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Quarter Theory: Intraday Trading Mastery - Part 2 ExamplesGreetings Traders! In today's video, we'll continue our deep dive into Quarter Theory Intraday Trading Mastery—a model rooted in the algorithmic nature of price delivery within the markets. We’ll explore the concept of draw on liquidity through premium and discount price delivery, equipping you to identify optimal trading sessions and execute high-probability trades, all while aligning with market bias. This video is part of our ongoing High Probability Trading Zones playlist on YouTube. If you haven't watched the previous videos, I highly recommend doing so. They provide essential insights into identifying and acting on market bias, which Quarter Theory enhances further. I highly recommend you watch ICT2022 Mentorship model on YouTube, it will really help you in your trading journey, the link to the mentorship is provided below. I’ll attach the links to those videos in the description below. Quarter Theory: Intraday Trading Mastery - Part 1 Intro: Premium Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading: ICT 2022 Mentorship: www.youtube.com High Probability Trading Zones: www.youtube.com Best Regards, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by The_Archi-tect
Quarter Theory: Intraday Trading Mastery - Part 1 IntroGreetings Traders! In today’s video, we’ll be introducing Quarter Theory Intraday Trading Mastery, a model grounded in the algorithmic nature of price delivery within the markets. We’ll explore candle anatomy and learn how to predict candle behavior on lower timeframes to capitalize on intraday trading opportunities. This model will also help us identify the optimal trading sessions and execute trades with high probability, all while effectively acting on market bias. This video will focus primarily on the foundational content, with practical examples to follow in the next video. In the meantime, I encourage you to practice these concepts on your own to deepen your understanding. This video is part of our ongoing High Probability Trading Zones playlist on YouTube. If you haven’t watched the previous videos in the series, I highly recommend checking them out. They provide crucial insights into identifying market bias, which Quarter Theory will help you act on effectively. I’ll attach the links to those videos in the description below. Premium Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading: Mastering Institutional Order-Flow Price Delivery: Quarter Theory Mastering Algorithmic Price Movements: Mastering High Probability Trading Across All Assets: Best Regards, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by The_Archi-tect
Never Trade Without Stop Loss! Hey traders, Talking to many struggling traders from different parts of the world, I realized that the majority constantly makes the same mistake : they do not set a stop loss . Asking for the reason why they do that, the common answer is that these traders consider the manual position closing to be safer, implying that if the market goes in the opposite direction, they will be able to much better track the exact moment to cut loss. In this article, we will discuss why it is crucially important to set a stop loss and why it is the number one element of your trading position. What is Stop Loss? Let's discuss what is a stop loss . By a stop loss , we mean a certain price level where we close our trading position in loss. In comparison to a manual closing, the stop loss (preferably) should be set at the exact moment when the order is executed. On the chart above, I have an active selling position on Gold. My entry level is 2372, my stop loss is 2381. It means that if the price goes up and reaches 2381 level, the position will automatically close in a loss. Why Do You Need a Stop Loss? Stop loss allows us limiting the risks in case of unfavorable movements . On the chart above, I have illustrated 2 similar negative scenarios : 1 with a stop loss being placed and one without on USDJPY. In the example on the left, stop loss helped to prevent the excessive risk , cutting the loss at the beginning of a bearish wave. With the manual closing, however, traders usually hold the negative positions much longer , praying for a reversal. Holding a losing trade, emotions intervene. Greed and fear usually spoil the reasoning, causing irrational decisions . Following such a strategy, the total loss of the second scenario is 6 times bigger than the total loss with a placed stop loss order. Always Set Stop Loss! Stop loss defines the point where you become wrong in your predictions. Planning your trade, you should know in advance such a point and cut your loss once it is reached. Never trade without a stop loss.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
16
Beware of Trading on Public Holidays! In this educational article, we will discuss why is it recommendable not to trade during the public holidays. I will explain to you how banking holidays affect the financial markets and how it may impact your trading. WHY??? 🏦 The main source of problems comes from the fact that the big market players like: banks, hedge funds investing firms are absent. Similarly to ordinary people, bankers and investors prefer to spend the holidays with their relatives and friends instead of staring at charts on Holidays. HOW??? But how does it affect the market? Big players are the main source of the market liquidity. The liquidity itself is the measure to which an asset can be quickly bought or sold in the market at a price of its quotes. Therefore, when the big players are missing, the market liquidity drops. WHAT??? 1️⃣ That fact instantly reflects in the market spreads. They become substantially bigger, directly increasing the costs of each trade and making it problematic to open a position at a desired price. 2️⃣ Secondly, low liquidity leads to a decrease in volatility. The market becomes weak and indecisive. As traders, we make the money on market moves. Our goal is to catch a bullish or a bearish wave. Their absence deprives us of profits or, at least, dramatically decreases them. Look at a chart above, it is EURJPY on a 4H time frame. Look how weak and boring the pair was in US Independence Day - official US banking holiday. And here is how weak and slow was Gold during US Independence Day on an hourly time frame . 3️⃣ Thirdly, when the liquidity is low, even small market participants can move the market. It dramatically increases the probabilities of false signals. Relatively low trading volumes may manipulate the market, substantially decreasing the efficiency of technical and fundamental analysis. Look at a density of false breakout on Dollar Index DXY on 15 minutes time frame the 19th of June - Juneteenth National Independence Day in US. All these breakouts were the manipulations and false signals. The increased costs of trading, low volatility and manipulations should have convinced you to stay from charts during the holidays season. However, the main reason to not trade on holidays is much simpler. Holidays give you an opportunity to stay with your family, to take a break, to recharge and relax. Even a part-time trading is very exhausting and requires a constant attention. Let yourself be distracted and return after holidays. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
It's OK to change your mind- it even makes you a better traderIn the fast-paced and ever-evolving world of trading, the pressure to make quick decisions and stick to them can be intense. There's a pervasive belief that once a decision is made, a good trader should stand by it, no matter what. However, this mindset can be misleading and, in some cases, even harmful. In truth, the ability to change your mind in trading is not a sign of weakness or inconsistency. On the contrary, it’s a hallmark of a skilled and adaptable trader who understands the complexities of the market. The Nature of the Market: Constant Change The financial markets are anything but static. They are influenced by an array of factors that can change within moments—economic indicators, global political events, shifts in market sentiment, and even unexpected news releases. These variables make the market highly unpredictable. A trading decision that was well-founded one moment can become obsolete the next due to new developments. Successful traders recognize this inherent uncertainty and embrace the need to adapt. Being rigid in your approach can lead to unnecessary risks and missed opportunities. Flexibility allows you to respond to the market’s constant fluctuations, ensuring that your trading strategy remains relevant and effective. Embracing Flexibility: The Power of Adaptation Flexibility in trading is not just about changing your mind when things go wrong; it’s about continuously assessing your position in light of new information. This doesn’t mean constantly second-guessing yourself but rather being open to the possibility that your initial analysis may need adjustment as new data becomes available. For instance, you might enter a trade based on a specific market pattern or trend. However, as the trade progresses, you might notice signs that the market is shifting in an unexpected direction. At this point, the ability to re-evaluate your position and, if necessary, change your strategy can mean the difference between a small loss and a significant one—or even turning a potential loss into a profitable trade. This willingness to adapt shows not indecision but a deep understanding of the market’s unpredictable nature. Ego vs. Objectivity: Trading Without Emotional Attachment One of the biggest hurdles traders face is overcoming their own ego. Ego can cloud judgment, pushing you to stick with a decision out of pride rather than sound reasoning. This is particularly dangerous in trading, where the market has no regard for your personal biases or feelings. Ego-driven decisions can lead to stubbornness, causing you to hold onto losing trades far longer than you should. Objectivity, on the other hand, is the foundation of successful trading. It requires detaching your emotions from your trades and focusing solely on the data and what the market is telling you. Changing your mind in response to new market information is not a sign of weakness; it’s a demonstration of objectivity. By prioritizing market signals over personal pride, you’re aligning yourself with the realities of the market rather than a fixed idea of what should happen. The Importance of Capital Preservation In trading, your capital is your most valuable asset. Preserving it is crucial for long-term success. The notion that "it’s better to be right than to be profitable" can be a dangerous trap. Sticking to a losing trade out of stubbornness can lead to significant losses, quickly eroding your trading account and undermining your ability to recover. When you change your mind in response to market conditions, you are, in effect, practicing good risk management. Recognizing when a trade isn’t going as planned and adjusting your strategy accordingly helps you limit losses and protect your capital. This approach not only safeguards your resources but also keeps you in the game, allowing you to capitalize on future opportunities. Continuous Learning: Evolving as a Trader Trading is not a static skill—it’s a dynamic process that involves continuous learning and adaptation. Every trade, whether successful or not, provides valuable insights. When you allow yourself to change your mind, you’re acknowledging that there is always something new to learn. This openness to learning and evolving is essential for long-term success in trading. The market itself is a constantly evolving entity, influenced by countless factors that change over time. Traders who are rigid in their thinking are often left behind, while those who embrace change and are willing to learn from their experiences continue to grow and succeed. Changing your mind in trading isn’t about flip-flopping or being indecisive; it’s about recognizing that the market is bigger than any one individual and that adaptability is key to thriving in this environment. Navigating the Fine Line: Reason vs. Reaction (AND THIS IS VERY IMPORTANT) While the ability to change your mind is crucial, it’s important to recognize that there’s a fine line between making well-reasoned decisions and reacting impulsively to every market fluctuation. The market is filled with noise—short-term movements that can be misleading if taken out of context. Constantly changing your mind in response to every minor shift can lead to overtrading, unnecessary stress, and ultimately, poor performance. The key is to differentiate between significant market changes that warrant a reassessment of your strategy and normal market noise that should be ignored. Strong, data-driven reasons should guide your decision to change course, not fleeting emotions or fear of missing out. Successful traders strike a balance—they remain flexible and open to change, but they do so based on sound analysis, not on every whim of the market. Building Confidence Through Adaptability Another critical aspect of changing your mind in trading is that it can actually build your confidence rather than diminish it. Confidence in trading doesn’t come from being right all the time; it comes from knowing that you can navigate the market effectively, even when things don’t go as planned. By being flexible and willing to change your mind, you develop a stronger sense of control over your trading strategy. This adaptability also helps you develop resilience. In trading, losses are inevitable. What separates successful traders from the rest is their ability to recover from those losses and learn from them. When you change your mind in response to the market, you’re not just minimizing losses—you’re also building the mental toughness needed to succeed in the long term. Conclusion: The Strength in Changing Your Mind In the world of trading, changing your mind doesn’t make you a bad trader—it makes you a better one. It demonstrates that you are flexible, objective, and committed to continuous learning—qualities that are essential for long-term success in the markets. The ability to adapt to new information and evolving market conditions is not just a good practice; it’s a necessary one. So the next time you find yourself reconsidering a trade, remember: it’s not about being right all the time. It’s about making the best possible decision with the information at hand. In the ever-changing landscape of trading, those who can adapt and change their minds when necessary are the ones who ultimately thrive.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
4
Six Key Ideas from "Trading in the zone" by Mark Douglas I first read "Trading in the Zone" 15 years ago in English. Recently, a publishing house in Romania translated it, and I purchased it on Friday, finishing it entirely by Sunday evening and it was just as impactful as the first time I read it. Mark Douglas' insights into trading psychology are timeless, and this book remains a cornerstone for anyone serious about mastering the mental aspect of trading. For those who haven’t read it, here are the key ideas from this book. Key Ideas from "Trading in the Zone": 1. The Importance of a Winning Mindset: Douglas emphasizes that successful trading is not just about having the right strategy but about developing a mindset that allows you to execute that strategy without hesitation or fear. The book teaches you how to cultivate confidence and consistency by focusing on probabilities rather than certainties. 2. Embracing Uncertainty: One of the most important lessons from the book is the idea that the market is inherently unpredictable. Rather than trying to predict every move, successful traders focus on managing risk and understanding that each trade has an uncertain outcome. This mindset helps traders avoid the emotional pitfalls of fear and greed. 3. The Power of Consistency: Douglas stresses that consistency is key in trading. He argues that the most successful traders are those who can follow their trading plan with discipline, regardless of the market conditions. Consistency reduces emotional decision-making and increases the likelihood of long-term success. 4. Psychological Barriers: The book delves into the psychological challenges that traders face, such as fear, greed, and overconfidence. Douglas provides practical advice on how to recognize and overcome these barriers, helping traders make more rational decisions and avoid common traps. 5. Process Over Outcome: Another key takeaway is the idea that traders should focus on the process of trading rather than the outcome of individual trades. By trusting in their edge—a proven trading strategy—and not getting overly attached to the results of any single trade, traders can improve their overall performance. 6. Money Management: While the book is primarily about trading psychology, it also touches on the critical importance of money management. Douglas highlights how proper money management ensures that you can withstand losses and stay in the game for the long haul. Reading "Trading in the Zone" again this weekend reminded me of the timeless wisdom it offers. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, the principles in this book can help you develop the psychological resilience needed to succeed in the markets. If you haven't read it yet, I highly recommend picking up a copy.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
4
How to Identify Candlestick Strength | Trading Basics Hey traders, In this educational article, we will discuss Please, note that the concepts that will be covered in this article can be applied on any time frame, however, higher is the time frame, more trustworthy are the candles. Also, remember, that each individual candle is assessed in relation to other candles on the chart. There are three types of candles depending on its direction: 🟢 Bullish candle Such a candle has a closing price higher than the opening price. 🔴 Bearish candle Such a candle has a closing price lower than the opening price. 🟡 Neutral candle Such a candle has equal or close to equal opening and closing price. There are three categories of the strength of the candle. Please, note, the measurement of the strength of the candle is applicable only to bullish/bearish candles. Neutral candle has no strength by definition. It signifies the absolute equilibrium between buyers and sellers. 1️⃣ Strong candle Strong bullish candle signifies strong buying volumes and dominance of buyers without sellers resistance. Above, you can see the example of a strong bullish candle on NZDCHF on a 4H. Strong bearish candle means significant selling volumes and high bearish pressure without buyers resistance. On the chart above, you can see a song bearish candle on EURUSD. Usually, a strong bullish/bearish candle has a relatively big body and tiny wicks. 2️⃣ Medium candle Medium bullish candle signifies a dominance of buyers with a rising resistance of sellers. You can see the sequence of medium bullish candles on EURJPY pair on a daily time frame. Medium bearish candle means a prevailing strength of sellers with a growing pressure of bulls. Above is the example of a sequence of medium bearish candles on AUDUSD pair. Usually, a medium bullish/bearish candle has its range (based on a wick) 2 times bigger than the body of the candle. 3️⃣ Weak candle Weak bullish candle signifies the exhaustion of buyers and a substantial resistance of sellers. Weak bearish candle signifies the exhaustion of sellers and a considerable bullish pressure. Usually, such a candle has a relatively small body and a big wick. Above is the sequence of weak bullish and bearish candles on NZDCHF pair on an hourly time frame. Knowing how to read the strength of the candlestick, one can quite accurately spot the initiate of new waves, market reversals and consolidations. Watch how the price acts, follow the candlesticks and try to spot the change of momentum by yourself.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
9
75: Comprehensive Guide to Volume Profiles and Volume in TradingWhat is a Volume Profile? A Volume Profile is an advanced charting tool that plots the amount of trading activity (volume) across different price levels over a specific period. Unlike traditional volume indicators that only show volume over time, Volume Profiles provide insights into where the majority of trading took place, highlighting key areas of support and resistance, as well as zones of high and low interest among traders. Key Components of Volume Profiles: 1. Point of Control (POC) : This is the price level where the highest volume of trades occurred. The POC is a crucial level because it represents the price at which traders found the most value, making it a strong indicator of support or resistance. 2. Value Area (VA) : The Value Area represents the range of prices where approximately 70% of the volume was traded. This area is divided into the Value Area High (VAH) and Value Area Low (VAL). The VA is significant because it identifies the zone where most market participants were active, providing a clear picture of market consensus on value. 3. High Volume Nodes (HVN) and Low Volume Nodes (LVN) : HVNs are price levels where there was a large amount of trading activity, indicating significant interest and often serving as strong support or resistance levels. LVNs, on the other hand, represent areas with minimal trading activity, where prices tend to move quickly due to the lack of interest. The Importance of Volume in Trading Volume is a fundamental aspect of market analysis, offering insights into the strength and sustainability of price movements. It reflects the level of participation in a market, indicating the intensity of buying or selling at different price levels. - Confirmation of Price Movements : High volume confirms the legitimacy of a price move. For example, a price breakout from a resistance level on high volume is more likely to be sustained than one on low volume. - Reversals and Continuations : Spikes in volume can signal potential reversals, especially when occurring at significant price levels such as the POC or near the VA boundaries. Conversely, a sustained high volume along a trend can indicate its continuation. - Validation of Support and Resistance : Volume at key levels like the POC, VAH, and VAL helps validate these areas as strong support or resistance. When price interacts with these levels on high volume, it suggests that many market participants are active, reinforcing the importance of these price levels. How to Interpret and Use Volume Profiles: 1. Identifying Key Price Levels : - The POC acts as a magnet for price, often drawing the price back to it when it moves away. This level is crucial for identifying potential areas of reversal or consolidation. - The Value Area is where the majority of the trading activity occurs. Prices above the VAH might indicate an overbought condition, while prices below the VAL could suggest an oversold market. 2. Volume and Market Sentiment : - High Volume Nodes indicate areas of significant interest, where prices tend to stabilize due to heavy trading. These areas often become zones of accumulation or distribution, depending on market conditions. - Low Volume Nodes indicate price levels with minimal trading interest, where prices may move quickly and encounter less resistance, often leading to rapid price changes or breakouts. 