Trading
What's the fate of EURUSD?market may likly push lower to try to form a lower low or a double bottom, whatever be the case, we can still make a 1:4 trade this week from this pair. This pair has being bearsh for over a month and may likely continue, but there may be a major pull back to the monthly fib zone. so watch out for that retracement and pay attention to taking out your short profits
Natural Gas: Analyzing Seasonal Trends and Supply PressuresIn the natural gas market, we observe a critical juncture that suggests a potential shift in pricing trends. Over the past decade, historical data has revealed a recurring seasonal pattern that may indicate the onset of a bearish phase during this particular time of year.
Currently, the market is approaching a significant supply zone, which could serve as a pivotal trigger for price corrections. This area has consistently tested traders' sentiments, and if the pressures of supply outstrip demand, it may catalyze a downward movement in prices.
Given these observations, positioning for a short scenario seems increasingly viable. As market participants weigh their options, it is essential to remain vigilant and analyze how these supply-demand dynamics will unfold in the coming weeks. Understanding the interplay between seasonal trends and market sentiment will be crucial as we navigate this potentially shifting landscape in the natural gas sector.
✅ Please share your thoughts about NG in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Is GBP/USD Set for a Further Rally? Let's have a look.The GBP/USD pair made a robust recovery at the beginning of the week, showcasing strength against its major competitors. This bounce-back comes after a notable decline on Friday, triggered by disappointing economic data. Specifically, the UK Retail Sales contracted at a faster-than-anticipated rate in October, and the flash S&P Global/CIPS Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for November fell below the critical 50.0 mark for the first time since October 2023.
The primary factor contributing to the Pound Sterling's resurgence appears to be strong market sentiment regarding the Bank of England's (BoE) potential for a more measured approach to policy easing compared to other Western central banks. Notably, the currency is trading within a demand zone, suggesting the potential for upward movement. Additionally, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report indicates that retail sentiment is leaning bearish; however, similar to the EUR/USD, the opening gap might be filled, which could lead to a further decline in prices.
A decline towards the 1.2400 level could present an attractive buying opportunity for those looking to acquire the Pound at a discount. Historical seasonality trends also indicate a likelihood for the GBP to appreciate in the near term. Nevertheless, I recommend waiting until Wednesday, following the release of the USD unemployment data, before making any trading decisions. Currently, my outlook remains bearish on the GBP/USD.
GBP/USD GAP
✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Gold price analysis November 25Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices fell after hitting a near three-week high around $2,721-$2,722 in Asian trade on Monday and now appear to have snapped a five-day winning streak. US President-elect Donald Trump has nominated Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary, removing a major source of uncertainty for the market. Additionally, reports that Israel is close to a ceasefire with the Hezbollah militant group in Lebanon have boosted investor confidence. This has translated into a bullish mood in the market and has pulled the safe-haven metal back to near the mid-$2,600 level.
Furthermore, expectations that Trump’s proposed policies could spark inflation and limit the scope for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have turned out to be another factor undermining the non-yielding gold price. Meanwhile, Bessent has been vocal about the need to control the deficit and his nomination brought some relief to bond investors. This led to a sharp drop in US Treasury yields, prompting some profit-taking in the US Dollar (USD) following the post-US election rally to its highest level since November 2022 and helping limit any further declines in XAU/USD.
Technical Analysis
After a strong decline in the price zone of 2658, the recovery is approaching the breakout zone of 2673. The European trading session will pay attention to the 2773 zone. When the price breaks this zone in the European session, it will return to the uptrend today with an important price of 2684. In case the price pushes down and cannot break the temporary bottom of 2658, the strategy will wait to BUY again when there is a price reaction. If it breaks 2658, 2645 will become the strategic support zone of today to prevent the price of Gold from sliding.
EUR/USD Outlook: Strong Demand and Uncertain Economic SignalsThe EUR/USD pair has experienced a notable rebound, aligning with our previous outlook as it approached a robust weekly demand zone at the onset of the new weekly candle, marked by a bullish gap. Recent data from Germany indicates a decline in the IFO Current Assessment Index, dropping to 84.3 in November from 85.7. Meanwhile, the Expectations Index decreased slightly from 87.3 to 87.2. Despite these figures, the euro appears resilient, seemingly brushing off the negative data.
