USD/JPY ShortUSD/JPY Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down on the one hour chart followed by a tight two touch fifteen minute flag and then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Tradingforex
GBPUSD: Dollar slides lower after CPI data; Sterling is supporteThe dollar steadied in early European trade on Friday as investors focused on mixed U.S. consumer inflation data and the potential impact of the FBI's interest rate cut. Future Federal Reserve System.
As of 4:25 p.m. ET (9:25 p.m. Japan time), the dollar index against a basket of six other currencies was trading steady at 102.022, down from Thursday's high of 102.76 (a five-month low). Although it has fallen from a certain point of 100.61, it is still above it.
U.S. consumer prices rose 0.3% in December, according to data released Thursday. The annual rate of increase was 3.4%, exceeding expectations of 0.2% and 3.2% increases, respectively. increase. However, the dollar received little support from this, as the "core" CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, fell again, suggesting underlying inflation remained subdued.
Federal Reserve officials have sought to downplay the possibility of early rate cuts, with Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester saying Thursday that the latest CPI numbers indicate it may be too early for the central bank to cut rates. Major interest rate cuts in March.
But most traders still expect the Fed to start cutting rates as early as March.
"A rate cut in March is still priced in by more than 60%, and we still see near-term vulnerability in risk assets from this move," ING analysts said in a note. The new decision is too restrictive. ”
All eyes are now on the US producer price index, which will be released in late trading, with the index expected to rise 0.1% in December, bringing the annual rate of increase to just 1.3%.
In Europe, the pound/dollar pair rose 0.1% to 1.2775 after data released on Friday showed the British economy grew slightly more than expected in November. The country's GDP rose 0.3% this month, beating expectations for a 0.2% increase.
EURJPY: Latest information on market trends in the Asian session
There wasn't much news of note on the day, except for some news regarding the energy market.
Qatar has reportedly suspended LNG transport through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait (Suez Canal). Houthis fire cruise missile at US Navy ship
Oil prices have risen, but not by a large amount
Political news:
William Lai was elected president of Taiwan in Saturday's election, despite the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) losing a majority of seats in parliament. Senate Democratic Leader Schumer said Congressional leadership approved the temporary funding measure.
Forex market:
The People's Bank of China this month kept its medium-term financing (MLF) interest rate unchanged at 2.5%, despite widespread (but conflicting) expectations that it would cut it by 10 basis points. . This comes despite China's continued deflation and reflects the People's Bank of China's concerns that a weaker yuan could lead to capital outflows. The dollar/yen exchange rate rose during the session, weighing on the yen as the two-year Japanese government bond yield fell below zero. The US dollar has weakened against the euro, pound and Canadian dollar. The Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar underperformed. Offshore yuan gains during session
AUDUSD: Asian foreign exchange markets fall, USD rises ahead of The Australian dollar was among the few exceptions on the day, rising 0.3% as data showed CPI inflation eased in November, but remained well above the Reserve Bank's 3% target of 2%. annual. Core inflation also remains high amid high food and service prices.
The dollar index and dollar index futures were mildly mixed during the Asian session on Wednesday, after seeing a sharp increase in overnight trading.
The main focus remains on the upcoming US CPI data is expected to show a slight increase in inflation in December. But difficult inflation, along with recent signs of strength in the labor market, gives the Fed more room to keep interest rates higher for longer periods of time.
While the central bank is expected to cut interest rates this year, the market is increasingly skeptical about whether a rate cut will come as soon as March 2024.
Fed officials also resisted betting on an early rate cut, as inflation is expected to remain well above the Fed's 2% annual target in the near term.
USD/CAD Short, EUR/AUD Short, AUD/USD Long and USD/JPY ShortUSD/CAD Short
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/AUD Short
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/USD Long
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/JPY Short
• If price corrects and a two touch tight flag forms with a three touch structural approach, then I'll filter it on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with a risk entry within it.
• If price corrects and a three touch larger one hour structure forms, then I'll filter it on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USDJPY: The Japanese Yen decreased because the market predicted
The Japanese yen is the worst among Asian currencies through 2024, extending its decline from the previous year as traders grow more confident that the Bank of Japan will delay policy changes were extremely moderate.
