Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 27, 2025 🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸🚗 Auto Tariffs Announced: President Trump has announced a 25% tariff on all cars not made in the U.S., effective April 2. This move is expected to impact the automotive industry and could influence market sentiment.
🇬🇧📉 UK Inflation Falls: UK inflation has decreased to 2.8% in February, down from 3% in January, raising speculation about a potential interest rate cut by the Bank of England in May. This development may have implications for global markets.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Thursday, March 27:
📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: 226,000
Previous: 223,000
Indicates the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time during the past week, offering insight into the labor market.
📈 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – Second Revision (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: 2.3% annualized growth
Previous: 2.3%
Provides a second estimate of the nation's economic growth for the fourth quarter of 2024.
🏠 Pending Home Sales Index (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 1.0%
Previous: -4.6%
Measures housing contract activity for existing single-family homes, offering insights into future home sales.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Trading
USD-CHF Local Short Form Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF is trading in a
Kind of range consolidating
For a next big move but
Right now we can use the
Moment to trade the local
Range and to short the pair
From the horizontal resistance
Of 0.8855
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
UK100 Technical Analysis 🔹 Trend Overview:
UK100 is currently consolidating between key support and resistance levels, suggesting a potential breakout scenario.
🔹 Key Levels:
📈 Resistance: 8,727 – A breakout above this level could push price toward 8,818.
📉 Support: 8,627 – If broken, price may drop toward 8,475.
🔹 Market Structure:
✅ Price is in a range-bound phase, with a possible breakout in either direction.
🚀 Bullish scenario: Break above 8,727 → Retest → Target 8,818 → 8,912.
⚠️ Bearish scenario: Rejection at 8,727 → Drop to 8,627 → Break → Target 8,475.
🔹 Trade Idea:
Bullish above 8,727 with targets at 8,818 and 8,912.
Bearish below 8,627 with targets at 8,475.
📌 Risk Management: Wait for confirmation of breakout or rejection before entering trades.
I'll be honest here friends it's not looking good...I'll be honest here friends it's not looking good...
This may have been a Dead Cat Bounce on the NASDAQ:QQQ and AMEX:SPY friends.
GAP fills in both names lead to Bear Flag Breakdowns which in my mind leads to the next leg down.
Rejecting 200DMA on the NASDAQ:QQQ and losing control on the AMEX:SPY
Markets are hanging on slightly, lets see what happens the rest of the week.
Not financial advice
S Trade Setup - Waiting for Retrace to SupportS has had a strong rally over the last two weeks and is now at resistance. We’re waiting for a retrace to the next support level before entering a long spot trade.
🛠 Trade Details:
Entry: Around $0.55
Take Profit Targets:
$0.62 (First Target)
$0.74 - $0.80 (Mid Target)
$0.91 - $0.98 (Extended Target)
Stop Loss: Just below $0.48
We'll be watching for confirmation of support before executing the trade! 📈🔥
AVAX Trade Setup - Waiting for Retrace to SupportAVAX has had a strong run over the last two weeks. Now, we're waiting for a retrace to key support before entering a long spot trade.
🛠 Trade Details:
Entry: Around $20.00
Take Profit Targets:
$23.50 (First Target)
$31.00 (Extended Target)
Stop Loss: Just below $18.00
Watching for buying pressure at the support level before confirming the move! 📈🔥
GBPJPY: Time to Grow?! 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY looks strongly bullish after the release of the today's fundamentals.
Bullish accumulation on an hourly time frame looks completed
and the price has just formed a high momentum bullish candle.
I expect a bullish movement at least to 194.6 level now.
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SPY WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅SPY has hit a key structure level of 577.50$
Which implies a high likelihood of a move down
As some market participants will be taking profit from their long positions
While others will find this price level to be good for selling
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
APPLE My Opinion! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for APPLE is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 218.33
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Point sHigh anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 229.62
My Stop Loss - 213.08
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURUSD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.0815
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.0800
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BITCOIN Wait For Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN is trading below
The horizontal resistance
Of 92,000$ and has formed
A bearish wedge pattern so
We are bearish biased and
IF we see a bearish breakout
From the wedge we can
Be expecting a further move down
Sell!
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CADJPY What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for CADJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 105.42
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 104.26
Recommended Stop Loss - 106.00
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅CRUDE OIL has hit a TP
Of our last free signal and
Went further up just as we
Predicted but will soon hit
A horizontal resistance level
Of 70.57$ from where we will
Be expecting a local bearish
Correction and a move down
SHORT🔥
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CAD-CHF Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-CHF has made some
Gains from the recent lows
Just as we expected but now
The pair is entering the
Horizontal resistance area
Around 0.6212 from where
We can enter a short trade
With the Take Profit of 0.6162
And the Stop Loss of 0.6233
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD/JPY: Long Opportunity at Weekly Demand ZoneThe USD/JPY currency pair is currently pulling back into a significant weekly demand area, presenting a promising opportunity for traders looking to enter long positions. This area historically denotes strong buying interest, suggesting potential upward momentum.
