EURUSD Will Move Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.049.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.057 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GBP_JPY RISKY SHORT|
✅GBP_JPY is retesting a resistance level of 195.000
From where I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
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USDCHF - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
0.86129 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
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EUR-USD Strong Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is trading in a
Local uptrend and the pair
Made a bullish breakout of
The key horizontal level
Of 1.0458 which reinforces
Our bullish bias and will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Tesla (TSLA) at a Crossroads – Big Move Coming?TSLA is stuck in a consolidation phase around $406 , with a key decision point ahead! 📊
🔍 What’s happening?
The stock is hovering inside a tight range (orange zone) , struggling to break out.
Momentum is cooling off, but a breakout could trigger the next big trend!
⚡ Scenarios to watch:
📈 Bullish: A breakout above $425 could open the door to $475+ – clear skies ahead! 🚀
📉 Bearish: If support fails, we might see a drop toward the $350-$375 zone. 📉
🔥 Eyes on the prize! Will bulls take charge, or is a deeper pullback coming? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 👇
The Psychology Of Markets: A Deep Dive Into Sentiment IndicatorsMarket dynamics are mainly driven by the interaction between available assets and market demand. These forces are shaped by both retail participants and professional market makers. Public sentiment reacts strongly to media coverage and market news. When negative speculation (FUD) spreads, it tends to cause selling pressure, while positive news stimulates buying activity. This can be seen now for example in the world of crypto markets when prices react sharply to world events. And while mathematical indicators track price patterns, there are specific metrics that measure collective market psychology. Let's take a look at the key indicators that measure crowd behavior.
📍 Key Market Psychology Metrics
1. Volatility Assessment (VIX)
The Volatility Index, commonly referred to as TVC:VIX or the market's "pulse of fear," quantifies market turbulence expectations. Developed at CBOE, this tool projects anticipated market fluctuations for a 30-day window by analyzing S&P 500 options data.
📍 VIX Calculation Method:
◾️ Evaluates SP:SPX derivative contracts expiring within 30 days
◾️ Implements sophisticated mathematical modeling, including weighted calculations and interpolative methods
◾️ Synthesizes individual volatility projections into a comprehensive market volatility forecast
📍 Practical Applications
VIX serves as a psychological barometer where:
Readings below 15 indicate market stability
15-25 suggests mild uncertainty
25-30 reflects growing market anxiety
Readings above 30 signal significant turbulence potential
The index also functions as a risk management instrument, enabling portfolio protection strategies through VIX-based derivatives.
2. Market Sentiment Gauge
CNN's proprietary sentiment measurement combines seven distinct market variables to assess whether fear or optimism dominates trading activity. This metric operates on the principle that extreme fear can trigger unnecessary sell-offs, while excessive optimism might inflate valuations unsustainably.
📍 Core Components:
◾️ Price Momentum . Compares current market prices to recent average prices. Helps understand if stocks are trending up or down
◾️ New High/Low Stock Ratios. Measures how many stocks are hitting their highest/lowest points. Indicates overall market health and investor confidence
◾️ Market-Wide Directional Trends. Tracks which stocks are rising or falling. Shows general market movement and investor sentiment
◾️ Options Trading Patterns. Analyzes buying and selling of market protection options. Reveals how investors are preparing for potential market changes
◾️ Market Volatility Metrics. Measures market price fluctuations. Higher volatility suggests more investor uncertainty
◾️ High-Yield Bond Spread Analysis . Compares returns on risky versus safe bonds. Indicates investors' willingness to take financial risks
◾️ Comparative Yield Assessment . Compares returns from stocks versus government bonds. Helps understand where investors prefer to put their money
The measurement spans 0-100:
0-24: Pervasive fear
25-49: Cautious sentiment
50-74: Optimistic outlook
75-100: Excessive optimism
3. Individual Investor Sentiment Analysis (AAII Survey)
The American Association of Individual Investors conducts systematic polling to capture retail market participants' outlook. This weekly assessment provides insights into non-institutional investors' expectations for market direction over a six-month horizon. The methodology offers valuable perspective on collective retail sentiment trends.
Survey Structure : Participants respond to a focused query about market trajectory, selecting from three possible scenarios:
Optimistic outlook (Bullish) - anticipating market appreciation
Pessimistic view (Bearish) - expecting market decline
Neutral stance - projecting sideways movement
📍 Practical Applications
◾️ Contrarian Signal. Extreme readings often suggest potential market reversals. For instance, widespread pessimism might indicate oversold conditions, while excessive optimism could signal overbought markets.
◾️ Sentiment Tracking. The data helps contextualize retail investor psychology within current market conditions.
◾️ Historical Pattern Analysis. Current sentiment readings gain additional meaning when compared against historical trends.
Note: While informative, this metric specifically reflects retail sentiment and should be considered alongside institutional positioning and broader market indicators.
4. Market Participation Breadth
Market breadth analysis examines the distribution of price movements across securities to evaluate market health beyond headline index levels. This methodology assesses whether market moves reflect broad participation or concentrated activity in specific securities.
📍 Key Breadth Metrics
◾️ Advancing vs. Declining Issues . Tracks the numerical comparison between appreciating and depreciating securities
◾️ Net Advance-Decline . Calculates the cumulative difference between rising and falling stocks to identify underlying momentum
◾️ Participation Ratio . Establishes the proportion of advancing to declining securities
◾️ Moving Average Analysis . Monitors the percentage of stocks trading above key technical levels (20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages)
📍 Practical Applications
◾️ Trend Validation. Strong market breadth confirms price trends, while deteriorating breadth may signal potential reversals
◾️ Early Warning System . Divergences between price action and breadth often precede significant market shifts
◾️ Trend Strength Assessment. Broad participation in market moves typically indicates more sustainable trends
This analytical framework provides deeper insight into market dynamics beyond surface-level price movements, helping investors and traders better understand the underlying strength or weakness of current market conditions.
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Bitcoin struggles to break through Dec 17 daily close. In this video I discuss how Bitcoin could not break through the high from Dec 17 close ($106,187), and how that has been a significant resistance level even though Bitcoin has traded higher intraday, it has not been able to close above that level.
USOIL My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
USOIL looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 74.53 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 76.87
Recommended Stop Loss - 73.41
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 24, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the S&P 500 successfully achieved our predefined target of Outer Index Rally, 6123, corresponding to the Key Resistance established at 6090. The market is currently exhibiting a phase of consolidation, as the bullish trend appears to be transiently suspended following the conclusion of the outer index rally. It is, however, essential to acknowledge that the absence of a significant corrective pullback may facilitate the re-initiation of a bullish trajectory toward additional rally targets. Such a development would position the market advantageously for the forthcoming phase of the bullish trend.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 24, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar saw a significant increase during this week's trading session after successfully breaking through our resistance levels at 1.031 and 1.039 and is now resting at the previous weekly chart analysis charts identified as a resistance level of 1.051. We expect a rally towards the next key target, the Interim Inner Currency Rally, set at 1.060. However, this upward movement could lead to a temporary retracement towards the support level at 1.041 and may challenge the next significant support level at 1.024.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 24, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, Bitcoin has successfully achieved and completed a significant Inner Coin Rally at the 108000 level. This development indicates a probable pullback to the Mean Support level of 101300, with the potential for further extension to the Mean Support level of 98000 before a resurgence in the bull market may occur. Conversely, should this pullback not transpire, the currency may experience upward movement, retesting the completed Inner Coin Rally at 108000 and challenging the next Outer Coin Rally at 110000 and beyond.
BTCUSD Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the BTCUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 10437
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 10510
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPUSD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.247.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.240.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!