Reconstruction and stimulus measures following the devastating earthquake in central Japan are expected to offset any notion of BOJ policy tightening, at least in the near term.
Such a scenario points to increased pressure on the yen, especially from the wide gap between domestic and international lending rates. Japan's interest rates have remained extremely low for nearly eight years.
Weak data on inflation and weak wage growth also suggested less pressure on the BOJ to change its ultra-dovish course.
Broader Asian currencies were trending lower, as doubts about an early Fed rate cut kept traders largely biased against the dollar.
CHF/JPY Short, USD/CAD Short, AUD/USD Long and USD/JPY ShortCHF/JPY Short
• If price impulses down below our area of value and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/CAD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/USD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back up above our most recent lows followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/JPY Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EURUSD: The ECB's Villeroy said the rate cuts hinged on stable 2European Central Bank (ECB) board member François Villeroy de Galhaud has made it clear that the possibility of a rate cut by the ECB depends on whether inflation expectations are firmly anchored at target levels. Use the bank's 2%. In his recent statement, Villeroy emphasized the importance of a data-driven approach to policy-making and signaled a move away from predetermined data-based policies.
Villeroy's comments came at a time when some investors were expecting a rate cut as early as March or April. However, the central bank took a more cautious stance, saying it should not be in a hurry to cut interest rates. This cautious stance is in line with the ECB's broader strategy to contain inflation without hurting economic growth.
The recent rise in inflation to 2.9% in December was due to technical factors such as the base effect from previous energy prices, which had a large impact on inflation. General distribution. It is important to note that the ECB's current deposit rate is 4%, and this level is already part of the ECB's toolkit for dealing with inflationary pressures.
Villeroy's emphasis on stable inflation expectations is an important indicator of the ECB's commitment to its price stability mandate. Given the latest inflation data, the ECB appears to be maintaining a cautious and reactive approach to monetary policy in the face of economic uncertainty.
USD/CAD Short and AUD/USD LongUSD/CAD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/USD Long
If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EURJPY: Japanese yen suffers big loss due to doubts about Bank o
Asian trading volumes on Monday were slightly affected by the Japanese holiday. The yen rose 0.1% after falling to nearly 145 yen to the dollar on Friday.
The earthquake that hit central Japan also caused the Japanese currency to suffer its worst weekly decline since late 2022. Post-disaster economic stimulus and recovery measures could delay the Bank of Japan's plans to start tightening its ultra-easy monetary policy, which is expected to put strong pressure on the yen.
The current focus is on Tokyo's December CPI inflation data, which is often used as an indicator of national inflation in Japan.
CHF/JPY ShortCHF/JPY Short
• If price impulses down below our most recent low, then I'll be waiting for a subsequent three touch tight flag to form and then I'll filter it on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with a risk entry within it if the flag is structured.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
The Forex Market: A World of OpportunitiesForex trading, also known as foreign exchange trading, buys and sells currencies to make a profit. It is the largest and most liquid financial market globally, with trillions of dollars traded daily. The forex market operates 24 hours a day, five days a week, allowing traders worldwide to participate.
The Importance of Patience
🕰️ Patience is a fundamental quality that every successful forex trader possesses. It is the ability to wait for the right opportunities and not rush into impulsive decisions. In the fast-paced world of forex trading, jumping into trades without proper analysis and exiting prematurely can be tempting due to fear or greed. However, patience lets us stay calm, focused, and disciplined, leading to better trading outcomes.
Building a Strong Foundation
🏗️ Before diving into the exciting world of forex trading, building a solid knowledge foundation is essential. Understanding the basics will empower you to make informed decisions and navigate the market confidently. Here are a few key concepts to get you started:
Currency Pairs: Forex trading involves the simultaneous buying of one currency and selling of another. Currency pairs are quoted with each other, such as EUR/USD or GBP/JPY.
The EUR stands for European Euro. The USD stands for the United States Dollar.
The Euro is also called the base currency because it's the currency being bought with the United States Dollar.
So, for every Euro being bought, the United States must exchange the equivalent amount in their currency, hence, the exchange rate.
Search EURUSD in your trading view chart. The price scale to the left shows you the exchange rate or price it currently costs to buy 1 EURO in the United States Dollar.
Pips: A pip is the smallest unit of measurement in forex trading, representing the fourth decimal place in most currency pairs. It is used to measure price movements.
To go deeper, every hundred pips equals 1 cent or 1 penny. So when you think about it, if you gain 50 pips on average, you're gaining half a cent.
If this was a Yen (JPY) pair, every 100 pips equals one Yen. So, on average, if you gain 50 pips, you're gaining half a Yen.
Little things like this matter when trading because on a price chart, things can seem so big, when in reality, the movement of currency on a price chart is small, which can result in huge profits for you trading the trend.
Leverage: Leverage allows traders to control larger positions with less capital. While it can amplify profits, it also increases the risk of losses.
Leverage is borrowed money the broker gives you to trade with. It can increase your position size significantly. But be careful; too much leverage can make you overtrade, while insufficient money can make you resent trading if you can't trade the size you desire.
You can also think of leverage as space or how much room you can let the trade move against you before taking a profit.
If your trade doesn't have enough room to move and you use most of your money in one position, the broker will do a margin call. That means your trade has no room to move, and you are out of money to trade with, so they will automatically close your trade.
On the flip side, if the position is too big before you place a trade, the broker will not allow you to enter a trade until you decrease your position size.
It's like living. While we must live within our means until we get more money to increase the quality of our lives, we must trade within the means of our account balance.
Market Orders and Limit Orders: Market orders are executed immediately at the current market price, while limit orders are placed to buy or sell at a specific price level.
A market order is an order you execute yourself. For example, if I wanted to enter a trade right now, I'd push the buy or sell button, place my stop loss and take profit, and hit the buy or sell button again in the direction I desire the price to move in.
If I was pressed for time, I could do the same thing, but I'd place a pending order at the price I want the broker to trigger my trade-in, so if I'm not there and the price reaches that price, the broker will do the job for me.
The Journey Ahead
🚀 As we embark on this journey together, remember that forex trading is a skill that takes time and practice to master. Patience will be your guiding light, helping you make rational decisions and avoid unnecessary risks. The next time we speak we will explore the importance of identifying key supply and demand zones to make informed trading decisions. Stay tuned, and get ready to level up your trading game! 💪
Your Forex Coach,
Shaquan
CHF/JPY Short, GBP/JPY Short, USD/JPY Short and GBP/NZD ShortCHF/JPY Short
• If price impulses down below the base of our most recent ending structure, then I'll be waiting for a subsequent tight flag to form and then I'll filter it latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/JPY Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If price simply impulses down below the sharp hook point below which I've highlighted using a rayline, then I'll be waiting for a subsequent tight flag to form and then I'll filter it latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/JPY Short
• If price corrects and a two touch tight flag forms with a three touch structural approach, then I'll filter it on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with a risk entry within it.
• If price corrects and a three touch larger one hour structure forms, then I'll filter it on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/NZD Short
• If price impulses down below our most recent correction and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USDCHF: Morgan Stanley: Fed will keep interest rates higher for Ellen Zentner, chief U.S. economist at Morgan Stanley, said:
"The Fed will cut interest rates this year."
But "the Fed can be patient and take its time."
Morgan Stanley expects the Fed to cut interest rates for the first time at its June meeting.
The Fed will keep interest rates stable for longer than the market expects.
But if that happens, there will be more cuts than expected.
The first rate cut of 25 basis points will take effect in June.
Subsequent rate cuts are expected to occur by 25 basis points at meetings in September, November, and December.
GBP/NZD Short, USD/CAD Short, AUD/USD Long and USD/JPY ShortGBP/NZD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/CAD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/USD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/JPY Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
DXY: Morgan Stanley changes USD forecast to neutral following FeMorgan Stanley updated its outlook for the US dollar, moving to a neutral stance, a significant shift from its previous forecast of an 8% gain in the Dollar Spot Index in the fourth quarter. two of the year. The adjustment comes as a response to the Federal Reserve's recent dovishness and the resulting decline in Treasury yields.