On the other hand, downward pressure on the US dollar remains limited, fueled by recent economic indicators that suggest the Federal Reserve might be inclined to scale back the pace of interest rate cuts. This week’s unemployment claims data, set to be released on Wednesday, has the potential to move the markets significantly, especially if the figures come in more favorable than the forecast, which anticipates an uptick in unemployment.
Interestingly, there is the possibility of an upward thrust in the weekly DXY chart, although it has yet to be confirmed by trading volumes.
Given the current market dynamics, it may be prudent to hold off on making any moves until Wednesday. This will allow traders to assess potential retracement opportunities as the market may look to recover the gap created during the Asian session.
EUR/USD Gap
✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Roblox Corporation (RBLX) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Roblox Corporation NYSE:RBLX is a trailblazer in the gaming and metaverse sectors, offering a platform that enables users to create, share, and play immersive experiences. Its user-generated content model drives high engagement while keeping operational costs low, positioning the company for sustained growth in the evolving digital entertainment space.
Key Drivers of Growth:
Strategic Partnerships:
Roblox’s partnership with Monarch focuses on enhancing operational efficiency and customer satisfaction, key factors that can improve both user retention and financial performance.
User-Generated Content (UGC):
The platform thrives on UGC, ensuring a constant flow of new and engaging experiences while minimizing content development costs. This model not only drives long-term engagement but also fosters a community-centric ecosystem that scales naturally with user activity.
International Expansion:
Localization efforts and targeted marketing in international markets open new revenue streams. By tailoring the platform to diverse demographics, Roblox aims to capture significant market share in regions where gaming and metaverse adoption are on the rise.
Platform Monetization:
The introduction of enhanced monetization tools, including developer incentives and virtual item sales, contributes to revenue diversification and aligns platform success with creator growth.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Stance: We are bullish on RBLX above $45.00-$46.00, supported by its innovative business model, expanding global footprint, and strong user engagement.
Upside Target: With the company’s strategic initiatives and robust growth prospects, we target $75.00-$77.00, reflecting the potential for significant gains as Roblox scales its metaverse ambitions.
📈 Roblox—Leading the Future of Immersive Entertainment! #Metaverse #GamingInnovation #UGC
Russia-Ukraine tensions appear to be spreadingRussian President Vladimir Putin today, November 22, announced that the test of a medium-range missile complex carrying an Oreshnik supersonic warhead was successful. A day earlier, Russia attacked the Southern Machine Manufacturing Factory (Yuzhmash) in Dnipro (Ukraine), saying this was a move in response to Ukraine's use of ATACMS missiles supplied by the US with Storm Shadow missiles from the UK.
This week, gold prices increased by 5.7% - recording the strongest weekly increase since March 2023 - when the local banking crisis in the US broke out. The price has increased for 5 consecutive versions, for a total of more than 170 USD.
Gold is the preferred tool during any political, economic upheaval and low interest rates. The price went up despite the Dollar Index reaching a 2-year peak today and Bitcoin setting a new record at 99,768 USD per coin.
The gold market also ignores that the probability of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) easing monetary policy next month is gradually decreasing. Investors currently forecast that the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates is only 53%, down sharply from 82% last week.
🔥 XAUUSD BUY 2672 - 2670🔥
💵 TP1: 2680
💵 TP2: 2690
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2660
US30 Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for US30.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 44,614.35.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 43,793.35 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SILVER Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 30.769.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 32.322 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.048.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.033 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDCHF Will Move Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.889.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.898 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the GOLD with the target of 2,610.856 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GBP/AUD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the GBP/AUD pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 1.948 level.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GBP/CHF BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on GBP/CHF right now from the resistance line above with the target of 1.110 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GBP/JPY BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s red candle means that for us the GBP/JPY pair is in the downtrend. And the current movement leg was also down but the support line will be hit soon and lower BB band proximity will signal an oversold condition so we will go for a counter-trend long trade with the target being at 199.028.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