Yen Weakens Toward 150 on Weak DataThe Japanese yen weakened toward 150 per dollar, extending losses as disappointing business activity data overshadowed the BOJ’s hawkish stance. Japan’s private sector contracted in March for the first time in five months, with manufacturing shrinking for a ninth month and services slipping into negative territory.
While the BOJ kept its policy rate at 0.5% last week and maintained a careful tone before Trump’s predicted April 2 tariff announcement, the central bank is still expected to raise rates later this year due to steady inflation and wage growth. Ongoing external pressures also continued to weigh on the yen.
Key resistance is at 150.30, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
Trading
GBP/NZD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/NZD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 5H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 2.240 area.
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Gold prices remain on the riseLast week, the world gold price surpassed the historical peak of over 3,057 USD/ounce but quickly decreased due to profit-taking pressure from investors. However, the price remained above the psychological support level of 3,000 USD/ounce - a level that many experts predicted would be an important support in the coming time.
The general sentiment in the market is still leaning towards optimism. Many central banks continue to increase their gold reserves as a way to diversify away from the USD. Meanwhile, individual investors and ETFs have also begun to return to the gold market.
Data from the SPDR Gold Shares fund shows that the amount of gold held has increased by more than 37 tons this year, to 910 tons. Although this figure is still lower than in 2020, the upward momentum is returning due to concerns about inflation and escalating trade tensions.
Lockheed Martin 1W Possible Scenario 1WTechnical Analysis 1W
The chart shows a second breakout of the weekly trendline, which could increase downside pressure on the price.
Key Levels:
- Support: $393.08 (0.236 Fibonacci), $324.65 (0 Fibonacci)
- Resistance: $439.70 (0.382 Fibonacci), $471.48 (0.5 Fibonacci), $500.00 (0.618 Fibonacci)
Indicators signal weakness, suggesting a potential continuation of the downtrend.
Fundamental Analysis
Lockheed Martin is one of the world's largest defense contractors, specializing in aerospace, defense, and security. The company is known for producing the F-35 fighter jet, missile defense systems, and space exploration technologies.
Key Factors Affecting the Stock:
Financial Performance:
- Strong revenue growth supported by high government defense spending
- Solid backlog of contracts, ensuring future revenue stability
- However, potential budget constraints or shifting defense priorities could impact future earnings
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical Factors:
- Rising global tensions (Ukraine, Middle East, Indo-Pacific) drive higher defense budgets worldwide
- US interest rates and inflation may affect long-term government contracts
- Potential NATO expansion and Indo-Pacific security agreements could bring new contract opportunities
Competition & Industry Risks:
- Competes with Boeing, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon, and General Dynamics
- Cost overruns and supply chain disruptions could pressure profit margins
- The US government's shift to AI-driven warfare and cyber defense might change future contract allocations
Conclusion:
A breakdown below $393.08 could open the way toward $324.65, signaling a deeper correction. To regain an uptrend, the price must reclaim the $439.70 resistance level.
Wingstop Inc. (WING) 1WTechnical Analysis 1W
The chart shows a breakout of the weekly uptrend line, signaling potential further downside.
Key Levels:
-Support: 206.49 USD (0.382 Fib), 152.93 USD (0.236 Fib), 66.36 USD (0 Fib)
- Resistance: 249.78 USD (0.5 Fib), 293.07 USD (0.618 Fib), 354.70 USD (0.786 Fib)
Indicators suggest weakness.
Fundamental Analysis:
Wingstop specializes in chicken wings.
Key Factors:
- Financials: Revenue growth, but high valuation increases correction risk
- Macroeconomics: Interest rates impact consumer spending
- Competition: Pressure from McDonald's and KFC
Conclusion: A break below 152.93 USD could lead to 66.36 USD. Bulls need a recovery above 249.78 USD for trend reversal.
NZD_JPY WILL GO UP|LONG|
✅NZD_JPY has retested a key support level of 85.200
And as the pair is already making a bullish rebound
A move up to retest the supply level above at 86.400 is likely
LONG🚀
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USDJPY Analysis week 14Fundamental Analysis
The US dollar continues to attract cash flows as the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is unlikely to cut interest rates in the near future. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stressed that the Fed is in no hurry to adjust policy amid growing economic uncertainty under President Donald Trump, while warning of the negative impact of tariff policies on growth and inflation.
In the Asia-Pacific region, weak Japanese CPI data in February put pressure on the Yen (JPY), although the growth rate still reached 3%. However, expectations of tightening policy by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) remained after the Rengo union announced a 5.4% wage increase this year.
Technical Analysis
The short-term range is limited to 150,100-148,200. This border area is also very easy to break because there is a lot of buying and selling in this area and just enough factors will break the border area. Krado is aiming for the resistance area of 150,900 which will be the weekly resistance area. Important support when the price breaks out of the trendline is extended to 147,300 for buying force to jump into the market.
Week of 3/23/25: AUDUSD AnalysisAnalysis of my main pair AUDUSD, last week resulted in the bears taking over and my analysis explains why my bias is bearish going into the new week.
Not much volatile news except for Unemployment Claims on Thursday.
Let me know what you guys think, your analysis, and if you want to see anything else!
Goodluck this week traders, let's kill it.
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 24–28, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📈 Anticipated U.S. Inflation Data 📈: The Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for February on Friday, March 28. This index, closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, is expected to show a 0.3% month-over-month increase, maintaining a 2.5% year-over-year growth. These figures will provide insights into inflation trends and potential monetary policy adjustments.
🇬🇧💼 UK's Spring Statement and Economic Outlook 💼: Chancellor Rachel Reeves is set to deliver the UK's Spring Statement to Parliament this week, addressing revised growth forecasts and fiscal policies. The Office for Budget Responsibility is expected to lower growth estimates, potentially impacting global markets, including the U.S., due to economic interlinkages.
🇨🇳📊 China's Manufacturing and Services PMIs 📊: China will release its official Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers' Indexes (PMIs) for March on March 28. These indicators will provide insights into the health of China's economy, with potential implications for global trade and U.S. markets.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Monday, March 24:
🏭 S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI (9:45 AM ET) 🏭:
Forecast: 51.5
Previous: 52.7
This index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion.
📅 Tuesday, March 25:
🛒 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET) 🛒:
Forecast: 95.0
Previous: 98.3
This index measures consumer sentiment regarding economic conditions, with higher readings indicating greater confidence.
🏘️ New Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏘️:
Forecast: 679,000 annualized units
Previous: 657,000
This report indicates the number of newly constructed homes sold in the previous month, reflecting the health of the housing market.
📅 Wednesday, March 26:
🛠️ Durable Goods Orders (8:30 AM ET) 🛠️:
Forecast: -1.0%
Previous: 3.2%
This data reflects new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting goods, indicating manufacturing activity.
📅 Thursday, March 27:
📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉:
Forecast: 226,000
Previous: 223,000
This report provides the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time during the past week, offering insight into the labor market.
📈 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – Second Estimate (8:30 AM ET) 📈:
Forecast: 2.3% annualized growth
Previous: 2.3%
This release provides a second estimate of the nation's economic growth for the fourth quarter of 2024.
🏠 Pending Home Sales Index (10:00 AM ET) 🏠:
Forecast: 1.0%
Previous: -4.6%
This index measures housing contract activity for existing single-family homes, offering insights into future home sales.
📅 Friday, March 28:
💵 Personal Income and Outlays (8:30 AM ET) 💵:
Forecast for Personal Income: 0.4%
Previous: 0.9%
Forecast for Personal Spending: 0.6%
Previous: -0.2%
This report indicates changes in personal income and spending, providing insights into consumer behavior.
💹 PCE Price Index (8:30 AM ET) 💹:
Forecast: 0.3% month-over-month; 2.5% year-over-year
Previous: 0.3% month-over-month; 2.5% year-over-year
This index measures changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, serving as the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge.
🛢️ Baker Hughes Rig Count (1:00 PM ET) 🛢️:
Previous: 592 rigs
This report provides the number of active drilling rigs in the U.S., offering insights into the oil and gas industry's activity.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
NZD_CHF RISKY LONG|
✅NZD_CHF is going down to retest a horizontal support of 0.5050
Which makes me locally bullish biased
And I think that we will see a rebound
And a move up from the level
Towards the target above at 0.5073
LONG🚀
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GOLD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a rebound
From the support and went
Up but will now retest a
Local horizontal level
Of 3030$ from where
We will be expecting
A local bearish reaction
Sell!
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AUD-CAD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CAD made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 0.9022 which is now
A resistance and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further move down
Sell!
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USD_CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅USD_CHF is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 0.8866
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 0.8810
SHORT🔥
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NZD-USD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 0.5755 so we are
Bearish biased and we can
Enter a short trade with the
Target Level of 0.5695 and
The Stop Loss of 0.5775
Sell!
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BTC at a Critical Crossroad – Buckle U🤯 BTC at a Critical Crossroad – Buckle Up! 🚀
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to "Bitcoin Wrestling Mania!" 🎤💥 BTC is currently stuck in a high-stakes battle with the legendary 200 EMA resistance 🥊🔥. We've conquered the 20 EMA, but let’s not pop the champagne just yet – the daily candle hasn’t closed! 🕰️ Expect surprises! 🎭
📊 Resistance Levels Ahead:
🔹 First Boss: 50 EMA Resistance 🏰
🔹 Final Boss: The 89,773.0 Fortress 🚧
Now, we're seeing some short-term bullish vibes 🟢, but wait – the market makers might have other plans 🕵️♂️💰. The smart money hasn't entered the ring yet, which means... well, expect plot twists! 😵
🔻 Possible Correction Zones:
💥 Support 1: 80,548.0
💥 Support 2: 76,123.0
So, will BTC power through the resistance like a champion 🏆, or are we about to witness a dramatic correction 🤕? Drop your thoughts below – let’s piece together the puzzle! 🧩👇
#BTC #Crypto #Trading #Bitcoin 🚀
USOIL Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for USOIL is below:
The market is trading on 68.25 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish Bearish continuation.
Target - 67.21
Recommended Stop Loss - 68.91
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BTCUSD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for BTCUSD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 84765
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 84317
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for EURUSD;
Resistance 1: 1.0944 - 1.0955 area
Support 1: 1.0804 - 1.0834 area
Support 2: 1.0598 - 1.0630 area
Support 3: 1.0515 - 1.0533 area
Support 4: 1.0359 - 1.0377 area
Support 5: 1.0727 - 1.0290 area
Support 6: 1.0717 - 1.0240 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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EURUSD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.081.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.068 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EURJPY Is Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 161.513.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 160.742 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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