3. Order Flow and Large Volume Blocks : - Large blocks of volume, particularly at HVNs, suggest the presence of institutional traders or significant market participants placing large orders. These zones are critical because they reflect where big players are accumulating or distributing their positions. As a result, these areas tend to create strong support or resistance levels that can define future market behavior. 4. Dynamic vs. Static Profiles : - Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR): This type of profile updates as you scroll through your chart, dynamically showing the volume distribution for the visible price range. It’s useful for analyzing the current market context and finding immediate trading opportunities. - Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP): This profile is static, showing volume data for a specified price range or time period. It’s valuable for comparing current price action to historical data, helping identify long-term support and resistance levels. Practical Tips for Using Volume Profiles : 1. Customization and Settings : - Adjust the number of rows or ticks per row in your Volume Profile settings to get a more detailed or broader view of volume distribution. More rows will give you finer detail, while fewer rows will smooth out the data, highlighting major trends. 2. Combining with Other Indicators : - Use Volume Profiles in conjunction with other technical indicators like moving averages, RSI, or MACD to confirm trading signals and enhance the reliability of your analysis. 3. Adapting to Different Timeframes : - Tailor your Volume Profile analysis to your trading style. For day traders, shorter timeframes (e.g., 5, 15, 30 minutes) might be more relevant, while swing traders or investors might focus on daily, weekly, or even monthly profiles to identify long-term trends and key levels. 4. Observing Market Reactions at Key Levels : - Pay close attention to how the market reacts when it approaches HVNs, LVNs, the POC, or the boundaries of the Value Area. These reactions can provide clues about future price movements and potential trading opportunities. Volume Profiles offer a deep and nuanced view of market behavior by highlighting where significant trading activity has occurred at different price levels. By understanding the interaction between volume and price, traders can make more informed decisions, identify key levels for entry and exit, and gain insights into market sentiment. Integrating Volume Profile analysis into your trading strategy can provide a significant edge, enhancing your ability to navigate the complexities of financial markets.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by seventyfiveinvest
Demo Account Will Not Make You a PRO TRADER Hey traders, In this article, we will discuss demo account trading . We will discuss its importance for newbie traders and its flaws. ➕ Pros: Demo account is the best tool to get familiar with the financial markets . It gives you instant access to hundreds of different financial instruments. With a demo account, you can learn how the trading terminal works . You can execute the trading orders freely and get familiar with its types. You can get acquainted with leverage, spreads and volatility. Trading on paper money, you do not incur any risks , while you can see the real impact of your actions on your account balance. Demo account is the best instrument for developing and testing a trading strategy , not risking any penny. The absence of risk makes demo trading absolutely stress-free. ➖ Cons: The incurred losses have no real impact , not causing real emotions and pressure, which you always experience trading on a real account. Your performance (positive or negative) does not influence your future decisions. Real market conditions are tougher. Demo accounts execute the orders a bit differently than the real ones. That is clearly felt during the moments of high volatility, with the order slippage occurring less often and trade execution being longer. Trading with paper money allows you to trade with the sums being unaffordable in a real life, misrepresenting your real potential gains and providing a false confidence in success. Even though we spotted multiple negative elements of demo trading, I want you to realize that it still remains the essential part of your trading journey and one of the main training tools. You should spend as much time on demo trading as you need to build confidence in your actions, only then you can gradually switch to real account trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
Profitable Triangle Trading Strategy Explained Descending triangle formation is a classic reversal pattern . It signifies the weakness of buyers in a bullish trend and bearish accumulation . In this article, I will teach you how to trade descending triangle pattern. I will explain how to identify the pattern properly and share my trading strategy. ⭐️ The pattern has a very peculiar price action structure : 1. Trading in a bullish trend, the price sets a higher high and retraces setting a higher low . 2. Then the market starts growing again but does not manage to set a new high, setting a lower high instead. 3. Then the price drops again perfectly respecting the level of the last higher low, setting an equal low . 4. After that, one more bullish movement and one more consequent lower high , bearish move, and equal low . Based on the last three highs , a trend line can be drawn. Based on the equal lows , a horizontal neckline is spotted. ❗What is peculiar about such price action is the fact that a set of lower highs signifies a weakening bullish momentum : fewer and fewer buyers are willing to buy from horizontal support based on equal lows. 🔔 Such price action is called a bearish accumulation . Once the pattern is formed it is still not a trend reversal signal though. Remember that the price may set many lower highs and equal lows within the pattern. The trigger that is applied to confirm a trend reversal is a bearish breakout of the neckline of the pattern. 📉Then a short position can be opened. For conservative trading, a retest entry is suggested. Safest stop is lying at least above the level of the last lower high. However, in case the levels of the lower highs are almost equal it is highly recommendable to set a stop loss above them all. 🎯For targets look for the closest strong structure support. Below, you can see the example of a descending triangle trade that I took on NZDCAD pair. After I spotted the formation of the pattern, I was patiently waiting for a breakout of its neckline. After a breakout, I set a sell limit order on a retest. Stop loss above the last lower high. TP - the closest key support. 90 pips of pure profit made. Learn to identify and trade descending triangle. It is one of the most accurate price action patterns every trader should know.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
Do Not Overwhelm Your Price Chart! In this article, we will discuss a very important term in trading psychology - paralysis by analysis in trading. Paralysis by analysis occurs when the trader is overwhelmed by a complexity of the data that he is working with. Most of the time, it happens when one is relying on wide spectra of non correlated metrics. That can be various trading indicators, different news outlets and analytical articles and multiple technical tools. Relying on such a mixed basket, one will inevitably be stuck with the contradictory data. For example, the technical indicators may show very bearish clues while the fundamental data is very bullish. Or it can be even worse, when the traders have dozens of indicators on his chart and half of them dictates to open a long position, while another half dictates to sell. Above, you can see an example of a EURUSD price chart that is overwhelmed by various technical indicators: Ichimoku, MA, Volume, ATR support and resistance levels fundamental data As a result, the one becomes paralyzed , not being able to make a decision. Moreover, each attempt to comprehend the data leads to deeper and deeper overthinking, driving into a vicious circle. The paralysis breeds the inaction that necessarily means the missed trading opportunities and profits. How to deal with that? The best option is to limit the number of data sources used for a decision-making. The rule here is simple - the fewer indicators you use, the easier it is to make a decision. EURUSD chart that we discussed earlier can look much better. Removing a bunch of tools will make the analysis easier and more accurate. There is a common fallacy among traders, that complexity breeds the profit. With so many years of trading, I realized, however, that the opposite is true... Keep the things simple, and you will be impressed how accurate your predictions will become. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
18
Binance Coin - The $70.000 price target is real!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Binance Coin . -------- Explanation of my video analysis: Back in 2020 Binance Coin created a decent bullish break and retest of a horizontal structure which was followed by a rally of 10.000% towards the upside. After this rally, which ended in April of 2021, Binance Coin has been trading sideways ever since. Currently it seems like Binance Coin is preparing another bullish breakout, which could lead us all the way up to $70.000 in the future! -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
BINANCE:BNBUSDLong
by basictradingtv
7
From Beginner to Pro - The Evolution of a Trader Hey traders, In this educational article, we will discuss 3 stages of the evolution of a trader . Stage 1 - Unprofitable trader 😞 The unprofitable trader has very typical characteristics: -total absence of trading skills Most of the time, people open a live account simply after completing some beginners course like on babypips website. Being sure that the obtained knowledge are completely enough to start trading, they quickly face the tough reality. -no trading plan Having just basic knowledge, of course, they do not have a trading plan. Why the hell to have it if everything is so simple?! All their actions on the market is just gambling. They open the positions randomly most of the time, simply relying on intuition. -poor risk management In 99% percent of the time, the unprofitable trader does not even think about risk management. The position sizing, stop placement and target selection are completely neglected. Trading performance of the unprofitable traders is characterized by small wins and substantial losses and negatively trending equity. Stage 2 - Boom and bust trader 😶 Usually, traders reach boom and bust stage after 1-2 years of unprofitable trading. At some moment, winning trades start to compensate losing trades, brining non-trending equity. Such traders have very common traits: -not polished trading plan Being unprofitable for so long, traders start to realize the significance of a trading plan. Sticking to the set of rules, they notice positive changes in their trading performance. However, trading plan requires to be polished and modified. It takes many years for a trader to identify all its drawbacks before it starts bringing net profits. -lack of confidence When one starts following a trading system, confidence plays a substantial role. The fact is that even the best trading strategy in the world occasionally produces negative results. In order to not give up and keep following such a system, one needs to build trust in that. The confidence that after a series of losing trades, the strategy will manage to recover. Such a trust can be built after many years of trading that strategy. Stage 3 - Profitable trader ☺️ That is the final destination. After many years of a struggling trading, one finally sees positively-trending equity. Winning trades start to outperform losing ones, leading to consistent account growth. Profitable trader is characterized by iron discipline, confidence and consistency. He knows what he is trading, when and why. His trading plan is polished, he fully controls his emotions. He never stops learning and constantly develops his strategy. Knowing the 3 stages of the evolution of a trader, one can easily identify at what stage he currently is. That will help to identify the things to be focused on to move to the next stage. At what stages are you at the moment?
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4
Exploring Ilian Yotov's Quarter Point Theory: Refine Your Entry The quarters theory challenges the notion that financial markets are chaotic and that market prices are random by demonstrating constant orderly movement of price from one Quarter point to the next. In this publication, I will delve into the fundamentals of Yotov's Quarter Point Theory, its significance, and how it can be applied effectively in forex trading. What is Quarter Point Theory by Ilian Yotov? Ilian Yotov's Quarter Point Theory is a technical analysis strategy used in forex trading to identify potential entry and exit points. The theory is based on the observation that currency prices tend to gravitate towards specific levels known as "quarter points," which are key psychological and technical levels in the market. Key Concepts of Quarter Point Theory • Quarter Points: These are price levels that divide a currency pair's price range into four equal parts. For example, if a currency pair is trading between 1.2000 and 1.3000, the quarter points would be 1.2250, 1.2500, and 1.2750. • Psychological Levels: Quarter points often act as psychological barriers where traders tend to place buy or sell orders, causing price reactions at these levels. • Support and Resistance: Quarter points can act as support and resistance levels, where prices may consolidate, reverse, or experience significant movement. Identifying Quarter Points To apply Quarter Point Theory, traders need to identify the high and low of a currency pair's price range. These values are then divided into quarters to determine the quarter points. The quarters theory focuses on the 1000 pip range between major whole numbers in currency exchange. Each 1000 pip range can be divided into 4 equal parts called Large Quarters Each Large quarter has exactly 250 pips (1000/4 =250). A Large Quarter Point (LQP) is a price that marks the beginning and the end of each Large Quarter (250 pips range). Large Quarter Points that coincide with Major whole numbers are called Major Large Quarter Points (MLQP). MLQP signals the end of a 1000 PIP range and the beginning of a new 1000 pip range. A Major Small Quarter point is simple the number that coincides with a whole number, for example, 1.30, 1.31, 1.32, 1.33, 1.34…. Each of these numbers mark the beginning of a 100 pip range. Here is an illustration of this: Using Quarter Points in Forex When you study price around this theory, you may notice that price has a tendency to print the high of the day or low of the day around quarter point levels. Here is a example of this over a 5 day period on EURUSD: With this new-found knowledge, you could integrate this into your strategy. Once you have a directional bias for the day and you have an AOI for entry, you simply need to identify the quarter point within that range and anticipate a reaction at that level. For a deeper dive into this theory, I highly recommend reading the original work by Ilian Yotov's. If you would like a free pdf copy, drop me a message or leave a comment, I'd be happy to share this with you. Happy Trading
Education
by Pips4Breakfastx
10
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for price to attempt the push up, go into resistance where we wanted to short the market into the order region, and then look for the long trade back up from there on the RIP into the levels above. This went extremely well giving us a pin point move from level to level. During the week we updated the idea, which was already going to plan with a new bullish bias level and trade the new Excalibur activations upside into just below where we are now. Plan worked well again giving an almost pip to pip, level to level reaction from our levels and following our bias and analysis posted pre-hand. Well done to those that followed not only gold but the numerous other pairs we trade in Camelot which also gave us fantastic results for the week. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? This week we would say caution on long trades unless we get a pullback into key level support where we feel it’s worth a test, unless the higher levels aren’t taken on or during the early sessions of the week. We have an order region sitting above 2425-35 which is a large region, and if we see price attempt and give us a clean reversal there, we feel an opportunity to short the market is available for traders back down into the 2400 and below that 2385 price region which is where they may want to start to accumulate again. The issue we have here is that 2445-65 level which is a clean region of liquidity if they want to take it and stretch the sellers even more, so here we will caution again, as that level is the extension of the move, be prepared! So, in practice what do we do? Because we’re back in uncharted territory again, we’ll have to treat this as level to level play, we’ll look lower in the highlight region to go long, unless broken, and if they continue to take us up, we’ll trade it level to level looking for the ultimate short trade following our trusted guide. KOG’s Bias for the week: Bullish above 2395 with targets above 2430-35 and above that 2447 Bearish on break of 2395 with targets below 2375 It’s going to be a difficult week with potential of gaps on opening due to a Powell speech later, be fore market open! There is a lot of geopolitical news driving the markets and fear is present, although it’s looking like we’re going higher we would say caution over the week as a sudden turn will be extreme! Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
10
Want to spot a turning point in trend before it happens?Want to spot a turning point in trend before it happens? Use Elliott wave parallel channel This chart shows the GBP/JPY currency pair using monthly candlesticks. The advance from Sep 2011 to June 2015 can be labeled as an impulse wave (A). From that high, the pair declined in three waves labeled as wave (B) of a Zigzag A-B-C correction with an expanding diagonal characteristic in the C wave position. As a rule, in a Zigzag rally, wave B notably terminates above the origin of wave A. When wave (C) advance of a zigzag rally is in operation, we can forecast where wave (C) might end. We can use Elliott wave channel projection by connecting the origin of wave (A) with the end of wave (B) and then drawing a parallel line from the end of wave (A). As a guideline, the resulting channel gives us a potential target for the wave (C) endpoint. Moreover, we can also use ratio analysis to improve the odds. As a guideline, in Zigzag formations, wave (C) commonly ends after traveling the same length as wave (A). Observe this level corresponds with the Elliott wave channel projection. This cluster of evidence hints at wave (C) advance from Mar 2020 is in late stages and that prices are approaching a major top.
Education
by Aquanet_Market_Forecast
17
Technical Analysis DOES NOT WORK in GOLD Trading Does technical analysis really work in Gold trading? In this article, we will discuss whether the traditional, classic methods of technical analysis: support and resistance, breakouts, patterns can be reliable in this specific market. We will explore the dynamics of Gold prices so far this year and discuss the most efficient way to trade Gold. So if you are a gold trader or simple interested in the market analysis, you should not miss this eye-opening discussion! First, let's discuss how Gold market behaves from the beginning of the year from technical analysis perspective. Gold started this year in a strong bullish trend, the market opened after setting a new higher high on a daily the second of January. After a formation of a higher high, the market became overbought and a correctional movement initiated. The price formed a bullish flag pattern and reached the level of the last higher low - a very important support. After the test of structure, the price bounced and violated a resistance line of a flag with a strong bullish candle. From the technical perspective, it was a very strong trend-following signal and a bullish continuation was anticipated. However, it turned out that it was a false signal, and instead of going higher, the market dropped, setting a new lower low. Why this false signal is so important is that the breakouts, key levels and price action analysis are the most reliable on a daily time frame. Such a strong combination: bullish trend, bullish pattern, key support; has a very high accuracy on a daily. That was the first time this year, when technical analysis on a daily was completely screwed . It felt like the market was turning bearish. The price violated a level of the higher low, setting a new lower low. For Smart Money traders, it is a very important event that is called a Change of Character. It strongly confirms a bearish reversal on the market. One more bearish confirmation that I spotted was a completed head and shoulders pattern formation with a confirmed violation of its neckline. That signal also confirms a bearish reversal. And again, these 2 bearish confirmations were the false signals. The price went back above the neckline and a bullish movement initiated. This time, a classic price action pattern did not work , and smart money concepts gave a false signal. Then I spotted a very bullish signal - the price violated a major falling trend line and closed above that. It clearly indicated that the market was returning to a global bullish trend. And again, that signal was completely false. And the price dropped. Trend line breakout in the direction of the trend - a classic trend-following confirmation did not work. Then we saw 2 strong bearish signals: a bearish breakout of a rising trend line and a key horizontal support with a high momentum bearish candle. It felt like now it confirms that the market is bearish and it should drop lower to the closest key support. And again, technicals failed miserably and after a retest of a broken horizontal structure and a trend line, the price just went higher completely neglecting them From the beginning of the year, technical analysis: key levels, patterns, smart money, breakouts do not work on a daily. All the signals that were spotted so far failed. If you just started trading, you may easily come to the conclusion that technical analysis does not make any sense on Gold. And you will be completely right, in that period it does not work at all. I am trading Gold and Forex for more than 9 years, and year after year I noticed that there always are the periods when some techniques, some strategies do not work. Sometimes these periods are very short, but some time they can be quite long. The only proven way to overcome such periods is consistency and proper risk management . Risking a tiny portion of your trading account per trade, you will be able to survive the stubborn market. The market always returns to normal conditions and starts respecting the technicals again. However, no one knows when. There is a famous quote by John Keynes: "Markets can remain irrational longer than you stay solvent"" And only proper risk management will keep you solvent longer than the market stays irrational. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
6
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: We were expecting it to be a quiet day, but in true unconventional market fashion we actually had a blinding day on the markets, especially gold. Early session we saw the break above which confirmed the long trade, Excalibur activated, the red box strategy agreed, and we got not 1 but 2 fantastic long trades on gold. To top it off, tap and bounce on the nose from the reaction point highlighted on the chart giving a move down, but only into support. So, what now? We would like to see this support level below hold around 2320-15 region, and if so, would like to see this attempt that 2335-40 region before we decide whether the set up is right for the short trade. Resistance now stand at 2330-35 which will need to break to go higher. Otherwise, we'll look for the setup tomorrow and wait for Excalibur to confirm. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
2
Top-5 tips for Top-Down Multiple Time Frame Analysis Trading I am trading multiple time frame analysis for many years. After reviewing trading ideas from various traders on Tradingview, I noticed that many traders are applying that incorrectly In this article, I will share with you 5 essential tips , that will help you improve your multiple time frame analysis and top-down trading. The Order of Analysis Matters Multiple time frame analysis is also called top-down analysis for a reason. When you trade with that, you should strictly start your analysis with higher time frames and then dive lower, investigating shorter-term time frames. Unfortunately, most of the traders do the opposite. They start from a lower time frame and finish on a higher one. Above are 3 time frames of EURGBP pair: daily, 4h, 1h. To execute multiple time frames analysis properly, start with a daily, then check a 4h and only then the hourly time frame. Limit the Number of Time Frames Executing multiple time frame analysis, many traders analyse a lot of time frames. They may start from a weekly and finish on 5 minute time frame, going through 5-8 time frames. Remember that is it completely wrong. For execution of a multiple time frame analysis, it is more than enough to analyse 3 or even 2 time frames. Adding more time frames will overwhelm your analysis and make it too complex. Analyse Particular Time Frames Your multiple time frame analysis should be consistent and rule-based. It means that you should strictly define the time frames that you analyse. For example, for day trading, my main trading time frames are daily, 4h, 1h. I consistently analyse ONLY these trading time frames and I look for day trades only analysing this combination of time frames. Higher is the time frame, stronger the signal in provides Trading with multiple time frame analysis, very often you will encounter controversial signals: you may see a very bullish pattern on a daily and a very bearish confirmation on 30 minutes time frame. Always remember that the higher time frames confirmations are always stronger, and their accuracy is probability is always higher. Above there are 2 patterns: a head and shoulders pattern on a daily time frame with a confirmed neckline breakout, and an inverted head and shoulders pattern on a 4h time frame with a confirmed neckline breakout. 2 patterns give 2 controversial signals: the pattern on a daily is very bullish and the pattern on a 4h is very bearish. The signal on a daily time frame will be always stronger , so it is reasonable to be on a bearish side here. You can see that the price dropped after a retest of a neckline of a head and shoulders on a daily, completely neglecting a bullish pattern on a 4H. Each Time Frame Should Have Its Purpose You should analyse any particular time frame for a reason. You should know exactly what you are looking for there and what is the purpose of your analysis. For example, for day trading, I analyse 3 time frames. On a daily, I analyse the market trend and key levels. On a 4H time frame, I analyse candlesticks. On an hourly time frame, I look for a price action pattern as a confirmation. On GBPAUD on a daily, I see a test of a key horizontal resistance. On a 4H time frame, the price formed a doji candle. On an hourly, I spotted a double top, giving me a bearish confirmation. These trading tips will increase the accuracy of your multiple time frame analysis. Study them carefully and adopt them in your trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
4
Dynamics of Bull Market CyclesBull markets are the epitome of investor optimism and economic growth, characterized by rising asset prices and increasing investor confidence. However, within every bull market, there lies a cyclical pattern composed of distinct phases: Discovery, Momentum, and Blow-off. Understanding these phases is crucial for investors to navigate the market efficiently and capitalize on opportunities while mitigating risks. 🟣 Discovery Phase: 👉 Accumulation: During the accumulation phase, institutional investors and smart money recognize undervalued assets and begin quietly accumulating positions. This often occurs when the broader market sentiment is still pessimistic or uncertain, presenting attractive buying opportunities. 👉 Trend Emergence: As accumulation continues, subtle shifts in market dynamics become apparent. Prices begin to exhibit higher highs and higher lows, indicating the emergence of an uptrend. Technical indicators such as moving averages may start to show bullish crossovers, further confirming the trend. 🟣 Momentum Phase: 👉 Shake-out: The shake-out phase is characterized by short-term price declines or corrections that test investor resolve. Weak-handed investors, who bought near the end of the accumulation phase or are driven by fear, panic sell their positions. This phase often creates volatility and uncertainty but also offers opportunities for long-term investors to accumulate quality assets at discounted prices. 👉 Momentum Building: Following the shake-out, momentum begins to build as the broader market recognizes the strength of the uptrend. More investors start participating in the rally, driving prices higher. Positive news catalysts and strong earnings reports further fuel the momentum, attracting even more investors. 👉 First Sentiment: As the bull market gains momentum, investor sentiment shifts from cautious optimism to moderate confidence. Market participants start to believe in the sustainability of the uptrend, leading to increased buying activity. However, skepticism may still linger, especially among contrarian investors who remain wary of potential overvaluation. 🟣 Blow-off Phase: 👉 Renewed Optimism: In the blow-off phase, optimism reignites as investors regain confidence in the market's upward trajectory. Corrections or pullbacks are viewed as buying opportunities rather than signals of impending reversal. Institutional investors and retail traders alike re-enter the market, driving prices to new highs. 👉 FOMO (Fear of Missing Out): Fear of Missing Out becomes prevalent as investors fear being left behind in the rally. Social media, financial news outlets, and word-of-mouth recommendations amplify the sense of urgency to buy, further fueling price appreciation. This FOMO-driven buying frenzy can lead to exaggerated price moves and irrational exuberance. 👉 Euphoria: Euphoria marks the peak of the bull market cycle. Investors become irrationally exuberant, believing that the current uptrend will continue indefinitely. Risk management takes a backseat as greed overrides caution. Valuation metrics may reach extreme levels, signaling frothiness in the market. Understanding the cyclical nature of bull market cycles is essential for investors to navigate the market successfully. By recognizing the distinct phases of Discovery, Momentum, and Blow-off, investors can make informed decisions, capitalize on opportunities, and protect their portfolios from potential downturns. While bull markets are synonymous with optimism and prosperity, prudent risk management and a keen awareness of market dynamics are critical for long-term investment success.
Education
by Vestinda
2
Support and Resistance levelsSupport and resistance levels, the bedrock of technical analysis, are fundamental elements. They serve as critical points that delineate potential price movements and are pivotal in decision-making processes for traders and investors alike The basis: There are several fundamental concepts in trading that remain the same over a long period of time. Among them, the concepts of support and resistance levels stand out. When used correctly, support and resistance levels improve trading efficiency in financial markets. Today we will delve deeper into these concepts. Price behavior: The fundamental principle of price behavior lies in the concept of supply and demand, governing the existence and operation of any market. When demand outweighs supply, it prompts an upward push in prices, while in reverse circumstances, a decrease is observed. By identifying levels of supply and demand, traders significantly enhance their success rate. A support level indicates a price range where strong buying positions are concentrated, typically defined by two minimum price points. A resistance level, conversely, denotes a price range around which strong selling positions are clustered, often marked by two maximum price points. It's important to note that support and resistance levels should not be viewed as precise lines. Prices may not necessarily adhere to these levels point by point; often, they may not even touch the level directly, sometimes piercing through it. This variability is normal, so these levels should be perceived more as zones of support and resistance. The width of these zones can vary, with the magnitude of dispersion dependent on the timeframe in which trading occurs. The higher the timeframe, the potentially broader the range of support and resistance levels. Once again for strengthening: Support and resistance levels represent specific price ranges on a chart (often represented by rectangles in my analysis) where the direction of price movement has historically changed. These ranges attract traders' attention because they provide clear points for setting stop losses and entering trades. In addition, these levels usually attract large buyers or sellers whose limit orders contribute to market dynamics. Essentially, the level denotes the price area in the market where traders perceive the price to be either overpriced or underpriced, depending on the prevailing market conditions. Therefore, it is extremely important to closely monitor key levels where the role of support and resistance has changed or where significant price reversals have occurred. Blending levels signify pivotal points on a price chart where price action can prompt a reversal in the opposite direction. In the presence of a robust trend, price movements may penetrate through these supply and demand levels, leading to potential shifts in direction. Such occurrences typically coincide with heightened transaction volumes. The interplay of price adjustments, heightened market activity, and trading volumes collectively influence market direction. When resistance is breached and the price retraces to its previous level, there's a likelihood that bulls will once again push it upwards. Conversely, if the price retraces to the breached level after breaking through support, bears are likely to actively drive it downwards. Support and resistance levels can be identified as areas in the market where traders are more inclined to buy or sell, depending on current market conditions. This creates a zone of collision between buyers and sellers, often prompting the market to change its direction. Retest: A retest of a level refers to a brief return of the price to the breached support or resistance line for testing purposes. Following the retest, the price typically continues its movement in the direction of the breakout. On higher time frames, support and resistance levels become more powerful: It is important to observe the price action around levels: If the price swiftly reverses from a level into the opposite trend, it indicates significant importance of that level. If the price tests a specific area multiple times with minor retracements, it's likely that the level will eventually be breached. Swing zones refer to areas where the price retraces to the previous pullback in either a downtrend or uptrend. In less robust trends, the price tends to return to the boundary of the previous correction before continuing its movement. Of course, support and resistance are dynamic concepts that require constant attention and analysis as their meaning changes depending on prevailing market conditions. Moreover, it is critical to consider multiple confirmations such as volume analysis and breakouts to confirm the strength of these levels. Thank you for your attention!
Education
by truepersonal
26
Don't Trade These Trend Lines | Forex Trading Basics A lot of traders apply trend lines for trading and making predictions on different financial markets. Trend line can also be an important element of price action patterns. However, only few knows that some trend lines are better to be avoided. In this article, I will share with you the types of trend lines that you should avoid and not rely on for making trading decisions. Invalidated Trend Line Even the strongest trend lines may lose their significance with time. Before you take a trade from a trend line, make sure that it still remains valid. If the trend line is not respected by the buyers and then by the sellers, or by the sellers and then by the buyers, we say that such a trend line lost its significance, and it is better to not trade it. Have a look at that rising trend line on USDCAD. We see strong bullish reactions to that, and we may expect a bullish movement from that, once it is tested. However, it was violated and after a breakout it should turn into a vertical resistance. Retesting that, the price easily went through the broken trend line. The trend line lost its significance, and it is better to not trade that in future. 2 Touches Based Trend Line When you are looking for a strong trend line to trade, remember that the trend line should be confirmed by at least 3 touches and 3 consequent bullish / bearish reactions to that. Above is the example of a valid and reliable trend line. However, quite often, newbie trade 2 touches based trend lines. Most of the time, such trend lines are neglected by the market. Moreover, relying on 2-touches-based trend lines, your chart will look like a complete mess. Simply because there are too many trend line meeting that criteria. Receding trend line There are the trend lines that go against your trade with time while remaining valid. Have a look at a major falling trend line on NZDCHF on a daily time frame. You may open a swing long position from that on a daily or a day trade on intraday time frames like an hourly. You can see that the market may easily go against your predictions for a long time, while perfectly respecting a trend line. The price was sliding on that trend line for 6 consequent days before it finally started to grow. Such trend lines are better to be avoided . Make sure that a trend line and your trade have the same direction. Trend lines can provide very safe points for trading entries. However, the trend lines are not equal and while some of them can be very profitable, some of them can lead to substantial losses. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
20