The bank recorded a slight decrease of 0.2% in the Dollar Spot Index, causing its currency strategy to be reevaluated. Due to evolving economic conditions, Morgan Stanley strategists have now advised clients to stay away from short positions in the eurodollar.
Instead, they recommend shorting the euro against the yen, positioning for potential currency fluctuations in the current market environment. This guide shows a strategic pivot in forex trading, in line with the latest economic indicators and central bank policy direction.
GBPUSD: Morgan Stanley changes US dollar forecast to neutral amiMorgan Stanley updated its outlook for the U.S. dollar, switching to a neutral stance, sharply departing from its previous forecast for an 8% rise in the dollar spot index in the fourth quarter. Two this year. This adjustment was made in response to the Fed's recent dovish stance and the resulting decline in US Treasury yields.
The bank's dollar spot index fell just 0.2%, prompting a reassessment of its currency strategy. Given the changing economic situation, Morgan Stanley strategists are now advising clients to avoid short positions in the Eurodollar. Instead, it recommends shorting the euro against the yen to protect against currency fluctuations that may occur in the current market environment. This guide highlights strategic turning points in foreign exchange trading, in line with the latest economic indicators and central bank policy directions.
GBP/NZD (Trade), USD/CAD Short, AUD/USD Long and EUR/USD LongUSD/CAD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/USD Long
• If price impulses up above our most recent correction and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD Long
• If price impulses up above our area of value and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBPUSD: The USD stabilized awaiting the minutes of the Fed's DecThe dollar hovered near a two-week high in early European trading on Wednesday ahead of the release of the Federal Reserve's December meeting minutes.
At 4:10 p.m. ET, the U.S. dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, was trading 0.1% higher at 101.959, after gaining just under 1% on Tuesday. This was a personal high. performance of the day. From March 2023.
The dollar has rebounded to start the year, helped by rising U.S. Treasury yields, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield hitting its highest level in more than two weeks in early trading.
Risk aversion pushed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index to their first trade of 2024 as investors worried that the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December meeting, scheduled to be released next Wednesday, might not be as dovish as previously expected. We finished in the red. "The market is abandoning some dovish bets, questioning inflated stock valuations, and ultimately turning to defensive bets in the foreign exchange market," ING analysts said.
FTSE100 D1 - Short SignalFTSE100 D1
Caught in the range between the alluring 7725 sell zone and the steadfast 7275 support price. This range encompasses a substantial 450-point span, bridging the chasm between resistance and support, offering enticing opportunities on both sides of the spectrum. Notably, FTSE100 has been graced with compelling wick rejections, particularly in recent days, and yesterday's closing performance was the proverbial cherry on top.
The measure, spanning roughly 10R from resistance to support, presents an ideal setup for discerning traders who prefer to navigate the higher timeframes with a "set and
EUR/USD Short, GBP/NZD Short, WTICO/USD Short and AUD/USD LongEUR/USD Short
• If price corrects and a three touch tight flag forms, then I'll filter it on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with a risk entry within it after either a high test or a retrace candle.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/NZD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
WTICO/USD Short
• If price corrects and a three touch tight flag forms, then I'll filter it on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with a risk entry within it after either a high test or a retrace candle.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/USD Long
• If price impulses up above our most recent correction on the one hour chart and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
BTCUSD: US dollar strengthens as US bond yields rise pending relInvestors are bracing for a busy week ahead of key economic data, including European inflation data and U.S. employment and non-farm payrolls. These numbers will go a long way in shaping the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank's expectations for monetary policy decisions.
Details of the Fed's discussions are expected to be revealed on Wednesday when the minutes of the December Federal Open Market Committee meeting are released.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, market sentiment reflects an 82% chance that the Fed will start cutting interest rates in March, with more than 150 basis points of easing expected by the end of the year.
Traders are also keeping an eye on volatile oil prices due to concerns about potential supply disruptions in the Middle East following recent attacks on container ships in the Red Sea. In the crypto market, Bitcoin has risen 3.25% since the beginning of the year, reaching its highest level since April 2022, on expectations that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission will soon approve Bitcoin spot fund trading. did.