GOLD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2912.4
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2897.6
Recommended Stop Loss - 2918.8
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Trading
$KBE’S BANKING BOOM—Q4 STRENGTH & POST-ELECTION SURGEAMEX:KBE ’S BANKING BOOM—Q4 STRENGTH & POST-ELECTION SURGE
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview! AMEX:KBE ’s riding high—up 8.3% since the Nov ‘24 election, beating AMEX:SPY ’s 3.3% 📈🔥. Banks are cashing in on trading and dealmaking post-election. Let’s dive into the AMEX:KBE rally! 🚀
(2/9) – PERFORMANCE & REVENUE
• Post-Election Gain: +8.3% vs. AMEX:SPY +3.3% 💥
• Q4 Revenue Growth: Holdings ( NYSE:GS , NYSE:JPM , NYSE:BAC ) up 5-10% YoY
• Sector EPS Est.: +7-8% for Q4 2024
Fixed income trading and investment banking are fueling the fire!
(3/9) – BIG EVENTS
• Pro-Business Vibes: Deregulation hopes lift sentiment 🏛️
• M&A/IPO Surge: Banks thriving in deal flow 📊
• NYSE:GS Q4 Est.: GPW:11B + revenue, +5-7% YoY 🚗
X posts buzz about a banking renaissance!
(4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN
• AMEX:KBE : +8.3% vs. AMEX:XLF +6%, AMEX:IWM +5.4% 🌍
• Forward P/E: ~10x ( AMEX:KBE ) vs. 12x ( AMEX:XLF ), 20x ( AMEX:SPY )
• P/B: 1.2x vs. AMEX:XLF ’s 1.5x
Undervalued vs. peers, but banking focus shines!
(5/9) – RISKS TO WATCH
• Rates: Rising costs could pinch margins 📉
• Trade Policy: Tariffs might slow deals ⚠️
• Loan Demand: Weakness or credit dips a threat 🏦
• Sentiment: Undervaluation lingers—earnings key!
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Trading Power: FICC up 10% in Q4 🌟
• Dealmaking: Top banks lead M&A/IPO surge 🔍
• Low Cost: 0.35% expense ratio beats most 🚦
AMEX:KBE ’s got muscle in the banking game!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Cyclical reliance, bank-only focus 💸
• Opportunities: Deregulation, 10-15% earnings pop in ‘25 🌍
Can AMEX:KBE cash in on policy and growth?
(8/9) – AMEX:KBE ’s Q4 strength—where’s it going?
1️⃣ Bullish—Banks keep soaring.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth holds, risks balance.
3️⃣ Bearish—Rate woes hit hard.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
AMEX:KBE ’s Q4 glows—trading and deals lift banks high 🌍. Cheap at 10x P/E, but risks lurk. Undervalued gem or cyclical trap?
ROBINHOOD’S Q4 2024—TRADING BOOM FUELS RECORD GAINSROBINHOOD’S Q4 2024—TRADING BOOM FUELS RECORD GAINS NASDAQ:HOOD
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview! Robinhood’s Q4 2024 earnings are out 📈🔥—$1.01B in revenue, up 115% YoY, smashing $945M estimates. Post-election trading frenzy in equities and crypto lit the fuse. Let’s break down HOOD’s monster quarter! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE & EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS
• Q4 Revenue: $1.01B, +115% YoY 💥
• Q3 Recap: $637M, +36% YoY
• Q4 EPS: $1.01, beats $0.43 est. 📊
• Net Income: $916M, up 510% from Q3’s $150M
• ARPU: $164, +102% YoY
Record profits, driven by a trading surge!
(3/9) – KEY WINS
• Net Deposits: $16.1B, +42% QoQ 🌍
• New Tools: Index options, futures, Robinhood Legend launched late 2024 🚗
• SEC Settlement: $45M in Jan 2025 clears past compliance woes ✅
HOOD’s expanding fast and cleaning house!
(4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN
• Market Cap: $56.4B, Stock: $65.28 🌟
• Trailing P/E: 40.9x vs. IBKR (50x), SCHW (20x)
• Revenue Growth: 115% YoY crushes sector avg (5.7%)
Outpaces peers in growth, but valuation’s a hot debate!
(5/9) – RISKS ON DECK
• Market Volatility: Trading boom could fade 📉
• Regs: $45M SEC hit flags ongoing scrutiny 🏛️
• Competition: Schwab, Coinbase closing in ⚔️
• Economy: $1.21T credit card debt, layoffs loom ⚠️
Big gains, big risks—tightrope ahead!
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Revenue: 115% YoY, $916M profit shines 🌟
• User Loyalty: $16.1B deposits, 2.2M+ Gold subs 🔍
• Innovation: Futures, options expand the game 🚦
HOOD’s firing on all cylinders!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Trading reliance, reg baggage 💸
• Opportunities: Futures growth, crypto-friendly regs, global push 🌍
Can NASDAQ:HOOD turn momentum into a dynasty?
(8/9) – HOOD’s Q4 is a banger—where’s it headed?
1️⃣ Bullish—Growth keeps roaring.
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, but risks loom.
3️⃣ Bearish—Peak’s in, fade coming.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Robinhood’s Q4 is a SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B thunderclap—trading, deposits, and profits soar 🌍. But volatility and regs lurk. Undervalued or overhyped?
NAS100USD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 22,227.8.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 22,600.4 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USOIL Will Go Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 71.720.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 73.515.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NZDUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.571.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.566 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GBPAUD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.983.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.964 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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SILVER BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so SILVER is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 30.934.
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USD/CHF BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s red candle means that for us the USD/CHF pair is in the downtrend. And the current movement leg was also down but the support line will be hit soon and lower BB band proximity will signal an oversold condition so we will go for a counter-trend long trade with the target being at 0.912.
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AUD/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD-USD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.625 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the AUD/USD pair.
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NZD/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
NZD/USD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.563 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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Silver Faces Resistance After Recent RallySilver remained above $32 per ounce on Sunday after recent volatility, supported by a weaker dollar on soft US economic data and easing global trade war concerns.
On Friday, silver hit a three-month high, driven by strong industrial demand, particularly in electrification and manufacturing. Reports showed China added 357 gigawatts of solar and wind power in 2024, boosting industrial silver use. Meanwhile, India’s Oil and Natural Gas Corp pledged INR 1 trillion for renewable energy, and Indonesia aims to add 17 gigawatts of solar capacity.
Key resistance is at 33.15, with further levels at 33.80 and 34.50. Support stands at 31.40, followed by 30.90 and 30.20.
Gold Extends Gains as Trade War Fears MountGold climbed above $2,900 per ounce, extending its gains for a second day as fears of a global trade war fueled demand. Concerns over President Donald Trump’s proposed reciprocal tariffs added to market uncertainty, increasing gold’s appeal. However, hawkish Fed comments capped further gains.
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman reiterated caution on rate cuts due to inflation risks, while Governor Christopher Waller suggested delaying reductions until inflation eases. Investors now await Wednesday’s Fed meeting minutes for more policy insights. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions persist as markets watch for updates on a potential Russia-Ukraine ceasefire.
Key resistance levels are at $2,949, $2,975, and $3,000. Support is at $2,880, with further levels at $2,830 and $2,760.
GBP/USD Rises on Strong UK GDPGBP/USD climbed to 1.2595 in early Asian trading on Sunday, driven by strong UK GDP data and weaker US retail sales. January retail sales dropped 0.9%, the steepest decline in nearly two years, after a revised 0.7% rise in December, far below the expected 0.1% dip. However, year-over-year sales grew by 4.2%. Meanwhile, the UK economy expanded by 0.1% in Q4 2024, beating forecasts and strengthening the Pound.
Key resistance is at 1.2600, with further levels at 1.2650 and 1.2700. Support stands at 1.2340, followed by 1.2265 and 1.2100.
Fed Talk Lifts Dollar, EUR/USD Under PressureEUR/USD hovers around 1.0455, while the dollar index rebounded to 107 on Tuesday, snapping a three-day losing streak. The recovery followed remarks from Federal Reserve officials signaling a pause in rate cuts to focus on inflation control. Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested holding off on cuts unless inflation trends match 2024 levels, while Governor Michelle Bowman stressed the need for more evidence before easing policy. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker also supported maintaining current rates amid economic strength.
Markets now await this week’s FOMC minutes for further rate guidance. Last week, the dollar weakened due to mixed US economic data and reduced tariff concerns. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted that currency manipulation is now a key factor in trade strategy.
Technically, resistance stands at 1.0515, with further barriers at 1.0600 and 1.0650. Support lies at 1.0350, followed by 1.0275 and 1.0220.
Yen Dips After Strong Japan GDP DataThe Japanese yen slipped to around 151.8 per dollar, reversing a three-day rally as the dollar gained strength after Fed officials signaled reluctance to cut rates due to inflation concerns.
Japan’s Q4 GDP grew 0.7% quarter-on-quarter, up from 0.4% and beating the 0.3% forecast. On an annual basis, GDP rose 2.8%, aligning with expectations and improving from 1.7% in Q3. These figures support a more hawkish outlook for the Bank of Japan, though uncertainty remains over a potential rate hike in March, with further increases expected later this year.
Technically, resistance is at 154.90, with further levels at 156.00 and 157.00. Support stands at 151.25, followed by 149.20 and 147.10.
Gold price analysis February 17⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices continued to rise after eight consecutive weeks, supported by the weakening of the US dollar and US Treasury yields. The market expects the Russia-Ukraine conflict to end soon as Donald Trump is expected to meet Vladimir Putin in Saudi Arabia.
Decreasing geopolitical risks and expectations of two Fed rate cuts in 2025 due to weak retail sales have negatively impacted the US dollar, helping gold prices rise. However, profit-taking pressure has limited the increase of gold.
In addition, the US-EU trade tensions over tariff policies also boosted demand for gold. This week, gold prices may fluctuate strongly due to the US holiday and comments from Fed officials ahead of the Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold is facing a resistance zone and the resistance zone accepted by sellers is around 2905-2907. At the end of the Asian session or the beginning of the European session, if we cannot break this zone, we can implement SELL GOLD strategies to 2890. When GOLD breaks 2906, pay attention to around 2915 and 2929 for SELL strategies. 2887 is considered the most important support of today and can set up buy signals in that zone.
Weekly Market Outlook: February 18 – 21, 2025🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News:
🇺🇸📈 U.S. Tariffs Implementation: President Donald Trump has signed executive orders imposing a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, and a 10% tariff on imports from China. These tariffs are set to take effect on Tuesday, February 18, 2025.
🇷🇺🇺🇸 Diplomatic Talks: Senior U.S. and Russian officials are scheduled to meet in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on February 18 to discuss the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and explore potential resolutions.
🇩🇪🗳️ German Snap Election: Germany is set to hold a snap election this week, with the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) expected to perform well, potentially influencing European markets.
📊 Key Data Releases:
Tuesday, Feb 18:
🇺🇸🏭 NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM ET): Measures manufacturing activity in New York State.
🇺🇸🗣️ U.S. President Trump Speech (3:00 PM ET): Insights into potential policy directions and economic outlook.
Wednesday, Feb 19:
🇺🇸🏠 Housing Starts (8:30 AM ET): Data on new residential construction projects.
🇺🇸📄 FOMC Meeting Minutes (2:00 PM ET): Detailed insights into the Federal Reserve's policy discussions from the January meeting.
Thursday, Feb 20:
🇺🇸📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Weekly data on unemployment claims.
🇺🇸🏭 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM ET): Indicator of manufacturing sector health in the Philadelphia region.
Friday, Feb 21:
🇺🇸🏭 S&P Global Flash Manufacturing PMI (9:45 AM ET): Preliminary data on manufacturing sector performance.
🇺🇸🏠 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET): Reports on the number of previously owned homes sold.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
NZD-CAD Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CAD went up sharply
And hit a horizontal resistance
Level of 0.8147 so we are
Locally bearish biased
And as we are already
Seeing a bearish reaction
We will be expecting
A local bearish move down
Sell!
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