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GBP/NZD Short, USD/CAD Short, AUD/USD Long and USD/JPY ShortGBP/NZD Short • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. USD/CAD Short • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. AUD/USD Long • If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. USD/JPY Short • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
by StewySongs
DXY: Morgan Stanley changes USD forecast to neutral following FeMorgan Stanley updated its outlook for the US dollar, moving to a neutral stance, a significant shift from its previous forecast of an 8% gain in the Dollar Spot Index in the fourth quarter. two of the year. The adjustment comes as a response to the Federal Reserve's recent dovishness and the resulting decline in Treasury yields. The bank recorded a slight decrease of 0.2% in the Dollar Spot Index, causing its currency strategy to be reevaluated. Due to evolving economic conditions, Morgan Stanley strategists have now advised clients to stay away from short positions in the eurodollar. Instead, they recommend shorting the euro against the yen, positioning for potential currency fluctuations in the current market environment. This guide shows a strategic pivot in forex trading, in line with the latest economic indicators and central bank policy direction.
TVC:DXYLong
by Chart_MasterPro
GBPUSD: Morgan Stanley changes US dollar forecast to neutral amiMorgan Stanley updated its outlook for the U.S. dollar, switching to a neutral stance, sharply departing from its previous forecast for an 8% rise in the dollar spot index in the fourth quarter. Two this year. This adjustment was made in response to the Fed's recent dovish stance and the resulting decline in US Treasury yields. The bank's dollar spot index fell just 0.2%, prompting a reassessment of its currency strategy. Given the changing economic situation, Morgan Stanley strategists are now advising clients to avoid short positions in the Eurodollar. Instead, it recommends shorting the euro against the yen to protect against currency fluctuations that may occur in the current market environment. This guide highlights strategic turning points in foreign exchange trading, in line with the latest economic indicators and central bank policy directions.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
GBP/NZD (Trade), USD/CAD Short, AUD/USD Long and EUR/USD LongUSD/CAD Short • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. AUD/USD Long • If price impulses up above our most recent correction and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. EUR/USD Long • If price impulses up above our area of value and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
by StewySongs
GBPUSD: The USD stabilized awaiting the minutes of the Fed's DecThe dollar hovered near a two-week high in early European trading on Wednesday ahead of the release of the Federal Reserve's December meeting minutes. At 4:10 p.m. ET, the U.S. dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, was trading 0.1% higher at 101.959, after gaining just under 1% on Tuesday. This was a personal high. performance of the day. From March 2023. The dollar has rebounded to start the year, helped by rising U.S. Treasury yields, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield hitting its highest level in more than two weeks in early trading. Risk aversion pushed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index to their first trade of 2024 as investors worried that the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December meeting, scheduled to be released next Wednesday, might not be as dovish as previously expected. We finished in the red. "The market is abandoning some dovish bets, questioning inflated stock valuations, and ultimately turning to defensive bets in the foreign exchange market," ING analysts said.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
FTSE100 D1 - Short SignalFTSE100 D1 Caught in the range between the alluring 7725 sell zone and the steadfast 7275 support price. This range encompasses a substantial 450-point span, bridging the chasm between resistance and support, offering enticing opportunities on both sides of the spectrum. Notably, FTSE100 has been graced with compelling wick rejections, particularly in recent days, and yesterday's closing performance was the proverbial cherry on top. The measure, spanning roughly 10R from resistance to support, presents an ideal setup for discerning traders who prefer to navigate the higher timeframes with a "set and
CAPITALCOM:UK100Short
by Trade_Simple_FX
1
EUR/USD Short, GBP/NZD Short, WTICO/USD Short and AUD/USD LongEUR/USD Short • If price corrects and a three touch tight flag forms, then I'll filter it on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with a risk entry within it after either a high test or a retrace candle. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. GBP/NZD Short • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. WTICO/USD Short • If price corrects and a three touch tight flag forms, then I'll filter it on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with a risk entry within it after either a high test or a retrace candle. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. AUD/USD Long • If price impulses up above our most recent correction on the one hour chart and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
by StewySongs
2
BTCUSD: US dollar strengthens as US bond yields rise pending relInvestors are bracing for a busy week ahead of key economic data, including European inflation data and U.S. employment and non-farm payrolls. These numbers will go a long way in shaping the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank's expectations for monetary policy decisions. Details of the Fed's discussions are expected to be revealed on Wednesday when the minutes of the December Federal Open Market Committee meeting are released. According to the CME FedWatch tool, market sentiment reflects an 82% chance that the Fed will start cutting interest rates in March, with more than 150 basis points of easing expected by the end of the year. Traders are also keeping an eye on volatile oil prices due to concerns about potential supply disruptions in the Middle East following recent attacks on container ships in the Red Sea. In the crypto market, Bitcoin has risen 3.25% since the beginning of the year, reaching its highest level since April 2022, on expectations that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission will soon approve Bitcoin spot fund trading. did.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Chart_MasterPro
