Trading
Tia@Celestia on WEEKLY LONG ENTRY
Hello everyone, and happy Friday!
BTC's current price is 99,269 USDT—incredible! For a quick and simple TA on BTC, check out my ideas. Feel free to boost if you like the content.
As for Celestia (#50 on CMC) on the weekly chart: the price remains at low levels but is forming higher lows compared to the week of September 2nd. The system is LONG, with the stop-loss (SL) placed at the first PSR, which technically validates this position. This makes it a forced entry on the weekly. I'll keep you updated.
Have a great weekend, everyone! It’s late here (UTC+02:00), but if it’s still early where you are, I hope your Friday night is everything you want it to be.
Stay safe, and remember to think before acting.
Cardano ADA - 200D SMA Bull Regime DetectionTo view script:
Understanding the chart
Bullish Regime:
The price is currently above the 200D SMA, indicating a bullish regime and a regime duration of 16 bars.
Strong Momentum:
Large distance from price to both SMAs (119.62% and 141.38%) suggests powerful upward momentum
Historical Price Action
Long Bear Market (2022-2023):
Extended period below 200 SMA
Multiple failed attempts to break above
Declining 200 SMA indicating strong bearish trend
Accumulation Phase (Mid-2023):
Price consolidated around 200 SMA
Reduced volatility
Built base for current move
Recent Breakout:
Clean break above 200D SMA
Sharp increase in volume and momentum
Understanding Leverage in Forex: Steep Risks and Big RewardsLeverage is the not-so-secret sauce to accelerate your gains at breakneck speed or blow up the entire operation if you don’t know what you’re doing (or you just want too much.) It’s a simple concept with profound implications—a multiplier that lets traders control positions far larger than the capital they actually have. Sounds like a dream, right? But in forex , dreams can turn into nightmares faster than you can say “margin call.”
Let’s unravel this seductive, high-stakes game changer.
❔ What Is Leverage?
“We were always leveraged to the hilt when we bought something and ran out of money, we would look at the portfolio and push out whatever appeared to be the least attractive item at that point,” explains Jim Rogers, George Soros’s partner, in Jack D. Schwager’s book “Market Wizards: Interviews with Top Traders.”
At its core, leverage is borrowed capital. When you trade with leverage, you’re essentially using your broker’s money to amplify the size of your position. Let’s say you want to invest $1,000 and use a leverage ratio of 100:1. This means you can control a position worth $100,000. A small 1% movement in your favor equals $1,000 in profit—doubling your initial investment in a single move. Sounds good, doesn’t it?
But here’s the catch: leverage works both ways. A 1% move against you wipes out your entire $1,000. It’s the double-edged sword that can turn modest accounts into heavyweights—or into dust.
🧲 The Allure of Amplified Gains
Forex traders are drawn to leverage like moths to a flame, and for good reason. The ability to turn small price movements into significant profits is exhilarating and means you don’t have to chip in gargantuan amounts of cash to make bank.
In a market where currency pairs often move fractions of a percentage daily, leverage is what makes those movements meaningful. Without it, most traders would struggle to eke out gains worth their time.
Consider a scenario where you’re trading a major currency pair like the EUR/USD . The price moves 50 pips in your favor, and each pip is worth $10 on a standard lot. Without leverage, you might only afford a micro lot, making your profit $5—not exactly a game changer. But with 100:1 leverage, you control a full lot, turning that $5 into $500. Suddenly, your modest deposit has real firepower.
This potential for outsized returns is intoxicating, especially for new traders. But like any powerful tool, misuse can be catastrophic.
💣 The Flip Side: Risks That Loom Large
If leverage is the hero of ever-moving forex trading space , it’s also the villain. For every dollar it helps you earn, it can take away just as quickly. While a 50-pip move in your favor feels like striking gold, the same move against you might be a financial disaster.
Even seasoned traders aren’t immune to the dangers of leverage. The forex market is inherently volatile, with prices influenced by everything from central bank policies to geopolitical tensions. Leverage amplifies these fluctuations, turning minor market noise into account-draining chaos if you’re not prepared.
Here’s the brutal truth: most traders underestimate the risks of leverage. Maybe because it’s so common they’ve gotten used to it. Overleveraging—taking on more risk than your account can handle—is the silent account killer. And it doesn’t take a market meltdown to wreck your balance. A sudden spike caused by unexpected news or a tweet can trigger a margin call, leaving you with nothing but a hard lesson.
🤙 Margin Calls: The Grim Reality
Let’s talk about margin calls, the dreaded phone call (once upon a time) no trader wants to receive—except it’s not a phone call anymore. It’s an automated popup notification from your broker informing you that your account equity has fallen below the required margin. Essentially, you’ve run out of money to sustain your positions and the broker is stepping in to close them before you owe more than your account balance.
This is where overleveraged and undercapitalized traders often meet their doom. A market move that would’ve been a minor setback on a properly sized position becomes a catastrophic loss when leverage is maxed out and equity is dried up. The lesson? Never let your enthusiasm for big trades overshadow your need for risk management.
🎯 Mastering Leverage: The Balanced Approach
Leverage isn’t inherently bad—it’s neutral. Like any tool, its impact depends on how it’s used. Successful traders respect leverage. They don’t treat it as a shortcut to riches but as a calculated risk multiplier.
Risk management is the cornerstone of surviving—and thriving—in a leveraged environment. This includes using stop-loss orders to limit potential losses, never risking more than an acceptable percentage of your account on a single trade and maintaining sufficient margin to weather market fluctuations.
And let’s not forget the importance of choosing the right leverage ratio. Many brokers offer leverage as high as 500:1, but that doesn’t mean you should take it. A lower ratio, like 10:1 or 20:1, gives you more breathing room and reduces the chances of wiping out your account. And if you decide to go for the upper echelons of leverage, say 100:1, then you should consider scaling down your positions to get that same breathing room.
🤔 The Psychology of Leverage
Leverage does more than magnify financial outcomes; it amplifies emotions too. The thrill of quick profits can lead to overconfidence, while the fear of losses can paralyze decision-making. Understanding your psychological tendencies is crucial when trading with leverage.
Patience and discipline are your best allies. Stick to your trading plan, avoid impulsive decisions, and don’t let the lure of high leverage cloud your judgment. The goal here isn’t just to make money once or twice—it’s to stay in the game for as long as possible.
So, how do you handle leverage? Are you the as-good-as-your-last-trade trader or you’re the more cautious, risk-averse type? Comment below and let’s spin up the discussion!
McDonald’s (MCD): Crisis Management and Market ReactionWhat a perfect flat this is on McDonald’s. Already back in the range and finished the wave ((ii)) at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. Far more downside is expected for $MCD. If we are right about this intra wave count, we should see the level of wave ((iii)) to be at a minimum of $258.5.
The outbreak that caused the big drop was linked to slivered onions used in Quarter Pounder burgers, which affected 104 individuals across 14 states and resulted in one death. To address the crisis, McDonald’s will invest $35 million in marketing and advertising campaigns to rebuild customer trust and foot traffic. Additionally, $65 million will be directed toward franchisee support, including deferrals on rent and royalties.
To recover from this significant image damage, it will likely take much time for NYSE:MCD to resolve these challenges. Therefore, it would also be valid if NYSE:MCD sweeps the range low at the level of $245 before coming back to at least the range middle.
NZD-USD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair
Made a bearish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 0.5850 so as we are
Bearish biased we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
MRO - About to run a marathon! 45% UpsideNYSE:MRO - About to run a marathon! 45% Upside
Marathon Oil Corporation is attempting to break out of a multi-year BULLISH PENNANT pattern and a Bull Flag within it at the same time. We also have turned green on the H5 Indicator.
Entry: $29.70
SL: $27.35
Profit Targets:
$32
$37
$42.50
NFA
US30 Is Going Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for US30.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 43,873.82.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 42,150.13 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GOLD Will Fall! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 2,699.516.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 2,653.450 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USDCHF Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 0.890.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 0.881 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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NZDJPY Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 90.196.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 90.681 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on GOLD right now from the resistance line above with the target of 2,617.629 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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EUR/NZD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s red candle means that for us the EUR/NZD pair is in the downtrend. And the current movement leg was also down but the support line will be hit soon and lower BB band proximity will signal an oversold condition so we will go for a counter-trend long trade with the target being at 1.803.
