GOLD: Strong Bearish Bias! Sell!
Welcome to our daily GOLD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 2,661.469$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
Trading
KAS Long Position (Support Retest)Market Context: KAS has retraced into a strong support zone, offering a solid opportunity to enter a spot trade position.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Ladder into a spot trade between $0.13 - $0.133.
Take Profit:
First target: $0.15 - $0.157
Second target: $0.17 - $0.18
Stop Loss: Just below $0.125.
This setup takes advantage of the support zone for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. #KAS #Crypto #Support
EURUSD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0875
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.0970
My Stop Loss - 1.0819
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPAUD: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
GBPAUD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GBPAUD
Entry - 1.9507
Stop - 1.9594
Take - 1.9359
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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USDJPY What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 149.19
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 149.54
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPCAD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
GBPCAD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.8067 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.7965
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.8120
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NAS100USD Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 20,224.4.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 19,881.5 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GOLD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2,679.580.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 2,648.659.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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CHFJPY Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for CHFJPY.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 172.971.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 173.863 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GOLD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so GOLD is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 2,533.648.
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USD/CAD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the USD/CAD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.356.
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GBP/USD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
GBP-USD downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 1.308 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the GBP/USD pair.
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USD/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/JPY pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 144.420 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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CAD/JPY BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the CAD/JPY pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 108.329 level.
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Gold Price Analysis October 16Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices traded in a positive bias for the second consecutive day and maintained intraday gains near the $2,675 region or a three-week high in the first half of the European session on Wednesday. Amid persistent geopolitical risks, disappointment over the lack of details on China’s fiscal stimulus dampened investor appetite for riskier assets. This was evident in the weaker tone in equity markets and turned out to be a key factor in favor of the safe-haven precious metal.
Meanwhile, anti-risk flows led to a further decline in US Treasury yields and provided further support to non-yielding gold. That said, the solid expectations of less aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) and bets on a regular 25 basis points (bps) rate cut in November will act as a driver of US bond yields. This, in turn, has lifted the US dollar (USD) to its highest in more than two months and could deter bullish traders from placing fresh bets on the commodity.
Technical Analysis
Gold’s break above 2680 is currently unresponsive. SELL points are in focus around 2684-2686. Above this level, only the 2700 price zone remains. A pullback is increasingly unlikely as the key area of interest will be today’s Asian session low around 2660. Wishing you a successful trading day. A scalping hook around 2670 could be a breakout point as the European session enters but this point is likely to be false
USD/CAD Rebounds from Demand Zone: Bullish Continuation in SightThe USD has shown a strong and positive response to today's economic news, signaling potential for further gains. After a temporary pullback yesterday, the Dollar is now demonstrating resilience, looking ready to recover and continue its bullish movement. This performance aligns well with our previous market analysis, where we anticipated a potential surge in the USD/CAD pair. After the pair found solid support at a key demand area, it now seems primed for an upward continuation.
From a technical perspective, the rebound on the demand zone has set a solid foundation for further growth. This area has proven to be a reliable point of reversal in the past, and the pair's recent price action suggests a renewed bullish momentum could be unfolding. The USD/CAD pair’s ability to hold above this critical zone increases the probability of a sustained upward trend in the days to come.
Adding to the technical picture, the COT (Commitment of Traders) Report reflects a market sentiment that favors the USD. According to the report, large institutional players have been positioning themselves in favor of the Dollar, while retail traders appear to be on the opposite side of the trade. This divergence between the smart money and retail positions is often a key indicator of a potential continuation of the trend. As institutional traders continue to build bullish positions, the likelihood of further upward movement in USD/CAD increases.
Additionally, seasonal patterns for this currency pair are historically aligned with periods of strength for the USD during this time of year. Over the years, USD/CAD has shown a tendency to rise during similar market conditions, adding another layer of confidence to the bullish outlook. While seasonality alone is not a decisive factor, when combined with strong technical and sentiment indicators, it provides valuable insight into the market’s potential direction.
Overall, the combination of technical analysis, market sentiment, and seasonal trends suggests that the USD/CAD is in a favorable position for continued growth. Traders looking for long opportunities may find this to be an ideal setup, especially as the pair navigates through what appears to be the beginning of a bullish momentum. As always, keeping a close eye on upcoming economic data and market events will be crucial in confirming the strength of this potential trend.
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EUR/USD Extends Losses on Turnaround Tuesday as USD StrengthensAs anticipated in our previous analysis, the EUR/USD pair extended its losses on Turnaround Tuesday, breaking through a weak demand area that had little support from underlying fundamentals. The euro continued to slide as the US Dollar (USD) maintained its upward momentum, driven by a combination of economic data and market sentiment.
US Dollar Strength Backed by FOMC Minutes
The ongoing strength of the USD has been bolstered by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes from the September 18 meeting. The minutes revealed that a "substantial majority" of Fed policymakers supported easing monetary policy with a 50-basis-point rate cut. However, they refrained from setting a specific timeline for future cuts, leaving room for further policy adjustments based on upcoming economic data.
The hawkish undertone of the FOMC's position has given the USD additional support in recent weeks, fueling its rally against major currencies, including the EUR.
FedWatch Tool Highlights Market Expectations
According to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, market participants are currently pricing in an 88% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the next Federal Reserve meeting. This high probability reflects growing expectations of further monetary easing, which has helped sustain the greenback’s strength.
Upcoming US Economic Data to Watch
Looking ahead, the market's focus will shift to Thursday, when the US releases key economic data, including USD Core Retail Sales (m/m), Retail Sales (m/m), and Unemployment Claims. These reports are expected to inject volatility into USD-correlated currency pairs, particularly EUR/USD, as they will offer insights into the strength of the US economy and provide further direction for the USD.
Traders will closely watch these releases to gauge the health of the US economy and its potential impact on the Federal Reserve’s future rate decisions. Strong retail sales data and lower unemployment claims could strengthen the USD further, while weaker-than-expected figures may signal the need for more aggressive monetary easing.
Market Positioning and Technical Outlook
From a market positioning standpoint, recent data shows a shift in sentiment among speculators and commercial traders. Speculators have reduced their net long positions in the EUR, indicating decreased confidence in the euro’s near-term prospects. Conversely, commercial traders have increased their net long positions, suggesting that some institutional investors believe the EUR may be undervalued at current levels.
From a technical perspective, we are closely monitoring two key demand areas on the chart. The price is nearing these zones, and we are waiting to see how the market reacts before making any decisions about entering long positions. If the price finds support at one of these demand areas, it could signal a potential reversal or retracement. However, as always, patience is crucial in waiting for confirmation before executing any trades.
Conclusion
The EUR/USD pair remains under pressure as the USD continues to dominate, fueled by expectations of further monetary easing and strong economic data. While the pair is approaching key demand areas, traders should exercise caution and wait for clearer signals before entering long positions. With Thursday's US data releases on the horizon, the markets are set for increased volatility, and these reports will likely shape the next phase of EUR/USD's direction.
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Harmony one is going up! Technical analysis + trade plan by BFChart Overview
Timeframe: 4-hour (Binance Exchange)
Price as of Analysis: $0.01346
Volume: 3.744 million ONE
Formation: Falling Wedge pattern
Chart Patterns and Indicators:
Falling Wedge:
A falling wedge pattern is typically a bullish reversal pattern, indicating that the current downward trend is weakening and a potential breakout to the upside could follow.
The narrowing of price action shows a decline in both support and resistance levels, with lower highs and lower lows.
The breakout is anticipated above the wedge resistance, potentially marking the beginning of an uptrend.
The VMC Cipher B indicator is similar to the MACD and shows signs of bullish divergence, meaning that while the price has been declining, momentum is building for a potential reversal.
The RSI is hovering around 50.25, which is neutral but can indicate momentum is shifting. If RSI starts increasing above 55, it will confirm bullish momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator is currently at 35.30, this shows the asset is near the oversold zone but still in neutral territory. A move above 40 may confirm a bullish trend reversal.
The HMA histogram shows early signs of turning bullish as the color changes and bars are in the process of shifting positive.
Volume has decreased over the wedge formation, which is typical of such patterns. An increase in volume after the breakout will serve as confirmation for a stronger upward move.
Potential Price Targets:
Immediate Resistance: $0.01360 - This is the wedge resistance. A breakout above this level confirms the pattern.
First Target: $0.01550 - Based on previous price levels, this area is the next resistance once the breakout occurs.
Second Target: $0.01750 - This aligns with the previous significant high and could be a target after the first resistance.
Risk Factors:
Stop-Loss: It’s crucial to place a stop-loss below $0.01200 (below the previous support levels) to manage risk in case of a false breakout.
Volume Confirmation: Ensure that the breakout occurs with significant volume, as low-volume breakouts may lead to a reversal back into the wedge.
Trading Plan
1. Entry:
Enter a long position after a confirmed breakout above the $0.01360 resistance with strong volume confirmation. A 4-hour candle close above this level should confirm the breakout.
2. Stop-Loss:
Place a stop-loss slightly below $0.01200 to manage the downside risk in case the falling wedge pattern fails and the price reverses.
3. Profit Targets:
First Target: Set a take-profit around $0.01550 to capture the first major move after the breakout.
Second Target: For those with a higher risk appetite, target $0.01750, which aligns with the next resistance.
4. Position Size:
Risk only 1-2% of your trading capital on this trade. Given the potential volatility and the falling wedge pattern, it's essential to manage position size conservatively.
5. Monitoring:
Keep an eye on the volume and the RSI/Stochastic Oscillator. If RSI rises above 55 and Stochastic confirms the upward movement, the breakout should gain more strength.
Monitor for any potential fake breakouts. If the price fails to close above the resistance on the 4-hour chart, consider delaying the entry until clear confirmation is given.
The Harmony (ONE/USDT) chart is showing a potentially bullish falling wedge formation, indicating that a reversal from the recent downtrend could occur soon. A breakout above $0.01360 with confirmed volume is crucial for confirming the uptrend. If confirmed, Harmony could target $0.01550 and $0.01750 in the near term, but it's important to employ tight risk management through proper stop-loss placement.
AMBER ENTERPRISES-Weekly Breakout with Strong MomentumBreakout Confirmation: Amber Enterprises has given a decisive breakout above the crucial Fibonacci 23.6% level (₹5,206), with a significant price surge. This breakout was accompanied by heavy volume , indicating strong bullish momentum and participation.
Fibonacci Levels:
The stock retraced from its highs at ₹6,256.7, respecting the Fibonacci levels:
38.2% retracement at ₹4,557.35.
50% retracement at ₹4,032.40.
61.8% retracement at ₹3,507.50, which acted as a strong support before the stock resumed its upward movement.
The breakout above ₹5,206 now opens the path towards the previous highs around ₹6,256.7.
Bullish Trendline Support: The stock has been respecting an ascending triangle pattern, marked by higher lows, which reflects accumulation and strengthening of the uptrend. The recent breakout from this triangle pattern gives further bullish confirmation.
Targets Ahead:
Near-term target : Based on the breakout and the height of the triangle, the immediate target is around ₹6,256, which aligns with the 0% Fibonacci level.
Potential upside projection : Using the measured move from the breakout, the stock has a potential to reach ₹6,900-7,000 levels, reflecting a 30-40% upside from the breakout point.
RSI Momentum : The RSI has broken above the 70-mark, entering the overbought zone, which confirms strong bullish momentum. However, the overbought condition may suggest some consolidation in the short term before the next leg up.
Support Levels : On any pullback, strong support lies around the Fibonacci 38.2% level at ₹4,557.35, followed by ₹4,032.40 (50% level). As long as these supports hold, the overall trend remains bullish.
Conclusion : Amber Enterprises is showing a powerful breakout with high volume, indicating a potential bullish rally in the coming weeks. Traders can look for opportunities on pullbacks or momentum continuation above ₹5,500, with a near-term target of ₹6,256 and a possible extension towards ₹6,900.