AUDUSD: The USD soared amid higher US bond yields, pending key dThe US dollar posted strong gains on the first trading day of the year, supported by rising US yields. Market participants are currently awaiting the release of upcoming US labor market data and European inflation data to determine the direction of central bank policy. The dollar index, a measure that compares the U.S. currency with six other major currencies, rose 0.7%, its biggest single-day gain since October. This follows his 2% decline in 2023, ending his second consecutive year of increases. Last year's decline was due to market expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would cut interest rates significantly given the strong economy. The dollar's rise was supported by a rise in U.S. Treasury yields, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rising 7.1 basis points to 3.931%, its biggest one-day gain in more than three weeks. The dollar faced downward pressure last month after the U.S. Federal Reserve signaled a potential rate cut in 2024, but Brown Brothers Harriman & Co.'s head of global currency strategy said: "The market is starting to realize that," Win Hsin said. "The US economy remains strong," he said, suggesting a "soft landing" could result in two or three precautionary cuts by 2024. However, the market is currently pricing in six rate cuts this year. As a result, the dollar could remain "under pressure and vulnerable" until those expectations materialize, Singh said.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
EURUSD: The fate of the USD depends on the Fed's 2024 movesThe US dollar has been relatively stable this year, having strengthened significantly following the Fed's rate hike in 2022, but could face downward pressure in 2024 if the Fed cuts rates as expected. . The dollar has fallen only 2% against other major currencies this year, its first annual decline since 2020, supported by strong U.S. economic growth and the Federal Reserve's efforts to keep borrowing costs high. Ta. The Fed's surprising shift in stance came at its December meeting, when Chairman Jerome Powell suggested a sharp rate hike cycle that would send interest rates soaring to multi-decade highs was likely. It ended due to falling inflation. This has led to expectations for a 75 basis point (bp) rate cut next year, with the dollar weakening as lower interest rates generally make U.S. assets less attractive to profit-seeking investors. There is a possibility that Strategists are expecting a weaker dollar next year, but the possibility of an earlier rate cut could accelerate the dollar's weakness. But the strong U.S. economy could pose a challenge for those betting on the dollar. Kit Jacks, chief currency strategist at Société Générale (OTC:SCGLY), said aggressive monetary policy and growth stimulus in the US led to strong dollar strength. La, just like in the 1980s. Impending policy changes could eliminate some of these gains. The development of the dollar is particularly important given its central role in global finance. A weaker dollar could benefit the United States by making exports more competitive and increasing multinational corporations' profits when converting foreign earnings into dollars. According to FactSet, about a quarter of S&P 500 companies (INDEXSP: INX companies) derive more than half of their revenue from international markets. A December survey of 71 foreign exchange strategists predicted the dollar would weaken against G10 currencies in 2024, with most of the decline occurring in the second half of this year. The outcome will likely depend on the relative performance of the US economy and the speed with which central banks around the world adjust their policies. The European Central Bank is resisting pressure to cut interest rates to fight inflation as the euro zone struggles with a deepening economic downturn. The euro has appreciated more than 3% against the dollar this year. In contrast, Neuberger Berman's Thanos Baldas remains bullish on the dollar over the next 12 months, citing continued weakness in economies outside the United States.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
EUR/USD Short and GBP/NZD ShortEUR/USD Short • If price impulses down below our most recent correction on the one hour chart and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. GBP/NZD Short • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Short
by StewySongs
1
USDJPY: USD/JPY hit a 5-month low due to Fed - BoJ policy divergJPY's rally benefited from hawkish comments from BoJ Governor Ueda when he emphasized policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ. USDJPY is falling again after 2 consecutive sessions of increase. Technical indicators show that the downward momentum is still strong. The key resistance to watch is the 200-day MA at 142.75, with the next target at 143 and 144. On the contrary, if the price can be maintained below this mark, the downtrend will be consolidated. Sellers may aim for the 141.90/85 zone, followed by the multi-month bottom at 141 set last week, support at 140.45 and the 140 mark.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
XAUUSD: USD recovered during Thursday sessionOn the FX market, the USD recovered in the US session after weakening in the first half of the trading day, despite the report that last week's unemployment claims exceeded expectations (218K vs 211K forecast) and sales December pending home sales in the United States disappointed (unchanged compared to forecast +0.8%). At the end of the session, USD increased on a large scale after 4 consecutive sessions of decline, except for JPY. GBP led the decline, followed by EUR. Gold increased more than $7 to nearly $2088.50/oz at the beginning of the Asian session, but retreated in the European session and the decline slowed to around 42065/oz, down more than $12 during the day. In the debt market, 2-year and 10-year yields increased 3.7bp and 4.6bp to 4.28% and 3.85%, respectively.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chart_MasterPro