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EUR/JPY BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
EUR/JPY pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly falling on the 1H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 162.784 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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GOLD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2701.9 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 2651.6
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold price analysis November 22Gundamental analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) maintained its strong intraday gains in early European trading and is now trading near a two-week high, just below the $2,700 mark. Persistent geopolitical risks stemming from the worsening Russia-Ukraine conflict helped the safe-haven precious metal extend its weekly rally for a fifth straight day. In addition, expectations that US President-elect Donald Trump’s expansionary policies could stoke inflationary pressures turned out to be another factor in favor of the commodity, which is seen as an inflation hedge.
Meanwhile, buying of the US dollar (USD) remained unabated amid growing acceptance that higher inflation could limit the scope for further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Furthermore, expectations of a less dovish Fed, coupled with concerns over a larger fiscal deficit, still favor rising US Treasury yields, although they have not significantly dampened the bullish sentiment around non-yielding Gold. XAU/USD bulls have even ignored the prevailing risk-on sentiment, suggesting that the path of least resistance for bullion is to the upside.
Technical Analysis
2708-2710 is emerging as a technical resistance zone at the moment with corrective waves expected. 2673 and 2675 are the two targets we are aiming for. Note that today is the weekend so huge volatility is still waiting for the US session.
GBPUSD: Classic Breakout Trade 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD broke and closed below a key daily horizontal support.
After a breakout, the price retested the broken structure
and started to consolidate on that, forming a range.
Bearish breakout of the range is a strong intraday bearish confirmation.
It increases the probabilities that the breakout is valid.
We can expect a fall at least to 1.254
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Gold confirm buy here is opportunity read the caption he USD rallied hard on Wednesday, tracking the sharp gains in the US bond yields as traders reinforced the Trump trades optimism, digesting hawkish Fed commentary and poor 20-year bond auction results.
Most of the Fed officials who spoke on Wednesday sound a bit hawkish, prompting markets scale back their expectations of a 25 basis points (bps) interest rate cut in December
Despite the barrier of USD price increase, GOLD still increasesThe latest US weekly macroeconomic data showed 213,000 new unemployment claims, down sharply from the previous week. This further increases the market's expectation that the US Federal Reserve (FED) will further lower interest rates in December.
In response to this information, the USD–Index surpassed the 107 point mark, meaning the USD increased in price very strongly, which could have a negative impact on the gold market.
However, today's gold price continues to increase. The reason for the Russia-Ukraine military conflict is still tense. Investors look to gold for a safe haven for capital.
🔥 GOLD SELL 2698 - 2700🔥
💵 TP1: 2685
💵 TP2: 2675
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2708
🔥 GOLD BUY 2673 - 2675🔥
💵 TP1: 2685
💵 TP2: 2695
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2668
World gold prices rebounded strongly as tensions escalatedGold prices increased due to bottom-fishing demand skyrocketing in the context of increasing Russia-Ukraine tensions. President-elect Donald Trump is unlikely to end the Ukraine conflict soon after coming to power on January 20.
Currently, investors' attention is also focused on some officials of the US Federal Reserve (FED), who are expected to give speeches this week. Market expectations for a December rate cut have dropped significantly, with odds now at 55.7%, down from 82.5% just a week ago.
Ms. Lisa Cook - member of the FED Board of Governors said that the country's inflation continues to decline, with wages and the job market "cooling down", rising prices mainly in the housing sector. With this trend, the FED's continued interest rate cuts are considered still appropriate. However, she did not confirm the possibility that the FED will cut interest rates at its next meeting in December.
Goldman Sachs - one of the world's leading investment banks, has just raised its gold price forecast to 2,900 USD/ounce, about 89.2 million VND/tael in early 2025, an increase of 200 USD compared to the previous forecast. there.
🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2698 - 2700🔥
💵 TP1: 2685
💵 TP2: 2675
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2708
🔥 XAUUSD BUY 2673 - 2675🔥
💵 TP1: 2685
💵 TP2: 2695
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2668