moving Average: $175.00
200-day Moving Average: $165.00
The price is currently above the 5-day, 20-day, and 50-day moving averages, indicating a strong short-term bullish trend. Additionally, the price being significantly above the 200-day moving average suggests long-term investor confidence. Historically, the stock has shown a tendency to bounce back from support levels, aligning with current technical signals pointing towards continued strength.
4 Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 60 (Neutral to Bullish) – The RSI at 60 indicates that while the stock is not yet overbought, it is approaching higher levels where caution may be necessary. RSI values between 60-70 typically suggest strong upward momentum but may also signal a need to watch for overextension.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): 3.0 (Bullish) – A positive MACD suggests upward momentum, supported by increasing buy signals. The MACD line crossing above the signal line indicates potential for continued price gains.
Stochastic Oscillator: 75 (Overbought) – The oscillator shows that the stock is nearing overbought territory. With a reading above 70, investors should be aware of the possibility of a short-term pullback, though the overall trend remains upward.
The combination of these indicators points to a solid bullish stance, though the overbought reading on the Stochastic Oscillator advises traders to be cautious of potential corrections in the near term.
5 Chart Patterns
Candlestick Patterns: Recent patterns show a mix of bullish engulfing and doji, suggesting indecision in the market but with a slight bullish bias. The bullish engulfing pattern indicates strong buying pressure, while the doji reflects a potential hesitation among traders, which could result in consolidation or a reversal if a clear direction is not established soon.
Support Levels: $180.00, $175.00 – These levels have historically acted as strong support zones, offering potential buying opportunities for investors seeking to enter at lower risk points.
Resistance Levels: $190.00, $195.00 – The stock faces resistance at these levels, where selling pressure may increase. A breakout above $195.00 could open the path to higher price levels, potentially pushing the stock into new highs for the year.
Notably, the consolidation of recent price action near key resistance levels suggests that a breakout, if it occurs, could trigger significant upward momentum. However, failure to break these levels may result in a retracement towards support.
6 Volume and Liquidity
Recent trading volumes have been above average, which supports the upward trend. The higher volume, particularly during price increases, reflects increasing investor interest and confidence in the stock. The liquidity of M&T Bank Corporation is robust, allowing for large trades to be executed without significantly affecting the stock price. This makes it an attractive option for both retail and institutional investors.
7 Industry and Market Sentiment
With interest rates stabilizing and the overall economy in better shape, we have seen a recovery in the financial sector. M&T is a regional bank, and as such, it has a pretty good setting from which to benefit as rates continue to rise—something we're anticipating. Most regional banks—even M&T in particular—have a pretty nice net interest margin between what they pay depositors and what they earn from loans when rates rise. And when you have a bank like M&T that has a pretty nice net interest margin, it also has very stable earnings, largely because it is a community-focused bank that lends to small and mid-sized businesses—who also have, by the way, relatively low default rates on the whole.
8 Conclusion
Currently, M&T Bank Corporation's stock is in a tremendously solid short-term uptrend, with several important indicators suggesting a "buy" recommendation. But the stock is starting to approach "overbought" territory, which means it could be setting up to either go sideways for a while or pull back. Good support levels to look for should this happen are around $180.00 and $175.00. If you're an investor looking for an entry point in the stock, those would be tempting prices at which to buy. On the other hand, if the stock can push and hold above $190.00, we could start to talk about a potential target of $195.00.
Regards,
Ely
GOLD: Market Is Looking Up! Buy!
Welcome to our daily GOLD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 2,700.385$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
AUDJPY Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 100.21
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 99.945
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CADCHF Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the CADCHF next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.6242
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.6268
My Stop Loss - 0.6229
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDCAD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for AUDCAD is below:
The market is trading on 0.9187 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.9226
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDNZD Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on AUDNZD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 1.0998 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.1042
Safe Stop Loss - 1.0973
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SILVER: Move Down Expected! Sell!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 31.51115$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
DXY: Local Correction Ahead! Sell!
Welcome to our daily DXY prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 103.572
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!