In contrast, the 6J1! Yen futures market displays a bearish sentiment, with many retail traders positioning against this bullish signal in USD/JPY. This divergence in market sentiment could create unique trading opportunities for those who can effectively interpret technical indicators and retail positioning.
Yen Futures
To capitalize on this potential rebound, a pending order has been set on the CFD for USD/JPY, with a buy limit positioned just above the demand zone. Effective risk management, including a stop-loss just below the demand area, is essential as traders navigate this evolving landscape.
In summary, the combination of strong demand at critical levels and contrasting sentiment in the futures market presents a strategic trading scenario for bullish plays in USD/JPY.
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GBP/USD: Technical Signals Point to Potential Bearish ReversalIn the early stages of the European session on Friday, GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its footing, trading below the 1.2925 mark as I compose this article. The pair faces pressure from a robust demand for the US dollar amid a backdrop of cautiousness from the Federal Reserve and prevailing economic uncertainties. This selling pressure persists despite the Bank of England's recent hawkish stance.
As market participants await insights from Federal Reserve officials as well as a speech from US President Trump in the Oval Office, attention is heightened. From a technical perspective, the currency pair has entered a supply zone, prompting expectations for a potential reversal and the commencement of a bearish trend.
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High Volatility Trade Management & Risk Management Strategies
With a current geopolitical uncertainty and the election of Trump, forex market and gold experience wild price fluctuations. These unpredictable swings can result in substantial losses, particularly for the beginners in trading.
In this article, I will share with you the essential trade management and risk management tips for dealing with extreme volatility in trading.
I will reveal proven strategies and techniques for avoiding losses and unexpected risks.
1. First and foremost, pay attention to the news.
The main driver of high volatility on the markets are the news , especially the bad ones.
In normal times, high impact news events are relatively rare, while in times of uncertainty their frequency increases dramatically.
Such news may easily invalidate the best technical analysis setup: any powerful support or resistance level, strong price action or candle stick pattern can be easily overturned by the fundamentals.
Trump tariffs threats against Canada made USDCAD rise by 400 pips rapidly, while the change of rhetoric quickly returned the prices to previous levels.
One you hold an active trade, monitor the news. If you see the impactful news that may affect the pair or instrument that you trade, immediately protect your position, moving stop loss to entry.
It will help you avoid losses if the market starts going against you.
2. Even constantly monitoring the news, you will not be able to protect yourself from all the surprising movements.
Sometimes your trades will quickly be closed in a loss.
Therefore, I strictly recommend measure a lot size for every trade that you take. Make sure that you risk no more than 1% of your trading account per trade. That will help you to minimize losses cased by the impactful, uncertain events.
3. The impactful events may also occur on weekend, while Forex market is closed. Such incidents can be the cause of huge gap openings.
If you hold an active trading position over the weekend, remember that your entire account can be easily blown with such gaps.
Imagine that you decided to buy EURUSD on Friday during the NY session and keep holding the position over the weekend.
A huge gap down opening would make you face huge losses, opening the market 125 pips below the entry level.
By the way, this day I received a dozen of messages from my followers that their accounts were blown with the opening gaps.
4. If you see a significant price movement caused by some events, and you did not manage to catch it, let it go.
Jumping in such movements is very risky because quite ofter correctional movements will follow quickly.
It will be much safer and better to try to be involved in a trend continuation after a pullback.
Look what happened with Gold when Trump began a new trade war.
The price started to grow rapidly. However, even during such a sentiment, 500 pips pullback occurred, giving patient traders a safe entry point for the trade.
5. In the midst of geopolitical tensions and trade wars, the markets tend to rally or fall for the extended time periods.
The best trading strategies to use to get maximum from such movements are trend-following strategies.
While reversal, counter-trend trading might be extremely risky, providing a lot of false signals.
Trend trading may bring extraordinary profits.
These trading tips, risk management and trade management strategies and secrets are tailored for cutting and avoiding losses during dark times. Empower your strategy with this useful knowledge and good luck to you in trading high volatility on Gold and Forex.
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GOLD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 3,024.22.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 3,056.10 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDUSD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.631.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.618 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CADCHF Will Go Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for CADCHF.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.619.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.623 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!