Learn The Market Volatility | The Double-Edged Sword
Have you ever wondered why the certain trading instruments are very rapid while some our extremely slow and boring?
In this educational article, we will discuss the market volatility, how is it measured and how can it be applied for making smart trading and investing decisions.
📚 First, let's start with the definition. Market volatility is a degree of a fluctuation of the price of a financial instrument over a certain period of time.
High volatility reflects quick and significant rises and falls on the market, while low volatility implies that the price moves slowly and steadily.
High volatility makes it harder for the traders and investors to predict the future direction of the market, but also may bring substantial gains.
On the other hand, a low volatility market is much easier to predict, but the potential returns are more modest.
The chart on the left is the perfect example of a volatile market.
While the chart on the right is a low volatility market.
📰 The main causes of volatility are economic and geopolitical events.
Political and economic instability, wars and natural disasters can affect the behavior of the market participants, causing the chaotic, irrational market movements.
On the other hand, the absence of the news and the relative stability are the main sources of a low volatility.
Here is the example, how the Covid pandemic affected GBPUSD pair.
The market was falling in a very rapid face in untypical manner, being driven by the panic and fear.
But how the newbie trader can measure the volatility of the market?
The main stream way is to apply ATR indicator, but, working with hundreds of struggling traders from different parts of the globe, I realized that for them such a method is complicated.
📏 The simplest way to assess the volatility of the market is to analyze the price action and candlesticks.
The main element of the volatile market is occasional appearance of large candlestick bars - the ones that have at least 4 times bigger range than the average candles.
Sudden price moves up and down are one more indicator of high volatility. They signify important shifts in the supply and demand of a particular asset.
Take a look at a price action and candlesticks on Bitcoin.
The market moves in zigzags, forming high momentum bullish and bearish candles. These are the indicators of high volatility.
🛑 For traders who just started their trading journey, high volatility is the red flag.
Acting rapidly, such instruments require constant monitoring and attention. Moreover, such markets require a high level of experience in stop loss placement because one single high momentum candle can easily hit the stop loss and then return to entry level.
Alternatively, trading a low volatility market can be extremely boring because most of the time it barely moves.
The best solution is to look for the market where the volatility is average, where the market moves but on a reasonable scale.
Volatility assessment plays a critical role in your success in trading. Know in advance, the degree of a volatility that you can tolerate and the one that you should avoid.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Tradingeducation
A BASIC ENTRYThis right here is my favorite type of entry where you can basically see a nice bottom and re-test from the pullback before so in my eyes coming back down to this price too fill in the gaps is a MUST PAY ATTENTION type of trade... too me this is a continuation of price action. NOW! don't just get to your desired price and throw a market order in just because it's there? Wait for some big volume to come through, wait for the next pullback... Getting too the price is one thing... but knowing what to do next is the ball game.
I mean if I can get the price too come down far enough that i can set my SL behind a bunch of big 4HR, 1D bottoms and scale down to a lower TF too catch a clean leveraged trade. That's a strategy in itself... To add a focus on discipline, mindset, psychology, family, friends, work! an all-round lifestyle as a SOLDIER! you come to realize that trading is such a very small part of the game. Nail life first... then that simple strategy might just work.
BASIC TRADING BOOKIn this basic trading manual, we will address over 50 questions along with their answers, aiming to familiarize you with the concepts commonly used by traders. Through this material, we will focus on providing a more technical and formal language to enhance understanding and application of these concepts in the field of trading
What is a financial market?
A financial asset is a security or simply a book entry, whereby the buyer of the security acquires the right to receive future income from the seller. Stocks, currencies, bonds, cryptos, etc.
1) What financial markets exist?
Direct operation market. Buyers and sellers must meet directly for the purchase and sale of financial assets.
Brokerage market. There are specialized brokers that put buyers and sellers in contact with each other, charging a commission for the service.
Dealer market. The dealer buys the asset and sells it to a buyer,
i.e. takes positions on his own account. His profit is in the margin he obtains between the purchase price and the sale price (Spread).
Blind market (market makers). The market maker publishes the prices at which he is willing to make buying and selling operations. His profit is in the margin he obtains.
2)Who regulates the trading activity?
Commodity Futures Trading Commission, better known by its acronym CFTC. It regulates and supervises the options and futures market.
3)What are shares?
A share in the financial market is a security issued by a corporation or limited partnership by shares that represents the value of one of the equal fractions into which its capital stock is divided.
The shareholder investor expects the company to receive the maximum possible dividends and, from this, to create a generalized demand from the investing public for the paper, which produces an increasing valuation in its share price.
4)What is Forex?
The foreign exchange market, also known as Forex, FX or Currency Market, is a global and decentralized market in which currencies are traded. This market was born with the objective of facilitating the flow of money derived from international trade.
5) What are futures?
A Future is a transaction agreed at a given maturity (every end of the month - being the last trading day of the month) at a given price.
The buyer of a future has the expectation that the quoted value or SPOT, at maturity, will be at least above the agreed future value.
The seller of a future has the expectation that the price or SPOT at maturity will be at least below the agreed future value.
6)What are options?
Anything publicly traded can have options. Options, like stocks, can be traded every day, and this is what "liquidity" depends on, i.e., if there are no buyers and sellers, there are no options.
One option could be:
Call = Buy. Symbolically "C". Put = Sale. Symbolically "V".
7) What are cryptocurrencies?
A cryptocurrency is a centralized digital financial asset that uses cryptographic encryption to guarantee its ownership and ensure the integrity of transactions, and to control the creation of additional units, i.e. to prevent someone from making copies as we would do, for example, with a photo or a banknote.
8) What is a Japanese candlestick?
Candlesticks are a graphical representation of the financial market price in the form of candlesticks. They represent the price action over a set period of time. They are composed of a body and 2 shadows.
9) What is a candlestick chart?
In economics, the candlestick or candlestick chart is a type of chart widely used in technical analysis of the stock market. It reflects: the opening price of a security, the closing price of a security, the high and the low of that security.
10) What does it mean to trade short?
To trade short is to sell an asset that you do not own in the hope that its price will go down and you can close the trade at a profit. It is also called going short, taking a short position, going short.
11) What does it mean to trade long?
Trading long refers to taking a buying position in a financial asset. It is the opposite of going short.
12) What is a trend?
Market trends can be defined as the direction in which a market moves in a sustained manner over a given time interval.
13)What is a range?
A trading range is a band defined by two horizontal lines (one at the top as "resistance" and one at the bottom as "support"), which encompasses the price values of a tradable asset over a given period.
14) What is a spread?
A spread is an injection of purchases into the market that generate a strong upward price movement.
15) What is a lot?
A lot is a standardized group of assets in which an investment is made. Often, the actual value of an asset or security prevents you from trading it in units. Example: One lot of gold equals 100 ounces.
16) What is a contract?
a futures contract is an agreement, traded on an exchange or organized market, that obligates the contracting parties to buy or sell a number of goods or securities at a future date, but with a price established in advance.
17) What is the expiration of a contract?
Futures contracts have an expiration date, which is the date on which the contract must be settled. As the expiration date approaches, the price of the futures contract is adjusted to reflect the price of the underlying asset at that time.
18) What is a swap?
A swap is a contract in which two counterparties agree to exchange obligations or cash flows in order to achieve a benefit.
19) What is a tick?
A tick is the smallest price change that can occur in a market. It is represented in points and is always placed to the right of the decimal place. Each market has its own tick and this measure is widely used in the futures market.
20) What is a pip?
The term pip is short for "Point in Percentage". It is the measure of the smallest movement of the exchange rate of a currency pair in the foreign exchange market.
21) What is leverage?
Leverage is a tool that allows to increase the potential return of an investment by contracting a debt. In the specific case of trading, the broker undertakes to advance the trader a capital to invest in an operation, against the deposit of a guarantee, which is called margin.
22) What is a market order?
A market order is an order to buy or sell immediately at the best possible price. It needs liquidity to be filled, which means that it is executed against limit orders already created in the order book.
23) What is a limit order?
A limit order is an instruction given to execute a trade at a level that is more favorable than the current market price. There are two varieties of limit orders: entry orders (which consist of opening a position) and close orders (which terminate an open position).
24) What is an indicator?
Trading indicators are mathematical calculations that are represented in various forms on a price chart and can help investors identify certain signals and trends within the market.
25) What is technical analysis?
Technical analysis is a system for examining and predicting price movements in financial markets based on historical data and market statistics.
26) What is fundamental analysis?
Fundamental analysis is a methodology of stock market analysis, intended to determine the true value of the security or stock, called fundamental value. This value is used as an estimate of its value as a commercial utility, which in turn is supposed to be an indicator of the expected future performance of the security.
27) What are chartist figures?
the word chartist refers to "chart" in English, so we can specify that the chartist figures are those candlestick formations that form certain patterns that allow us to foreshadow where the trend of an asset could go.
28) What is a support?
Support is a level on a market chart where the price recovers in a downtrend. Let's say an asset is falling, but there is a price beyond which it will not fall. Every time it reaches that price, buyers take control and the market goes back up, this would be a support level.
29) What is a resistor?
Resistance is an area on a market's chart that is difficult to break through to reach new highs. Resistance is the opposite of support.
When an asset reaches it, sellers take control and drive its price back down.
30) What is a divergence?
Divergences are behaviors of other assets that act opposite or similar to the main asset. These divergences will give us extra confirmation when trading.
31) What is a gap?
In the stock market, a GAP represents a gap between two successive quotations, caused by the lack of transactions in a given period: this gap can also be represented by a news item that has a significant impact on the price of the security.
32) What is market risk?
Trading in the stock market must be full of Risk, Daring and Passion. As a generalized meaning, every financial operation carried out by an investor involves some risk. Financial Trading takes place in an environment of uncertainty that may generate unfavorable results or results different from those projected. This risk has two sources: uncertainty and probability.
33) What is risk management?
Risk management is a strategy that reduces risks in order to operate with peace of mind.
34) What are risk management strategies based on?
In order to have a correct risk management, you must first define your monthly target.
Second, we must define how much of our capital we are willing to risk.
Third, look for an adequate ratio (risk/reward) that allows us to have a low percentage of success in the operations but that compensates the losses with the profits.
And finally, how much we are going to risk per operation.
35) What is profitability?
Profitability is the gain you make after selling an asset in which you invested money. This means that, if you buy a stock index futures contract costing $10 USD, which subsequently increases in price to $13 USD and you sell it, you would be earning a return of
$3 USD.
The profitability you can obtain in trading depends on several factors such as the level of risk to which you expose your operations, the capital, the type of market, the financial asset, the level of leverage you use, the experience you have and your strategy.
36) What is a trading platform?
Trading platforms are tools that allow traders to trade over the network in real time. Each platform has its own features. Most of them offer information about the market, allow to schedule trades and offer different paid versions.
37) What is a timeframe?
The time frame in trading is the time interval or time frame in which a price chart is analyzed and ranges from ticks to months. It is a fundamental concept in the technical analysis of the financial market, it is a period of time in which the price data of an asset is examined.
38) What is a trading strategy?
Trading strategies are the action plans that traders use to trade in the financial markets.
These strategies are based on technical analysis, fundamental analysis or a combination of both, and define the entry, exit, risk and capital management rules that the trader must follow.
39) Types of trading strategies
There are many types of trading strategies, but they can be classified according to the time frame in which they are applied, the trading style they follow or the indicators they use
Some of the most common classifications are as follows:
According to the time frame: a distinction can be made between long term trading strategies (positional trading), medium term (swing trading) or short term (day trading or scalping). Each of these strategies involves a different level of frequency, duration and profit per trade.
Depending on the trading style: a distinction can be made between trend trading strategies, which seek to follow the dominant market direction, or counter-trend trading strategies, which seek to take advantage of market changes or corrections. There are also neutral trading strategies, which do not depend on the market direction.
Depending on the indicators: a distinction can be made between trading strategies based on technical indicators, which are mathematical tools that are applied to prices to generate buy or sell signals, or trading strategies based on price action, which are those that only use the patterns and formations drawn by prices on the charts.
40) What is stop loss?
The stop loss is a type of conditional order, which executes the sale of a certain asset if its price falls below the market limit. It is the investor who sets this price level through his broker, thus establishing the maximum level of loss that he is willing to assume.
41) What is the trailing stop?
The trailing stop is a type of order that makes your stop loss behave dynamically and evolve with the trend. The maximum loss tolerated is adjusted to the maximum price recorded, and is not anchored to the price of your entry.
42) What is take profit?
Take profit refers to limit orders that seek to sell above the level that was bought or buy below the level that was sold.
43) What is benefit bias?
Partializing profits refers to taking partial profits before reaching our take profit order. This is done to lock in profits in case our trade does not go to take profit.
44) What is breakeven?
The breakeven is an operation that is performed by moving the stop loss price to a price that guarantees that if the market moves against it and the operation is exited by stop loss, no money will be lost. It is usually moved to the entry price of the trade.
45) What types of trading are there?
Intraday trading Swing trade Scalping
Long-term trading Arbitration
Carry trade
46) What is intraday trading?
Intraday trading is a short-term strategy that aims to profit from small price fluctuations during the day, rather than long-term market movements.
47) What is the swing trade?
The swing trade is a type of trade that uses the charts that the price of assets draws session by session to detect trends, whether bullish or bearish, and follow the market, taking advantage of them to make money when the market rises or falls.
48) What is scalping?
Scalping is a type of trading that involves buying and selling financial assets quickly. Traders who trade using this method often seek to generate small profits on each transaction and hold their positions for a short period of time.
49) What is psychotrading?
Trading psychology is a term used to refer to the state of mind and emotions that can influence success or failure when investing in securities. It also represents the trader's capacity for self-control, based on the emotional component he/she employs in the decision making process.
50) What is an anchored account?
Funded accounts, also called funded accounts, are used to start trading without a deposit, i.e. the company that offers them provides the initial capital so that the selected trader can invest in the markets, generally in financial derivatives.
51) What is a trade log?
In trade logs, traders keep all the trades they make, with details of the trade such as date, asset, entry, stop loss, take profit, etc.
Learn How to Trade Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Hey traders,
🔝Top-Down analysis is one of the most efficient ways to analyze & trade different financial markets. In this post, we will discuss the time frames to watch and the main steps to go through to execute a Top-Down trading strategy properly.
Being a Top-Down trader your task is to assess the global market perspective and identify the zones, the areas from where it will be relatively safe for you to trade it following the trend or catching the reversals.
➖Weekly time frame shows you the price action during the last couple of years. It unveils the major zones of supply and demand and indicates the long-term direction of the market.
Your task is to spot these zones and underline them.
The strongest market moves most of the time initiate from these zones.
At the same time, you must remember that on a weekly time frame the market is extremely slow. Being beyond the key zones 90% of the time, it takes many weeks, even months for the market to reach them.
➖Once you completed a weekly time frame analysis,
the next on your radar is a daily time frame.
Daily time frame shows you 1-year-long price action.
It indicates a mid-term sentiment.
And again, here your task is to simply identify the market trend and underline major key levels.
*It is highly recommendable to apply different colors for highlighting weekly/daily levels.
Completing weekly/daily time frame analysis, your task is to set the alerts on at least two closest support/resistance clusters. You must patiently wait for the moment when the price reaches one of them.
Once the underlined key level is reached, you start the analysis of intraday time frames.
➖The intraday time frames on focus are 4H/1H.
Your task here is to spot the price action/ candlestick patterns.
With such formations, the market unveils its reaction to the key level that it is approaching.
You are looking for a pattern that confirms the strength of the level.
Spotting the pattern you are looking for a trigger to open a trading position. Most of the time it is a breakout of a trend line or a horizontal neckline.
The breakout confirms the willingness of buyers/sellers to buy/sell from the underlined support/resistance . Only then a trading position is opened.
Here is the example how I analyzed and traded Gold using multiple time frame analysis:
1. I have analyzed weekly chart and spotted a key horizontal resistance
2. On a daily time frame, I found a rising trend line that matched perfectly with the underlined weekly structure.
3. Testing the confluence zone based on a trend line and a horizontal resistance, the price formed a double top pattern on 4H time frame. Its neckline breakout was my confirmation to open a short positing.
Entry point was a retest of a broken neckline.
The market dropped sharply, producing a very nice profit.
Of course, in practice, Top-Down analysis is very complex and many things and concepts must be learned in order to apply that strategy properly. Follow the steps described in this post, learn to identify key levels and recognize the price action patterns and you will see how efficient this strategy is.
Do you apply a Top-Down trading strategy?
Let me know, traders, what do you want to learn in the next educational post?
The ABCD Pattern: from A to DHello dear @TradingView community!
Are you familiar with the ABCD pattern?
The ABCD pattern is a highly effective tool utilized in trading to identify potential opportunities across diverse markets, including forex, stocks, cryptocurrencies, and futures. This pattern takes the form of a visual and geometric arrangement, characterized by three consecutive price swings or trends. When observed on a price chart, the ABCD pattern exhibits a striking resemblance to a lightning bolt or a distinctive zig-zag pattern.
Importance of the ABCD Pattern
The significance of the ABCD pattern lies in its ability to identify trading opportunities across different markets, timeframes, and market conditions. Whether the market is bullish, bearish, or range-bound, the ABCD pattern remains a reliable tool.
By recognizing the completion of the pattern at point D, you can get a perspective trade entries. Furthermore, the ABCD pattern helps you determine the risk-to-reward ratio before initiating a trade. When multiple patterns converge within the same timeframe or across different timeframes, it strengthens the trade signal and increases the likelihood of a profitable outcome.
Finding an ABCD Pattern
The ABCD pattern has both a bullish and bearish version. Bullish patterns indicate higher probability opportunities to buy or go long, while bearish patterns suggest opportunities to sell or go short.
To identify an ABCD pattern, it is essential to locate significant highs or lows on a price chart, represented by points A, B, C, and D. These points define the three consecutive price swings or legs of the pattern: the AB leg, the BC leg, and the CD leg.
Trading is not an exact science, so traders often employ Fibonacci ratios to determine the relationship between the AB and CD legs in terms of both time and price. This approximation assists in locating the potential completion of the ABCD pattern. When patterns converge, it increases the probability of successful trades and enables you to make more accurate decisions regarding entries and exits.
Types of ABCD Patterns
There are three types of ABCD patterns, each having both a bullish and bearish version. To validate an ABCD pattern, specific criteria and characteristics must be met. Here are the characteristics of the bullish and bearish ABCD patterns:
📈 Bullish ABCD Pattern Characteristics (buy at point D):
To effectively trade the bullish ABCD pattern, you might consider the following characteristics:
1. Find AB:
Identify point A as a significant high and point B as a significant low. During the move from A to B, ensure that there are no highs above point A and no lows below point B.
2. After AB, then find BC:
Point C should be lower than point A. In the move from B up to C, there should be no lows below point B and no highs above point C. Ideally, point C will be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the length of AB. However, in strongly trending markets, BC may only be 38.2% or 50% of AB.
3. After BC, then draw CD:
Point D, which marks the completion of the pattern, must be lower than point B, indicating that the market has successfully achieved a new low. During the move from C down to D, there should be no highs above point C.
4.1 Determine where D may complete (price):
To determine the price level at which point D may complete, Fibonacci and ABCD tools can be utilized. CD may equal AB in price, or it may be 127.2% or 161.8% of AB in price. Alternatively, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of BC in price.
4.2 Determine when point D may complete (time) for additional confirmation:
For additional confirmation, you can analyze the time aspect of the pattern. CD may equal AB in time, or it may be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the time it took for AB to form. Additionally, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of the time it took for AB to form.
5. Look for Fibonacci, pattern, trend convergence:
Convergence of Fibonacci levels, pattern formations, and overall trend can strengthen the trade signal. Therefore, you should look for instances where these elements align.
6. Watch for price gaps and/or wide-ranging candles in the CD leg:
As the market approaches point D, it is important to monitor for any price gaps or wide-ranging candles in the CD leg. These may indicate a potential strongly trending market, and you might expect to see price extensions of 127.2% or 161.8%.
📉 Bearish ABCD Pattern Characteristics (sell at point D):
To effectively trade the bearish ABCD pattern, you might consider the following characteristics:
1. Find AB:
Identify point A as a significant low and point B as a significant high. During the move from A up to B, ensure that there are no lows below point A and no highs above point B.
2. After AB, then find BC:
Point C should be higher than point A. In the move from B down to C, there should be no highs above point B and no lows below point C. Ideally, point C will be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the length of AB. However, in strongly trending markets, BC may only be 38.2% or 50% of AB.
3. After BC, then draw CD:
Point D, which marks the completion of the pattern, must be higher than point B, indicating that the market has successfully achieved a new high. During the move from C up to D, there should be no lows below point C and no highs above point D.
4.1 Determine where D may complete (price):
To determine the price level at which point D may complete, Fibonacci and ABCD tools can be utilized. CD may equal AB in price, or it may be 127.2% or 161.8% of AB in price. Alternatively, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of BC in price.
4.2 Determine when point D may complete (time) for additional confirmation:
For additional confirmation, you can analyze the time aspect of the pattern. CD may equal AB in time, or it may be around 61.8% or 78.6% of the time it took for AB to form. Additionally, CD can be 127.2% or 161.8% of the time it took for AB to form.
5. Look for Fibonacci, pattern, trend convergence:
Convergence of Fibonacci levels, pattern formations, and overall trend can strengthen the trade signal. Therefore, you should look for instances where these elements align.
6. Watch for price gaps and/or wide-ranging bars/candles in the CD leg:
As the market approaches point D, it is important to monitor for any price gaps or wide-ranging bars/candles in the CD leg. These may indicate a potential strongly trending market, and you might expect to see price extensions of 127.2% or 161.8%.
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Chart Patterns: Mastering Price Patterns for Successful TradesChart patterns are powerful tools that allow traders to anticipate market movements and make informed trading decisions. This trading idea focuses on mastering various price patterns to enhance trading proficiency. By gaining expertise in recognizing and interpreting chart patterns, traders can identify high-probability trade setups, optimize entry and exit points, and increase their chances of success in the market.
Objective:
The objective of this trading idea is to equip traders with a comprehensive understanding of different price patterns and their significance in technical analysis. By mastering these patterns, traders can effectively analyze market trends, identify potential reversals or continuations, and make well-timed trading decisions.
Key Components:
Introduction to Price Patterns:
Begin by understanding the fundamentals of price patterns and their importance in technical analysis. Learn about the types of patterns, including reversal patterns (such as head and shoulders, double tops/bottoms) and continuation patterns (such as flags, triangles, and rectangles). Gain insights into the characteristics and significance of each pattern in predicting future price movements.
Reversal Patterns:
Dive into studying popular reversal patterns that indicate potential trend reversals. Explore patterns such as head and shoulders, double tops/bottoms, and triple tops/bottoms. Understand how to identify these patterns, confirm their validity through volume analysis, and generate entry or exit signals. Analyze real-life examples to strengthen your pattern recognition skills.
Continuation Patterns:
Explore continuation patterns that suggest the resumption of existing trends. Study patterns like flags, triangles (ascending, descending, symmetrical), rectangles, and wedges. Learn how to interpret these patterns to validate trend direction, anticipate breakout or breakdown levels, and improve trade entries. Understand the importance of volume and other technical indicators in confirming continuation patterns.
Complex Patterns:
Delve into more advanced and complex patterns, such as the cup and handle, head and shoulders inverse, and ascending/descending triangles with multiple touches. Gain insights into the nuances of these patterns, their variations, and their potential impact on price movements. Understand how to incorporate these patterns into your trading strategies for enhanced accuracy.
Pattern Confirmation:
Learn techniques to confirm the validity of price patterns and reduce false signals. Explore additional tools and indicators such as trendlines, moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, and oscillators to validate and reinforce pattern signals. Understand the importance of multiple confirmations for higher-probability trades.
Trade Management and Risk Control:
Develop effective trade management techniques to maximize profits and minimize risks when trading price patterns. Learn how to set appropriate stop-loss levels based on pattern structures and support/resistance levels. Understand position sizing and risk-reward ratios to optimize risk management. Explore techniques for trailing stops and scaling out of positions to maximize gains.
Backtesting and Paper Trading:
Apply your knowledge by backtesting price patterns using historical market data. Utilize paper trading or demo accounts to practice trading based on your analysis without risking real capital. Evaluate the performance of your pattern-based strategies, identify strengths and weaknesses, and refine your trading approach.
By mastering price patterns and effectively utilizing them in your trading approach, you can significantly improve your trading outcomes. This trading idea aims to provide you with the knowledge and skills necessary to navigate the markets with greater precision, identify high-probability trade setups, and achieve consistent trading success.
Note: Trading carries a level of risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It is important to conduct thorough research, practice proper risk management, and consider personal circumstances before making any trading decisions.
Creating Your Trading Strategy: Simple Steps and Common PitfallsWhen it comes to using technical analysis for making trading decisions, a solid, simple, yet robust trading strategy is an essential foundation for traders to achieve consistent profits. However, constructing that strategy can be a challenge, especially for those new to trading, as there is an overwhelming amount of information out there. There are nearly countless books written on the subject of trading strategies. We want to simplify the process so that you can develop your own approach and get started.
Step 1: Determine your market, timeframe, and trading methodology
The overall first step in constructing a trading strategy is to determine: the market, trading methodology, and time frames you wish to take on. This will help you choose the appropriate indicators and approach to your trades.
There are several markets to choose from, but it is highly recommended that you pick one when you first start trading. It is easy to look at all of the opportunities present in the market and potentially overplay your hand by trading too many, which can lead to devastating losses. As an example, if you wanted to scalp the forex market, it would be best to pick one or two currency pairs to trade rather than trying to monitor all major currency pairs for opportunities.
Defining your trading methodology is another aspect of this step. Are you intending to hold stock or ETFs long-term? Do you want to swing trade or day trade cryptocurrencies? Maybe you believe you want to scalp the forex market. Doing your own research into these varying methodologies is a paramount step in formulating your strategy. Research all of them to better understand what they are and how they may fit your overall goals and risk tolerance.
Your trading style can help determine what overall time frames you are looking at. A long-term holder will typically rely on higher time frames such as the daily or weekly timeframe. While a trader who predominantly scalps may rely more heavily on the 1-minute or 5-minute timeframes. Choosing the appropriate time frames and sticking with them for your trading decisions will help you achieve discipline and consistency.
Step 2: Choose your indicators
When choosing indicators for your trading strategy, it is important to know that there are several broad indicator categories to choose from. Included in these categories are: trend-following indicators, momentum indicators, volatility indicators, and volume indicators. Trend-following indicators help traders identify the direction of the trend, while momentum indicators measure the overall strength of a trend. Volatility indicators help traders identify the level of price volatility in the market, and volume indicators measure the amount of trading activity taking place. Traders commonly pick a combination of these to be included in their strategy to help give a clearer overall picture of the potential market direction.
It is crucial to keep your strategy simple, so we recommend using 2-4 indicators at most. Choosing the right indicator combinations can be difficult, but is crucial to the success of your trading strategy.
While it may be tempting to use multiple indicators in the hope of finding the perfect combination, having too many indicators can do more harm than good. When you have too many indicators, it becomes difficult to make clear decisions. You may end up with conflicting signals that can cause confusion and lead to losses or missed opportunities.
It's important to choose only a few indicators that complement each other and provide valuable information about the market conditions. This will allow you to make more informed decisions and stick to your trading plan with greater confidence.
Step 3: Define your entry and exit rules
Once you have chosen your indicators, the next step is to define your entry and exit rules. This will help you determine when to open and close trades. For entries, you are taking the signals generated by the indicators you have chosen in step two and making a clear and definable set of rules for entering a trade. There can be other factors, such as market structure that play a role, but from an indicator standpoint, it is good to make these rules easy to follow.
Your chosen technical indicators can also be used to exit trades. For example, traders may incorporate moving averages into their strategies, and moving averages can be used for both entries and exits. Other exit conditions include having hard set take profit or stop losses. We covered this topic in our stop loss article a few weeks back (and we highly recommend you check it out). No matter how you decide to make your entry and exit rules, please ensure you implement proper risk mitigation techniques to protect your account, and in turn, help you grow.
Step 4: Backtest your strategy and practice, practice, practice
Before putting your strategy into action it is essential to backtest it using historical data. This will help you determine if your strategy is profitable and identify any areas that need improvement. Note that while backtesting is an important part of determining if your strategy is successful, past results are not indicative of future success.
Another aspect of this step is putting your strategy into practice. We never recommend diving straight into the deep end with your money before practicing. There are many free demo account options out there to get started. It is recommended that you find one that fits your needs based on the market you will be trading. The key part of this step is patience and carrying over that patience for when you are ready to go live with your strategy.
Common pitfalls to avoid:
When constructing a trading strategy, it is important to avoid common pitfalls that can lead to losses or missed trading opportunities. Some common pitfalls include:
Overcomplicating your strategy: Using too many indicators or rules can make your strategy overly complex and difficult to follow.
Failing to backtest and practice: Backtesting is essential to ensure your strategy is profitable and identify areas that need improvement.
Ignoring risk management: Proper risk management is essential to minimize losses and maximize profits.
Losing patience and jumping right in: It is easy for anyone to find a hot new indicator they believe is their edge in the market and to subsequently jump right into trading. Don’t fall into this trap as the outcome is seldom good! Take your time and become a student of the market you are trading, and a student of your strategy
In conclusion, constructing a robust yet simple trading strategy using indicators requires careful consideration of your market and timeframe, choosing the appropriate indicators defining your entry and exit rules, and backtesting your strategy. There are other aspects of technical analysis that could be tied in between the steps listed above such as market structure and patterns. However, the goal of this article was to make the process as simple as possible to help traders get on the right path. By avoiding common pitfalls such as overcomplicating your strategy, failing to backtest, ignoring risk management, and chasing after losses, traders can increase their chances of success in the markets.
Step-by-Step Guide to Begin Forex and Gold Trading
Forex and gold trading have become immensely popular among investors as a great way to earn profits. However, starting with this venture can be quite overwhelming for beginners. Here is a step-by-step guide to help you begin your forex and gold trading journey:
1. Learn the Basic Concepts: Before investing your hard-earned money, it's important to get familiar with the key concepts of forex and gold trading.
2. Choose a Trading Platform: There are plenty of online trading platforms to choose from. Look for one that is user-friendly and offers competitive trading fees.
3. Identify Your Investment Goals: Decide on your investment objectives, as it will help you to make informed trading decisions.
4. Develop a Trading Plan: Create a trading plan to determine how much you're willing to invest, when you'll buy or sell, and which assets you'll trade.
5. Set a Budget: Determine how much money you intend to invest and set a budget accordingly. Remember, only invest an amount you're comfortable losing.
6. Practice on a Demo Account: Most trading platforms offer a demo account that simulates real trading conditions and helps you practice trading with virtual money.
7. Analyze the Market: Before making any trades, analyze the market through technical and fundamental analysis to identify trends and potential outcomes.
8. Monitor Your Investments: Keep track of your investments regularly and make necessary adjustments if needed.
9. Be Prepared for Risks: Understand that trading involves some risks, so be prepared to handle losses.
10. Keep Learning: Continuously educate yourself on market trends, economic indicators, and other factors that affect the forex and gold trading market.
11. Identify a Reliable Broker: Choose an experienced and licensed broker who can offer you guidance and support when starting.
12. Start Small: Begin with small investments and gradually build your portfolio as you gain more experience and confidence.
13. Diversify Your Portfolio: Spread your investments across different currencies and assets to reduce the risk of losses.
14. Be Realistic: It takes time and patience to become a profitable trader, so set realistic expectations and avoid making hasty decisions.
15. Stay Disciplined: Maintain discipline and stick with your trading plan to achieve your investment goals.
Here is the example of how exactly you should trade.
Imagine that you have a trading strategy for gold trading.
You trade key levels.
Once a key support is reached you buy and once a resistance reached you sell.
Taking the trade you risk fixed % of your trading account.
You know the exact entry reasons, your stop loss and target.
Ideal approach should work like clock.
In conclusion, starting forex and gold trading can be challenging, but with the right knowledge and preparation, you'll be on your way to making profitable trades. Just remember to keep learning, stay disciplined, and be patient.
Harsh Truth About Trading: In Books VS In Reality
Most traders start their trading journey by studying theory first, reading books or taking video courses before putting these newfound skills into practice. But once they start trading on a real market, they quickly realize that things are not as straightforward as the books make them out to be.
In this educational article, we will take a critical look at the difference between theoretical knowledge and practical experience.
📍And first of all, do not get me wrong. I am not trying to imply that trading books or courses are bad.
Theoretical knowledge is essential for successful trading, and of course the books are the best source of that.
The problem is, however, that books can be misleading. The examples in books are always tailored. When the authors are looking for the examples of the patterns, of key levels, they are looking for the ideal cases.
📍The problem becomes even worse, when one start studying the trade examples in books. And of course, the authors choose the brilliant winning trades with huge take profits and tiny stop losses.
I guess you saw these pictures of "sniper" entry trades with 5/1 R/R.
The inexperienced trader may start thinking that the markets are perfect and act in total accordance with the books.
That all the trades that he will take will bring tremendous profits.
That the identified patterns will work exactly as it was described.
📍The harsh truth is that books and courses are simply the compositions of different examples, cases and market situations.
In reality, each and every trading setup is unique.
The reaction of the price to the same pattern will be always different.
Please, realize the fact that books are only good for acquiring the knowledge. But in order to survive on financial markets, you need the experience. And the experience will be gained only after studying thousands of real market examples in real time.
📍Here is the example of a double top pattern that we were trading with my students on AUDJPY.
In books, double tops are always perfect. Once the market breaks the neckline, the price retests that and then quickly drops.
So the one can set a tiny stop loss and a big take profit.
However, after a retest of a broken neckline, AUDJPY bounced and the market maker was stop hunting the newbies. Our stop loss was way above the head, and we managed to survive.
Even though the pattern triggered a bearish movement, the reaction of the market was far from perfect.
Be prepared, that the market will much different from what you see in the books.
Good luck to you!
22 trading rulesThe market rewards discipline and requires you to fulfill your specific role. For instance, as a tattoo artist, your responsibility is to provide quality tattoo, while as a trader, your task is to exercise discipline in decision-making. If you remain disciplined, any reasonable strategy can yield profits in the long term. However, even the most flawless strategy will fail to generate income if you lack self-control.
Here are some guidelines to follow:
1.Maintain discipline consistently. Trading demands unwavering discipline at all times. Save extreme emotions, excitement, and other non-work-related feelings for your personal hours. While working, stay focused and determined, adhering to your plan and experience.
2.Always reduce the risk of failed trades. If you experience a series of unprofitable transactions, decrease the volume or percentage of risk from your deposit, rather than increasing it. Some individuals mistakenly believe that if they have had three consecutive losses, the fourth trade is bound to be profitable and will make up for the previous losses. However, the chances of profit or loss in the fourth trade remain the same. Relying on luck is unnecessary.
3.Avoid turning profitable trades into losing ones. Close positions promptly when you recognize the risk of holding them further. If there are signs of market weakness and continuing to hold the position jeopardizes your profit, either take your existing profit or exit with a small loss. In most cases, you will have the opportunity to find another entry point that is equally good or even better.
4.Ensure that your highest loss does not exceed your highest profit. Keep a record of your trades to determine the mathematical ratio of profit to loss and the ratio of profitable to losing trades. If your losses surpass your profits, you need to optimize your system; otherwise, it may become unprofitable in the long run.
5.Develop a trading system and stick to it. Avoid constantly switching from one system to another. If you decide to become a trader, select a specific approach and commit to it. Over time, you will gain a deep understanding of the system and develop your own market perspective.
6.Be true to yourself; don't try to imitate others. If you find that scalping is not suitable for you, consider intraday or swing trading instead. Just because someone excels at intraday trading while you excel at swing trading doesn't mean you should abandon your preferred style. Each individual has their own trading style, and there is a style that matches every personality. Some traders earn substantial profits by only opening ten trades per year, while others achieve the same level of success by opening ten trades per day. Moreover, someone may be comfortable opening a trade with a large lot size, while you prefer a maximum of one lot. This doesn't imply that you are a poor trader; it simply indicates that everyone has their own comfort zone. Discomfort in trading can only be detrimental. Stay true to yourself and find your own style.
7.Remember that there will always be another day to trade, so don't risk too much. Some beginners risk 20-50% or even more of their deposit, only to find themselves with nothing when a profitable entry point arises. Such risks often shatter one's psychology, and it can be difficult to recover. However, if you make a few mistakes with standard and small risks, you will always have the next day to learn from and correct your errors.
8.Earn the privilege to trade in high volumes. Even if you have tens or hundreds of thousands of dollars in your account, it doesn't mean you should immediately start trading, for example, 10 lots. Begin by trading with the minimum volume allocated for your deposit. Only when you close ten consecutive sessions in profit should you consider increasing the volume.
9.The first conscious loss you encounter is the most valuable. It is during this moment that you understand the significance of stop-loss orders as part of your system. A stop-loss serves as a mechanism to exit a position when the trade is no longer favorable. By recognizing this and reacting appropriately, you are able to protect your account from significant losses. Understand that a stop-loss order is a benefit. See point 15.
10.Avoid relying on hope or prayer. If you catch yourself hoping for a positive outcome in a trade, it likely means that the trade is no longer profitable. Avoid concealing this fact from yourself as a trader. This psychological inclination to hope shields us from emotional distress and difficult decisions. However, as a trader, you must objectively assess the situation. If you realize that you are starting to rely on hope, reevaluate the facts and conduct a thorough analysis of your trade. It may no longer be as favorable as you initially thought.
11.Don't overly concern yourself with news. While trading the news is a separate strategy that may work for some traders, most try to avoid it. If the news is already known in advance, the market will react to it beforehand. However, if the information becomes clear only during the news release, it becomes challenging to trade based on such inputs. News that is widely broadcasted on TV or the internet tends to be outdated information when it comes to the market.
12.Choose a trading style that suits your circumstances. If you have a small account and can only afford short stop-loss levels, you may need to start with scalping or intraday trading. If you possess patience and adequate capital, swing trading could be an option. Long-term trading generally requires significant capital.
13.Embrace your losses. It doesn't mean you have to enjoy losing money. However, during your trading journey, you will inevitably experience losses. If you have a negative mindset towards losses, it will hinder your overall performance. Recognize that by exiting trades promptly and accepting short-term losses, you safeguard your account from larger losses in the long run. Learn to appreciate the importance of managing losses effectively.
14.Avoid setting excessively large stop-loss levels. Doing so will erode your profits from small trades. Consequently, instead of achieving a small profit, you may end up at breakeven or a slight loss, even if your trade initially showed promise.
15.Take consistent actions each day or week. Set a goal to capture a certain number of pips or points daily if you are a scalper or weekly if you trade intraday (the specific numbers provided here are for illustrative purposes and should not be taken as objectively evaluated results). By accumulating small gains over time, you can earn a significant amount by the end of the year.
16.Don't rely on a single trade for salvation. Some traders mistakenly believe that a single trade has the potential to generate substantial profits, recover previous losses, or significantly impact their overall performance. However, trading revolves around a series of transactions. No single trade can dictate your success. Instead, your behavior across ten or twenty trades holds tremendous importance in surviving and thriving in the market.
17.Consistency breeds confidence and control. Starting each morning with the knowledge that following your rules will result in profitable trades instills a sense of assurance. Similar to other traders, begin your day by reviewing the charts you trade and gathering the necessary information—perform top-down analysis, assess points of interest, liquidity, order flow, and more. Maintain this ritual consistently, as repeated actions are essential for earning profits in trading.
18.Master the art of position management. If you find yourself in a trade that is progressing favorably, consider partially closing your position to protect your profits in case the price suddenly reverses. Being flexible in managing your positions can lead to increased profitability and emotional balance in the market.
19.Execute the same trades repeatedly. Focus on specific trade setups that have proven successful for you. Avoid trying to trade multiple patterns simultaneously. Instead, identify two or three formations that work well for you and trade them consistently. Become an expert in those setups and execute them confidently and precisely. Avoid spreading yourself too thin.
20.Avoid excessive doubt and overanalysis. During the execution of a trade, trust your analysis and decision-making process. Doubts and unnecessary analysis during a trade can lead to detrimental outcomes. Overthinking can consume you and make it challenging to differentiate between the right and wrong decisions. Leave fluctuations and excessive analysis to the market. Conduct trade analysis before or after trades, not during them.
21.In the eyes of the market, all trades are equal. At the start of each trading day, everyone is on an equal footing. You haven't made any profits or losses yet. Your earnings depend solely on your actions. If you adhere to discipline and follow your predetermined rules, you will generate profits.
22.The market is an impartial judge of your trades. The market doesn't play favorites; it remains indifferent to your presence. Respect the market's authority and refrain from attempting to defy it. Engaging in a battle against the market is akin to fighting your reflection in a mirror. Instead, focus on understanding and following the market's rules.
• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
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Learn The Main Elements of The Trading Strategy
There are hundreds of different trading strategies based on fundamental and technical analysis.
These strategies combine different tools and trading techniques.
And even though, they are so different, they all have a very similar structure.
In this educational article, we will discuss 4 important elements every trading strategy should have.
1️⃣ The first compontent of a trading strategy is the list of the instruments that you trade.
You should know in advance what assets should be in your watch list. For example, if you are a forex trader, your strategy should define the currency pairs that you are trading.
2️⃣ The second element of any trading strategy is the entry reasons.
Entry reasons define the exact set of market conditions that you look for to execute the trade.
For example, trading key levels with confirmation, you should wait for a test of a key level first and then look for some kind of confirmation like a formation of price action pattern before you open a trade.
3️⃣ The third component of a trading strategy is the position size of your trades.
Your trading strategy should define in advance the rules for calculating the lot of size of your trades.
For example, with my trading strategy, I risk 1% of my trading account per trade. When I am planning the trading position, I calculate a lot size accordingly.
4️⃣ The fourth element of any trading strategy is trade management rules.
By trade management, I mean the exact conditions for closing the trade in a loss, taking the profit and trailing stop loss.
Trade management defines your actions when the trading position becomes active.
Here is the example.
I took a trade on Friday, following my top-down trading strategy.
I was trading Dollar Index (the instrument that is in my trading list).
Entry reason was a test of a key level on a daily and a formation of a horizontal range on 1H time frame.
The position was opened on a retest of its broken neckline.
Position size of this trade was based on 1% of my trading deposit.
Stop loss and targets were structure based.
Make sure that your trading strategy includes these 4 elements.
Of course, your strategy might be more sophisticated and involve more components, but these 4 elements are the core, the foundation of any strategy.
Daily Time Frame is The MAIN Time Frame to Trade! Learn WHY:
Hey traders,
You frequently ask me what is the most important time frame to analyze and follow.
And even though I must admit that multiple time frames must be taken into consideration for successful trading like weekly/daily/4h/1h. Among them, there is the one that is universally considered to be principal. That is a daily time frame.
There are a lot of reasons why so many traders rely on a daily time frame:
1️⃣ - Daily time frame shows a global market trend at the same time reflecting a mid-term and short-term perspective letting the trader catch trend following moves and spot early reversal signs.
2️⃣ - Covering multiple perspectives, daily time frame is the foundation of the majority of the trading strategies being the main source of key levels & pattern analysis.
3️⃣ - Daily time filters out news events that happened during the trading day. It shows the composite reaction of the market participants to all the data posted in the economic calendar.
4️⃣ - Daily time frame reflects all trading sessions. Within one single candle, we see the outcome of the Asian, London, and New York Sessions.
5️⃣ - Daily candle filters out all the noise from lower time frames & intraday price fluctuations and sudden spikes & rejections.
6️⃣ - Covering all the trading sessions, daily time frame mirrors the activities of big players like hedge funds and banks. Showing us the flow & direction of big money.
⚠️Being so important for analysis, do not neglect other time frames.
The most accurate trading decision can be made only relying on a combination of intraday and daily time frames.
What is your favorite time frame to trade?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
To TA or not to TA: The Pros and Cons of Technical AnalysisTechnical analysis is one of the most popular trading strategies used by traders worldwide. It involves analyzing past market data, primarily price, market structure, and volume, to identify trends and forecast future price movements. While technical analysis has several benefits, it also has some drawbacks that traders must consider before incorporating it into their trading strategy. Today we will explore the benefits and drawbacks of using technical analysis in trading.
Benefits of Technical Analysis:
Identifying Trends: Technical analysis helps traders identify trends in the market, which is crucial for making profitable trades. There are several ways a trader can follow the trend of their desired asset using technical analysis. Be it moving averages, supertrends, or channels we really have many options.
Entry and Exit Points: Technical analysis helps traders determine the best entry and exit points for their trades. There are countless strategy options to utilize when considering the sheer number of indicators that exist. In our opinion finding a system that makes sense, is robust, and simple usually proves to be the most successful when proper discipline is used.
Risk Management: Proper technical analysis can help traders mitigate risk and protect their accounts. Stop losses are one method that we covered in a previous post. There are countless ways to set up stop losses using TA, but there are other techniques that can be used as well.
Hedging is a risk management strategy used to offset potential losses from adverse price movements in an asset. In trading, hedging involves opening a position in the opposite direction of an existing position. This position is usually in the same or a related asset to reduce the overall risk exposure. As an example, if a trader holds a long contract in a stock, they may hedge their position by opening a short contract in the same stock or a related asset such as an ETF or index. Technical analysis can be used to identify favorable conditions for hedging between assets. Hedging can help traders manage risk and protect profits, but it can also limit potential gains.
Confirmation of Fundamental Analysis: Technical analysis can confirm fundamental analysis by providing traders with an objective view of the market. For instance, if a trader believes that a company's stock is undervalued based on its financial statements, technical analysis can confirm this by showing that the stock is oversold.
Drawbacks of Technical Analysis:
Subjectivity: Technical analysis is subjective as different traders can interpret the same chart differently. This can lead to conflicting signals and confusion, especially for novice traders who aren’t as familiar with chart patterns. A prime example would be Bitcoin right now.
Or
False Signals: In technical analysis, false signals can be a significant issue in trading because they can lead to poor investment decisions and potential losses. For example, technical indicators may provide a false signal that a stock is oversold or overbought, causing a trader to make a trade that is not profitable. False signals can also occur due to market volatility or unexpected news events.
To reduce the risk of false signals, traders can use a variety of technical indicators and combine them with fundamental analysis to confirm trading decisions. Additionally, risk management strategies such as stop-loss orders can help limit potential losses from false signals.
Lagging Indicators: Technical analysis relies on lagging indicators, which means that traders are reacting to past price movements. This can result in missed opportunities, or poorly timed entries, especially in fast-moving markets. A very good example of a lagging indicator that is widely used is moving averages of any type.
Leading Indicators: There are some indicators that classify as leading indicators, but there are dangers to them with look-ahead bias. Look-ahead bias in indicators is a common issue in technical analysis. It occurs when historical data is used to construct an indicator that would not have been available at the time of the trade. This can lead to inaccurate signals, as the indicator may appear to predict future market movements, when in fact it is simply based on hindsight. An example of this would be the Ichimoku Cloud, specifically the cloud itself.
Over-use and Over-Reliance: This can mean a few things in trading. One of which is where traders will rely heavily on many indicators all at once. This can cause confusion as some indicators can have contrarian signals to one another.
Traders who rely solely on technical analysis may miss out on important fundamental factors that could affect the market. It is important to look at multiple objective vantage points of your desired asset. For instance, a sudden change in interest rates or economic policies could have a significant impact on the market, which technical analysis may not account for. In cryptocurrency
Conclusion:
In conclusion, technical analysis has several benefits, including identifying trends, entry and exit points, risk management, and confirmation of fundamental analysis. However, it also has drawbacks, including subjectivity, false signals, leading/lagging indicators, and over-reliance. Therefore, traders must use technical analysis in conjunction with other trading strategies, such as fundamental analysis, to make informed trading decisions. Being mindful of the pitfalls of common market analysis techniques can make you a better trader over time as you grasp a more comprehensive view of the market, and in turn, make more informed decisions when trading.
How to Trade the Pin Bar Pattern on Forex and Gold 🕯
The pin bar is a powerful price action setup that tells a fascinating story concerning price momentum and the possibility of an imminent reversal in price direction.
A pin bar is a Japanese candlestick that has a long wick on one side and a small body.
Understanding the story behind the pin bar is essential.
📚What does the pin bar candlestick pattern tell us about market psychology?
📉This pin bar followed a strong downward trend, and the presence of a long tail below the body tells us that the market rejected any attempt by overly exuberant sellers to move the price lower. The length of the tail speaks to the strength of the rejection.
📈The pin bar followed by a strong uptrend, and the presence of a long tail above the body tells us that the market rejected any attempt by overly exuberant buyers to move the price higher. The length of the tail speaks to the strength of the rejection.
⭐️The best pin bars are bearish pin bars that form at the top of an extended move up, and bullish pin bars that form at the bottom of an extended move down.
✅Entry and exit is very simple. If you are going short on a bearish pin bar, enter short when the next candle opens and ticks below the low of the bearish pin bar. If you are going long at your fx broker, enter long when the next candle opens and ticks above the high of the bullish pin bar.
❗️Keep in mind that these are general trading concepts that build on the collective experience of traders. Even though a lot of traders believe that these chart patterns have a bearing on the future direction of the price there are no guarantees in trading. Forex & gold trading is risky and you should never speculate with funds you cannot afford to lose.
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Secret of Success in Trading: Patience, Emotions, Psychology
I vividly remember how I started to trade 8 years ago, how I was learning, and the things that I was doing.
Contemplating my old self, I notice a dramatic shift in my mindset in regard to trading.
Staring at the charts and desiring to make money on price action, I wanted to become a consistently profitable trader. Making the priorities, I decided to sacrifice my time on studying technical analysis, totally neglecting trading psychology and risk management.
Learning different trading strategies, I always came to the same result: the account went blown and nothing seemed to work.
Strategies of fancy traders on YouTube, strategies from best-selling books on Amazon, nothing could produce any penny.
Not giving up and pursuing my ultimate goal, I came to the conclusion that I set my priorities absolutely incorrectly.
To be honest, I always thought that trading psychology (like psychology in general) is s*cks. Moreover, I considered risk management to be kind of obvious, banal topic not deserving much attention.
Learning risk management techniques, applying them in day trading, I finally saw a glimmer of hope.
Reading a dozen of books on trading psychology, contemplating my mistakes, and observing my behavior I noticed so many wrong, incorrect things that I did on a daily basis.
With time and practice, my mindset shifted.
I realized that most of the strategies that I applied and that seemed losing to me, in fact, were decent.
It turned out that mastery of technical analysis is not enough for profitable trading. Instead, that is just a tiny part of what must be learned.
Now, when my students ask me about the most important things to learn & study in trading, I always say:
trading psychology and risk management go first, technical analysis is the secondary.
❗️ Do not neglect these topics and give them due attention. They are an essential part of your success in trading.
🤔 Do you agree with the pyramid that I drew?
5 Easy Steps for Beginners to Start Trading in Forex 📝
Being a beginner, it is natural for you to feel overwhelmed when you first start forex trading. But that doesn’t mean that you should shy away from the market. By following the 5 steps listed below, you can start your trading journey in currencies in a smooth and efficient manner.
1. Get to know what drives the market 📈
When it comes to trading in currencies, the first ever step that you would need to make as a beginner is educate yourself about the market. Although the forex market works in a very similar fashion to the stock market, the factors behind the movement of the currencies tend to be different.
2. Choose the right broker 🤝
Selecting the right forex broker is as important as getting to know how to trade in currencies. Not all brokers offer the same level of services or are always reliable. Therefore, it is essential for you to spend some time looking into the various brokers offering forex trading services.
An ideal forex broker should have an easy account opening process, a simple trading platform, offer exceptional customer support and have low transaction costs. While evaluating brokers, make sure to look into their downtime frequency.
3. Establish your financial goals and targets💰
The next step is to work on your financial goals and targets. Introspect and ask yourself what you hope to achieve by trading in currencies. Also, before you actually buy and sell currencies, it is a good idea to first determine your financial targets.
For instance, you can set a target for each forex trade you make or a target for each day or month of trading. Establishing these goals can make you plan your trades much better by helping you come up with a trading plan, which will ultimately make you a better trader.
4. Practice with demo (paper) trading 📃
Through extensive virtual trading practice sessions, you can quickly get the hang of currency trading and try out new trading techniques and strategies. Since you’re not really trading with real money, you don’t have to worry about losing money on trades. Instead, you can spend some quality time learning the ropes and trying to analyze the trades that you make. This can give you some much-needed perspective on how to tackle forex trading in real-time.
5. Start slow and go easy on your trades🐢
Once you’ve gotten the hang of trading in currencies on demo account, you can slowly move onto the real thing. Now, there are a few things that you should keep in mind. The forex market’s volatility tends to be quite high and can lead to wild swings in the price. Therefore, it is a good idea to start slow by using just a fraction of your total investment amount.
Now that you’re aware of the 5 steps that you need to take to start trading in forex, go ahead and begin your journey. Good luck to you!
Hey traders, let me know what subject do you want to dive in in the next post?
Learn How to Improve Your Forex Trading 🔝
Whether you're new to Currency Trading or a seasoned trader, you can always improve your trading skills. Education is fundamental to successful trading. Here are some tips that will help hone your Currency trading skills.
⭐️Plan How You Will Trade
You may have heard the adage, "if you fail to plan, you plan to fail." This is particularly true in Forex speculation.
Successful traders start with a sound strategy and they stick to it at all times.
⭐️Most traders fail because they make the same mistakes over and over. A diary can help by keeping track of what works for you and what doesn't. Used consistently, a well-kept diary is your best friend.
⭐️Patience
Once you know what to expect from your system, have the patience to wait for the price to reach the levels that your system indicates for either the point of entry or exit. If your system indicates an entry at a certain level but the market never reaches it, then move on to the next opportunity. There will always be another trade.
⭐️Discipline
Discipline is the ability to be patient—to sit on your hands until your system triggers an action point. Sometimes, the price action won't reach your anticipated price point. At this time, you must have the discipline to believe in your system and not to second-guess it. Discipline is also the ability to pull the trigger when your system indicates to do so. This is especially true for stop losses.
⭐️Realistic Expectations
Even though the market can sometimes make a much bigger move than you anticipate, being realistic means that you cannot expect to invest $250 in your trading account and make $1,000 each trade. Although there is no such thing as a "safe" trading time frame, a short-term mindset may involve smaller risks if the trader exercises discipline in picking trades. This is also known as the trade-off between risk and reward.
Trading is nuanced and requires as much art as science to execute successfully, which means that there is only a profit-making trade or a loss-making trade. Warren Buffet said that there are two rules in trading: Rule 1: Never lose money. Rule 2: Remember Rule 1.
Stick a note on your computer that will remind you to take small losses often and quickly rather than wait for the big losses.
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Top 4 Secrets of Using Technical Indicators
Hey traders,
Technical indicators are an essential part of technical analysis .
With multiple different indicators on a chart, the trader aims to spot oversold/overbought conditions of the market and make a profit on that.
Though, I don't consider myself to be an expert in indicators trading, here are the great tips that will help you dramatically improve your trading with them.
#1️⃣ Do not overload your chart with indicators.
There is a fallacy among so many traders:
more indicators on the chart lead to an increase in trading performance.
Following this statement, traders add dozens of technical indicators to their charts.
The chart becomes not readable and messy.
The trader gets lost and makes wrong trading decisions.
Instead, add 1-2 indicators to your chart. That will be enough for you to make correct judgments. Do not overload your chart and try to make it clean: your task is to analyze the price action first and only then look for additional clues reading the indicators.
#2️⃣ Learn what exactly the indicator shows
The data derived from technical indicator must make sense to you.
You must understand the logic behind its algorithm.
You must know exactly what it shows to you.
Confidence in your actions plays a key role in trading.
During the periods of losing streaks and drawdowns, many traders drop their trading strategies. It happens because they lose their confidence.
You will be able to overcome negative trading periods only by being confident in your actions.
Only knowing exactly what you do, what do you rely on and why you can proceed even in dark times.
#3️⃣ Use the indicators that compliment each other
Many indicators are based on the same algorithms.
Most of the time, the only difference between them is a minor change in its input variables.
For that reason, such indicators leave very similar clues.
In order to improve your trading, try to rely on indicators based on absolutely different algorithms. They must complement each other,
not show you the same thing.
#4️⃣ Price action first!
Remember that your trading strategy must be based primarily on a price action. Trend analysis and structure analysis must go first.
You must know the way to make predictions relying on a naked chart.
The indicators must be applied as the confirmation signals only.
They must support the trading strategy but not be its core.
❗️Remember that the indicators won't do all the work for you.
Indicator is just a tool in your toolbox that must be applied properly and in strict combination with other tools.
Would you add some other tips in this list?
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Price Channels — Quick and Easy Guide.Greetings, @TradingView community!
When it comes to analyzing market trends, there's a technique that takes trend theory to the next level: price channels.
This is @Vestinda, bringing you a helpful article on the topic of the price channels, also known as trend channels, offer an exciting way to identify optimal buying and selling opportunities in the market.
Price channels serve as a valuable tool in technical analysis, helping traders determine favorable entry and exit points. By drawing parallel lines that align with the angle of an uptrend or downtrend, we create a channel. The upper trend line acts as resistance, while the lower trend line represents support. These lines highlight potential areas where the market could experience reversals or continue its current trend.
Understanding the sentiment of a price channel is crucial. Channels with a positive slope (upward) are considered bullish, indicating an upward trend, while those with a negative slope (downward) are bearish, pointing to a downward trend. Recognizing the slope of a price channel allows traders to gauge the prevailing market conditions and make informed trading decisions.
Price channels can be categorized into three main types:
Ascending channels
Descending channels
Horizontal channels
Ascending channels display higher highs and higher lows, signaling a bullish sentiment. To create an ascending channel, draw a parallel line touching the most recent peak, aligning it with the angle of the uptrend line.
Conversely, descending channels exhibit lower highs and lower lows, suggesting a bearish sentiment. To create a descending channel, draw a parallel line touching the most recent valley, aligning it with the angle of the downtrend line
Horizontal channels , also known as ranging channels, indicate a consolidation phase with no clear trend direction.
These channels provide insights into potential buying zones when prices hit the lower trend line and selling zones when prices approach the upper trend line. Understanding these channel types empowers traders to adapt their strategies to different market scenarios.
Constructing a price channel requires parallelism between the trend lines. The lower trend line is typically considered a "buy zone," while the upper trend line serves as a "sell zone." It's crucial not to force price action into the drawn channels. When the channel boundaries slope at different angles, the pattern is no longer a price channel but a triangle pattern, requiring a distinct analytical approach.
Remember that price channels don't have to be flawlessly parallel. In reality, it's rare to find price action that perfectly aligns within two trend lines.
As traders, it's important not to solely rely on textbook price patterns but also consider broader market context and other essential cues from price action. Effective price channel analysis involves embracing imperfections and making informed decisions based on the available information.
In conclusion, price channels provide traders with a powerful technique to uncover profitable opportunities in the market. By drawing parallel trend lines and identifying support and resistance levels, traders can gain valuable insights into market sentiment and enhance their trading decisions.
However, it's essential to remember that perfection isn't the goal. Instead, focus on understanding market dynamics and adapting your strategy accordingly.
💜 So there you have it - a quick and easy guide to understanding price channels in trading! 💜
Top 5 Tips to Increase Your Profits in Trading 📈
In this educational article, I will share with you very useful tips how to improve your profitability in trading the financial markets.
1. Decrease the number of financial instruments in your watch list. ⬇️
Remember that each individual instrument in your watch list requires attention. The more of them you monitor on a daily basics, the harder it is to keep focus on them.
In order to not miss early confirmation signals and triggers, it is highly recommendable to reduce the size of your watch list and pay closer attention to the remaining instruments.
2. Avoid taking too many positions. ❌
For some reason, newbie traders are convinced that they should constantly trade and keep many trading positions.
Firstly, I want to remind you that the management of an active position is a quite tedious process that requires time and attention.
Therefore, more positions are opened, more time and effort is required.
Secondly, if the newbies can not spot a good setup, they assume that they are obliged to open some positions and they start forcing the setups.
Remember, that in trading, the quality of the trading setup beats the quantity. I advise taking less trades, but the better ones.
3. Let winners run if the market is going in the desired direction. 📈
Once you caught a good trade and the market is moving where you predicted, do not let your emotions close the trade preliminary.
Try to get maximum from your trade, closing that only after the desired level is reached.
4. Open a trade after multiple confirmations.✅
Analyzing a certain setup remember, that more confirmations you spot, higher is the accuracy of the trade that you take. In order to increase your win rate, it is recommendable to wait for at least 2 confirmations.
5. Don't trade on your cellphone. 📱
A good trade always requires a sophisticated analysis that is impossible to execute on the small screen of the cellphone.
A lot of elements and nuances simply will not be noticed. For that reason, trade only from a computer with a wide screen.
Relying on these tips, you will substantially increase your profits.
Take them into the consideration and good luck to you in your trading journey.
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Learn What Will Really Make You Profitable in Trading
What brings the consistent profits in trading?
Talking to hundreds of struggling traders from different parts of the globe, I realized that there are the common misconceptions concerning that subject.
In this educational article, we will discuss what really will make you profitable in trading.
🔔The first thing that 99% of struggling traders are looking for is signals.
Why damn learn if you can simply follow the trades of a pro trader and make money?!
The truth is, however, is that in order to repeat the performance of a signal provider you have to open all your trading positions in the same exact moment he does. (And I would not even mention the fact that there will be a delay between the moment the provider opens the trade and the moment he sends you the signal)
Because the signal can be sent at a random moment, quite often it will take time for you to reach your trading terminal and open the position.
Just a 1-minute delay may dramatically change the risk to reward ration of the trade and, hence, the final result.
🤖The second thing that really attracts the struggling traders is trading robots (EA). The systems that trade automatically and aimed to generate consistent profits.
You simply start the program and wait for the money.
The main problem with EA is the fact that it requires constant monitoring. It can stop or freeze in a random moment and may require a reboot.
Moreover, due to changing market conditions, the EA should be regularly updated. Without the updates, at some moment it may blow your account.
Trading robot is the work: trading with the robots means their constant development, monitoring and improvement. And that work requires a high level of experience: both in coding and in trading.
📈The third thing that struggling traders are seeking is the "magic" indicator. The one that will accurately identify the safe points to buy and sell. You add the indicator on the chart, and you simply wait for the signal to open the trade.
The fact is that magic indicators do not exist. Indicator is the tool that can be applied as the extra confirmation. It should be applied strictly in a combination with something else, and its proper application requires a high level of expertise in trading.
🍀The fourth thing that newbie traders seek is luck. They open the trade, and then they pray the God, Powell, Fed or someone else to move the market in their favor.
And yes, occasionally, luck will be on your side. But relying on luck on a long-term basis, you are doomed to fail.
But what will make you profitable then?
What is the secret ingredient.
Remember, that secret ingredient does not exist.
In order to become a consistently profitable traders, you should rely on 4 crucial elements: trading plan, risk management, discipline and correct mindset.
🧠What is correct mindset in trading?
It simply means setting REALISTIC goals and having REALISTIC expectations from the market and from your trading.
📝A trading plan is the set of rules and conditions that you apply for the search of a trading setup and the management of the opened position.
Trading plan will be considered to be good if it is back tested on historical data and then tested on demo account for at least 3 consequent months.
✔️In order to follow the plan consistently, you need to be disciplined. You should be prepared for losing streaks, and you should be strong enough to not break once your trading account will be in a drawdown.
💰Risk management is one of the most important elements of your trading plan. It defines your risk per trade and your set of actions in case of losses. Even the best trading strategies may fail because of poor risk management.
Combining these 4 elements, you will become a consistently profitable trader. Remember, that there is no easy way, no shortcut. Trading is a hard work to be done.
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Why Failure Is Key Of Success
Like anyone else on Earth, I’ve had successes (and failures) in years past, at both the personal and professional level. If you’re scoring at home, that’s called being a human being. I can probably make a case that failure is more important than success in many respects because you can’t really succeed unless you’ve truly inhaled your failures (own it!) and then exhaled them to improve your future approach.
There is no finality about failure, said Jawaharlal Nehru. Perhaps, that is why learning from failure is easier than learning from success, as success often appears to be the last step of the ladder. Possibilities of life, however, are endless and there are worlds beyond the stars-which is literally true. What appears as success in one moment may turn out to be a failure or even worse in the next moment.We often do not know what is failure and what is success ultimately.
Failure gives us the opportunity to bounce back, to learn from our mistakes, and helps us appreciate success.
Failure is therefore not the end, but only a stage in our journey. If it crosses our path and we know how to draw the necessary lessons from it, it even allows us to question ourselves when it's necessary and by doing so, it moves us forward.
Dear followers, let me know, what topic interests you for new educational posts?
How to Trade the Pin Bar Pattern on Forex and Gold 🕯
The pin bar is a powerful price action setup that tells a fascinating story concerning price momentum and the possibility of an imminent reversal in price direction.
A pin bar is a Japanese candlestick that has a long wick on one side and a small body.
Understanding the story behind the pin bar is essential.
📚What does the pin bar candlestick pattern tell us about market psychology?
📉This pin bar followed a strong downward trend, and the presence of a long tail below the body tells us that the market rejected any attempt by overly exuberant sellers to move the price lower. The length of the tail speaks to the strength of the rejection.
📈The pin bar followed by a strong uptrend, and the presence of a long tail above the body tells us that the market rejected any attempt by overly exuberant buyers to move the price higher. The length of the tail speaks to the strength of the rejection.
⭐️The best pin bars are bearish pin bars that form at the top of an extended move up, and bullish pin bars that form at the bottom of an extended move down.
✅Entry and exit is very simple. If you are going short on a bearish pin bar, enter short when the next candle opens and ticks below the low of the bearish pin bar. If you are going long at your fx broker, enter long when the next candle opens and ticks above the high of the bullish pin bar.
❗️Keep in mind that these are general trading concepts that build on the collective experience of traders. Even though a lot of traders believe that these chart patterns have a bearing on the future direction of the price there are no guarantees in trading. Forex & gold trading is risky and you should never speculate with funds you cannot afford to lose.
Hey traders, let me know what subject do you want to dive in in the next post?