EURUSD: The USD fell as expectations of interest rate cuts increThe U.S. dollar is on track to decline annually, weakening from two consecutive years of strong gains as expectations grow for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next year. The dollar index against six major currencies hit a five-month low of 100.81, reflecting Wednesday's 0.5% decline and expectations for a 2.6% decline for the year. Market participants are keeping an eye on the timing of the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. The futures market indicates that there is an 89% probability that interest rates will be cut by March 2024, and it has been pointed out that there is a possibility that interest rates will be cut by March next year. Despite these forecasts, some analysts, including those at Monex USA, have expressed skepticism about the Fed's willingness to ease early, saying the dollar could appreciate if the expected rate cuts do not materialize. suggested. In contrast to the Fed's unexpectedly dovish stance at its December meeting, other major central banks, including the European Central Bank, remained committed to keeping interest rates high for a longer period of time. However, markets believe the ECB is considering cutting interest rates by up to 165 basis points next year. Analysts at Monex USA highlighted the unstable economic situation in Europe and the United Kingdom, predicting that their central banks could cut interest rates before the Fed. The euro rose 0.09% to $1.1113, close to a five-month high and posted a 3.7% annual gain, its best performance since 2020.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
GBP/AUD Short, GBP/CAD Long and GBP/USD ShortGBP/AUD Short • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. GBP/CAD Long • If price impulses up above our area of value, it does so in a convincing manner and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. GBP/USD Short • If price pushes up above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
by StewySongs
GBPUSD: US dollar depreciates as expectations for interest rate The U.S. dollar is on track to decline annually, weakening from two consecutive years of strong gains as expectations grow for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next year. The dollar index against six major currencies hit a five-month low of 100.81, reflecting Wednesday's 0.5% decline and expectations for a 2.6% decline for the year. In contrast to the Fed's unexpectedly dovish stance at its December meeting, other major central banks, including the European Central Bank, remained committed to keeping interest rates high for a longer period of time. However, markets believe the ECB is considering cutting interest rates by up to 165 basis points next year. Sterling hit $1.2813, its highest since Aug. 10, and is on course for its first annual rise of 6% since 2017. The Bank of England faces a difficult environment. Challenges posed by rising inflation in the UK. The ability of the Fed to cut interest rates as aggressively as the Fed and the ECB may be limited. This has widened the yield differential with U.S. and European bonds, making British assets more attractive and supporting the pound.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
GBPJPY: The Japanese Yen will likely be the most interesting The new governor of the BoJ, Kazuo Ueda, has not made drastic changes in monetary policy as expected, causing the Japanese yen to weaken against the USD in 2023. Positive signs appeared in November when the USD/JPY pair fell and bond yields also fell, raising hopes that the BoJ was about to change policy. The BoJ is expected to make an important policy decision next spring, based on the results of salary negotiations. If the BoJ does not change policy as expected, the yen could continue to struggle in the first half of 2024. Although the BoJ may change policy later, this uncertainty will cause the yen to fluctuate widely in the first half of next year. In short, the prospects of the Japanese yen next year depend largely on the BoJ's decision after the salary negotiations. The lack of certainty could create major volatility in the Japanese currency market.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
USDJPY: Asian session update: Stocks and USD fall as they begin USD weakened, JPY and antipodeans led the rise Asian stocks fell, with futures on the S&P 500 index up slightly by 0.07% US 10-year bond yield falls 1.7bp to 3.88% Gold increased 0.5% to around $2063/oz WTI oil increased 0.2% to above $73.70/barrel Bitcoin accumulates around 43.5K Investors continued to digest November PCE and December Consumer Sentiment data released on Friday, which showed that monthly inflation in the US fell for the first time in more than 3½ years, while sentiment Consumer sentiment remains strong, reflecting the economy's durability. A deceleration in core inflation and growing recession fears will prompt the Fed to shift from "committing to fighting inflation with higher interest rates for longer" to reassuring markets that it will "not hold rates." stayed high for too long". In the FX market, major currencies increased slightly after the Christmas holiday as the USD weakened. USD/JPY is steady at 142.30. The prospect of the BoJ removing its ultra-loose policy has supported JPY's rise in recent weeks. Yesterday, BoJ Governor Ueda announced that the possibility of reaching the inflation target is "gradually increasing" and that they will consider adjusting policy if there is "enough" prospect of reaching the 2% target in a sustainable way.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
GBP/CAD Long and EUR/USD ShortGBP/CAD Long • If price impulses up above our most recent high, it does so in a convincing manner and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair. EUR/USD Short • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it. • If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
by StewySongs
1
EURJPY: MUFG CEO: BoJ may eliminate negative interest rate policMitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) President Hiroki Kamezawa stated in an interview with Japanese media outlet Asahi Shimbun: The BoJ is gradually achieving its price target and wage hike "This is only a matter of time." The negative interest rate policy could be eliminated as early as 2024 due to positive developments in wages and prices. This policy has put pressure on the businesses of financial institutions because it reduces the profit margins they can earn on lending. MUFG is Japan's largest financial group and the world's second largest bank holding company.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro