Gold’s Bullish Surge Eyeing the $2,700 Breakout! The chart displays a bullish recovery following a significant downtrend, transitioning into an uptrend within a defined ascending channel. A symmetrical triangle breakout during the bearish phase marked the beginning of this upward movement. Key support is identified around $2,600, while resistance levels are at $2,697, aligned with the 100% Fibonacci projection, and $2,728, which corresponds to the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and acts as a potential exhaustion point. The psychological level of $2,700 plays a critical role as a resistance zone. The price is currently near the upper boundary of the ascending channel, suggesting possible resistance and a chance for consolidation or retracement. If the price breaks above $2,700, it could target $2,728 or higher, while a rejection might lead to a pullback toward the midline or lower boundary of the channel. The bullish momentum remains intact, and traders could consider entering on a breakout above $2,700 or on a retracement near the channel’s lower boundary. Targets lie at $2,728 or higher, with stops placed below the last swing low or channel support. This chart signals a strong bullish trend with critical action expected around the $2,700 level.
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Why Most Traders Fail (And How I Turned It Around)I still remember my first trade like it was yesterday. I had no idea what I was doing, but I convinced myself I was going to crush it. Spoiler alert: I didn’t. In fact, I wiped out 20% of my account in less than an hour. I sat there staring at my screen, wondering what the hell just happened.
If you’ve been there, I get it. Trading isn’t easy—it’s brutal at times. The truth is, most traders fail not because they’re bad at it, but because they’re unprepared for what trading really demands.
I’ve made every mistake you can think of, but here’s the good news: I’ve also learned how to turn it around. This isn’t theory—it’s my story.
Lesson 1: Winging It Will Destroy You
When I started, I thought trading was just about picking the right stock or currency and riding the wave. I’d watch a few YouTube videos, scan some charts, and think, “Yeah, this looks good!” It wasn’t. I was basically gambling with my money.
What finally clicked:
-I needed a plan, plain and simple. One day, I sat down and wrote out what I’d do: what I’d trade, how I’d manage risk, and when I’d call it a day.
-The first time I actually stuck to my plan, I didn’t even win big. But for the first time, I felt in control, and that was everything.
Lesson 2: Risking It All = Losing It All
There was this one trade—I'll never forget it. I bet way more than I should’ve because I was sure I’d win. When it went south, I froze. I couldn’t bring myself to close it, and the losses just piled up. By the time I got out, half my account was gone.
What saved me:
-I learned to only risk a small percentage of my account—1-2% per trade. Yeah, it felt slow, but it kept me in the game.
-I started using stop losses religiously. No more crossing my fingers and hoping for the best.
Lesson 3: Emotions Are Your Worst Enemy
I used to get so caught up in the highs and lows. A big win would make me feel invincible. A big loss? Devastated. I’d jump into revenge trades, trying to get my money back, and just dig myself deeper.
What changed:
-I started journaling every trade—not just the numbers, but how I felt. I noticed patterns, like how I’d overtrade when I was frustrated.
-Now, if I feel off, I walk away. No charts, no trades, just a reset.
Lesson 4: Overtrading Was My Addiction
I thought trading more meant making more. So I’d take setups that were “meh” at best, just to feel like I was doing something.
What helped:
-I stopped looking for trades—I started waiting for them.
-Now, I focus on one or two great setups a day. The rest? I let them go.
Lesson 5: You Don’t Have to Know Everything
At one point, I was drowning in information. I had 15 indicators on my chart, followed 20 gurus on Twitter, and read every trading blog I could find. It was overwhelming, and it didn’t help.
My aha moment:
-Simplicity wins. I stripped my charts down to the basics: price action, support/resistance, and a couple of indicators I actually understood.
-I stopped chasing the “perfect” strategy and focused on mastering one approach.
You Can Do This
I’ll be honest—there were moments when I wanted to quit. Blowing up accounts, feeling like a failure, wondering if I was cut out for this... it was hard. But looking back, I’m glad I didn’t give up.
If you’re struggling, I get it. I’ve been in your shoes, and I know how overwhelming it can feel. Send me a DM or check out my profile —I’m here, happy to share what worked for me and help however I can.
Trading isn’t about being perfect. It’s about progress. So take a breath, refocus, and keep going. You’ve got this.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
🐻USOIL ShortUSOIL Has exceeded the expectations I had for it 2 weeks ago. Though it didn't go down the way I was expecting, it went down.
We now have what looks to be a bearish continuation setup and that is what we are looking to take advantage of.
A bullish movement is expected and will likely result in the rejection of that trendline, pushing the price down.
🐻TIME TO SELL OIL??!!!Oil has been riding that trendline to new heights, but the more times a trendline is tested, the weaker it gets.
this theory has held true once more as price has broken below this MAJOR trendline.
A break of structure can also be spotted as price retests previous areas of support as resistance.
It looks like its time to sell as price seems to have completed the wave sequence of a bearish continuation pattern(bearish flag pattern).
CHECK THE LINKED IDEA FOR THE FULL SETUP
TVC:USOIL
Happy trading!!
🐻EURUSD NEUTRALEURUSD has been bearish as the dollar strengthens.
We are looking for bearish continuations.
Firstly is whenever the trendline below is broken we will look to sell(follow to stay updated)
Secondly the price may rise to a much larger trendline and there is where our best sells may be at 1.07000
🐻USOIL BEARISHOil has been riding that trendline to new heights, but the more times a trendline is tested, the weaker it gets.
this theory has held true once more as price has broken below this MAJOR trendline.
A break of structure can also be spotted as price retests previous areas of support as resistance.
A bearish market is what I am strongly anticipating, and sells I shall look for. Hoping to use the profits for some gas money!!😂
TVC:USOIL
Happy Trading!!
🐻US100 NeutralNas100 has been very bearish for weeks as a result of the Russia Ukraine crisis and rising USD rates.
From the impulsive bearish movement price has tested a major supporting trendline on the weekly for the third time, sparking a bullish movement.
An inverse head and shoulders was formed and the price broke the neckline, moving higher.
The market has now tested the 61.8% Fib retracement. This will likely result in a bearish movement that will lead to the retest of the Inverse head and shoulders or a complete bearish continuation.
We also see that a trendline Off the daily has been broken, and this could spark a massive bullish movement if price breaks above 12350.00
Happy Trading!
🐻US30 BEARISHUS30 has been very bearish for weeks as a result of the Russia Ukraine crisis and rising USD rates.
From the impulsive bearish movement price has tested a major supporting trendline on the weekly for the third time, sparking a bullish movement.
An inverse head and shoulders was formed and the price broke the neckline, moving higher.
The market is now approaching the 61.8% Fib retracement. This will likely result in a bearish movement that will lead to the retest of the Inverse head and shoulders or a complete bearish continuation.
CURRENCYCOM:US30
Happy Trading!
🐻AUD/USD SHORTAUD/USD has been bearish for the most part but has been stuck in consolidation which could be identified as a correction.
The price has formed an expanding pattern which in this context is a continuation pattern. There is a smaller expanding pattern with in the previously mentioned one which in its own context signifies a reversal, adding confluence for a sell.
The dollar has recently been strengthening and this will likely lead to the continuation of this bearish move.
Price has also broken structure to the downside, forming a lower low, bearish structure.
OANDA:AUDUSD
🐂EUR/JPYEUR/JPY has been bullish for some time, giving positives on a previous setup we shared.
Price broke out of a resistance and moved higher impulsively, the analysis to this setup is linked below.
On the 1H chart, price has now presented a continuation pattern in the form of a flag.
We should look to long when price touches the supporting trendline for the third time and changes structure
Price has also formed an invers Head & Shoulders, so we should look to buy.
OANDA:EURJPY
🐻USD/CAD SHORTUSD/CAD has been moving down recently following the formation and breakout of a pennant on the daily chart.
Price has now formed another pennant on the 1H chart.
Price showed strong rejections off the previous support with a bearish engulfing pattern
The price impulsed downwards and then started correcting. In such cases, another impulse or move downwards may be expected.
We should look to sell with targets marked in green. A second target would be at 1.20070 but is for the pennant on the daily chart.
OANDA:USDCAD
🐻XAU/USD VERY HIGH PROBABILITY SHORT (MUST SEE)XAU/USD Has been moving up the past few months.
Price reached a major resistance and pivot point on the weekly chart.
A very long pin bar was then formed, on the weekly chart, this is a very strong sign of reversals.
With price reaching this resistance for the second time and rejecting it for the second time, a double top was formed.
On the daily chart, price formed a head & shoulders. These are very string confluences so far.
Going lower to the 4H chart we see a bearish continuation pattern AND there are two other patterns within it, also bearish continuation patters.
A flag and a rising wedge.
There are a lot of buyers sitting around 1920. Every time price breaks below this value cleanly, we see an impulsive move downwards but price has managed to pull back above this price twice.
Gold is currently resting on this price level and it seems it is likely to break soon at it is constantly being tested.
The sequence of the continuation pattern drawn up has been completed to 4, which is the third touch on the resisting trendline. What we expect now is for price to move downwards then break & retest the support below.
We should look to sell when price breaks below the support at 1920 and also the major support around 1890.
Take profit should be the price marked in green
OANDA:XAUUSD
🐻DOGEUSD SHORTDOGE/USD has been bearish since June 2021
The sellers have been resilient and have been dominant for most of the time.
Price pushed upward recently, but unfortunately for Dogecoin holders price has formed a head and shoulders, signifying a reversal/continuation to the downside.
Price is now moving up, we should expect a retest of the neckline of the Head and Shoulders or the recent low, these areas are where we should look to enter, having our TP in green.
To add confluence, price had originally been moving downwards, as highlighted by the trendlines, a bearish flag pattern has been formed, signifying continuations to the downside along with the trendline breakout.
CURRENCYCOM:DOGEUSD
🐂NZD/USD LONGNZD/USD had been in an uptrend on the daily chart.
Price started to correct deeply and no that correction seems to have finished of with an inverse head and shoulders.
To add to this, the Elliot wave sequence has completed for this correction and we can expect a reversal of it, hence a continuation to the upside.
Price broke the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders and now is giving us a bullish continuation pattern right below key resistance.
This signifies a break out build up.
We should expect price to break soon but it can come down and then later go up, I'm sticking to longs for now.
We should long when price breaks the resistance and target the price marked in green
OANDA:NZDUSD
🐂EUR/JPY LONGEUR/JPY Has been a ranging market for the most part.
Price has been ranging since May 2021.
this range turned to be a bullish flag, and price was in an uptrend in the weekly.
This gives us strong reason to long this market.
We recently broke out of the daily trendline and should look for continuations to the upside.
I expect price to retrace and respect previous resistance and let it become support, this is where we should look to long with our targets market in green.
OANDA:EURJPY
🐻US100 SHORTUS100 has been quite bullish the previous week. Price has recently reached an area of resistance on the 1D chart and is showing strong rejections off it.
Price has now formed a more complex correction which could either be a continuation or a reversal.
Considering The overall trend, we could see price break higher as this could just be a breakout build up.
I'm more confident in a short position though.
When selling, we should look for any bearish signals and the highest probability one would be price testing the trendline for the third time.
Targets for shorts should be at the support below.
CURRENCYCOM:US100
🐻US30 SHORTUS30 has been bullish for the past week or so.
On the daily we see a form of inverse head and shoulders forming.
On the 4 Hour timeframe I noticed new resistance being formed and price breaking bullish structure.
It currently looks like we could expect a head and shoulders, and if it plays out, it will complete the inverse head and shoulders on the daily chart.
We should look to short at the 61.8% retracement marked up by the resistance area.
Take profit should be at the neckline
Risk Management is Key!
CURRENCYCOM:US30
USDWTI H4 - Short SetupUSDWTI H4
This setup is still valid, we are still within that latest lower low and lower high sequence, we just popped higher above our H4 trading zone.
Looking for a break of 71.00 and subsequent retest of 71.50 on the hourly to allow for the break and retest play on the hourly timeframe.
What's next for the AUSSIE?Risk sentiment this week looks like we could be setting the tone for a risk off environment, however AUSSIE is currently looking under pressure! After it recently broke to the downside from it's larger ascending structure.
Zooming into the intraday timeframe, we've had a beautiful retest and high test candle rejection of the previous swing low (inside the structure, and are currently forming a bearish flag continuation, which suggest further room to the downside, with overall pattern completion around the 0.58 handle!
That being said we are also conscious that price is currently in the middle of no mans land on the daily timeframe and the recent move to the downside, did not complete it's overall structure, which does show a possibility for the market to create a larger bullish correctional structure to test the highs of the correlating descending daily channel and the 1hour ascending channel around 0.6830 OANDA:AUDUSD
GOLD !!! Probable vs. PossibleFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold!!! Is the Shiny precious metal losing its 'flight to safe haven status' OR is this the opportunity to scale in to our Long positions and ride it to the absolute HIGHS?
with the possibility of a potential correction / phase of distribution around the April 2020 swing high?
Focusing on the overal market structures, using top down analysis.
The 4hour ascending equi channel has played perfectly, however the recent break to the downside wwas in a bvery corrective descending manner whilst inside a 1hour
expanding wedge formation, which suggests the probability for a move higher in XAU/USD.
We will be looking for the nature of the market to correct into our expanding wedge support level for bullish momentum / closes on the hourly followed by a break and retest ti get long Gold
with our first sights set on the april 2020 resistance.
If we can break this high we have a lot of 'room' above with the probability of testing the absolute highs!
If the market does remain corrective and base / range around these levels we will be looking to short Gold with the view of targeting the 90% probability lows / support area!
As the famous band - Midnight Star once Sung !!!
You've got the Midas Touch, Everything 'you' touch turns to Gold!!!!!
P.S Live your life and be free, you know you can have it all !!!!