CHFJPY Will Go Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for CHFJPY.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 175.805.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 176.531 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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SILVER SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the SILVER pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 34.252 level.
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Gold price analysis November 5Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices reversed intraday losses to hit a more than one-week low and traded around $2,738, largely unchanged on the day ahead of the European session on Tuesday. Safe-haven demand stemming from a bitterly contested US presidential election and the risk of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East provided some support for the precious metal.
Furthermore, the unraveling of the “Trump deal”, coupled with bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates further amid signs of a cooling US labour market, continued to drag US Treasury yields lower. This, in turn, fueled fresh US dollar selling and became another factor in favour of non-yielding gold amid cautious sentiment across global equity markets.
However, the upside momentum in Gold remains limited as traders seem reluctant to place positive bets ahead of the key event risks this week – the US presidential election and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Meanwhile, the release of the US ISM Services PMI Index on Tuesday will be looked at for short-term trading opportunities later in the North American session.
Technical Analysis
Gold is trading sideways in a narrow range between 2747 and 2725. Today the market is focused on this range as it breaks out of the notable port zone of 2758-2760 and 2712-2710 to generate reasonable BUY and SELL signals. Today’s strategy is quite basic in a day when gold is trading dull and trendless.
AUD/CHF BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on AUD/CHF right now from the resistance line above with the target of 0.567 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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NZD/CHF SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on NZD/CHF, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 0.514.
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WTI Dips as Israel Avoids Targeting Iran’s Oil: What’s Next?The West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $70.60 during Thursday's London session. The price edged lower following reports that Israel has assured the United States it will not target Iran’s nuclear or oil facilities in its planned retaliatory attacks. This news, as reported by senior Biden administration officials and the Wall Street Journal, came after the US sought to prevent further escalation in the Middle East to avoid a potential surge in oil prices.
Geopolitical Tensions in the Middle East and Oil Prices
Oil markets have been on edge due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly following the conflict between Israel and Hamas. Any potential retaliation involving Iran has been closely watched, given Iran’s role as a major oil producer in the region. Had Israel planned to target Iran’s oil infrastructure, it could have led to significant supply disruptions, pushing oil prices higher. For now, traders are breathing a sigh of relief with the promise from Israel to avoid targeting these facilities, but geopolitical tensions still remain a key factor that could influence WTI in the near future. Should tensions escalate further, WTI prices could quickly rebound on supply concerns.
OPEC and IEA Cut Global Oil Demand Forecasts
This week also brought another major development for oil markets as both the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the International Energy Agency (IEA) lowered their forecasts for global oil demand growth in 2024. The IEA now estimates global oil demand will grow by 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd), bringing total demand to 104.3 million bpd next year, which is 300,000 bpd below previous estimates.
These cuts are being driven by several factors, including the weakening global economic outlook and persistent challenges in key oil-consuming regions. In particular, China’s economic stimulus measures have failed to provide a meaningful boost to oil demand, further weighing on oil prices. This downward revision in demand growth expectations has created additional headwinds for crude oil prices, contributing to the recent decline in WTI.
Technical Outlook: Bearish Sentiment But Potential Long Retracement
From a technical standpoint, WTI is currently trading within a key demand area, suggesting that some buyers may step in to support prices. While the forecast based on seasonality points toward a bearish trend in the near term, there are some indications that a deeper long retracement could occur.
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows that institutional investors, also known as "smart money," are maintaining long positions, indicating potential underlying support for oil prices. This dynamic suggests that while prices may experience further pressure in the short term, a retracement to the upside could occur if demand for oil begins to pick up or if geopolitical tensions resurface with greater intensity.
Conclusion: WTI Traders Remain Cautious Amid Mixed Signals
For now, WTI remains in a delicate position, influenced by a mix of geopolitical risks, lower global demand forecasts, and technical factors. The assurance from Israel that its retaliatory strikes will avoid targeting Iran’s oil infrastructure has alleviated some immediate concerns about a spike in oil prices. However, the ongoing geopolitical situation remains fluid, and any sudden escalation could quickly reverse the current price trajectory.
At the same time, the reduced demand growth outlook from both OPEC and the IEA creates a bearish overhang for crude prices. With China’s stimulus measures failing to spark a meaningful recovery in demand, traders will be closely watching for any new developments that could shift the balance of supply and demand in the oil market.
In summary, WTI may continue to face downward pressure in the short term, but a potential long retracement remains on the table, especially if market conditions or geopolitical tensions shift in the coming days. For now, traders are likely to stay cautious, awaiting clearer signals before taking decisive positions.
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USD/CAD:Dynamics Ahead of the US Election BOC DecisionsDynamics Ahead of the US Election and Bank of Canada Rate Decisions
As the United States approaches its pivotal presidential election, the US Dollar (USD) is experiencing downward pressure. This uncertainty is impacting the broader market sentiment, leading traders to adopt a cautious stance. However, the upward trajectory of US Treasury yields may provide a buffer against further declines in the dollar’s value. Currently, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the dollar's strength against six major currencies, is trading around 103.80. At this moment, the yields on 2-year and 10-year US Treasury bonds stand at 4.17% and 4.30%, respectively, indicating investor confidence in longer-term government debt.
Turning to Canada, the Bank of Canada (BoC) is gearing up for its final monetary policy meeting of the year in December, where a significant rate cut is widely anticipated. BoC Governor has signaled the possibility of a reduction by as much as 50 basis points (bps). This potential lowering of interest rates could influence the Canadian dollar's valuation and the overall economic landscape.
From a technical perspective, the market shows signs of a bullish seasonal trend; however, the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report suggests the potential for a price drop, particularly in alignment with identified supply zones. As we navigate through these evolving conditions, the outcome of the US election will likely have profound implications for currency movements and economic policies in the coming days. Traders will need to stay vigilant as these developments unfold, shaping market dynamics in both the US and Canada.
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GOATSEUS MAXIMUS NO. 1 MEME COIN ATMTechnical Analysis
Price Action
Current Price: GOATUSDT is trading at approximately $0.49876 after a recent downturn of -5.70%.
Trend Analysis: The chart shows a general upward trend that peaked recently, followed by a pullback with the price consolidating near support levels. This could indicate a potential continuation of the uptrend if buyers step in.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance: Near recent high at approximately $0.60.
Support: Established around $0.47 and potentially at the lower level near $0.40 if the downtrend continues.
Volume Analysis
Volume Spikes: High volume accompanies large moves, which suggests strong participation. Current volume is moderately high but shows a mix of buying and selling pressure.
Current Volume: 1.388 million, indicating decent interest and liquidity in the asset.
Indicators Analysis
VMC Cipher B:
The VMC Cipher B indicator suggests possible bullish divergences as highlighted by the green dots at the bottom, which could signal a reversal or strength in the trend.
A recent negative value of -4.44913 may suggest a slight bearish bias, but the divergence could support a potential bounce.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Current RSI is around 47.48, near the middle of the range, indicating a neutral position. RSI is neither overbought nor oversold, which could mean room for movement in either direction.
Stochastic:
The Stochastic indicator is showing a reading of 56.67 for the %K line and 47.15 for the %D line, suggesting a neutral to slightly bullish stance. If the Stochastic turns up, it could indicate a buying opportunity.
HMA Histogram:
The HMA (Hull Moving Average) Histogram is slightly negative, at -0.00460, which implies a weak bearish momentum. If it crosses into positive territory, it could confirm a reversal.
Trading Plan
Strategy: Swing Trading
Entry Points:
Bullish Entry: If the price finds support above $0.47 and breaks above $0.52, consider entering long with a target towards the $0.60 resistance.
Bearish Entry: If the price breaks below $0.47 with strong volume, it could signal further downside to the $0.40 support, allowing for a short-term short trade.
Stop Loss:
Long Trades: Place a stop loss below $0.47 to avoid major downside risk if support fails.
Short Trades: For bearish trades, consider a stop loss just above $0.52 to minimize loss if the price reverses.
Profit Targets:
Primary Target: $0.60 for bullish trades, as this has been a recent resistance level.
Secondary Target: In case of a strong breakout above $0.60, look for additional upside targets at $0.70 or higher.
For Short Trades: The target could be around $0.40 if bearish momentum continues.
Risk Management:
Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for a minimum risk-reward ratio of 1:2 to ensure favorable trade conditions.
Position Sizing: Based on volatility, consider allocating a smaller position size to manage risk effectively, especially given the recent pullbacks.
Monitoring:
Watch for signals from the VMC Cipher B and HMA Histogram. A positive HMA Histogram and bullish divergence on VMC Cipher B would be strong confirmation for a long position.
Keep an eye on the volume; increasing volume on upward moves would reinforce a bullish stance, while high volume on down moves may indicate a need to exit or go short.
NVDA Topping PatternUnlike the previous call, I made in NVDA that was corrective.
This double-top pattern is signaling a reversal pattern.
From a trading perspective, this is a great risk/reward setup that is relatively simple. A CRACK! here will likely lead to at least the right side filling, with the potential deeper pullback (reversal)
If on the other hand, it pops above recent highs then no trade or an easy stop out.
As you all know I don't do targets, I think they are silly and only used to pretend one has such insight not only can they call the move but also a "target" too. Yeah well, I'll leave that to the "experts" ;)
Bulls don't be a dick for tick.
Shorts take some early profits to improve cost basis but let this one ride!
NVDA (NVDL) BIG MOVE BREWING, BUY THE DIP! 100%+ MOVE INBOUNDNASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:NVDL
BIG MOVE BREWING, BUY THE DIP! 100%+ MOVE INBOUND
In this video, we discuss the following:
1.) My #HIGHFIVESETUP trading strategy which incorporates charting patterns, volume profiles, MACD, RSI, and TREND.
Notable recent winners with my strategies include NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:SOFI NASDAQ:MBLY NASDAQ:AMZN NYSE:HIMS
2.) Go in-depth on how to tell when an investment or trade will go against you and what you should be looking for. We go over my favorite indicator for this, which is the Williams R%.
We primarily discuss the 2X levered ETF NASDAQ:NVDL which has the same setup as it's parent NASDAQ:NVDA . So feel free to use this setup for either one depending on your risk tolerance.
Thanks for all the support! Over 500 TV followers in such a short period of time, you all are amazing!
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NFA
Gold price analysis November 4Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices traded in positive territory on Monday. The US presidential election risks and ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are likely to support the yellow metal, a traditional safe-haven asset, in the near term. However, renewed demand for the greenback and higher US bond yields could limit gold’s upside as higher yields make non-yielding assets such as bullion less attractive by comparison.
Investors will be closely watching the upcoming US presidential election on Tuesday. Attention will turn to the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on Thursday. Uncertainty over the US election outcome is one reason why markets are betting on the Fed cutting interest rates by a conventional 25 basis points (bps) on Thursday, rather than repeating its excessive half-point easing.
Technical Analysis
Gold prices were trading sideways in a narrow range at the start of the week. The 2748 and 2728 borders are still guaranteed in today's Asian and European session. We still have to depend on the market volatility to choose the price border zones to trade. The support zones of interest are 2718, 2709. The upper border is noted around 2760 and 2780. When the price breaks out of the 2728 support zone, the main strategy will be to wait for SELL when the sellers have won the market. Wish you a successful trading day.
Goldman Sachs (GS): Ready for a Big Correction?As we projected four months ago, Goldman Sachs ( NYSE:GS ) has reached our anticipated upside range between $516 and $575, touching $540 specifically. We've reinforced our analysis with a trend line dating back to 2016, which has been tested and validated three times. Combining this trend line, the Elliott wave count, and key Fibonacci levels, our outlook now points towards a significant pullback from current levels. Given that we're likely dealing with a larger Elliott wave cycle, we anticipate a substantial correction of around 28%.
While a 28% decline sounds extreme, it's not unprecedented for $GS. The drop from the top of wave 3 to the bottom of wave 4 was 35%, and the decline from wave (1) to (2) was almost 50%. Even smaller corrections within these larger waves illustrate that major pullbacks are essential for long-term growth, especially as institutional investors take profits. With Goldman Sachs having gained 87% year-to-date—a remarkable rise in this sector—a correction is likely as big players start locking in their gains.
We aren't sure yet how this correction will unfold, but we anticipate a sharper, quicker drop compared to the more prolonged wave (2) correction. A potential support level for wave A could be around $420. Meanwhile, wave C and the overarching wave (4) are expected to land between $366 and $264.
We are not setting a limit order at the moment but have alerts in place for both scenarios: whether we call the exact top here or see NYSE:GS push higher before pulling back. Either way, we'll be ready and will update you as the situation evolves.
$HIMS IS HIM! BRING ON EARNINGS MONDAY! BULL FLAG SUCCESSFUL RETEST ON NYSE:HIMS
We are heading into earnings Monday morning, I'm confident!
My "HIGH FIVE SETUP" is pointing to $25+ while...
My "Valuation Analyzer" is pointing to $35 Fair Value.
Been on a heater; lets see if we stay hot!
A full, in-depth video from October 30th discusses this setup, technicals, fundamentals, and valuation, which are linked to this idea. Enjoy!
What is your HIMS price prediction after earnings?
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BANANAUSDT.P Could the token unlock trigger a price downturn?Hello dear readers,
It’s great to be here again, sharing ideas with you and learning together.
Today, we're looking at **BANANA**, a Telegram bot where you can manually buy and snipe tokens on Ethereum. On **November 8th**, there will be a token unlock—could this event trigger a price drop? We’ll have to wait and see.
For now, let’s analyse the chart for some technical insights. First, we see the **0.5 Fibonacci level** acting as support, with two reversed hammer candles—one from November 3rd and one from November 4th—holding at this level. This could be indicating a developing situation, though it’s still uncertain. Next, we’re monitoring the **50 and 100 MAs**, with price hovering between them, seemingly undecided on a direction. Volume is stable at the moment, neither increasing nor decreasing significantly.
So, what can we extract from all this? Should we decide now, or wait for the daily close to confirm our analysis? Personally, I prefer to wait for the daily close before taking action. However, if you’re more of an intraday trader, feel free to ask me about smaller time frames.
Stay tuned and trade safe!
The Loss Effect: Why Traders Hold On To Losing Positions📍 In the realm of trading, the psychological weight of losses often outweighs the thrill of gains. This phenomenon, known as loss aversion , refers to the innate human tendency to prefer avoiding losses over acquiring equivalent gains. Within the context of financial markets, this bias can lead traders to stubbornly cling to losing positions, driven by the hope that market conditions will eventually shift in their favor. Consequently, their focus often shifts away from the potential for profit to a preoccupation with preserving their existing capital.
📍 Reasons Traders Avoid Closing Losing Trades
Several psychological factors contribute to traders’ decisions to retain losing trades:
1. Emotional Attachment
Traders are not immune to the emotions that accompany financial decisions. When individuals invest in an asset, they often form an emotional bond with that investment. Experiencing a loss can feel like a personal defeat, stirring feelings of shame, frustration , and anger. This emotional attachment can cloud judgment and impede rational decision-making. Rather than assessing the asset’s current market value objectively, traders may cling to the hope that conditions will improve, in an effort to circumvent the distress associated with acknowledging a loss.
2. Fear of Realizing a Loss
The psychology of loss is complex, with many traders perceiving the act of realizing a loss as more painful than the prospect of missing out on potential gains. This fear can compel traders to hold on to losing positions, hoping that the market will rebound to their initial entry points. By postponing the realization of a loss, they believe they can mitigate its emotional impact. However, this paradoxical reasoning often leads to extended periods in losing positions, even as downward trends become increasingly pronounced.
3. Lack of Confidence in Their Strategy
Traders often rely on specific strategies or analyses when making investment decisions. When the market begins to turn against them, a sense of doubt regarding the validity of their strategy can emerge. This internal conflict can make it challenging for a trader to acknowledge a mistake. Instead of reevaluating their positions and accepting the reality of a loss, they may irrationally hold onto failing trades, hoping for an unexpected turnaround—an approach that typically exacerbates their situation.
4. Challenges with Objective Analysis
Emotional responses can significantly hinder traders’ ability to conduct objective analyses of their positions. Important data and market signals indicating a need to exit a position may be ignored, leading to cognitive dissonance. This disconnect between emotion and analysis often causes traders to remain in unprofitable trades far longer than warranted, despite clear evidence suggesting the necessity of a change in strategy.
5. Cognitive Distortions
Traders are susceptible to a variety of cognitive distortions that can cloud their judgment:
⚫️ Selective Attention: Many traders may emphasize their winning trades while minimizing the importance of their losses. This selective focus can result in a failure to adequately analyze losing positions, leading to the selection bias known as " cherry-picking ."
⚫️ Confirmation Bias: This cognitive bias leads traders to seek out and prioritize information that reaffirms their initial decisions, while disregarding contradictory evidence. As a result, they may grow increasingly reluctant to close losing positions, insisting on data that supports their original decision to invest.
📍 Conclusion: To Hold or Not to Hold Losing Positions?
Deciding whether to maintain or close a losing position ultimately hinges on one's tolerance for losses. If a stock continues to decline in value without signs of recovery, persisting in holding it may be misguided; in such cases, it may be more prudent to exit and then consider purchasing at a more favorable price. However, it is equally ill-advised to close positions at the slightest market correction. The crux of the matter lies in understanding the underlying reasons for the loss. If no fundamental issues exist and the downturn appears temporary—especially when the loss aligns with typical statistical drawdowns—there may be no need to exit the position prematurely. Ultimately, a balanced approach involving emotional detachment and a keen awareness of market dynamics can aid traders in making more informed and strategically sound decisions regarding their positions.
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
NZD-CHF Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CHF is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair
Is making a pullback from
The horizontal resistance
Of 0.5200 while trading
In a downtrend so we are
Bearish biased and we
Will be expecting a
Further move down
Sell!
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CHF-JPY Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CHF-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is
Making a bullish rebound
From the horizontal support
Of 175.500 so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further move up
Buy!
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GBPUSD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
GBPUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.2913 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.2964
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.2884
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USOIL below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 69.29
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 70.28
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURGBP Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for EURGBP is below:
The market is trading on 0.8394 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.8363
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.8411
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK