1/14/2020 USDNOKImpulsive moves are what we are looking for. Right? I mean those are the moves that have the biggest bang for the trading risk buck! However looking around the charts sometimes you just run into a move that has already happened. Sad, but it’s true all to often.
Opportunity could just be hiding in plain sight though.
This is when I look for a EW ( Elliott Wave ) 5 Wave pattern. I’m no EW wave trader, but learned to spot those 5 wave patterns. First EW 5 waves are moves that happen in impulsive moves and more importantly, they’re mostly an ending move pattern followed by a counter move. A very reliable pattern with a very high percentage of these kind of out comes. Second the 4 wave is usually drawn out over a longer time and the move to the ending 5 wave is more sudden. This gives time to get in on the action even though most of the impulsive move happened when you were looking right instead of left. Spotting these on the daily or 4 hour charts is what I trade if they’re seen.
USDNOK is currently in what I think is a EW 4th wave ( see the attached chart)!and about to go down more into the 5Th. In addition to the daily chart, taking a look into the 4H we can see a rectangle consolidating price action just under the 200 day daily moving average. Should this break down lower price according to EW pattern it should make a new low. I’m looking for 8.75-8.70
From it current price of 8.87-8.88 a very nice move indeed if and when it happens.
I’ve placed no orders out to see if they get filled over my night.
Remember yo use personal appropriate risk for you and your size of trading account. Because you know, Forex Trading is the hardest easy money you’ll try to make. All the best in your trading.
Tradingew5wavepatterns
Revised EURCAD pattern & trade ideaTo say trading Forex / currencies can be frustrating, is an understatement. To be a good trader, we must shake it off and get busy searching for high probability trades worthy of risking our risk capital.
So here is another Forex Trading Snack.
Earlier ( what I mean is a few days ago ) I pointed out a nice EW ( Elliott Wave ) 5 wave pattern developing in my opinion. But as we all know the market is never wrong! And so as traders we much change with the ebb and flow of price action.
To be good at trading and or to be always looking to improve our consistency in trade results, we need to maintain an open mind as well be open to changing our opinions or views.
Enough about that! I still see EURCAD in a sort of EW 5 wave movement or pattern. For the past days sense I posted my first idea to current time of this post...
( See my pasted idea of EURCAD linked to this post.)
We have seen this pair in a consolation from it near term highs just after the manufacturing ISM reported news. I fully expected the pair to make a 3 wave drop which usually happens following an EW 5 wave pattern. Instead we got this consolation. This leads me to believe we could still set a 5Th wave high and that this pattern isn’t completed just yet. I can also see a triangle forming because we have set lower highs and higher lows throughout this consolation period of time. ( triangle marked in pink lines )
Trade plan;
I plan to trade the breakout higher or lower depending on what the market decides. If we break higher we could retest horizontal resistance zone around 1.4730-50 and that would be some 60-100 pips away. If we should get that move and then a rejection candle on a daily, then we could consider a 5Th wave top to be in place.
However if we break lower from the current triangle in pink we could run again some 60-100 pips or even more, your guess is as good as mine.
Truth be told though, a pattern build up like the consolation pattern in pink lines will break one way or the other. I prefer it to see it break higher first. Because should that happen the downward move after the 5Th wave will be a bigger move and should be in 3 waves, giving plenty of opportunities to go short with size of position. It’s all about seeing potential future moves and positioning for that move before it really takes off.
If you trade these ideas the risk is all yours.
Your comments or ideas are most welcome.
In trading you either make dust or you will eat dust.
All the best in your trades.